C OMPANY P RESENTATION 1Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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C OMPANY P RESENTATION 1Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

C OMPANY P RESENTATION 1Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 2 Company Overview Colbn at a glance Market Share (as a % of Installed Capacity) - SIC Business Power


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SLIDE 1

COMPANY PRESENTATION

1Q 2013

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SLIDE 2

Company Overview

Agenda

Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

2

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SLIDE 3

Market Share (as a % of Installed Capacity) - SIC Generation (GWh) and Installed Capacity (MW)

Source: Colbún – December 2012 Source: Colbún 2012 Generation and Capacity

Thermal 55% Hydro 45%

57 % 43 %

Generation

Capacity

Business Power Generation & Trade Size 2nd largest generator in Chile’s Central Grid (SIC), with over 20% market share (MW). The SIC covers 90% of the population Capacity 2,962 MW 43% hydro and 57% thermal Generation 11,568 GWh in 2012 45% hydro and 55% thermal Assets 15 hydro plants in 4 different basins 7 thermal plants in 4 different regions People 968 employees as of March’13 Results EBITDA of USD 284 million in 2012 EBITDA of USD 347 million LTM Revenues of USD 1.4 billion in 2012 Revenues of USD 1.4 billion LTM

Colbún at a glance

Company Overview

3

Colbún 20%

Endesa 39% AES Gener 17% Others 24%

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SLIDE 4

Nehuenco III

Capacity: 108 MW

Nehuenco I

Capacity: 368 MW

Nehuenco II

Capacity: 398 MW

NEHUENCO COMPLEX: 874 MW

DIESEL/GAS Candelaria

Capacity Unit I : 133 MW Capacity Unit II : 137 MW

CANDELARIA POWER PLANT: 270 MW

DIESEL/GAS Los Pinos

Capacity: 100 MW

LOS PINOS POWER PLANT: 100 MW

DIESEL Antilhue

Capacity Unit I : 51 MW Capacity Unit II : 52 MW

ANTILHUE POWER PLANT: 103 MW

DIESEL Chacabuquito

Capacity: 29 MW

ACONCAGUA BASIN: 213 MW

Los Quilos

Capacity: 39 MW

Hornitos

Capacity: 55 MW

Blanco

Capacity: 60 MW

Juncal

Capacity: 29 MW

Juncalito

Capacity: 1 MW

7 THERMAL POWER PLANTS

Carena

Capacity: 9 MW

CARENA POWER PLANT: 9 MW

Colbún

Capacity: 474 MW

MAULE BASIN: 630 MW

San Ignacio

Capacity: 37 MW

San Clemente

Capacity: 5 MW

Machicura

Capacity: 95 MW

Chiburgo

Capacity: 19 MW

Rucúe

Capacity: 178 MW

LAJA BASIN: 249 MW

Quilleco

Capacity: 71 MW

Canutillar

Capacity: 172 MW

CHAPO LAKE: 172 MW

15 HYDRO POWER PLANTS

A diversified asset base

Company Overview

4

Santa María I

Capacity: 342 MW

SANTA MARIA I POWER PLANT: 342 MW

COAL

737 KM Additional Transmission System 68 KM Sub Transmission System

TRANSMISSION LINES

47 KM Trunk Transmission System Combined Cycle Open Cycle Run of the River Reservoir Coal-fired

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SLIDE 5

CHILECTRA (2011- 2021/23/25) SAESA (2010- 2019) CGE-Río Maipo (2010- 2021) CONAFE (Until 2020) CGE-Distribución (2010- 2024) CODELCO Andina ANGLOAMERICAN Los Bronces CMPC Puente Alto CODELCO Ventanas CODELCO Salvador CODELCO Teniente CMPC Procart METRO AGUAS ANDINAS La Farfana

UN-REGULATED CUSTOMERS REGULATED CUSTOMERS

Company Overview

5

A diversified customer base

Santiago

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SLIDE 6

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2,962 MW 1,070 MW

CAGR: 8%

200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

US$ 1,409 million US$ 129 million

CAGR: 20%

US$ 54 million US$ 273 million

CAGR: 13%

Colbún has grown steadily over the past decade

Company Overview

6

Capacity (MW) Total Operating Revenues (MMUSD) Market Cap (MMUSD) 3-year Moving Average EBITDA (MMUSD)

1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

US$ 4,830 million US$ 435 million

CAGR: 20%

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SLIDE 7

Angelini Group 10% Pension Funds 19% Others 22%

Matte Group 49%

CONTROL

Controlled by the Matte Group (49%), one of the leading economic groups in Chile, with stakes in various sectors (forestry, financial, telecommunications, among others).

