CFA SOCIETY OF PHILADELPHIA KICKOFF LUNCHEON Tuesday, November 6, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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CFA SOCIETY OF PHILADELPHIA KICKOFF LUNCHEON Tuesday, November 6, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

CFA INSTITUTE RESEARCH CHALLENGE CFA SOCIETY OF PHILADELPHIA KICKOFF LUNCHEON Tuesday, November 6, 2012 3:00 PM TODAYS PRESENTERS Kenn Lamson, CFA Portfolio Analytics Consultant, Vanguard Research Challenge Overview Peter Maher, CFA


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SLIDE 1

CFA INSTITUTE RESEARCH CHALLENGE CFA SOCIETY OF PHILADELPHIA KICKOFF LUNCHEON

Tuesday, November 6, 2012 3:00 PM

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SLIDE 2

TODAY’S PRESENTERS

Kenn Lamson, CFA Portfolio Analytics Consultant, Vanguard “Research Challenge Overview” Peter Maher, CFA Analyst, Investments, The Board of Pensions of the Presbyterian Church U.S.A. “Ethics and Code of Standards” Timothy Hoyle, CFA Vice President, Research, The Haverford Trust Company “How to Write a Research Paper” Tom Kelly Senior Vice President, Crown Holdings (Subject Company) “Company Overview”

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SLIDE 3

Research Challenge Overview

Kenn Lamson, CFA Portfolio Analytics Consultant Vanguard

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SLIDE 4

CFA SOCIETY OF PHILADELPHIA: A FOUNDING MEMBER OF THE CFA INSTITUTE

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Highlights:

  • Started in 1943
  • 2,000 Members
  • 7th Largest North American

Society

  • Provides a Variety of Social

and Educational Events

  • CFA Prep Provider

Membership comprised of:  CFA Charter Holders  Adjunct Professionals  Students

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SLIDE 5

THANK YOU TO OUR SPONSORS OF THE RESEARCH CHALLENGE:

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Contact: Wayne Pasternack Phone: (212) 617 3606 E-mail: wpasternack@bloomberg.net

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SLIDE 6

2012 GLOBAL CHAMPIONS

Thammasat University, Bangkok, Thailand Representing the CFA Society Thailand

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SLIDE 7

2012 CFAP RESEARCH CHALLENGE WINNER: THE UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA

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SLIDE 8

WHAT IS THE CFA INSTITUTE RESEARCH CHALLENGE?

  • How is it organized?
  • Worldwide intercollegiate competition

between teams of students

  • Organized through CFA member

societies

  • At least 4 teams of 3-5 students

participate

  • What does it involve?
  • Analysis of a publicly-traded company
  • Interviews with company management
  • Mentoring by a CFA charter holder
  • Research report writing
  • Presentation of research

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SLIDE 9

2012 RESEARCH CHALLENGE NETWORK

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SLIDE 10

2013 TOURNAMENT DIAGRAM

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90+ LOCAL LEVEL CHALLENGES AP Regional 19 Teams EMEA Regional 25 Teams Americas Regional 48 Teams New York Regional 24 Teams

Global Final

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SLIDE 11

2012 TOURNAMENT RESULTS

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SLIDE 12

BENEFITS FOR STUDENTS

  • Best practices in research and report

writing

  • Real-life learning experience as an

Equity Analyst

  • Access and exposure to leading

industry professionals

  • Professional report and experience to

use on resume/CV and job interviews

  • Experience presenting to top financial

professionals

  • Individual and team prizes
  • Opportunity for travel
  • Potential for media exposure
  • Network of over 10,000 students and

2,500 volunteers worldwide

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SLIDE 13

THERE ARE NINE PARTICIPATING TEAMS FROM THE PHILADELPHIA REGION IN THIS YEAR’S RESEARCH CHALLENGE:

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University: Industry Mentor Delaware State University Charlie DyReyes Drexel University Michael Martorelli Rider University Cynthia Jones Scranton University Todd Sclanger

  • St. Joseph’s University

Andre D’Amico Villanova University Lee Grout Temple University Edward Hickey University of Pennsylvania Kelley McKee Widener University Sorin Roibu Thank you to our volunteer Industry Mentors for their involvement.

