Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited
Analyst Meeting Presentation 1Q18 1Q18
May 18, 2018
Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited Analyst Meeting - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited Analyst Meeting Presentation 1Q18 1Q18 May 18, 2018 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance
May 18, 2018
This presentation contains certain forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors and
party information providers. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of such information. This presentation should not be relied upon as any recommendation, view, opinion, representation or forecast of “Central Plaza Hotel Plc.” Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares or any type of securities in any
the relevant professional advice before otherwise making any such financial, legal or commercial decisions.
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THB million 1Q17 1Q18 % Chg Total Hotel revenue* 2,759 2,949 6.9% Total Food Revenue 2,587 2,793 7.9% Total Revenues 5,346 5,741 7.4% EBITDA 1,491 1,588 6.5% EBITDA Margin (%) 27.9% 27.7% Net Profit 783 883 12.8% EPS (Baht/ share) 0.58 0.65 12.1% Note: EBITDA from operation before insurance claim 1,455 1,588 9.1% EBITDA Margin (%) 27.4% 27.7%
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Note: Total hotel revenue included deferred rental income 24.7mn per quarter In 1Q17, revenue included insurance claim from Centara Grand Phuket of 35.9mn.
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Total Revenue THB 5.7 bn EBITDA THB 1.6 bn
Food 49%
Food 21%
(28% Margin)
Total Revenue Mix 7%
Bangkok 32%
Maldives 9%
rooms in operation
with 899
By THAIPAT
Rank No. 1, 4 & 7 Top Hotels for Families - Thailand
6.5%
Centara Grand Mirage Beach Resort Pattaya, Centara Grand Beach Resort Phuket & Centara Karon Resort Phuket
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2017 1Q18 O/D and ST/L Debentures LT/L
Long-Term, 84% Fixed, 63% USD, 20%
Gearing Ratio 2017 1Q18 Net Debt/Equity 0.8 0.7 Interest Bearing Debt/Equity 0.6 0.5
Note: * Short-term loan included current portion of long-term loan and debentures ** Long-term Loan
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THB 6.9 bn THB 7.0 bn 2%
61% 23% 16%
** A Stable Credit Rating from TRIS
Note: Net Debt excluded deferred income
2017 1Q18 Total Asset
Current Asset Non-current Asset
2017 1Q18 Total Liabilities and Equity
Total Liabilities Total Equity
25,037 25,510 27%
87% 89% 49% 51%
1%
62% 16% 22%
52% 48%
2% 7%
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29.9 32.6 35.4 38.6 9.2
10.6 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018E 1Q17 1Q18
Thailand Number of Tourist Arrivals : 2015-2017 CAGR 9%
Source: Ministry of Tourism and Sport Tourism Council of Thailand Thailand Tourism Forum 2018, STR Hotel Destinations Thailand, January 2018, JLL
15.4% 8.5% 9.0%
Unit: In million
9.2%
Expected growth in 2018 from low-base business last year: No impact on zero-dollar tour crackdown & No mourning period
2017 Occupancy Rate 2017 RevPar Growth
Bangkok 79.7% +4.6% 1,863 9,800 Phuket 75.2% +5.7% 614 > 4,800 (Including Condotels) Koh Samui 70.8% (Suratthani) +0.8% 236 > 1,000 Krabi 67.5%
443 1,000 Pattaya 77.3% (Chonburi) +9.5% 637 > 6,700 (Including 3,500 Condo units with rental pool) Hua Hin & Cha Am 69.2% (prachuap khiri khan) +5.4% 441 > 1,800 (Including 1,050 Condo units with rental pool)
2018
(ended in Mar 2018)
2x Capacity of Maldives airport in 2019
2019 - 2020 Additional demand from Maldives airport expansion
accommodating 7.5 million passengers
handling over 120,000 tons of air-cargo a year.
