COMPANY PRESENTATION
C OMPANY P RESENTATION 2Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
C OMPANY P RESENTATION 2Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
C OMPANY P RESENTATION 2Q 2013 Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 2 Company Overview Colbn at a glance Market Share (as a % of Installed Capacity) - SIC Business Power
Company Overview
Agenda
Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
2
Market Share (as a % of Installed Capacity) - SIC Generation (GWh) and Installed Capacity (MW)
Source: Colbún – December 2012 Source: Colbún 2012 Generation and Capacity
Thermal 55% Hydro 45%
57 % 43 %
Generation
Capacity
Business Power Generation & Trade Size 2nd largest generator in Chile’s Central Grid (SIC), with over 20% market share (MW). The SIC covers 90% of the population Capacity 2,962 MW 43% hydro and 57% thermal Generation 11,568 GWh in 2012 45% hydro and 55% thermal Power plants 15 hydro plants in 4 different basins 7 thermal plants in 4 different regions People 976 employees as of March’13 Results EBITDA of USD 284 million in 2012 EBITDA of USD 451 million LTM Revenues of USD 1.4 billion in 2012 Revenues of USD 1.6 billion LTM
Colbún at a glance
Company Overview
3
Colbún 20%
Endesa 39% AES Gener 17% Others 24%
Nehuenco III
Capacity: 108 MW
Nehuenco I
Capacity: 368 MW
Nehuenco II
Capacity: 398 MW
NEHUENCO COMPLEX: 874 MW
DIESEL/GAS Candelaria
Capacity Unit I : 133 MW Capacity Unit II : 137 MW
CANDELARIA POWER PLANT: 270 MW
DIESEL/GAS Los Pinos
Capacity: 100 MW
LOS PINOS POWER PLANT: 100 MW
DIESEL Antilhue
Capacity Unit I : 51 MW Capacity Unit II : 52 MW
ANTILHUE POWER PLANT: 103 MW
DIESEL Chacabuquito
Capacity: 29 MW
ACONCAGUA BASIN: 213 MW
Los Quilos
Capacity: 39 MW
Hornitos
Capacity: 55 MW
Blanco
Capacity: 60 MW
Juncal
Capacity: 29 MW
Juncalito
Capacity: 1 MW
7 THERMAL POWER PLANTS
Carena
Capacity: 9 MW
CARENA POWER PLANT: 9 MW
Colbún
Capacity: 474 MW
MAULE BASIN: 630 MW
San Ignacio
Capacity: 37 MW
San Clemente
Capacity: 5 MW
Machicura
Capacity: 95 MW
Chiburgo
Capacity: 19 MW
Rucúe
Capacity: 178 MW
LAJA BASIN: 249 MW
Quilleco
Capacity: 71 MW
Canutillar
Capacity: 172 MW
CHAPO LAKE: 172 MW
15 HYDRO POWER PLANTS
A diversified asset base
Company Overview
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Santa María I
Capacity: 342 MW
SANTA MARIA I POWER PLANT: 342 MW
COAL
523 KM Additional Transmission System 68 KM Sub Transmission System
TRANSMISSION LINES
261 KM Trunk Transmission System Combined Cycle Open Cycle Run of the River Reservoir Coal-fired
Angostura Capacity: 316 MW
BIOBIO BASIN: 316 MW
CHILECTRA (2011- 2021/23/25) SAESA (2010- 2019) CGE-Río Maipo (2010- 2021) CONAFE (Until 2015) CGE-Distribución (2010- 2024) CODELCO Andina ANGLOAMERICAN Los Bronces CMPC Puente Alto CODELCO Ventanas CODELCO Salvador CODELCO Teniente CMPC Procart METRO AGUAS ANDINAS La Farfana
UN-REGULATED CUSTOMERS REGULATED CUSTOMERS
Company Overview
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A diversified customer base
Santiago
Colbún has grown steadily over the past decade
Company Overview
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Capacity (MW) Total Operating Revenues (MMUSD) Market Cap (MMUSD) 3-year Moving Average EBITDA (MMUSD)
500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2,962 MW 1,260 MW
CAGR: 9%
200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
USD 1,409 million USD 214 million
CAGR: 21%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
USD 107 million USD 273 million
CAGR: 10%
1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
USD 4,830 million USD 618 million
CAGR: 23%
Angelini Group 10% Pension Funds 18% Others 23%
Matte Group 49%
CONTROL
Controlled by the Matte Group (49%), one of the leading economic groups in Chile, with stakes in various sectors (forestry, financial, telecommunications, among others).
LARGE STAKEHOLDER
The second important stakeholder, the Angelini Group, is also a leading Chilean economic group and owns 9.6% of Colbún.
FLOAT
41% free float, with relevant local institutional investor presence.
GOVERNANCE
4 out of 9 are independent directors.
ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Disclosure under IFRS standards Functional currency: US dollar
Solid and reliable controlling group with a strategic and long term vision
Company Overview
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Ownership Structure
Source: Colbún, June 2013
Agenda
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Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
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Corporate strategy
Business Strategy
We are a Chilean company, leader in the generation of reliable, competitive and sustainable energy.