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SLIDE 14

COMPETITION TIMELINE

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Today Kick-Off Next 10 days Preliminary Research Register with CFA Institute 12/14/2012 1st Draft Due to Mentor 1/11/2013 Final Report Due Interim Report Grading 2/21/2013 Local Final Presentations 3/21/2013 Regional Final 4/12/2013 Global Final

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SLIDE 15

RULES OVERVIEW

  • Each team consists of 3-5 students

(undergraduate or graduate)

  • Only one team may represent each

university

  • Students must be enrolled in the

university they represent and registered for at least a part-time course load at the time of the kickoff meeting

  • Reports and presentations must be the

students’ original work

  • Students may not have contact with

the subject company outside of

  • rganized events
  • Students may not enlist the help of any

professionals other than the mentor or faculty advisor

  • Mentors and faculty may NOT contact

the company

  • Mentors, faculty, and subject company

may NOT provide material non-public information

  • Written reports must conform to the

guidelines set forth by CFA Institute and include the cover and back pages provided by CFA Institute

  • Teams may not use props in their oral

presentations

  • Students, mentors, and faculty must all

agree to abide by the CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct

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SLIDE 16

ADVISOR AND MENTOR INVOLVEMENT

Faculty Advisor

  • Insight and guidance on research

methods and tools as taught in academia

  • 10 hours maximum of productive

time

  • Access to faculty for other projects

unrelated to the Research Challenge is permitted

  • All work must be the original work of

the students Industry Mentor

  • Insight and guidance on industry

practice

  • 6 hours maximum of productive time
  • Face to face or virtual
  • Company management question

development

  • Review first draft of research report
  • Presentation development

assistance

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SLIDE 17

ETHICS RESOURCES

  • Ethical Standards for Investment

Professionals: An Interactive Case- Based Course

  • Ethics Course Module 2: Standard

II—Integrity of Capital Markets

  • Ethics Course Module 3: Standard

III—Duties to Clients

  • Ethics Course Module 6: Standard

VI—Conflicts of Interest

  • Ethics Course Module 7: Standard

VII—Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member or CFA Candidate

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SLIDE 18

SAMPLE REPORT

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SLIDE 19

REPORT SCORING

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Section Maximum Points Comments Business Description 5 Lack of sufficient information to support recommendation. Industry Overview & Competitive Positioning 15 Not a comprehensive understanding of the company's positioning and/or competitors. No understanding of company's economic advantage, Overstated company's advantage - not grounded in facts. Investment Summary 20 Not logical. No or insufficient summary of salient points. Strategy is not grounded in financials. Valuation 20 Method is flawed. Not substantiated with industry information. Financial Analysis 20 Flawed assumptions. Too many errors in financial analysis. Financial analysis does not support conclusion. Investment Risks 15 Missed too many important risk items. Risk and conclusion are not logical. Other Headings 5 Missed important information available. Total 100

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SLIDE 20

PRESENTATION SCORING

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SLIDE 21

OUR SUBJECT COMPANY:

“Crown Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, is a leading supplier of packaging products to consumer marketing companies around the world. World headquarters are located in Philadelphia, PA.”

www.crowncork.com Thank you to Crown Holdings for its participation in the Research Challenge!

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SLIDE 22

INTERACTING WITH CROWN HOLDINGS

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  • Designated officers ONLY
  • Organized communications ONLY
  • Industry mentor or faculty advisor

must be present for all student- subject company interactions

  • Students may contact and survey

company suppliers, customers, vendors, etc.

