Shareholder Presentation
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Carbon Energy Corporation Shareholder Presentation August 25, 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Carbon Energy Corporation Shareholder Presentation August 25, 2020 1 IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ES Forward-Looking Statements The slides contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as
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Forward-Looking Statements The slides contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). Except for historical information, statements made in the slide presentation, including those relating to the Company’s strategies, estimated and anticipated production, expenditures, infrastructure, estimated costs, number of wells to be drilled, estimated reserves, reserve potential, recoverable reserves, and financial position are forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission. These statements are based on assumptions and estimates that management believes are reasonable based on currently available information; however, management’s assumptions and the Company's future performance are subject to a wide range of business risks and uncertainties and there is no assurance that these goals and projections can or will be met. Any number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward- looking statements, including, but not limited to, the volatility of oil and gas prices, the costs and results of drilling and operations, the timing of production, mechanical and other inherent risks associated with oil and gas production, weather, the availability of drilling equipment, changes in interest rates, litigation, uncertainties about reserve estimates, and environmental risk. We caution you not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date reflected in the slide presentation, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Further information on risks and uncertainties is available in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are incorporated by reference. Actual quantities of oil and gas that may be ultimately recovered from Carbon’s interests will differ substantially from our estimates. Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of Carbon’s drilling program, which will be directly affected by the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, commodity prices, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals, field spacing rules, recovery of gas in place, length of horizontal laterals, actual drilling results, and geological and mechanical factors affecting recovery rates and other factors. Estimates of resource potential may change significantly as development of our resource plays provides additional data. Non-GAAP Measures The slide presentation contains certain references to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA value, which are non-GAAP financial measures, as defined under Regulation G of the rules and regulations of the SEC. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA “EBITDA” and “Adjusted EBITDA” are non-GAAP financial measures. We define EBITDA as net income or loss before interest expense, taxes, depreciation, depletion and amortization. We define Adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA prior to accretion of asset retirement obligations, non-cash stock-based compensation expense, the unrealized gain or loss on commodity derivatives and the gain or loss on sold investments or properties. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA is consolidated including non-controlling interests and as used and defined by us, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures employed by other companies and are not measures of performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for operating income, net income or loss, cash flows provided by or used in operating, investing and financing activities, or other income or cash flow statement data prepared in accordance with GAAP. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA provide no information regarding a company’s capital structure, borrowings, interest costs, capital expenditures, and working capital movement or tax position. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA do not represent funds available for discretionary use because those funds are required for debt service, capital expenditures, working capital, income taxes, franchise taxes, exploration and development expenses, and other commitments and obligations. However, our management believes EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are useful to an investor in evaluating our operating performance because these measures are widely used by investors in the oil and natural gas industry to measure a company’s operating performance without regard to items excluded from the calculation of such term, which can vary substantially from company to company depending upon accounting methods and book value of assets, capital structure and the method by which assets were acquired, among other factors; and help investors to more meaningfully evaluate and compare the results of our operations from period to period by removing the effect of our capital structure from our operating structure; and are used by our management for various purposes, including as a measure of operating performance, in presentations to our board of directors, as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting and by our lenders pursuant to a covenant under our credit facility. There are significant limitations to using EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as a measure of performance, including the inability to analyze the effect of certain recurring and non-recurring items that materially affect our net income or loss, the lack of comparability of results of operations of different companies and the different methods of calculating EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA reported by different companies.