Who are we? What do we do?
We seek to generate long-term value by developing projects and managing power infrastructure, integrating with excellence the economical, technical, environmental and social dimensions.
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Strategic pillars
Business Strategy
- Strengthen our organization and people
- Strengthen our operations
- Strengthen our financial position
- 1. Strengthening
- 2. Diversification
and Risk Management
- 3. Growth
- Narrow our exposure to exogenous variables: diversified asset base
(technology, fuel and location) and clients
- Risk-sharing mechanisms with our strategic clients and suppliers
- Active risk-management policy
- Identify and develop growth options to strengthen our competitive position
based on efficient capacity
- Commercial strategy that generates long-term returns consistent with our
asset base
EMPLOYEES COMMUNITY AND SOCIETY ENVIRONMENT CONTRACTORS AND PROVIDERS Business Strategy
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Colbún: a sustainable partner
INVESTORS CLIENTS AND SUPPLIERS
COMMERCIAL GOALS
Supply secure and competitive energy to our customers Maximize returns from our current and future assets Manage volatility given large renewable component
- 1. CONTRACT LEVEL
Define optimal Contract Level Hydro capacity (Output of a medium-dry year)
+
Efficient thermal capacity
(Output of coal-fueled plant)
- 2. SALE PRICE INDEXATION
Incorporate indexation formulas of sale prices that reflect
- ur cost structure
Structure tailor-made hedge programs to protect from more adverse 1) Hydrologic conditions 2) Fuel prices
- 3. HEDGE PROGRAM
Business Strategy
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Commercial policy
Hydro CPI Efficient thermal Fossil Fuels Transitional periods Flexible Price
Business Strategy
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Commercial balance evolution
8.829 5.566 10.687 5.462 9.834 5.233 10.436 4.861
95 1.853 2.658
1.273 2.418 2.242 3.118 2.563 1.901 2.240 983
2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 14.000 2010 2011 2012 LTM June 2013
GWh
Hidro Coal Gas Diesel Contractual Sales Volume Contractual Sales vs. Generation (GWh)
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Business Strategy
Our expansion plan
OTHER GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES FINAL STAGES
(expected to begin
- perations by the end
- f 2013)
43% 53%
Angostura 316 MW
Hydro capacity (*NCRE)
San Pedro 150 MW La Mina* 34 MW Santa María II 342 MW
~ 4,300 MW 2,962 MW
Coal-fired capacity Combined-cycle capacity Open-cycle capacity (natural gas and/or diesel) LONG-TERM LNG SUPPLY Existing CCGT (766 MW) and existing open-cycles (270 MW) that could be
- ptimized, subject to securing a long-term competitive and flexible natural
gas supply.
Hydro potential ~500 MW
ANGOSTURA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 316 MW
Santa Barbara and Quilaco, Biobío Region
INVESTMENT POWER PLANT:
675 MMUSD
INVESTMENT TX LINE:
45 MMUSD
SPENT AS OF JUN. 2013:
630 MMUSD
ADVANCE JUN. 2013:
93%
ESTIMATE START OF OPERATION: 4Q2013 SAN PEDRO HYDRO POWER PLANT: 150 MW
Riñihue Lake, Los Ríos Region
INVESTMENT AND SCHEDULE:
Under revision
SPENT AS OF SEP 2012:
112 MMUSD
ANGOSTURA SAN PEDRO
Business Strategy
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Our projects under development
LA MINA
LA MINA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 34 MW
Maule River, Maule Region
SANTA MARÍA II COAL POWER PLANT: 342 MW
Coronel, Biobío Region
SANTA MARÍA II
Agenda
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Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
Income statement and FCF
32% 15% 20% 28% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2010 2011 2012 June 2013 LTM
EBITDA (MMUSD) Selected Sources & Uses of Funds (MMUSD) Debt (MMUSD) EBITDA margin (%)
100 200 300 400 500 600 2010 2011 2012 June 2013 LTM WK Capex EBITDA 331 205 284 451 100 200 300 400 500 2010 2011 2012 June 2013 LTM 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2010 2011 2012 June 2013 Net Debt Cash
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Financial Profile
Current Assets 760 Cash and equivalents 223 Accounts receivable 184 Recoverable taxes 230 Other current assets 123 Non-Current Assets 5,259 Property, Plant and Equipment 4,955 Other non-current assets 305 Total Assets 6,020 Current Liabilities 536 Long-Term Liabilities 1,904 Shareholders' Equity 3,580 Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 6,020 Cash USD 223 million of cash and cash equivalents as of June 2013. Committed lines Committed back-up facility of UF 4 million (~USD 200 million), unused, signed with local counterparties. Other sources of liquidity Access to additional USD 150 million in credit lines facilities and a registered commercial paper program, which we use from time to time for working capital optimization purposes Amortization Schedule of LT Debt (MMUSD) Balance Sheet as of June 2013 (MMUSD)
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Conservative financial strategy
Liquidity Position
Financial Profile