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SLIDE 23

WHERE TO BEGIN

  • Visit the CFA Institute Research

Challenge website: www.researchchallenge.org

  • Register for the competition
  • Peruse educational materials

selected specifically for participants

  • Watch videos of past

presentations

  • View past reports from winning

teams

  • Communicate with your assigned

mentor

  • Check the CFA Institute website for

a timeline of the competition

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SLIDE 24

Ethics & Code of Standards

Peter Maher, CFA Analyst, Investments The Board of Pensions of the Presbyterian Church U.S.A.

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SLIDE 25

CODE OF ETHICS

  • Act with integrity, competence, diligence,

respect, and in an ethical manner—public, clients, prospects, employers, employees, colleagues.

  • Integrity of investment profession and client

interests above personal interests.

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SLIDE 26
  • Reasonable care, independent professional

judgment when conducting analysis, making recommendations, taking investment actions, and in other professional activities.

  • Practice, encourage others…in a professional,

ethical manner…reflect credit on themselves and profession.

CODE OF ETHICS

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SLIDE 27
  • Promote integrity; uphold rules governing

capital markets.

  • Maintain, improve professional competence,

and strive to do the same for other investment professionals.

CODE OF ETHICS

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SLIDE 28

STANDARDS OF PROFESSIONAL CONDUCT

I. Professionalism II. Integrity of Capital Markets III. Duties to Clients IV. Duties to Employers V. Investment Analysis, Recommendations, and Actions VI. Conflicts of Interest

  • VII. Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member
  • r CFA Candidate
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SLIDE 29

ETHICS

  • Professionalism:
  • Knowledge of the law
  • Independence and Objectivity
  • Misrepresentation
  • Misconduct
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SLIDE 30

ETHICS

  • Integrity of Capital Markets:
  • Material Nonpublic information
  • Market Manipulation
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SLIDE 31

ETHICS

  • Duties to Clients:
  • Loyalty, Prudence and Care
  • Fair Dealing
  • Suitability
  • Performance Presentation
  • Preservation of Confidentiality
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SLIDE 32

ETHICS

  • Duties to Employers:
  • Loyalty
  • Additional Compensation Arrangements
  • Responsibilities of Supervisors
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SLIDE 33

ETHICS

  • Investment Analysis, Recommendations,

Actions:

  • Diligence and Reasonable Basis
  • Communication with Clients
  • Record Retention
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SLIDE 34

ETHICS

  • Conflicts of Interest:
  • Disclosure of Conflicts
  • Priority of Transactions
  • Referral Fees
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SLIDE 35

ETHICS

  • Responsibilities of CFA Members and

Candidates:

  • Conduct of Members and Candidates
  • Reference to the designation
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SLIDE 36

How to Write an

Equity Research Report

Timothy Hoyle, CFA Vice President, Research The Haverford Trust Company

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SLIDE 37

PURPOSE OF A RESEARCH REPORT

  • What is the purpose of a research report?
  • Provide...
  • Relevant content
  • Unique insight and perspective

... that will enable the reader to make an improved decision

  • What is it not?
  • Data dump
  • Value the reader’s time; use your space thoughtfully
  • More is not better... better is better. Data should be useful and easy to read
  • Inaccurate
  • You want conviction... but where possible let facts do the heavy lifting.
  • Don’t publish misleading information; seek economic truth!
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SLIDE 38

KEY ELEMENTS OF A REPORT

  • Investment Summary
  • Business Description
  • Industry Overview
  • Competitive Positioning
  • Financial Analysis & Trends
  • Valuation
  • Methods and Model Assumptions
  • Investment Merits and Risks
  • Other Relevant Topics
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SLIDE 39

INVESTMENT SUMMARY (20PTS)

  • In a handful of bullets, describe:
  • the key tenets of the investment thesis;
  • fair value and the expected return
  • the company’s business model;
  • the key risks to shareholders;
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SLIDE 40

BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (5PTS)

  • Reader should get a brief intro
  • What do they do?
  • How do they make money (manufacturer, brand franchise, professional service, distributor, risk transfer,

innovation, etc.)