LARGE STAKEHOLDER

The second important stakeholder, the Angelini Group, is also a leading Chilean economic group and owns 9.6% of Colbún.

FLOAT

41% free float, with relevant local institutional investor presence.

GOVERNANCE

4 out of 9 are independent directors.

ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

Disclosure under IFRS standards Functional currency: US dollar

Solid and reliable controlling group with a strategic and long term vision

Company Overview

7

Ownership Structure

Source: Colbún, December 2012

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SLIDE 8

Agenda

8

Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 9

9

Corporate Strategy

Business Strategy

We are a Chilean company, leader in the generation of reliable, competitive and sustainable energy.

Who are we? What do we do?

We seek to generate long-term value by developing projects and managing power infrastructure, integrating with excellence the economical, technical, environmental and social dimensions.

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SLIDE 10

10

Strategic Pillars

Business Strategy

  • 1. Consolidation
  • 2. Diversification

and Risk Management

  • 3. Growth
  • Consolidate our people, our operations, our projects, our financials…
  • Identify and develop project options to consolidate our market share.
  • Commercial strategy that generates long-term returns consistent with
  • ur asset base.
  • Narrow our exposure to exogenous variables: diversified asset base

(technology, fuel and location) and clients.

  • Active risk management policy.

Long-term value generation (Profitability/EBITDA)

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SLIDE 11

Value Chain

Business Strategy

Sustainability

Value & Trust Multidimensional challenge: Technical + Environmental / Social + Financial High standards: Reliability + Security + Environmental Risk / return profile combining: Commercial policy + Financial strength + Risk management

Project Development Operational Excellence Risk / Return Profile

11

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SLIDE 12

EMPLOYEES COMMUNITY AND SOCIETY ENVIRONMENT CONTRACTORS AND PROVIDERS Business Strategy

12

Colbún: a sustainable partner

INVESTORS CLIENTS AND SUPPLIERS

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SLIDE 13

COMMERCIAL GOALS

Supply secure and competitive energy to our customers Maximize returns from our current and future assets Manage volatility given large renewable component

  • 1. CONTRACT LEVEL

Define optimal Contract Level Hydro capacity (Output of a medium-dry year)

+

Efficient thermal capacity

(Output of coal-fueled plant)

  • 2. SALE PRICE INDEXATION

Incorporate indexation formulas of sale prices that reflect

  • ur cost structure

Structure tailor-made hedge programs to protect from more adverse 1) Hydrologic conditions 2) Fuel prices

  • 3. HEDGE PROGRAM

Business Strategy

13

Commercial policy

Hydro CPI Efficient thermal Fossil Fuels Transitional periods Flexible Price

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SLIDE 14

109 128 156 170 211 446 19 236 337 331 205 284 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

GWh MMUSD EBITDA (EBITDA Margin) Ratio: Base Generation / Commitments Base Generation1 / Commitments2 ≥ 90% B.G. / C ≤ 70% B.G. / C ≥ 85%

“Base” Generation Contractual Commitments

1: Commitments represent Colbún’s committed sales (through contracts) excluding commitments which price is indexed to the spot price 2: Base Generation represents Colbún’s electricity production @ low variable cost (hydro generation + gas generation pre-2007 and coal generation afterwards)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Business Strategy

14

Evolution of Colbún’s Business Model

144% 125% 112% 97% 90% 92% 53% 70% 70% 87% 67% 74% (58%) (60%) (60%) (48%) (45%) (59%) (1%) (18%) (29%) (32%) (15%) (20%)

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SLIDE 15

43% 53%

Angostura 316 MW

Hydro capacity (*NCRE)

San Pedro 150 MW

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

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La Mina* 34 MW Santa María II 342 MW Hydro potential ~500 MW

~ 4,300 MW 2,962 MW

UNDER DIFFERENT STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT Coal-fired capacity Combined-cycle capacity Open-cycle capacity (natural gas and/or diesel) OTHER GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Existing CCGT (766 MW) and existing open-cycles that could be combined (270 MW), subject to securing a long-term competitive and flexible natural gas supply.