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Number of Tourist Arrivals and Operational Beds
28,276 36,618 40,572 37,773 40,981 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.36 0.42
2015A 2016A 2017A 1Q17 1Q18
(+4%) (+9%) (+30%) (+11%) (+17%) (+8%) Source: http://investmaldives.gov.mv/project-airport-exp.php Ministry of Tourism, Republic of Maldives
Arrivals (In million)
Operational Beds
2016 2017 1Q17 1Q18 Occupancy Rate 62.9% 61.1% 69.9% 73.9% 2016 2017 2018-2019
11 13 23
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In Operation Pipeline Thailand Overseas Total Thailand Overseas Total Grand Total Owned 15* 2 17 1 3 4 21 Managed 18 3 21 4 12 16 37 Total 33 5 38 5 15 20 58 In Operation Pipeline Thailand* Overseas* Total Thailand Overseas Total Grand Total Owned 3,928 252 4,180 282 900 1,182 5,362 Managed 2,593 521 3,114 825 2,644 3,469 6,583 Total 6,521 773 7,294 1,107 3,544 4,651 11,945
As at 31 March 2018 *Revised numbers
89% Thailand 57% Owned Total Portfolio by rooms
*Including JV and property fund
64% Thailand 45% Owned
Number of Hotels Number of Rooms In Operation by Rooms
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12 # of rooms Owned Managed Total Year 2019E 2021E 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E Bali 210 210 Cambodia 240 240 China 250 346 596 Cuba 245 245 Doha 265 514 779 Dubai 601 601 Laos 162 200 362 Maldives 300 101 110 511 Thailand 282 330 245 250 1,107 Total Rooms 282 901 265 1,842 591 770 4,651 Total Hotels 1 3 1 8 3 4 20
As at Match 31, 2018
Summary of Pipeline 2018-2021
Thailand 1,107 rooms Maldives 511 rooms China 596 rooms Cambodia 240 rooms Middle East 1,380 rooms Laos 362 rooms Cuba 245 rooms Bali 210 rooms
2016 2017
Maldives Bangkok Upcountry
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Total Revenue (THB mn) EBITDA before extra items (THB mn) 2,974 3,027
2016 2017
EBITDA margin
32% 32%
3-week closure of Centara Grand Phuket due to flood damage in 4Q16 0.5% 1.8% 2,759 2,453 2,949
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
6.9% 1,176 786 1,247
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
6.1%
42.6% 42.4%
9,358 9,309 50% 20% 30% Excluding insurance claim
1Q18 EBITDA increases by 9.4% with improved margin by 0.5% Excluding insurance claim of THB 35.9 mn in 1Q17, 1Q18 Total revenue increases by 8.3%
32.0%
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4,851 4,897
2016 2017
Average Room Rate - THB (ARR)
3,975 4,049
2016 2017
Revenue Per Available Room - THB (RevPar)
3% 2% 1% 1% 81.9% 82.7%
78.5% 83.0%2016 2017
Occupancy (OCC)
85.0% 83.8% 87.4%
78.5% 83.0% 87.5% 92.0%1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
5,935 4,997 6,025
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
2% 5,044 4,188 5,268
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
4%
Note: * Excluding COSI Samui Chaweng Beach and Centra by Centara Government Complex Hotel & Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana
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Average Room Rate - THB (ARR) Revenue Per Available Room - THB (RevPar) Occupancy (OCC)
85.0% 86.0%
81.0% 85.5% 90.0%1Q17 1Q18
5,935 5,690
1Q17 1Q18
5,044 4,894
1Q17 1Q18
Note: * Including COSI Samui Chaweng Beach and Centra by Centara Government Complex Hotel & Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana since 1Q18
4% 3%
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3,394 3,450 3,928 4,128 3,768 3,926
2016 2017
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand 81.2% 81.4% 81.8% 83.1% 81.6% 82.6%
78.5% 83.0% 87.5%2016 2017
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand
2,755 2,810 3,213 3,428 3,075 3,241
2016 2017
2% 5% 7% 1% 0.4% 4% 2% 5%
Occupancy (OCC) Average Room Rate - THB (ARR) Revenue Per Available Room - THB (RevPar)
84.0% 87.0% 85.9% 87.7% 85.3% 87.5%
75.0% 79.5% 84.0% 88.5%1Q17 1Q18
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand
3,426 3,615 5,379 5,519 4,798 4,947
1Q17 1Q18
3% 3% 2,879 3,145 4,618 4,842 4,093 4,329
1Q17 1Q18
5% 6% 6% 9%
Note: * Excluding COSI Samui Chaweng Beach and Centra by Centara Government Complex Hotel & Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana
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3,394 3,450 3,928 4,128 3,768 3,926
2016 2017
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand 81.2% 81.4% 81.8% 83.1% 81.6% 82.6%
78.5% 83.0% 87.5%2016 2017
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand
2,755 2,810 3,213 3,428 3,075 3,241
2016 2017
2% 5% 7% 1% 0.4% 4% 2% 5%
Occupancy (OCC) Average Room Rate - THB (ARR) Revenue Per Available Room - THB (RevPar)
84.0% 86.3% 85.9% 85.9% 85.3% 86.0%
75.0% 79.5% 84.0% 88.5%1Q17 1Q18
Bangkok Upcountry Thailand
3,426 3,244 5,379 5,366 4,798 4,671
1Q17 1Q18
0.2% 3% 2,879 2,798 4,618 4,608 4,093 4,017
1Q17 1Q18
5%
Note: * Including COSI Samui Chaweng Beach and Centra by Centara Government Complex Hotel & Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana
3% 0.2% 2%
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19,261 18,312
2016 2017
86.7% 84.4%
78.5% 83.0% 87.5%2016 2017
16,698 15,464
2016 2017
Note: In 1Q 18, Thai Baht appreciated by average 10% YOY
5% 7%
Occupancy (OCC) Average Room Rate - THB (ARR) Revenue Per Available Room - THB (RevPar)
1% 7% 80.6% 86.2%
78.5% 83.0% 87.5%1Q17 1Q18
22,916 21,492
1Q17 1Q18
6% 18,479 18,524
1Q17 1Q18
0.2% (USD + 4%) (USD + 12%) (USD -1%) (USD -4%)
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Property Management System (PMS) & Revenue Management System (RMS) implementation:
(total ongoing costs over 5Y = 130 MB)
PMS RMS
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Key Changes Before After Dynamic pricing (room rate adjustment) 3-4 times/week 3-4 times/day (real time in similar manner as airline business) Connectivity to sales distribution channels Manual Automate (faster & no human error) Guest profile Different profile on premise Single profile on cloud (Big data to tailor sales & marketing program for revenue uplift) System connectivity Stand alone PMS 2-way connectivity between new PMS with RMS and other platforms for full data mapping and mobility
2019: New Market Segment - Luxury (Traditional & Contemporary)
Major renovation and rebranding to new luxury brand
Major renovation and rebranding to new luxury brand
CHBR CSBR CGCW CGC
2018
Room renovation (512 rooms)
Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana (CGC): All day dining & room renovation
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2018 First Full-Year Operation
Centre Chaeng Watthana (CGC) : 204 rooms 2019 - 2022
2020-2021
150 rooms
150 rooms
CGC : 2018 CDD : 2020-2021 CLFM & CLRM : 2020-2021 CZSC : 2018 COSI : 2019 - 2022 COSI Pattaya : 2019 22
Laos Oman Qatar Maldives Sri Lanka Indonesia Thailand Vietnam
Middle East Indian Ocean
M&A/Management Expansion - Where do we go?
AEC Countries
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UAE
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Opportunistic Investment/Management
What’s our M&A target?:
management company
attractive yield
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Centara Hotel & Convention Centre Udon Thani
“Next to Retail” theme : 2 properties now & more to come
COSI Samui Chaweng Beach 24
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Confidence Index (CCI) reached to 81 in April
labour cost, expected higher spending
26 75 77 78 79 80 79 80 81
72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18
Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 203 204 206 213 219 219
195 200 205 210 215 220 225Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18
Agricultural Price Index
Agricultural Price Index Source: Bank of Thailand Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/thailand/consumer-confidence
Heavy Food Light Food KFC Ootoya Pepper Lunch The Terrace Chabuton Yoshinoya Tenya Katsuya Mister Donut Auntie Anne’s Cold Stone
Bangkok Upcountry By Location
35% Bangkok 36% Bangkok
246 44 33 9 18 16 7 21 337 148 20 # Outlets
By Revenue
As at 31 Mar 2018
730 767 808 100 122 146
2016A 2017A 2018E
Top 4 Others
830 889
5% 7% 8 1 1
Number of Outlets
957
7%
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Change from 31 Dec 2017
1 1 1 1
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Total Revenue (THB mn) EBITDA (THB mn) 1,381 1,426
2016 2017
12%
EBITDA margin
13% 13% 5% 6% 6%
3.7% 3.3% 2,587 2,867 2,793
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
7.9% 315 350 341
1Q17 4Q17 1Q18
6%
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 120002016 2017
KFC MD AA OTY Others 10,988 10,597 56% 8.0%
12% 12% 12%
0.8%
Bangkok Upcountry
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4.3% 3.4%
SSS TSS Same Store Sale (SSS) and Total System Sale (TSS) Same Store Sale (SSS): Bangkok vs Upcountry 1.3% 3.8% 1.4%
2.3%
2016 2017 2016 2017
2.9%
3.1% 8.9% 7.9%
1Q17 1Q18 1Q17 1Q18 4Q17 4Q17
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New Store Format & Menu Development Efficiency Improvement New Delivery Platform
Opportunistic Investment:
(e.g. Café & Hotpot) More Non- Shopping Mall sales channel:
New store format & food truck kiosk (e.g. Cold Stone Creamery, MD, The Terrace, & AA) : To increase volume and promote outlet expansion Food Heaven : Food court with CRG multi brands to increase sales & cost optimization Menu Development : To have a unique menu by research the latest fast-food trends and find alternative food items to those trends for potential customers with affordable prices
The Terrace
Source: https://www.kfc.co.th/home
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Source: http://www.ootoya.co.th/news-details.php?id=47
Actively Use Partners to Promote and Delivery
60% of food delivery is from SMEs and service aggregators.