  • Changes in business mix/profile?
  • Who are their customers?
  • Business, consumer, government, etc.
  • How do they reach their customers?
  • Brick and mortar, direct sales, internet, catalog, etc.
  • Where do they operate?
  • Domestic, international (developed countries, emerging markets), etc.
  • Other
  • Major segments
  • Financial profile (growth rates, margins, leverage, cash flow)
  • Major recent developments worth mentioning
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SLIDE 41

INDUSTRY & COMPETITIVE OVERVIEW (15PTS)

  • Target addressable market(s)
  • Current and future growth rates
  • Industry life cycle
  • Market characteristics
  • Monopoly, Duopoly, Oligopoly
  • Global, regional, or local marketplace
  • Key industry demand drivers
  • End markets
  • Secular vs. cyclical trends
  • Industry trends
  • Globalization
  • Consolidation
  • Regulatory oversight
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SLIDE 42

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • What differentiates competitors?
  • Cost structure, scale, product/service quality, technology, intellectual

capital (human, patents), customer relationship, geography, etc.

  • Porter’s Five Forces... he was onto something!
  • Rivalry – industry structure, S/D dynamics, fixed vs variable costs, exit barriers
  • New entrants – barriers to entry (scale, capex, patents, product differentiation, etc)
  • Substitutes – switching cost, relative price and quality
  • Buyer power – concentration, product differentiation, integration threat, switching

cost, co-dependence

  • Supplier power – similar to buyer power...
  • Market share
  • Market participants’ market share
  • Historical and projected gains/losses
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SLIDE 43

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS (20PTS)

  • Historical and Projected IS / BS / CFS
  • Margins (gross, EBITDA, EBIT, net, etc.) and growth rates
  • ROA / ROE / ROIC
  • Cash flow (OCF, FCF; per share and margin)
  • Sources (OCF, divestitures, share/debt issuance, etc) and Uses (Divvy, share/debt

repo, acquisitions, capex) of cash

  • Working Capital (cash conversion cycle; % of sales)
  • Leverage (D/EBITDA, DTC, etc.)
  • Capital requirements & Liquidity
  • Current/quick/cash ratio; covenants and debt maturity schedule
  • Appreciate the difference between liquidity and leverage!
  • Other industry specific metrics
  • Compare relevant metrics to competitors
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SLIDE 44

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & TRENDS - TIPS

  • Projected IS / BS / CFS should tie together
  • Make sure you don’t have runaway metrics
  • Projections should make economic sense
  • Don’t be mechanical; customize your analysis to the

specific company and industry

  • Don’t take this section lightly!
  • Easy to mess up
  • Should be consistent with your qualitative assessment
  • Ultimately drives your valuation and recommendation
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SLIDE 45

VALUATION (20PTS)

  • Valuation is an art, not a science...
  • Discounted cash flow
  • Growth and margin assumptions
  • Terminal value and discount rate
  • Multiples (P/E, P/FCFE, EV/FCFF, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, EV/S)
  • User beware
  • When using multiples you implicitly accept historical multiples as an accurate assessment
  • f value
  • Underlying a multiple is math... make sure it works and understand the logic
  • Peers (make sure similar attributes)
  • Transactions (make sure similar attributes)
  • Historical (make sure the company hasn’t changed)
  • Market
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SLIDE 46

MODEL ASSUMPTIONS & RISKS

  • Garbage-in, garbage-out
  • DCF model assumptions
  • Margin assumptions
  • Revenue drivers, bottom-up where possible
  • Cost drivers, bottom-up where possible
  • Discount rate
  • Long-term growth rate; forever is a long time... be conservative
  • WACC/FCFF or Ke/FCFE
  • Terminal value
  • Be careful
  • “Similar to the Hubble telescope... move an inch and you’re in a new galaxy”
  • Sensitivity Analysis (Bull, Base & Bear Scenarios)
  • Risks to estimates
  • Micro misses – fundamental economics of business change, industry landscape

changes, balance sheet impairs equity owners

  • Macro misses – recession, interest rates, inflation, etc.
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SLIDE 47