27 25 116 115 89 130 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q EBITDA 2012 EBITDA 2013 361 332 315 402 367 518 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Revenues 2012 Revenues 2013 8% 37% 29% 24% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13
400 800 1.200 1.600 2.000 2.400 2.800 3.200
2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13
Sales vs. Generation - quarterly (GWh) Revenues - quarterly (MMUSD) EBITDA - quarterly (MMUSD) EBITDA margin - quarterly (%)
A quarterly look at Colbún’s results
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Contractual Sales
(*)
(*) Lighter areas are Codelco supplies
Hydro Natural gas (LNG) Diesel Coal
Financial Profile
Agenda
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Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
GENERATION
Regulated sectors (concessions)
RELEVANT INSTITUTIONS
Ministry of Energy Regulator: CNE Supervisor: SEC Coordinator: CDEC
3 SUB-SECTORS Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
TRANSMISSION DISTRIBUTION
Sector segmentation
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Tal-Tal
Arica Antofagasta
Santiago
Castro Chaitén Cochrane
- Pto. Natales
Pto. Williams
SING SIC SEA SAM
4,146 MW - 24% 16,751 GWh - 25% 13,332 MW - 76% 48,796 GWh - 74% 52 MW - 0% 166 GWh - 0% 103 MW - 0% 287 GWh - 0%
4 SEPARATE GRIDS
Source: CNE, December 2012
GENERATORS
REGULATED
CUSTOMERS
DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES Regulated Tender Tariffs
Auctioned under the supervision of the National Energy Commission.
UNREGULATED
CUSTOMERS
“FREE” CUSTOMERS Unregulated Tariffs
Market Price: settled by both parties, generator and free customer.
SPOT
MARKET
CDEC Spot Price /Marginal Cost
The variable cost
- f the most
expensive dispatched plant at each moment.
39%
20%
17% 24%
Endesa Colbún Gener Others
>15 players
Market structure
Electricity Market Structure Main Players in the Generation Sector-SIC
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Source: Colbún, December 2012
Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Others Diesel-Fuel LNG Coal /Petcoke Gas Hydro Diesel 7% Coal 27% Gas 0% Hydro 40% LNG 21% 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Unregulated Demand Regulated Demand Unregulated: ~30% Regulated: ~70%
Evolution of power generation and demand in the SIC
Annual Power Generation – SIC (TWh) Annual Electricity Demand – SIC (TWh)
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Source: “Producción Real por Sistema”, CNE/Colbún, 2013. Anuarios CDEC-SIC Source: “Generación Bruta en el SIC”, CNE 2012.
Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
33% 30% 23% 9% 5%
Jan-Jun 2013
0% 5% 10%
J F M A M J J A S O N D
2013 YoY monthly growth
OBJECTIVE Meet demand at the lowest cost possible INSTITUTION Independent load dispatch center (CDEC) coordinates the efficient dispatch of electricity producers MODEL CDEC dispatches plants in ascending order of variable production cost Prices vary according to the type of customer: REGULATED CUSTOMERS 1) Node Price: calculated by the CNE every 6 months 2) Auction Price: auctioned under the supervision of the Regulator for bilateral LT contracts UNREGULATED CUSTOMERS 3) Market Price: free price settled by both parties for bilateral contracts OTHER GENERATORS 4) Spot Market Price: the variable cost of the most expensive dispatched plant at each moment of the day All facilities are also paid a capacity charge for being available Hydro OC-Diesel Coal Thermo-Diesel Output from available plants (MWh) Variable Cost of the Plants (USD/MWh) CC-Diesel
Dispatched Plants Back Up Plants
*Margin = [Spot Price - Var. Cost]
Plants receive revenues from Capacity charge Plants earn a Margin*
CC-LNG SPOT PRICE
Marginal Cost of the System
Demand Curve
Dispatch and pricing model: a technical guide
Dispatch Model Dispatch Scheme Pricing Model
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Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
Source: “Costos reales marginales mensuales Alto Jahuel”, CDEC/ Colbún; “Historia precios nudos”, CNE; “Informes Mensuales Systep”, www.systep.cl Note (*): The market Price is calculated by the Regulator upon information provided by all generation companies. This average price does not includes the capacity charge component.
Evolution of electricity prices
Electricity Prices-SIC (USD/MWh)
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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1) Energy Node Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh) 2) Average Auction price (USD/MWh) 3) Average Market price (USD/MWh)* 4) Energy Spot Market Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh)
Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TWh
Source: “Informe Técnico Definitivo Fijación Precio Nudo SIC” ,CNE/Colbún, April 2013
Demand and supply: what to expect in the coming years
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Source: “Informe Técnico Definitivo Fijación Precio Nudo SIC” ,CNE, April 2013 (1) Considering normal hydro conditions (2) Real gas output depends on fuel availability
2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 MW
Hydro (1) Wind Coal Gas (2) Diesel
Chilean Electricity Sector Overview
Electricity Demand - SIC (TWh) Available Power by type - SIC (MW)