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Preparation of Reserves Estimates Our estimates of proved oil, natural gas and NGL reserves as of June 30, 2020 , were based on the average fiscal-year prices for
within the 12-month period ended June 30, 2020. Proved developed oil, gas and NGL reserves are reserves that can be expected to be recovered through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods. Proved undeveloped oil, gas and NGL reserves are reserves that are expected to be recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major expenditure is required for recompletion. Proved undeveloped reserves on undrilled acreage are limited to those locations on development spacing areas that are offsetting economic producers that are reasonably certain of economic production when drilled. Proved undeveloped reserves for other undrilled development spacing areas are claimed only where it can be demonstrated with reasonable certainty that there is continuity of economic production from the existing productive formation. Proved undeveloped reserves are included when they are scheduled to be drilled within five years. SEC rules dictate the types of technologies that a company may use to establish reserve estimates including the extraction of non-traditional resources, such as natural gas extracted from shales as well as bitumen extracted from oil sands. Uncertainties are inherent in estimating quantities of proved reserves, including many factors beyond our control. Reserve engineering is a subjective process of estimating subsurface accumulations of oil and natural gas that cannot be measured in an exact manner, and the accuracy of any reserve estimate is a function of the quality of available data and its interpretation. As a result, estimates by different engineers often vary, sometimes significantly. In addition, physical factors such as the results of drilling, testing, and production subsequent to the date of an estimate, as well as economic factors such as changes in product prices or development and production expenses, may require revision of such estimates. Accordingly, quantities of oil and natural gas ultimately recovered will vary from reserve estimates. Reserve estimates are based on production performance, data acquired remotely or in wells, and are guided by petrophysical, geologic, geophysical and reservoir engineering models. Estimates of our proved reserves were based on deterministic methods. In the case of mature developed reserves, reserve estimates are determined by decline curve analysis and in the case of immature developed and undeveloped reserves, by analogy, using proximate or otherwise appropriate examples in addition to volumetric
results and well performance, well logs and test data, geologic maps and available downhole and production data.
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Preparation of Reserves Estimates (continued) Further, the internal review process of our wells and related reserve estimates includes but is not limited to the following:
Current production, revenue and expense information obtained from our accounting records is subject to external quarterly reviews, annual audits and additional internal controls over financial reporting. This process is designed to create assurance that production, revenues and expenses are accurately reflected in the reserve database.
process is designed to create assurance that the costs and revenues utilized in the reserves estimation match actual ownership interests.
reserve database to verify that all are accounted for accurately.
every month is obtained from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. At the reporting date, 12-month average prices are
year end. For the years ended December 31, 2019 and 2018, the independent engineering firm, Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. (“CGA”) reviewed with us,technical personnel field performance and future development plans. Following these reviews, we furnished
final report. We restrict access to our database containing reserve information to select individuals from our engineering and corporate development departments. CGA’s independent reserve estimates and final report are for our interests in the respective
proved hydrocarbon reserves presented in our consolidated financial statements. CGA’s report does not include the hydrocarbon reserves owned by the non-controlling interests of our consolidated partnerships. We calculated the estimated reserves of the non-controlling interests of the consolidated partnerships’ oil and gas properties by multiplying CGA’s independent reserve estimates for such properties by the respective non-controlling interests in those properties. Our Director of Corporate Planning and Development, Todd Habliston, is responsible for overseeing the preparation of the reserve estimates with consultations from our internal technical and accounting staff. Mr. Habliston started his career with ARCO Oil and Gas in 1983, has served as Adjunct Professor of Economics at the Colorado School of Mines, and has over 35 years of oil and gas experience in all aspects of reservoir and production engineering. Mr. Habliston earned a B.S. in Chemical and Petroleum Refining Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines and an MBA from Purdue University. He is a registered Professional Engineer and is a member of SPE, SPEE, AAPG and API.