INVESTMENT MERITS

  • What attributes make this a good investment?*
  • Favorable fundamental attributes
  • Strong market position, pricing power, strong brand, favorable outlook
  • Attractive industry landscape
  • Barriers to entry, rational competitors, secular tailwinds
  • Balance sheet flexibility
  • Attractive valuation
  • Good capital allocators
  • Favorable ST/LT outlook

* Assumes a buy recommendation

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SLIDE 48

INVESTMENT RISKS (15PTS)

  • There are literally pages of risks listed in the 10-k
  • Ask yourself... what could go wrong?
  • Company specific
  • Customer/supplier concentration, cost inflation, loss of key product,

substitution, balance sheet deterioration, headline risks

  • Industry specific
  • Increasing competitive landscape, unfavorable regulatory changes
  • Macro environment
  • Recession, interest rates, inflation, currency
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SLIDE 49

OTHER POTENTIAL HEADINGS (5PTS)

  • Management summary
  • Executive profiles, recent changes, proxy statement
  • Ownership summary
  • Top shareholders, institutional ownership, insider ownership
  • Recent business initiatives / developments
  • New business segment, marketing and/or product strategy
  • Acquisitions or divestitures
  • Not always good... headline risk, manufacturing problems, regulatory

changes, etc.

  • Recent balance sheet changes
  • Changes in capital structure, changes in debt or equity
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SLIDE 50

TIPS

  • Start early
  • Asking why, why, why during due diligence will lead to a

happy place

  • Utilize publically available resources of co. and peers
  • SEC filings: 10-K, 8-K, 10-Q
  • Company website(s) and presentations
  • Industry associations
  • Double check your facts
  • List your data source
  • Edit multiple times
  • Get it reviewed and incorporate the feedback
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SLIDE 51

Company Overview

Tom Kelly Senior Vice President, Crown Holdings

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SLIDE 52

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THE COMPANY

  • Corporate headquarters in NE Philadelphia
  • 134 plants in 41 countries
  • 21,000 employees
  • $8.6 billion in 2011 revenue
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SLIDE 53

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BEVERAGE CANS

  • 50 billion beverage cans in 2011 – 1 in every 5 in the world
  • About 50% of the business
  • Major brand name customers
  • Technology – ends, sizes, shaping
  • CSD , Craft beer , Energy
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SLIDE 54

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FOOD CANS

  • 14 billion food cans in 2011
  • About 30% of the business
  • Pet food, fruits and vegetables, soups – volumes stabilized
  • Technology – ends, shaping
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SLIDE 55

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OTHER PRODUCTS

Aerosol Cans

  • Discretionary
  • Sensitive to economy

Specialty Cans

  • Consumer
  • Industrial
  • Food

Closures

5% each

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SLIDE 56

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HISTORY

  • Crown is over 100 years old
  • Pre-1990’s – steady, consistent
  • 1990’s – Acquisitions

 1985 - $1.5 billion in revenue  1996 - $8.3 billion in revenue

  • 2000/2001 – Crisis
  • 2000’s

 Refinancings  Divestitures

  • Now

 Oligopoly business  Emerging market growth  Strong cash flow  Sustainability

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SLIDE 57

STOCK PERFORMANCE

10 20 30 40 50 60 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Acquisition Balance sheet Asbestos/ Credit rating Refinancing/Divestitures Emerging markets Cash flow EM

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SLIDE 58

SUSTAINABILITY

By the numbers:

  • Aluminum can recycling rates
  • U.S. – 65%
  • EU – 64% (Sweden 90%, Switzerland 91%)
  • Japan – 93%
  • China – 99.5%
  • Recycling versus primary products
  • Aluminum – 95% energy savings
  • Steel – 74% energy savings
  • 75% of all primary aluminum produced in

the last 150 years is still in use.

