FIRST QUARTER 2019 RESULTS PRESENTATION
MAY 2019
CENTURY PACIFIC FOOD, INC.
(PSE: CNPF)
CENTURY PACIFIC FOOD, INC. (PSE: CNPF) BUSINESS OVERVIEW - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FIRST QUARTER 2019 RESULTS PRESENTATION MAY 2019 CENTURY PACIFIC FOOD, INC. (PSE: CNPF) BUSINESS OVERVIEW Investment Highlights Dominates the canned fish and canned meat categories locally* with a Market 1 growing presence in milk
FIRST QUARTER 2019 RESULTS PRESENTATION
MAY 2019
(PSE: CNPF)
Market Leadership Strong Focus on Marketing and Innovation Extensive Market Penetration and Distribution
growing presence in milk
Multiple Brands and Products
larger share of consumers’ wallet and stomach
Trusted Partner for International Customers
initially just for tuna but now also for various coconut products
*Source: Nielsen
3
Solidify market dominance, strengthen brands, and drive up per capita consumption in key categories Explore new categories via in- house product innovation and development, as well as an active search for undervalued brands Establish international presence by pursuing foreign markets with sizeable Filipino base and building
capabilities Increase operational productivity via high- return CapEx projects and improve depth and quality of sales coverage Pursue long-term sustainable earnings growth, striking a balance between consistently increasing revenue base and managing profitability
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TOTAL REVENUE GROWTH
OPERATING INCOME GROWTH BRANDED REVENUE GROWTH NET INCOME GROWTH
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GROSS PROFIT GROWTH EBITDA GROWTH
In PHP Mill YTD Dec 2017 YTD Dec 2018 Change YoY Net Revenues 32,907 37,885 15% Cost of Sales 25,973 29,738 14% Gross Profit 6,935 8,148 17% Operating Expenses 3,893 4,721 21% Operating Income 3,429 3,799 11% EBITDA 3,954 4,526 14% Financing Cost - Net 107 197 84% Income before Tax 3,322 3,602 8% Income Tax 770 768 0% Net Income 2,552 2,834 11% Earnings per Share 0.72 0.80 11% Margins (%) Gross Profit 21.1% 21.5% +0.4 pps Operating Expenses 11.8% 12.5% +0.6 pps Operating Income 10.4% 10.0%
EBITDA 12.0% 11.9%
Net Income 7.8% 7.5%
SEGMENTS with overall growth driven by branded segment
business driven almost completely by HIGHER VOLUMES
primarily to DIVERSIFIED OPERATIONS as softer input prices OFFSET PRESSURES from other costs
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primarily by HIGHER FREIGHT AND LOGISTICS COSTS
continued as TOTAL NET INCOME INCREASED BY A HEALTHY +11%
TOTAL REVENUE GROWTH
OPERATING INCOME GROWTH BRANDED REVENUE GROWTH NET INCOME GROWTH
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GROSS PROFIT GROWTH EBITDA GROWTH
BRANDED OUTPERFORMANCE
CATEGORIES underscored by products’ value-for-money proposition
CATEGORIES – most notably MILK
FRONT-LOADED A&P IN 1Q18 lead to margin expansion at operating income and EBITDA level
STRATEGIC INVENTORY POSITIONS
In PHP Mill YTD Mar 2018 YTD Mar 2019 Change YoY Net Revenues 8,783 9,744 11% Cost of Sales 6,781 7,564 12% Gross Profit 2,002 2,180 9% Operating Expenses 1,204 1,172
Operating Income 977 1,116 14% EBITDA 1,146 1,323 15% Financing Cost - Net 33 91 176% Income before Tax 944 1,025 9% Income Tax 211 232 10% Net Income 732 793 8% Earnings per Share 0.21 0.22 8% Margins (%) Gross Profit 22.8% 22.4%
Operating Expenses 13.7% 12.0%
Operating Income 11.1% 11.4% +0.3 pps EBITDA 13.1% 13.6% +0.5 pps Net Income 8.3% 8.1%
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primarily to DIVERSIFIED COST BASE as softer input prices OFFSET PRESSURES from other costs
21% 19% 10% 12% 11% 21% 26% 16% 16% 20%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 Consolidated Revenue YoY Growth Branded Revenue YoY Growth
Branded, 79% OEM Exports, 21%
9M 2017 Revenues Branded Growth OEM Growth 9M 2018 Revenues