Business Strategy

Our expansion plan

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SLIDE 16

ANGOSTURA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 316 MW

Santa Barbara and Quilaco, Biobío Region

INVESTMENT POWER PLANT:

675 MMUSD

INVESTMENT TX LINE:

45 MMUSD

SPENT AS OF MAR. 2013:

593 MMUSD

ADVANCE MAR. 2013:

88%

ESTIMATE START OF OPERATION: 4Q2013 SAN PEDRO HYDRO POWER PLANT: 150 MW

Riñihue Lake, Los Ríos Region

INVESTMENT AND SCHEDULE:

Under revision

SPENT AS OF SEP 2012:

112 MMUSD

ANGOSTURA SAN PEDRO

Business Strategy

16

Our projects under development

LA MINA

LA MINA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 34 MW

Maule River, Maule Region

SANTA MARÍA II COAL POWER PLANT: 342 MW

Coronel, Biobío Region

SANTA MARÍA II

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SLIDE 17

Agenda

17

Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 18

59% 2% 18% 29% 32% 15% 20%

200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Revenues EBITDA EBITDA margin (%)

MMUSD 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March 2013 LTM

Revenues 753 1,160 1,346 1,159 1,024 1,333 1,409 1,415 EBITDA 446 19 236 337 331 205 284 346 Depreciation (107) (118) (117) (122) (124) (125) (136) (145) Non-operational result (43) 75 106 (51) (103) (37) (45) (58) Exchange rate differences 12 (65) (120) 82 18 (14) 10 (3) Income Tax (32) (1) (37) (7) (6) (24) (64) (75) Net Income 276 (90) 67 239 116 5 49 64

Revenues, EBITDA (MMUSD) & EBITDA Margin

Financial Profile

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Income Statement

 Average EBITDA 2006-2012: MMUSD 265  Non-operational result from past years affected by payments to early terminate old natural gas transport contracts  2012 Income Tax: one-time MMUSD 74 charge from increase in tax rate

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SLIDE 19

Financial Profile

19

Capital Structure and Credit Metrics

Key Credit Metrics

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March 2013 LTM

Total debt to total capital (%) 18.8 26.0 25.0 27.0 31.1 30.1 32.9 32,6 Net debt to EBITDA (x) 0.4 36.6 2.3 2.3 3.1 5.9 5.3 4,3 EBITDA Interest coverage (x) 14.3 0.5 3.9 6.5 6.7 7.4 8.7 8,0

Cash, Debt & Net Debt (MMUSD)

200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 1.800 2.000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March 2013 Cash Net debt Total debt

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SLIDE 20

Financial Profile

20

Free Cash Flow Analysis

Selected Sources & Uses of Funds (MMUSD)

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March 2013 LTM

K WK Capex EBITDA

 Negative FCF in past years due to intensive capex program  Intensity of capex diminishes in 2013  Expected recovery of VAT Credit in coming years (current stock of MMUSD 258)  Low dividend policy (30% of Net Income)

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SLIDE 21

Current Assets 750 Cash and equivalents 238 Accounts receivable 173 Recoverable taxes 119 Other current assets 110 Non-Current Assets 5,363 Property, Plant and Equipment 4,933 Other non-current assets 430 Total Assets 6,002 Current Liabilities 553 Long-Term Liabilities 1,908 Shareholders' Equity 3,541 Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 6,00 Cash USD 238 million of cash and cash equivalents as of March 2013. Committed lines Committed back-up facility of UF 8 million (~USD 380 million), unused, signed with local counterparties. Plan to maintain a similar level of back-up liquidity facilities during the CAPEX period. Other sources of liquidity Access to additional USD 150 million in credit lines facilities and a registered commercial paper program, which we use from time to time for working capital optimization purposes

Amortization Schedule of LT Debt (MMUSD) Balance Sheet as of March 2013 (MMUSD)

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Conservative Financial Strategy:

Smooth debt profile coupled with a strong liquidity position

Liquidity Position

Financial Profile

100 200 300 400 500 600 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Banks Bonds

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SLIDE 22

361 332 315 402 367 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Revenues 2012 Revenues 2013 8% 8% 37% 29% 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

400 800 1.200 1.600 2.000 2.400 2.800 3.200

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Sales vs. Generation - quarterly (GWh) Revenues - quarterly (MMUSD)

27 25 116 115 89 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q EBITDA 2012 EBITDA 2013

EBITDA - quarterly (MMUSD) EBITDA margin - quarterly (%)