  • A beverage can goes through the cycle 6 times a year.

74% 95% 75%

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SLIDE 59

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LIGHTWEIGHTING

The weight of aluminum cans has been reduced 30% over the past 35 years. Steel packaging weighs 40% less than 30 years ago.

30% 40%

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SLIDE 60

Investor Presentation November 5, 2012

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SLIDE 61

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NOTES TO INVESTORS

  • Except for historical information, all other information in this presentation consists of forward-

looking statements within the meaning of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors, that may cause actual results to be materially different from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking

  • statements. Important factors that could cause the statements made in this press release or the

actual results of operations or financial condition of the Company to differ are discussed under the caption "Forward Looking Statements" in the Company's Form 10-K Annual Report for the year ended December 31, 2011 and in subsequent filings. The Company does not intend to review or revise any particular forward-looking statement in light of future events.

  • Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, segment income, free cash flow and net debt are not defined

terms under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP measures). Non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for net income, cash flow or total debt data prepared in accordance with GAAP and may not be comparable to calculations

  • f similarly titled measures by other companies. Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, segment

income, free cash flow and net debt are derived from the Company's Consolidated Statements of Operations and Cash Flows and Consolidated Balance Sheets, respectively, and reconciliations to non-GAAP measures, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, segment income, free cash flow and net debt, can be found in the "For Investors" section of the Company's website at www.crowncork.com

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SLIDE 62

2011 SUMMARY

Tota

  • tal

l Ne Net t Sales Sales - $8 $8.6 .6 Bil illi lion

  • n

2011 Highlights  Adjusted EPS up 25% to $2.81 ($2.24 in 2010)  Adjusted EBITDA $1,129 million ($1,042 in 2010)  Global beverage can volumes up 9%  More than $280 million capital for emerging market capacity expansion  Repurchased $312 million of Company stock  Repurchased $202 million of non-controlling interests 134 plants

41 countries 20,700 employees

Asia $862 European Specialty $434 European Food $1,999 European Beverage $1,669 North American Food $889 Americas Beverage $2,273 Aerosol $431 Other $87

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SLIDE 63

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SALES BY REGION

( ) = number of plants Plants by product Beverage 48 Food 60 Specialty Packaging 16 Aerosols & Other 10 134

$3.3 $2.8 $2.5 Latin America (10) Eastern Europe/ Africa (13)

2011 Sales $8.6 Billion 2011 Rest of World $2.5 Billion

$0.9

Rest of World (43) 29% US/Canada (36) 33% Western Europe (55) 38%

$0.6 $0.4 $0.6

Asia (15) Middle East (5)

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SLIDE 64

64

($ in millions)

12/11 12/10 2012 2011 2010 Change Change Net sales 4,131 $ 4,163 $ 3,787 $ (0.8%) 9.1% Segment income 431 461 391 (6.5%) 10.2% % margin 10.4% 11.1% 10.3% Adjusted EBITDA 518 546 479 (5.1%) 8.1% % margin 12.5% 13.1% 12.6% Earnings per share, ongoing operations $1.30 $1.32 $0.97 (1.5%) 34.0% Total net debt $3,561 $3,330 $2,567 Net debt/Adj EBITDA 3.2x 3.0x 2.6x Adj EBITDA/Interest Expense 4.8x 4.9x 4.6x For the six months ended June 30,

FINANCIALS - 2012

 Beverage can volumes up 6%  Sales FX ($137) in 2012  Segment income FX ($11) in 2012  Inventory holding gain $15-$20 in 2011

  • See appendix for reconciliation from reported earnings per share.
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SLIDE 65

65

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

$8,612 $8,644 $7,941 $7,938 $8,305 $7,728 $7,000 $7,500 $8,000 $8,500 $9,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM June 2012

Net Sales

($ in millions) $923 $953 $870 $812 $808 $645

$500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM June 2012

Segment Income

65

FX ($11)

  • Inv. Gains

(17) ($28)

FX ($72)