Q1 2018 Revenues Branded OEM Exports Q1 2019 Revenues 8.78 9.74
25%
OEM Export
+11% YoY
1Q19 Revenue Breakdown Revenue Growth Split
20% 14%
In PHP Bill 10
INITIATIVES, plus introduction of new product innovations
prices in tuna and coconut
Core Branded (Marine & Meat), 57% Emerging Branded (Milk), 22%
OEM Exports, 21%
Branded Quarterly Revenues
5.3 5.7 6.2 6.2 6.4 7.2 7.2 7.1
7.7
5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
In PHP Bill 11
20%
YoY Growth in 1Q19
1Q19 Revenue Breakdown
AND PRODUCT AVAILABILITY, particularly in Visayas and Mindanao
FOR-MONEY PROPOSITION, and MAINSTAY STATUS WITH PHILIPPINE HOUSEHOLDS Increased Availability
76%
80%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2017 Current
CNPF Product Availability Relative to Total Points of Sale in the Philippines
Source: Nielsen
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Milk Brands Value Proposition Dairy Annual Consumption per Capita in 2018
gains in brand equity and product availability
LOWEST in the region and versus peers with similar GDP per capita
INNOVATING in traditional canned liquid milk segment VALUE-FOR-MONEY product in large and high- growth powdered milk market
Source: Euromonitor
Meat Market Share 6x
CNPF Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Others
83% 83%
15%
March 2019
Canned Tuna
#1
1% 1%
Marine Market Share
Competitor 4 CNPF Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Others
46% 46%
17% 15% 13% 9%
March 2019
Corned Beef
#1
CNPF Competitor 1Competitor 2 Competitor 3
32% 32%
17% 12% 8% 8%
March 2019
Emulsified Loaves
#1
Source: Nielsen
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focused on affordability in light
consumer environment
adjacent categories
across all business units
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OEM Export Quarterly Revenues
2.0 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.4
2.0
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
In PHP Bill
Global Coconut Water Market
14%
YoY Growth in 1Q19
Global Coconut Water and Other Plant Waters Off-Trade Value Forecast 2016-2021
Source: Euromonitor 2017
PRICES OF TUNA AND COCONUT
with acceleration to come from NEWER TERRITORIES and increased sales of HIGH-VALUE COCONUT MEAT
Consolidated Gross Profit Margins
versus Skipjack Tuna Prices monthly with 3-month delay
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 USD Skipjack Tuna Price per Ton Consolidated Gross Margin
Source: http://investor.thaiunion.com/raw_material.html Source: CNPF
Main Raw Materials, c.50% Packaging, 20-25% Others, 25-30%
x
15
Cost of Sales Breakdown
which increased beginning mid-2018
9M 2017 OPEX 1H Growth 3Q Growth 9M 2018 OPEX
FY 2017 OpEx 1H 2018 2H 2018 FY 2018 OpEx 4.72 3.89
11.8%
12.5%
OpEx as % of Sales
1Q19 OpEx
16
FY18 OpEx
FY17 OPEX 1H Growth 2H Growth FY18 OPEX
Q1 2018 OpEx Q1 2019 OpEx 1.17 1.20
13.7%
12.0%
OpEx as % of Sales
In PHP Bill
+21% YoY 34% 10%
In PHP Bill
52%
OpEx
48%
OpEx
0.4% 0.9%
Interest Expense as % of Sales
33 39 54 71
81
10
91
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 Interest Expense Impact of IFRS 16
17
Interest Expense
In PHP Mill
Philippine Peso
Interest-Bearing Debt
+0.5pps
3.6 4.0 5.1 6.3 6.5
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 Long -Term Short-Term
52% 48% In PHP Bill
and INCREASED BORROWING COSTS
Q1 2019
NET GEARING RATIO (x)
7.5% 8.3%
8.1%
FY 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019
11.9% 13.1%
13.6%
FY 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019
21.5% 22.8%
22.4%
FY 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Gross Margin EBITDA Margin Net Margin
18
+0.5pps
Operating Margin
10.0% 11.1%
11.4%
FY 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019
+0.3pps
due to higher packaging and other input costs beginning mid-2018.