and partners
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properties
currently implementing field development programs
properties
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Wellcount Oil - Gross Producing w/ Working Interest 322 Gas - Gross Producing w/ Working Interest
25 Injection - Gross Active 16 Acreage Company Gross 17,071 Company Net 16,774 Avg GWI% 98% Net Developed 5,231 Net Undeveloped 11,544 Total Net Acreage Position 16,774 Deep Rights 16,774 Fee Minerals 7,725 Developed 1,450 Undeveloped 6,275 HBP 9,049 Developed 3,781 Undeveloped 5,269 %Fee 46% %HBP 54%
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1,280 barrels per day
1,775 mcf per day
180 barrels per day
3% per year
$23.20 per barrel of oil
2020 $3,900,000 2021 $6,200,000
Buena Vista 26 T12M Differential to Brent: +$1.44 per barrel T12M Differential to WTI: +$5.66 per barrel
Common Shares: 7,899,020 Preferred Shares: 625,000 Common & Preferred: 8,524,020
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*OIE Notes: interest only through 2021, 2 yr principal & interest thereafter / 10% interest / 12% PIK option - includes accrued interest **Carbon Energy holds 53.92% ownership in Carbon California Company. Carbon California Debt is non-recourse to Carbon Energy Corp / Feb 15, 2022 Maturity / $40.0 million borrowing base
($000) 6/30/2020 12/31/2019 Change Carbon Energy (standalone) Old Ironsides Notes* 16,422 $ 25,675 $ (9,253) $ UMB PPP Loan 1,339 $
1,339 $ Total Carbon Energy (standalone) 17,761 $ 25,675 $ (7,914) $ Appalachian Business (divested May 2020) Appalachian Revolver
69,150 $ (69,150) $ Appalachian Term Loan
5,833 $ (5,833) $ Total Appalachian Business
74,983 $ (74,983) $ Carbon California Company Carbon California Revolver** 37,200 $ 33,000 $ 4,200 $ Carbon California Subordinated Debt** 13,236 $ 13,000 $ 236 $ Total Carbon California Company 50,436 $ 46,000 $ 4,436 $
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Note: Per US GAAP, the Contingent Payment is deemed not estimable nor certain of receipt. No value for the Contingent Payment is recorded within Carbon’s consolidated balance sheet. 2020 2021 2022 Volume (MMbtu) 5,331,500 10,236,000 9,847,500 Annual Average Benchmark NYMEX Price ($/MMbtu) 2.084 $ 2.342 $ 2.386 $ 8/21/20 NYMEX Future Pricing 2.115 $ 2.911 $ 2.641 $ 8/21/20 vs Benchmark 0.031 $ 0.569 $ 0.255 $
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($ million) Final Settlement(1) Final Settlement(1) Jan 2021 Threshold $20.0 $18.0 $18.0 OIE Promissory Notes $26.9 $26.9 $26.9 Principal Payments Made Toward Threshold ($10.5) ($10.5) ($10.5) 6/30/20 Outstanding Balance $16.4 $16.4 $16.4 Additional Threshold Payment Required ($9.5) ($7.5) ($7.5) Payoff Discount (if Threshold Achieved) ($6.9) ($4.8) ($3.3) Resultant Balance (Estimate) $0.0 $4.1 $5.6
(1) Final Settlement of Appalachia Asset sale anticipated September 2020
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(shown as 100% interest)
(Unaudited) (Unaudited) (Unaudited) (Unaudited)