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SLIDE 66

66

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

$874 $1,024 $1,006 $1,042 $1,129 $0 $300 $600 $900 $1,200 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Adjusted EBITDA

($ in millions) $333 $508 $612 $250 $353

$0 $150 $300 $450 $600 $750 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Free Cash Flow

66

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SLIDE 67

67

BRAZIL

Manaus Estancia Cabreuva Ponta Grossa

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SLIDE 68

68

CHINA

Xinjiang Guangxi Hubei Gansu Fujian Shanxi Shandong Sichuan Yunnan Henan Zhejiang

Beijing Shanghai

Sichuan Xizang Xinjiang Qinghai Gansu Heilongjiang Jilin Chongqing Guizhou Liaoning Jiangsu Anhui Jiangxi Hunan Neimongu Tianjin Shaanxi Ningxia Hebei

White area = population 226 million Green area = population 705 million Red area = population 393 million

Guangdong

Hangzhou Putian Huizhou Heshan Ziyang

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SLIDE 69

69

Malaysia Singapore Vietnam Thailand Laos Cambodia

SOUTHEAST ASIA

Beverage Existing Plants Beverage under construction Food/Aerosol

Haadyai Danang Hanoi Dong Nai Ho Chi Minh Bangi Phnom Penh Bangkok Sihanoukville

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SLIDE 70

70

SUMMARY OF BEVERAGE CAN CAPACITY ADDITIONS

 Announced capacity additions and estimated start dates are shown below. Capacity additions total 13 billion cans. Sixteen (16) new production lines and two (2) line expansions across nine (9) new plants and existing plants.  Vietnam – Ho Chi Minh line 2 4Q 2010 600 million  Turkey – Izmit expansion 1Q 2011 350 million  Brazil – Ponta Grossa line 1 1Q 2011 900 million  Brazil – Ponta Grossa line 2 2Q 2011 900 million  Slovakia line 2 2Q 2011 750 million  Brazil – Estancia line 2 2Q 2011 900 million  China – Hangzhou (Zhejiang) 2Q 2011 600 million  Cambodia – Phnom Penh line 2 4Q 2011 700 million  China – Putian (Fujian) 1Q 2012 700 million  China – Ziyang (Sichuan) 2Q 2012 700 million  Vietnam – Ho Chi Minh expansion 2Q 2012 700 million  Turkey – Osmaniye 2Q 2012 700 million  China – Heshan (Guangdong) 3Q 2012 700 million 9.2 billion  Malaysia – Bangi line 2 1Q 2013 700 million  China – Putian line 2 (Fujian) 2Q 2013 700 million  Vietnam – Danang 2Q 2013 750 million  Thailand – Bangkok 2Q 2013 700 million  Cambodia – Sihanoukville 3Q 2013 725 million 12.8 billion * Crown sold 51 billion beverage cans globally in 2011.

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SLIDE 71

CAPITAL SPENDING

$104 $100 $114 $110 $110 $75 $220 $287 $190 $115 $40 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 Average from 2005-2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E Developed markets Emerging markets Insurance recovery $179 $320 $401 $340 $225

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SLIDE 72

USES OF CASH (2010 THROUGH 2012)

($ in millions)

$320 $300 $255 $250 $817 $371 $1,021 $401 $312 $202 $169

$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500

2010 2011 2012E Total E

Capex Share Repurchases Acquire Noncontrolling Interests

Cash Flow Priorities

  • Invest in our business
  • Target growth
  • pportunities
  • Ongoing cost reduction

programs

  • Debt reduction
  • Share repurchases
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SLIDE 73

June 30, 2012

(US$ in Millions) Note: Excludes receivables securitization ($130) and miscellaneous other indebtedness ($282).

Debt Maturity Profile

$414 $700 $633 $400 $627 $135 TA $90 $45 $335

RCF

$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2021 2026/96

$470

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SLIDE 74

74

QUESTIONS?

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SLIDE 75

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