Andesa Client Forum March, 2018 Proprietary and Confidential to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Andesa Client Forum March, 2018 Proprietary and Confidential to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Andesa Client Forum March, 2018 Proprietary and Confidential to Novarica, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential to Novarica, Inc. May not be used or distributed without our written permission. May not be used or distributed without our written


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Proprietary and Confidential to Novarica, Inc. May not be used or distributed without our written permission. Proprietary and Confidential to Novarica, Inc. May not be used or distributed without our written permission.

Andesa Client Forum

March, 2018

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Proprietary and Confidential to Novarica, Inc. May not be used or distributed without our written permission.

Insurance and Technology in 2018 and Beyond

Robert Mcisaac, FLMI, LLIF SVP, Research and Consulting rmcisaac@novarica.com

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The Gates Principle of Future Disruption

“We always over-estimate the change that will

  • ccur in the next two years, and underestimate

the change that will occur in the next ten.”

  • Bill Gates

Preparing for change…

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  • iPad, iPhone, Mobile apps
  • Hadoop, NoSQL
  • Viable driverless cars
  • “The Internet of Things”
  • More things than people connected to

the Internet

  • Social Media

(Facebook and Twitter barely a year old)

  • AI outside of the lab

Things that didn’t exist:

Looking back ten years to April 2007…

Preparing for change…

  • Direct online sales of commercial

insurance as a viable concept

  • The idea of persistent low interest

rates in the United States

  • Widespread use of catastrophe bonds
  • Silicon Valley VCs who could spell

insurance

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Insurers are flipping the Gates Principle

Most insurers believe the industry will be radically different in ten years. But few believe it will be radically different in the short term.

3% 6% 8% 18% 23% 55% 58% 73% 65% 55% 42% 36% 20% 17% 22% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Regulatory changes affect operating model Digital competitors affect distribution Cyber-Security "Day Zero" Event Predictive analytics create material effects Product changes driven by market or tech Likelihood of Real Change in 2017 High Probability Possible Low Probability

Preparing for change…

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IT budgets and transformation investments remain low

On average, insurers are devoting 0.81 cents of each premium dollar to IT transformation in a time of unprecedented change being driven by technology. Preparing for change…

3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Average IT Spending Ratios 2011-2017 Run, 52% Grow, 26% Transform, 22% Average Run/Grow/Transform Split 2017

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“Novarica Nine”

Novarica Nine for 2018

External Factors Unbundling InsureTech Innovation Technology Capabilities Data Digital Core Internal IT Management Security Talent Alignment

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Insurance is a simple industry.

The insurance industry has one mission: use information technology to facilitate the transfer of risk from buyers to pools of capital. Unbundling

$$$$ $$$$

RISK

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

People or Organizations with More Risk Than Capital Pools of Capital Willing to Take On Risk For Profit or Self-Perpetuation

Primaries Distributors Reinsurers

Facilitate communication Package and analyze risk Enable transfer of risk and money These are all intermediaries

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Technology is enabling new information flows and disrupting the model.

Each intermediary in the value chain is under increased pressure to justify its existence. Unbundling

Cat Bonds and Other Derivatives Distributor Programs

$$$$ $$$$

RISK

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Primaries Distributors Reinsurers

Reinsurer-Funded InsureTechs Alternative Distribution Start-Up/ Reengineered Carriers

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New questions can now be asked about the structure of the product and delivery

Minimum Required Coverage Additional Coverage Advice Service Risk Management

  • Is there a reason all these things need to

come from the same provider?

  • Are there market segments that want

some but not all of these capabilities?

  • Are there easier, technology-enabled

ways to deliver some of these capabilities?

  • Are there other ways to monetize some
  • f these capabilities?

Unbundling

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New questions may yield new opportunities

Minimum Required Coverage Additional Coverage Advice Service Risk Management

Unbundling

Easy-purchase “compliance” products Stand-alone “add-ons” like umbrella or life product riders Fee-only risk management like IFAs Premium service levels Commercialized risk tools

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  • Put major insurers out of

business

  • Radically transform the

market in the next two years

  • All be in business two years

from now

  • Raise the bar on:
  • Customer experience and process efficiency
  • Usage of analytics to drive product and

processes

  • Show how to expand the market by profitably

serving underserved segments

  • Demonstrate how to incorporate emerging

technology into key business processes

  • Be acquired by major insurers or services

providers InsureTechs will not… InsureTechs will…

Predicting the Future of InsureTech

InsureTech

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Examples from Previously Overhyped FinTech Categories

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Decade Trend Examples What the Industry Learned What Happened?

