Town of Halton Hills Employment Land Needs Assessment PPT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PPT Presentation of Phase 1 Key Findings February 26, 2019

Town of Halton Hills Employment Land Needs Assessment

1

• Study Purpose and Process
• Policy Context
• Halton Hills Employment Trends
• Employment Land Demand
• Employment Land Needs
• Recommendations

Presentation Outline

2

Study Purpose and Process

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Study Purpose

• Introduction
• To provide a comprehensive

review of the Town’s designated employment lands and to ensure that there is an adequate supply

• f non-residential lands
• An important background

document to the Town’s O.P. review

• Provide input into Phase 1 of the

Halton Region Integrated Growth Management Strategy

4

Study Purpose

• What are employment lands and why are

they important?

• Broad range of uses
• Accommodate primarily export-based

employment

• Home to many of the Town’s largest private-

sector employers

• A vital component of Halton Hills’s land-use

structure and are an integral part of the local economic development potential

• Generates strong economic multipliers (i.e.

spin-off effects) and high-quality employment

• pportunities which can improve local socio-

economic conditions (i.e. live/work

• pportunities)

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Phase 1:

• Review of economic

development trends

• Technical analysis of

employment land need

• Review and technical analysis

conducted under current land- use policy framework at provincial, regional and local levels Phase 2:

• Town’s Employment Lands

Strategy

• Review of planning policy

related to the strategic planning of the Town’s existing and future Employment Areas

• Review of employment land

conversions

• Analysis of GO station

areas

Study Process

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Policy Context

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Policy Context

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Growth Plan 2017 Forecast Halton Region Population Employment 2031 2036 2041 2031 2036 2041 820,000 910,000 1,000,000 390,000 430,000 470,000

Growth

+210,000 jobs

Region of Halton Growth, 2016 to 2041

+435,000 population

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Mansewood Provincial Significant Employment Zones (PSEZs)

Policy Context

Region of Halton Official Plan - Future Strategic Employment Areas

Policy Context

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Halton Hills Employment Trends

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Halton Hills Employment Growth, 2001 to 2016

Halton Hills Employment Trends

Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Note: Employment Activity rate is based on population with undercount. .

15,794 19,191 19,998 22,783 33% 35% 34% 37% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2001 2006 2011 2016 Activity Rate Total Employment Employment Activity Rate

Annual Growth Rate 2.5%

40%; 89 ha 34%; 69 ha 22%; 48 ha 29%; 60 ha 27%; 60 ha 16%; 33 ha 11%; 25 ha 21%; 43 ha

2008-2012 2013-2017

50 100 150 200 250

5-Year Periods

Employment Lands Absorbed (ha)

Milton Halton Hills Oakville Burlington

40% 11% 34% 21%

222 ha 204 ha

62% 63%

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Halton Region Employment Lands Absorption, 2008-2017

Regional Development Trends

Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd.

62% Halton Hills & Milton

Halton Hills Land Demand

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Employment Land Demand

Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Note: Employment Activity rate is based on population with undercount.

Town of Halton Hills Employment Forecast, 2019 to 2041

19,200 20,000 22,800 25,500 27,800 34,500 42,000 49,200 53,000 33% 33% 36% 39% 41% 43% 44% 44% 44% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Mid 2006 Mid 2011 Mid 2016 Mid 2019 Mid 2021 Mid 2026 Mid 2031 Mid 2036 Mid 2041 Employment Activity Rate Total Employment Employment

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Employment Land Demand

Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., 2018. Note: No Fixed Place of Work and Work at Home Employment is included in the categories. .

Forecast Employment Growth

• n Employment Lands by Area,

2019 to 2041

Premier Gateway Employment Area 89% Mansewood Industrial Area 7% Acton Industrial Area 4% Georgetown Industrial Area 0.2%

Halton Hills Vacant Employment Land Supply

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Premier Gateway Employment Area

Halton Hills Employment Land Supply

335 Net Ha 89% of Town’s Vacant Supply

Halton Hills Employment Land Needs

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Employment Land Needs

Town-Wide Employment Land Needs, 2019-2041

Land Need:

• 338

gross ha

Includes OPA 31B of 75 Net ha

Land Demand Employment Growth on Employment Lands Adjusted for Intensification Forecast Employment Land Density (Jobs/Net ha) Employment Land Demand, Net ha Net ha Gross ha

• 270
• 338

12,920 Employment Land Needs, 2019-2041 20 646 Net ha 376 Land Supply Employment Land Needs

Based on refined GTA WCPA

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Recommendations

• It is forecast that, to accommodate forecast employment

growth on employment lands to the year 2041, approximately 338 gross ha (835 gross acres) of additional designated employment lands will be required. This includes the OPA 31B lands of 85 gross ha (75 net ha) and is based on a refined GTA West Corridor Protection Area of approximately 180 gross ha not available for development.

• It is recommended that the Town of Halton Hills continue to

advance O.P.A. 31B which will bring approximately 75 net ha (185 net acres) of lands identified as Future Strategic Employment Area into the urban area as an Employment Area.

• Further, working with the Region of Halton, the Town should

peruse adding additional Future Strategic Employment Area lands to the urban area of the Premier Gateway Employment Area.

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Next Steps

• Phase 2, underway:
• Review of planning policy related to the strategic planning of

the Town’s existing and future Employment Areas

• Review of employment land conversions
• Analysis of GO station areas (Major Transit Stations)
• Draft Report (April 2019)
• Final Report and Council Presentation (June 2019)