A&P expenses
financing costs
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branded business
exports
TOP LINE BOTTOM LINE
key raw materials offset by flattish tuna and coconut prices
product innovations may temper margin upside
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ARGENTINA CORNED CHICKEN BIRCH TREE FORTIFIED CHOCO TO BE RELEASED
HEALTHIER ALTERNATIVE to traditional canned meat products
goodwill of challenger brand with its FIRST FLAVOR EXTENSION
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HEALTHIER FOOD FOR ALL Food Quality & Safety Accessibility Nutrition ENVIRONMENTAL STEWARDSHIP
Efficiency
Management
RESPONSIBLE SOURCING
Packaging PEOPLE DEVELOPMENT
Personal Growth
MEASURE ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE METRICS
1.6 1.9 2.7 2.6
2.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F
22 +21% +37%
Net Income
In PHP Bill +11%
1.6X TO 2.0X
––-––––––– OR ––––-–––––
10 TO 15% CAGR
2014 TO 2019 TARGET
In PHP Mill Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Profit before Tax 944 1,025 Depreciation & Amortization 167 207 Working Capital Change 4 (1,635) Income Tax (211) (232) Others 40 76 OPERATIONS CASH FLOWS 943 (559) Additions to PPE (457) (309) INVESTING CASH FLOWS (457) (309) Interest Paid (33) (91) Change in Debt (147) 217 FINANCING CASH FLOWS (180) 126 NET CHANGE IN CASH 306 (742) CASH, ENDING 1,854 935 FREE CASH FLOW 486 (868)
PPE INVESTMENTS needed to sustain long-term growth
EXPANSION OF FACILITIES AND PRODUCTION LINES
debt to SUPPORT WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
significant RAW MATERIAL INVENTORY to hedge input costs
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*Period-end figures were used to compute for working capital components.
33
91
1Q18 1Q19
25
Cash Flow Bridge
1,676
935
1,323 1,635 217 309 337
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 End FY18 EBITDA CapEx Dividends, Interest, Taxes, & Others Working Capital Change in Debt End 1Q19
support working capital to take STATEGIC INVENTORY POSITIONS Interest Expense Inventory
In PHP Mill In PHP Mill
GEARING RATIO (x) NET GEARING RATIO (x)
Q1 2019 Q1 2019
+176% 11,656
13,629
50 100 150 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2018 Q1 2019 Inventory Inventory days
143
163
PHPm Days
11,656
13,629
50 100 150 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2018 Q1 2019 Inventory Inventory days
7,007
8,450
50 100 150 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2018 Q1 2019 Payables Payable days
7,076
8,004
50 100 150 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2018 Q1 2019 Receivables Receivable days
143
163
68
76
PHPm PHPm PHPm Days Days Days 86
101
WORKING CAPITAL INVENTORY RECEIVABLES PAYABLES
26 11,725
13,183
50 100 150 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 2018 Q1 2019 Working Capital WC Days
PHPm Days 125
138
*Period-end figures were used to compute for working capital components.