1990’s “Internet- Only Banks” Security First, Wingspan People like the convenience of online banking, but online-only banks don’t have mass appeal. Start-ups acquired by tech providers or re-absorbed into major banks that funded them. 1990’s Online Trading E-Trade, Ameritrade People like online trading, bigger segment than previously understood willing to trade advice for low prices. Some sold their tech, some merged, some stayed independent and went head-to-head with existing discount brokers. 2000’s Innovative Lending OnDeck It’s possible to price loans using additional data/analytics beyond credit scores. It’s still hard to sell loans. Some banks partnered to use models. 2010 Mobile-Only banks Simple Mobile/Social banking has niche appeal Bought by major bank.

InsureTech

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The ABCs of “InsureTech”

“InsureTech” isn’t really a single category of thing. There are four main categories that serve very different purposes. Insurers should understand the potential values and threats

  • f each different class of players

InsureTech

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Analytics Arms Dealers

Big data analytics tools, AI start-ups, and data aggregators offer insurers new ways to access and analyze information.

  • Competing with traditional software

and data vendors

  • Likely to be acquired by them if they

show traction Carpe Data (http://carpe.io), predictive scoring for life, personal, and small commercial based on third-party and big data. Praedicat (http://praedicat.com), data mining and modeling to improve catastrophe liability modeling. Tyche (http://tycherisk.co), a 2015 Global Insurance Accelerator company focused

  • n modeling litigation risk using big data.

InsureTech

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Beneficial Bots

Drones, IoT, blockchain, and other new technology tools or platforms that can be leveraged to improve insurance processes and products.

  • May change the cost basis of some key

dramatically, e.g.:

  • Drones and offshore oil rig inspections
  • IoT and equipment monitoring
  • Blockchain and… (TBD)
  • Change in cost basis can change viability
  • f pricing and products

Human Condition Safety (http://hpsafety.com), wearable technology to reduce worker injury. AIG is a strategic partner. Meshify (http://meshify.com), industrial Internet of Things, acquired by Hartford Steam Boiler/Munich RE. PrecisionHawk (http://precisionhawk.com), drone surveying company with insurance applications, USAA is series C investor. InsureTech

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Creative Carriers

Innovative carriers designing new products or processes starting from customer need.

  • Can supplement incumbent carrier main

product offerings

  • Demonstrate viability of new approaches

to product or market

  • Often partnered with reinsurers for

underwriting capacity

  • Likely to be acquired if they show

traction Trov (http://trov.com), insurance for individual items. Munich RE is reinsurer, GWRE is Series C investor. Slice Labs (http://slice.is), on-demand insurance for gig economy. Munich RE is reinsurer, Munich RE and XL Innovate are investors. Lemonade (http://lemonade.com), direct renters and homeowners, XL innovate and Sequoia Capital are investors. Hiscox (http://hiscox.com), direct online sales of small biz insurance. InsureTech

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Digital Distributors

New channel for incumbent insurers

  • Some competition with existing

channels, but more likely to be opening up new market segments than eroding current channels

  • Provide examples of best practices in

addressing customer needs and expectations

  • May become reasonably successful

distributors if they can manage growth expectations appropriately; may be acquired by major brokers or intermediaries

  • e.g. Evosure acquired by IVANS

CoverHound (http://coverhound.com),

  • nline P&C broker with investment from

Chubb, American Family, and others. Insureon (http://insureon.com), online broker for small commercial insurance. AskKodiak (http://askkodiak.com), appetite marketplace for underwriters and carriers. Quilt (http://getquilt.com), online agency with simple UI centered around policyholder POV. InsureTech

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Innovation and InsureTechs

Insurers have many options for engaging with InsureTech and emerging technology…including doing nothing.

