Chapter 5 Interest Rates and Bond Valuation } Know the important - - PDF document
Chapter 5 Interest Rates and Bond Valuation } Know the important bond features and bond types } Compute bond values and comprehend why they fluctuate } Appreciate bond ratings, their meaning, and relationship to bond terms and value } Understand
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Interest Rates and Bond Valuation
} Know the important bond features and bond
types
} Compute bond values and comprehend why
they fluctuate
} Appreciate bond ratings, their meaning, and
relationship to bond terms and value
} Understand the impact of inflation on
interest rates
} Grasp the term structure of interest rates
and the determinants of bond yields
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} A bond is a legally binding agreement
between a borrower and a lender that specifies the:
} The yield to maturity is the required market
interest rate on the bond.
} Do not confuse the coupon rate with the
required market interest rate
} Primary Principle:
future cash flows
} Bond value is, therefore, determined by the
present value of the coupon payments and par value.
} Interest rates are inversely related to present
(i.e., bond) values.
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T T
r) (1 F r r) (1 1
C Value Bond + + ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ + =
} Bond terms dictate the frequency of coupon payments } The coupon rate is expressed in annual terms } If the rate is expressed annually and the payments are
more frequent, calculation of bond value requires:
compounding periods per year to arrive at the value of each coupon payment (C);
compounding periods per year to arrive at the desired periodic yield (r);
number of compounding periods per year to arrive at the remaining number of coupon payments (T).
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} Consider a U.S. government bond with a 6 3/8%
coupon that expires in December 2012.
and December 31 for this particular bond).
$31.875.
are:
/ 1 / 1
875 . 31 $
08 / 30 / 6
875 . 31 $
08 / 31 / 12
875 . 31 $
12 / 30 / 6
875 . 031 , 1 $
12 / 31 / 12
} On January 1, 2008, the required yield is 5%. } The size and timing of the cash flows are:
/ 1 / 1
875 . 31 $
08 / 30 / 6
875 . 31 $
08 / 31 / 12
875 . 31 $
12 / 30 / 6
875 . 031 , 1 $
12 / 31 / 12
17 . 060 , 1 $ ) 025 . 1 ( 000 , 1 $ ) 025 . 1 ( 1 1 2 05 . 875 . 31 $
10 10
= + ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ − = PV
5 PMT I/Y FV PV N PV 31.875 = 2.5 1,000 – 1,060.17 10 1,000×0.06375 2 Find the present value (as of January 1, 2008), of a 6 3/8% coupon bond with semi-annual payments, and a maturity date of December 2012 if the YTM is 5%.
} Now assume that the required yield is 11%. } How does this change the bond’s price?
/ 1 / 1
875 . 31 $
08 / 30 / 6
875 . 31 $
08 / 31 / 12
875 . 31 $
12 / 30 / 6
875 . 031 , 1 $
12 / 31 / 12
69 . 825 $ ) 055 . 1 ( 000 , 1 $ ) 055 . 1 ( 1 1 2 11 . 875 . 31 $
10 10
= + ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ − = PV
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800 1000 1100 1200 1300 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1
Discount Rate Bond Value
6 3/8
When the YTM < coupon, the bond trades at a premium. When the YTM = coupon, the bond trades at par. When the YTM > coupon, the bond trades at a discount.
q
Bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions.
q
When coupon rate = YTM, price = par value
q
When coupon rate > YTM, price > par value (premium bond)
q
When coupon rate < YTM, price < par value (discount bond)
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term bonds
coupon rate bonds.
reinvested
long-term bonds.
than low coupon rate bonds.
C Consider two otherwise identical bonds. The long-maturity bond will have much more volatility with respect to changes in the discount rate.
Discount Rate Bond Value
Par
Short Maturity Bond Long Maturity Bond
8 Consider two otherwise identical bonds. The low-coupon bond will have much more volatility with respect to changes in the discount rate.
Discount Rate Bond Value High Coupon Bond Low Coupon Bond
Par C
} Yield to maturity is the rate implied by the
current bond price.
} Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you
do not have a financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity.
} If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV,
PMT, and FV, remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the opposite sign).
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} Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon
rate, 15 years to maturity, and a par value of $1,000. The current price is $928.09.
} Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and
semiannual coupons has a face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity, and is selling for $1,197.93.
CPT I/Y = 4% (Is this the YTM?)
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} Current Yield = annual coupon / price } Yield to maturity = current yield + capital
gains yield
} Example: 10% coupon bond, with semi-
annual coupons, face value of 1,000, 20 years to maturity, $1,197.93 price
1,193.68
1197.93 =
computed earlier
} There are specific formulas for finding bond
prices and yields on a spreadsheet.
Frequency,Basis)
Frequency,Basis)
value
} Click on the Excel icon for an example.
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} Debt
interest
voting rights
a cost of doing business and is tax deductible
recourse if interest or principal payments are missed
to financial distress and bankruptcy
}
Equity
vote for the board of directors and other issues
considered a cost of doing business and are not tax deductible
liability of the firm, and stockholders have no legal recourse if dividends are not paid
go bankrupt
} Contract between the company and the
bondholders that includes:
applicable
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} The coupon rate depends on the risk
characteristics of the bond when issued.
} Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all
else equal?
}
High Grade
}
Medium Grade
susceptible to changes in circumstances
conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay
}
Low Grade
}
Very Low Grade
default, with principal and interest in arrears.
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} Treasury Securities
maturity less than one year
between one and ten years
greater than ten years
} Municipal Securities
corporate debt
level
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} A taxable bond has a yield of 8%, and a
municipal bond has a yield of 6%.
prefer?
8%(1 - .4) = 4.8% The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 4.8%, compared to a 6% return on the municipal
the two bonds?
8%(1 – T) = 6% T = 25%
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} Make no periodic interest payments (coupon
rate = 0%)
} The entire yield to maturity comes from the
difference between the purchase price and the par value
} Cannot sell for more than par value } Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount
bonds, or original issue discount bonds (OIDs)
} Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury
strips are good examples of zeroes Find the value of a 30-year zero-coupon bond with a $1,000 par value and a YTM of 6%.
11 . 174 $ ) 06 . 1 ( 000 , 1 $ ) 1 (
30 =
= + =
T
r F PV
1
$
2
$
29
000 , 1 $
30
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} Coupon rate floats depending on some
index value
} Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and
inflation-linked Treasuries
} There is less price risk with floating rate
bonds.
substantially from the yield to maturity.
} Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate
cannot go above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor.”
} Income bonds } Convertible bonds } Put bonds } There are many other types of provisions that
can be added to a bond, and many bonds have several provisions – it is important to recognize how these provisions affect required returns.
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} Primarily over-the-counter transactions with
dealers connected electronically
} Extremely large number of bond issues, but
generally low daily volume in single issues
} Makes getting up-to-date prices difficult,
particularly on a small company or municipal issues
} Treasury securities are an exception
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} Term structure is the relationship between
time to maturity and yields, all else equal.
} It is important to recognize that we pull out
the effect of default risk, different coupons, etc.
} Yield curve – graphical representation of the
term structure
higher than short-term yields
lower than short-term yields
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} Default risk premium – remember bond
ratings
} Taxability premium – remember municipal
versus taxable
} Liquidity premium – bonds that have more
frequent trading will generally have lower required returns (remember bid-ask spreads)
} Anything else that affects the risk of the cash
flows to the bondholders will affect the required returns.