In PHP Mill 2018 Q1 2019 Cash 1,676 935 Receivables 7,076 8,004 Inventory 11,656 13,629 Current Assets 21,042 23,400 PPE 5,458 6,147 Non-Current Assets 9,296 10,004 TOTAL ASSETS 30,337 33,403 In PHP Mill 2018 Q1 2019 Trade and Other Payables 7,007 8,450 Notes Payable - Current 3,210 3,427 Long-Term Loan 3,103 3,103 TOTAL LIABILITIES 13,613 15,901 Retained Earnings 8,164 8,957 TOTAL EQUITY 16,725 17,502 BVPS (PHP/share) 4.72 4.94
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days versus 125 days as of end-2018
and stretch in inventory days
DENOMINATED
PHP793 million
Gearing (x) Current Ratio (x) Net Gearing (x) Return on Equity
ratios maintained despite increase in debt
DENOMINATED DEBT in Q1 2019 led to higher leverage ratios
HEALTHY LIQUIDITY
LEADING ROE in the high teens
Notes: Gearing Ratio = (Interest-Bearing Liabilities) / Equity Net Gearing = (Interest-Bearing Liabilities Less Cash) / Equity Return on Equity uses trailing 12 months’ earnings and average equity
28 0.28
0.32
2018 Q1 2019
2.02
1.92
2018 Q1 2019
18.2%
17.7%
2018 Q1 2019
0.38
0.37
2018 Q1 2019
Century Pacific remains a committed member of global initiatives that address sustainability issues, particularly those involving tuna supply. In particular, its on-going membership in the International Seafood Sustainability Foundation (ISSF), through wholly-owned subsidiary General Tuna Corporation, requires strict compliance to all ISSF conservation
measures and commitments in force in 2015. MRAG’s latest 2018 audit showed General Tuna Corporation as fully compliant with all measures.
1) Tuna Regional Fisheries Management Organizations (RFMO) Authorized Vessel Record 2) RFMO Participation 3) Product Traceability 4) Quarterly Data Submission to RFMO 5) Shark-Finning Policy 6) Prohibition of Transactions with Shark- Finning Vessels 7) Prohibition of Transactions with Companies without a Public Policy Prohibiting Shark Finning 8) Large-scale Pelagic Driftnets Prohibition 9) Full Retention of Tunas 10) Skippers Best Practices 11) Transactions with Vessels that Use Only Non-Entangling Fish Aggregating Devices (FADs) 12) Unique VesseI Identifiers (UVI)- International Maritime Organization (IMO) 13) Purse Seine Unique Vessel Identifiers 14) Observer Coverage 15) Transshipments 16) Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) Fishing 17) IUU Product Response 18) Transaction Ban for Large-Scale Purse-Seine Vessels not Actively Fishing for Tuna as of December 31, 2012 19) Purchases from Purse Seine Vessels in Fleets with Other Vessels Not in Compliance with ISSF Conservation Measures 6.1 and 6.2(a) 20) Registration of Controlled Vessels 21) Purchases from Proactive Vessel Register (PVR) Vessels 30
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http://www.centurypacific.com.ph/investorpdf/CNPF% 202017%20Glossy%20Annual%20Report.pdf
CNPF’s 2017 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’s corporate website. Our 2018 Glossy Annual Report will be available by July 1, 2019.
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Investor Relations > Investor Presentations & Reports
AUG
UBS Philippines Corporate Day (Hong Kong)
20
*Schedule updated as of 8 May 2019 2Q19 Earnings Release
31
3Q19 Earnings Release
NOV 6 SEP
dbAccess Philippines Corporate Day (London)
2
Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
JUL 1
32 Macquarie ASEAN Conference (Singapore)
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Ortigas Center, Pasig City, Philippines investorrelations@centurypacific.com.ph +632 633 8555 www.centurypacific.com.ph http://edge.pse.com.ph This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or any portion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any
updates or revisions to any statements contained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. By preparing this presentation, none of the Company, its management, and their respective advisers undertakes any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent. This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively,Century Pacific Food, Inc. and its subsidiaries.