Partnering Direct Investing Seeded Start-Ups Innovation Labs Do Nothing Pros Low cost/risk Some control Influence Market access Control Connection Learning Focused R&D Relevance Team engagement Inexpensive Avoids management distraction Cons Lack of control Expense Limited control Expensive Politically sensitive Expensive Limited capacity Potential lack of fresh thinking Missing learning

  • pportunities

Examples AXA partnering with Trov in Europe XL Innovate HSB Ventures AssureStart HavenLife AmFam Ventures QBE Digital Innovation Lab Most midsize insurers

Innovation

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Innovation

  • Innovation groups

and initiatives are growing.

  • CEO and BU

investment, and willingness to innovate is primary determinant between

  • perationalizing

innovation and performing “innovation theater.”

26% 28% 31% 33% 37% 17% 23% 17% 5% 14% 23% 8% 32% 41% 23% 42% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Large P/C Midsize P/C Large L/A Midsize L/A

Formal Innovation Programs at Insurers

Maintain Expand Launch No Plans

Innovation

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Approaches to Innovation

Education and Evangelism Research and Development Venture Capital/ Investing Data Science Goal Bring in new ideas Coach adoption Prototype and pilot Innovative partners Find opportunities Organization Small expert team Engineering, product, SMEs Small expert team Small expert team Spend Level Medium High Medium OpEx, Medium/High AUM Medium/High depends on size Pros High engagement, high ownership Generate preliminary results Broad exposure Potential immediate tactical value Cons Limited ability to execute High failure rate must be tolerable Limited control Can be challenging to implement Risks BUs tend to tactical

  • ver strategic

Lack of adoption Conflict of IRR and tool value Over-focus on tactical value Risk Mitigation Team focus on pushing boundaries Persuasive champion Clear and separate goals Ring-fence exploration

Innovation

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Innovative Business Practices

Data

Sources Analytics

Digital

Channels Processes

Core

Modern Applications

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Data, Digital, and Core

Technology Capabilities

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Sample “Novarica New Normal 100” Capabilities in Each Area

Data Digital Core Product Development Impact analysis in rate design Automated rate/ form filing Assemble from component coverages Marketing Customer behavior modeling Track website visitors in CRM N/A Distribution Extensive use of pre-fill data Mobile optimized portal Immediate commissions payment Underwriting Predictive scoring Paperless UW Workflow Skills-based routing Customer Engagement Analytics-driven service tiers Customized online video N/A Billing Analytics to prevent premium leakage EBPP Consolidated bill across product lines Claims Predictive fraud scoring Mobile adjuster/ case manager Triaged STP Finance/Operations Enterprise-wide customer value Self-service HR systems Automated budgeting/forecasting

Technology Capabilities

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Data, Digital, and Core Spending Priorities

Data and digital spending commands are larger portion of grow and transform spending. Technology Capabilities

69% 53% 38% 9% 22% 36% 11% 14% 17% 11% 11% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Run Grow Transform

Run/Grow/Transform Breakdown: Large L/A Insurers

Core Applications Digital Data and Analytics Security 60% 52% 51% 10% 16% 18% 18% 22% 23% 12% 10% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Run Grow Transform

Run/Grow/Transform Breakdown: Large P/C Insurers

Core Applications Digital Data and Analytics Security

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Core Systems Map

Technology Capabilities

Policy Administration System Rating Engine Underwriter Workbench Claims System Billing General Ledger and Financial Management Reinsurance Management Agent Portal Document Creation/CCM Business Intelligence: Repository CRM Customer Portal Distribution/

  • Comp. Mgt.

Specialized Components Business Intelligence: Analytics and Reporting Workflow/BPM Document Management/ECM

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What is “Predictive Analytics”?

While actuarial models predict risk across a book, predictive models are used to make specific determinations about individual cases (risks, claims, customers, etc.).

  • Typically generate a score used to assess risk, indicate customer profitability, claim

severity, or any other area.

  • “Predict” both the future (underwriting risk) and the likelihood of pattern match

(fraudulent claims).

  • Current trends and attributes:
  • Increased complexity and sophistication of modeling techniques;
  • Breadth and depth of both internal and external data sources; and
  • The use of a single "score" as the output of the analysis that can be used to guide

decision-making – human or machine.

  • Can be coupled with machine learning to improve models in real-time.

Data and Analytics

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Predictive Analytics Deployment Rates

There is a predictive analytics gap between large and midsize insurers. