Barclays High Yield Bond & Barclays High Yield Bond & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Barclays High Yield Bond & Barclays High Yield Bond & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Barclays High Yield Bond & Barclays High Yield Bond & Syndicated Loan Conference Robin Lampard SVP & CFO Robin Lampard, SVP & CFO Phoenix, AZ - May 2014 Forward-Looking Statements and Non-IFRS Financial Information All
Forward-Looking Statements and Non-IFRS Financial Information
- All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.
- Financial numbers prior to 2010 were prepared in accordance with CGAAP, while
numbers from 2010 onward have been prepared in accordance with IFRS.
- This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.
- Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or
projection in the forward-looking information. projection in the forward looking information.
- Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or
making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.
- Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form,
annual MD&A and on Norbord’s website (www norbord com) about the material annual MD&A, and on Norbord s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information. p j g
- During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will
be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.
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Company Snapshot
- I. COMPANY OVERVIEW
- Norbord is a leading manufacturer of wood-based panel
products and one of the largest global producers of OSB I t ll d OSB it f 5 B f
Panel Capacity by Region
─ Installed OSB capacity of over 5 Bsf ─ 1,950 employees at 13 plants across the US, Europe and Canada
- Listed on TSX (“NBD”)
US 61% Europe 27%
6 1 Bsf
- Reports in US dollars and in accordance with IFRS
- As at March 29, 2014:
─ Total assets of $1,213 million LTM sales of $1 281 million
Canada 12%
6.1 Bsf ─ LTM sales of $1,281 million ─ LTM EBITDA of $203 million
CANADA
Europe Oriented Strand Board
UNITED STATES
North
GERMANY BELGIUM UNITED KINGDOM
Medium Density Fibreboard Oriented Strand Board Furniture Particleboard
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America
FRANCE
Norbord’s Products
- I. COMPANY OVERVIEW
- Norbord’s operations include 11 OSB mills, two particleboard mills, one
medium density fibreboard (“MDF”) mill and one furniture plant
- New home construction
R i d d l
OSB – 84% of Capacity
y ( ) p
- Repair and remodel
- Light commercial construction
- Industrial applications
Particleboard – 10% of Capacity Particleboard 10% of Capacity
- New home construction
- Repair and remodel
- Furniture
- Fixtures
MDF – 6% of Capacity
Fixtures
- Furniture
- Fixtures
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- Mill work
Typical Uses for OSB Products
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Roof Roof Walls Flooring
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Norbord Operates in the Two Significant Global OSB Markets
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Industry OSB Capacity (MMsf 3/8”) 20 30 Industry OSB Capacity (MMsf 3/8 ) 10 North America Europe South America Asia
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Source: Company Documents and Other Public Filings
Norbord a Significant Player in Both Key Markets
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
y
North American OSB Industry European OSB Industry
Egger 8% Smartply 6% Louisiana- Pacific* 22% Tolko 8% Other 7%
- t
e ca OS dust y u opea OS dust y
Kronospan 37% Sonae 13% Huber 8%
Industry C Industry C
Georgia- Pacific 19% Ainsworth* 9%
Capacity 28 Bsf Capacity 5 Bsf
Kronoswiss 21% Norbord 14% Norbord 16% Weyer- haeuser 11%
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Source: Company Documents and Other Public Filings - Installed Capacity *On September 4, 2013, Louisiana-Pacific announced an agreement to acquire all of the outstanding common shares of Ainsworth
Demand Growth Ahead in Both Key Markets
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
75% OSB Share of Structural Panels 75% 50%
North America
25%
Europe
0% 80 85 90 95 00 05 10
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Source: FEA and Norbord Estimates
US Housing Starts Recovery is Real
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
- Leverage to US housing recovery
- Favourable long-term OSB industry fundamentals
2 0
US Housing Starts (millions) Favourable long term OSB industry fundamentals
1.5 2.0
OVER built
0 5 1.0
Housing Starts
UNDER built
0.0 0.5
g Underlying Demand
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Source: FEA
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Additional OSB Capacity Restarting to Meet Additional Demand
38 Mills in Operation 8 Mills Indefinitely Curtailed North American OSB Installed Capacity: 6 Mill (R ) t t d i 2013
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Source: Company Documents and Other Public Filings
Norbord Mill 6 Mills (Re)started in 2013
North American OSB Market Will Tighten as 2014 Progresses
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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g
Industry OSB Volume (Bsf 3/8”) 6 7
Operating Mills Nameplate Capacity
5
Effective Capacity
4
Demand
3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
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Source: Norbord Estimates
Attractive OSB Outlook
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
- OSB prices are tied to demand for building products, which is influenced by
the general economy, demographics and the need for housing g y g p g
- With US housing recovering, OSB prices are projected to remain above trend
North Central Benchmark OSB Price
300 350 400
C Price 16"
200 250 300
nnual Average NC US$ per Msf 7/1
10 year average 100 150 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
An
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Sources: Random Lengths and FEA
Core European Housing Markets Recovering
- II. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Housing Starts (000s) 250 300
Germany +12% per year
200
Germany 12% per year
100 150
UK +30% in 2013
50 100 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
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Source: National House Builder Confederation (NHBC) , Construction Products Association (CPA) & Bundesbank
Norbord’s Strategy Focused on Growth in OSB
- III. BUSINESS STRATEGY
- Pursue growth in OSB
- Pursue growth in OSB
- Own highest-quality assets with
lowest cost position
- Maintain a margin-focused operating
culture
- Focus on growth customers through
best-in-class service and product development
- Allocate capital with discipline
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Norbord’s Growth Focused on OSB
- III. BUSINESS STRATEGY
Norbord OSB Capacity (Billion Square Feet 3/8”)
5 6 3 4 5 2 3 1
'92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
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92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Disciplined Capital Allocation
- III. BUSINESS STRATEGY
- Track record of disciplined capital
allocation ─ Accretive acquisitions
$160 $180
Capex Investment (US$ millions) ─ Low cost capacity additions ─ Divestment of non-core assets ─ Deleverage on cyclical upturns
$80 $100 $120 $140
─ Dividends ─ Share buybacks
$20 $40 $60 $80 $0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
Capex Greenfield Expansion
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Norbord’s Financial House Is In Order
- IV. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Strong Liquidity
Manageable Debt Maturities (1) Strong Liquidity
245 200 240
250 300 llions
5 375% Revolving B k Li
US$ millions
Q1 2014 Cash 117 Bank Lines 242
200
100 150 200 alue - US $ mi
5.375% Bonds Bank Lines (Undrawn) 7.70% Bonds
Bank Lines 242 A/R Sec.
(1)
100 Liquidity 459
50 100 Principal Va
Moody’s Ba2 (Stable)
Stable Issuer Credit Ratings
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
- ody s
a (S ab e) S&P BB- (Positive) DBRS BB (Stable)
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(1) In addition, the Company has an undrawn $100 million 1-year evergreen A/R securitization program.
Strong Operating Cash Flow Through Cycle
- IV. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
g y
Total EBITDA (US$ millions)
631 495 $600 $700 Norbord Sensitivity to North American OSB Price Changes: +$10/Msf 7/16” = +$36 million EBITDA (at f ll capacit ) 495 287 $300 $400 $500 10 (at full capacity) 247 42 107 45 188 287 203 $100 $200 $300 10 year average $198 million 42 (60) 45 ($100) $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM
North Central
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North Central Benchmark OSB Price 369 320 217 161 172 163 219 186 271 315 266
Stable Results Continue from European Operations
- IV. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
p p
- Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales and earnings
diversification than other North American-based competitors
81
$100
European EBITDA (US$ millions)
58 81 46 49
$60 $80
32 35 17 37 44 39 46 49
$20 $40
4
$0 $20
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM
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Attractive Investment Opportunity
- V. SUMMARY
- Leverage to unfolding US housing recovery
─ Every +$10 in NA OSB price = +$36 million in EBITDA at full capacity Every $10 in NA OSB price $36 million in EBITDA at full capacity
- Stable EBITDA contribution from European operations
- Low-cost operating platform
- Superior margins versus peers
Superior margins versus peers
- Track record of disciplined capital allocation
- Strong financial liquidity and comfortable debt maturities
- Dividend yield of 8% (at current share price)
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