OIL MBO GAS MMCF NGL MBBL OIL EQUIV (6:1) MMBOE GAS EQUIV (6:1) BCFE %Oil + NGL %GAS NPV @ 10% $000 Net Debt $000 NAV $000 Carbon California 9,174 12,243 1,184 12 74 84% 16% 68,644 $ (27,694) $ 40,950 $ OIL MBO GAS MMCF NGL MBBL OIL EQUIV (6:1) MMBOE GAS EQUIV (6:1) BCFE %Oil + NGL %GAS NPV @ 10% $000 Carbon California 4,713 6,645 632 6 39 83% 17% 35,590 $ OIL MBO GAS MMCF NGL MBBL OIL EQUIV (6:1) MMBOE GAS EQUIV (6:1) BCFE %Oil + NGL %GAS NPV @ 10% $000 Carbon California 1,878 2,526 242 3 15 83% 17% 21,650 $ OIL MBO GAS MMCF NGL MBBL OIL EQUIV (6:1) MMBOE GAS EQUIV (6:1) BCFE %Oil + NGL %GAS NPV @ 10% $000 Carbon California 2,583 3,073 310 3 20 85% 15% 11,404 $ SEC 20Q2 Price Basis: SEC 20Q2 Differentials Average First Day of Month Prices Trailing 12 Months BV26 6.16 $ per barrel of oil $47.17 per barrel of oil SoCal 0.216 $ per MMBtu of gas $2.066 per MMBtu of gas NGLs 25% of WTI
Proved Undeveloped
SEC 20Q2 Prices Total Proved Net Asset Value Proved Developed Producing Proved Developed Non-Producing
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San Diego Bakersfield Petrolia
Santa Cruz Ventura Los Angeles Sacramento San Francisco Sacramento Basin San Joaquin Basin Salinas Basin Santa Maria Basin Ventura Basin Los Angeles Basin
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Sespe Ojai
Rincon San Miguelito West Montalvo Oxnard Saticoy South Mtn Bardsdale / Shiells Canyon Big Mountain / Oak Park / Simi Temescal / Piru Creek / Hopper Canyon Wayside Canyon Honor Rancho Santa Clara Ave. Cascade
Timber Canyon
Placerita / Tapo Ridge / Santa Susana / Tapo Canyon South / Aliso Canyon / Oat Mtn Fillmore West Mtn Ramona Del Valle Newhall-Portero Castaic Newhall Santa Paula
Holser
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ORRI and Mineral Interests 17,000 acres
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$197 million 43 MMBoe
9.4 3.4 3.8 0.7 0.2 5.1 1.2 0.4 14.1 $64 $19 $18 $1 $1 $14 $5 $1 $31
Mohnian Monterey Saugus Timber Canyon Field Holser Field Sespe Field Water Flood Diatomite Sespe Explore
Numbers may not tie due to rounding Note: Assumes 6:1 gas to oil ratio Nominal Nymex Price Forecast: $48.50/bo (WTI) and $2.50/mmbtu (HH) Effective date of July 1, 2020 Opportunity Locations CGA Reviewed SEC Proved Oil (Mbbls) Gas (MMcf) NGL (Mbbls) Equivalent (Mboe) Operating cash flow Capex Future net cash flow NPV10 ($000) IRR (%) RECOMPLETION 107 107 97 2,050 2,199 204 2,620 $ 78,647 $ 7,729 $ 70,918 $ 26,866 415% RETURN TO PRODUCTION 96 96 67 1,637 2,616 255 2,328 $ 56,502 $ 2,117 $ 54,385 $ 16,386 225% OJAI - MONTEREY 31 11 11 6,310 11,336 1,178 9,378 $ 284,511 $ 49,250 $ 235,261 $ 63,657 71% OJAI - SAUGUS 125 125 18 3,393
$ 124,655 $ 30,950 $ 93,705 $ 19,095 45% OJAI - MOHNIAN 24 12 12 3,083 2,778 289 3,835 $ 129,460 $ 39,523 $ 89,937 $ 17,572 31% OJAI - DIATOMITE 10 513 649 67 688 $ 18,401 $ 8,500 $ 9,901 $ 1,368 26% OJAI - SESPE 1 158 151 16 199 $ 6,312 $ 1,900 $ 4,412 $ 602 27% SESPE FIELD 64 64 12 3,725 5,454 480 5,113 $ 166,069 $ 75,872 $ 90,197 $ 14,379 25% TIMBER CANYON FIELD 13 3 3 829 1,388 144 1,205 $ 37,678 $ 9,425 $ 28,253 $ 4,561 28% HOLSER FIELD 6 6 6 424 17 1 428 $ 17,888 $ 5,850 $ 12,038 $ 1,334 20% WATERFLOOD 5 5 12,660 4,809 635 14,096 $ 531,385 $ 81,171 $ 450,214 $ 31,008 17% Grand Total 482 429 226 34,782 31,396 3,269 43,283 $1,451,508 $312,288 $1,139,221 $196,826 160% Well Count Net Unrisked Resource Undiscounted ($000)
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1700 Broadway Suite 1170 Denver, CO 80290 270 Quail Ct, Suite B Santa Paula, CA 93060 www.carbonenergycorp.com 29