New CRG on-line Delivery platform for all CRG Brands
Concepts: ➢ Mobile experience is a key: Higher Mobile conversion = Be Relevant + Seamless experience ➢ Become Explorer’s Choice = Growing incidents: Food Explorers contributes up to 60% of food delivery incidents Food Explore “Market Place Delivery”
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Central Kitchen
central premise
New Point of Sale (POS) & Technology
long term
transactions and report
(CRM) Business Intelligence
immediate decisions
market situation and better satisfy customers
People Excellence
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Customer Behavior Analysis Menu Analysis
Economy of Scale Better Consistency Greater Efficiency
Training Benefits Efficiency
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Hotel Business: Total THB 1.2 bn
315 mn
Food Business: Total THB 1.2 bn – Revised
Note: Excluded JVs and M&A
Summary CAPEX (THBmn) Hotel Business Food Business Total Acquisition of property, plant and equipment 16.7 105.6 122.3 Acquisition of intangible assets 1.8 13.9 15.7 Acquisition of leasehold rights 6.9
Prepayment for Construction
0.3 Total 25.4 119.8 145.2
2018 1Q18
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Hotel 2017A 2018E RevPar (Organic) 1.9% 3% - 4% Food 2017A 2018E SSS
2% - 3% TSS 3.4% 7% - 8% Outlet Expansion 7% 7%
Hotel:
Convention Centre Chaeng Watthana - 204 rooms Food:
economic growth in 2H18
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Dividend Payout Ratio Year Dividend (THB/share) % Payout (Consolidated F/S) 2017 0.60 41% 2016 0.55 40% 2015 0.50 40% 2014 0.40 46% 2013 0.40 40% 2012 0.30 25%
39 CENTEL’s MILESTONE introduced “Mister Donut” 1st hotel, “Centara Grand at Central Ladprao Bangkok” Authorized franchisee of KFC Franchisee of Auntie Anne’s Listed in The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Capital increase of Baht 500 million Capital increase of Baht 450 million Par splited from Baht 5 to Baht 1 Rebranding hotel brand from “Central” to “Centara” Centara Grand at Central World Launched Property Fund (Centara Grand Samui) Centara Grand Mirage Beach Resort, Pattaya Opening the 1st
Maldives “Centara Grand Resort & Spa, Maldives” Opening Centara Grand Phuket Bought new brands into portfolios Acquired “Ootoya” home cooking style Japanese restaurant Co Corporate te Foo
Hote Hotel business Introduced Pepper Lunch Step up acquisition of
Karon, (Feb)
Maldives (Mar)
Grand Maldives (Dec) Centara Maldives (24-Mar) Introduced “Tenya” into portfolio Step up acquisition of Centara Kata (7-Oct) Introduced “katsuya” into portfolio 1978 1983 1984 1990 1991 1998 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2017 Cosi Samui Chaweng (01-Dec) Centra Government Complex (26-Nov)
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Concept Great value and Quality accommodation and Safety - A sense of personal safety and privacy Room All COSI hotels feature 18 sqm and 21 sqm room types with a choice of Deluxe King or Deluxe Twin Beds. With simple, natural materials and removal of cutter, the guest rooms are refreshing with a bright, comfortable ambience. Facilities Pool/ The Go Shop for everyday amenities/ Relaxing Living Room for mixing and mingling/ 24-hour Gym in all city location/ Self-service laundry and ironing room/ Self-service work stations Target Customer Independent Savvy Traveller Location Convenient Location - Ability to explore local culture or to conduct business Budget Distribution Channel Generally prefers to make bookings over the internet
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Asia, 37% Australia, 5% Europe, 37% Middle East, 3% Thailand, 13% USA, 3% Others, 2%
1Q18* Room nights driven by Thai, Chinese & Russian
14% 11% 22% (Ex Thailand)
* Including Centra Government Complex Cheang Watthana
5% 1% 8%
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26% 19% 19% 12% 8% 7% 7% 2% 30% 17% 18% 12% 8% 7% 7% 2% Bangkok Maldives Phuket Pattaya Hua Hin Samui Krabi Others
1Q17 1Q18
Total Revenue*
1Q18 Bangkok Maldives Phuket Pattaya Hua Hin Samui Krabi Hat Yai Tak % RevPar Growth yoy
0.2% 2.4% 7.4% 9.5%
8.1% 5.0% 0.3% Excluded COSI and Centra 9%
* Included COSI and Centra
44 1 11 15 35 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 CHBR CGLB CGCW COSI Samui
Remaining Years
Remaining Leasehold Life for Thailand Hotels
CHBR CGLB CGCW COSI Samui
CHBR, 6% CGLB, 12% CGCW, 18%
36% 45% 19%
2017 Hotel Revenue
Thailand Freehold Thailand Leasehold Maldives Leasehold
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Owned, Property Fund & JVs Stars Opened # of Rooms % Ownership Location 1 Centara Grand at Central Plaza Ladprao Bangkok 5 2Q83 565 100% Thailand 2 Centara Grand Resort & Villas Hua Hin 5 1Q86 249 64% Thailand 3 Centara Mae Sot Hill Resort 4 4Q89 120 100% Thailand 4 Centara Hat Yai 4 4Q95 248 100% Thailand 5 Centara Grand Beach Resort Samui 5 2Q96 203 25% in Property Fund Thailand 6 Centara Villas Samui 4 2Q00 102 100% Thailand 7 Centara Villas Phuket 4 2Q00 72 100% Thailand 8 Centara Grand Beach Resort & Villas Krabi 5 4Q05 192 100% Thailand 9 Centara Kata Resort Phuket 4 2Q06 158 100% Thailand 10 Centara Karon Resort Phuket 4 2Q06 335 100% Thailand 11 Centara Grand at CentralWorld 5 4Q08 512 100% Thailand 12 Centara Grand Mirage Beach Resort Pattaya 5 4Q09 555 100% Thailand 13 Centara Grand Island Resort & Spa Maldives 5 4Q09 112 74% Maldives 14 Centara Grand Beach Resort Phuket 5 4Q10 262 100% Thailand 15 Centara Ras Fushi Resort & Spa Maldives 4 1Q13 140 75% Maldives 16 COSI Samui Chaweng Beach Affordable lifestyle 4Q17 151 100% Thailand 17 Centra by Centara Government Complex Hotel & Convention Centre Cheang Watthana 3 4Q12 204 100% Thailand Total Owned and Joint Venture 4,180
Managed Hotels Stars Opened # of Rooms Country 18 Centara Chaan Talay Resort & Villas Trat 4 1Q08 44 Thailand 19 Centara Hotel & Convention Centre Udon Thani 4 2Q10 259 Thailand 20 Centara Q Resort Rayong 4 2Q10 41 Thailand 21 Khum Phaya Resort, Centara Boutique Collection Boutique 3Q10 87 Thailand 22 Waterfront Suites Phuket by Centara Residence 1Q11 39 Thailand 23 Centara Anda Dhevi Resort & Spa Krabi 4 4Q11 135 Thailand 24 Centara Pattaya Hotel 4 4Q11 152 Thailand 25 Centara Nova Hotel & Spa Pattaya 4 4Q11 79 Thailand 26 Centara Koh Chang Tropicana Resort 4 2Q12 157 Thailand 27 Centra Coconut Beach Resort Samui 3 3Q12 55 Thailand 28 Sandy Beach Non Nuoc Resort Danang Vietnam Managed by Centara 4 4Q12 204 Vietnam 29 Centara Watergate Hotel & Spa Bangkok 4 2Q13 281 Thailand 30 Centara Seaview Resort Khao Lak 4 2Q13 250 Thailand 31 Centara Grand Phratamnak Pattaya 5 3Q13 161 Thailand
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Managed Hotels Stars Opened # of Rooms Country 32 Centara Blue Marine Resort & Spa Phuket 4 1Q14 266 Thailand 33 Centara Ceysands Resort & Spa Srilanka 4 2Q14 165 Sri Lanka 34 Centra by Centara Avenue Hotel Pattaya 3 4Q14 51 Thailand 35 Centra by Centara Maris Resort Jomtien 3 1Q16 282 Thailand 36 Centra by Centara Phu Pano Resort Krabi 3 4Q16 158 Thailand 37 Centara Azure Hotel Pattaya 4 4Q16 96 Thailand 38 Centara Muscat Hotel 4 2Q17 152 Oman Total Managed Hotel 3,114 Grand Total 7,294
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6% 6%
KFC, 54% MD, 17% OOTOYA, 8% AA, 7% Other Heavy Food, 12% Cold Stone, 2%
5% 12% 12% 14% 20%
12% 13% 5% 6%
1Q18
Note: Cold Stone included Ice-cream factory
12%
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