A quarterly look at Colbún’s results

22

Contractual Sales Hydro Natural gas (LNG) Diesel Coal

Financial Profile

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SLIDE 23

Agenda

23

Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 24

Tal-Tal

Arica Antofagasta

Santiago

Castro Chaitén Cochrane

  • Pto. Natales

Pto. Williams

SING SIC SEA SAM

GENERATION

Regulated sectors (concessions)

RELEVANT INSTITUTIONS

Ministry of Energy Regulator: CNE Supervisor: SEC Coordinator: CDEC

3,964 MW - 25% 15.881 GWh - 25% 12,365 MW - 75% 46.052 GWh - 74% 52 MW - 0% 146 GWh - 0% 100 MW - 0% 276 GWh - 0%

3 SUB-SECTORS Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

TRANSMISSION DISTRIBUTION

4 SEPARATE GRIDS

Sector Segmentation

24

Source: CNE, December 2011

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SLIDE 25

GENERATORS

REGULATED

CUSTOMERS

DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES Regulated Auction Tariffs

UNREGULATED

CUSTOMERS

“FREE” CUSTOMERS Unregulated Auction Tariffs

SPOT

MARKET

CDEC Marginal Cost /Spot Price

39%

20%

17% 2% 1% 21%

Endesa Colbún Gener Arauco CGE Others

>15 players

Market Structure

Electricity Market Structure Main Players in the Generation Sector-SIC

25

Source: Colbún, December 2012

Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 26

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Others Diesel-Fuel LNG Gas Coal /Petcoke Hydro Diesel 7% Coal 27% Gas 0% Hydro 40% LNG 21% 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Unregulated Demand Regulated Demand Unregulated: ~30% Regulated: ~70%

Evolution of Power Generation and Demand in the SIC

Annual Power Generation – SIC (TWh) Annual Electricity Demand – SIC (TWh)

26

Source: “Producción Real por Sistema”, CNE/Colbún, 2013. Anuarios CDEC-SIC Source: “Generación Bruta en el SIC”, CNE/Colbún, 2012.

Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

35% 34% 24% 1% 5%

Jan-Mar 2013

0% 5% 10% 15%

J F M A M J J A S O N D

2013 YoY monthly growth

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SLIDE 27

OBJECTIVE Meet demand at the lowest cost possible INSTITUTION Independent load dispatch center (CDEC) coordinates the efficient dispatch of electricity producers MODEL CDEC dispatches plants in ascending order of variable production cost Prices vary according to the type of customer: REGULATED CUSTOMERS 1) Node Price: calculated by the CNE every 6 months 2) Auction Price: auctioned under the supervision of the Regulator for bilateral LT contracts UNREGULATED CUSTOMERS 3) Market Price: free price settled by both parties for bilateral contracts OTHER GENERATORS 4) Spot Market Price: the variable cost of the most expensive dispatched plant at each moment of the day All facilities are also paid a capacity charge for being available Hydro OC-Diesel Coal Thermo-Diesel Output from available plants (MWh) Variable Cost of the Plants (USD/MWh) CC-Diesel

Dispatched Plants Back Up Plants

*Margin = [Spot Price - Var. Cost]

Plants receive revenues from Capacity charge Plants earn a Margin*

CC-LNG SPOT PRICE

Marginal Cost of the System

Demand Curve

Dispatch and pricing model: a technical guide

Dispatch Model Dispatch Scheme Pricing Model

27

Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 28

Source: “Costos reales marginales mensuales Alto Jahuel”, CDEC/ Colbún; “Historia precios nudos”, CNE; “Informes Mensuales Systep”, www.systep.cl Note (*): The market Price is calculated by the Regulator upon information provided by all generation companies. This average price does not includes the capacity charge component.

Evolution of electricity prices

Electricity Prices-SIC (USD/MWh)

28

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1) Energy Node Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh) 2) Average Auction price (USD/MWh) 3) Average Market price (USD/MWh)* 4) Energy Spot Market Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh)

Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

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SLIDE 29

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TWh

Source: “Informe Técnico Definitivo Fijación Precio Nudo SIC” ,CNE/Colbún, April 2013

Demand and Supply: what to expect in the coming years

29

Source: “Informe Técnico Definitivo Fijación Precio Nudo SIC” ,CNE/Colbún, April 2013 (1) Considering normal hydro conditions (2) Real gas output depends on fuel availability

2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 MW

Hydro (1) Wind Coal Gas (2) Diesel Max demand Min demand Average demand

Chilean Electricity Sector Overview

Electricity Demand - SIC (TWh) Available Power by type - SIC (MW)

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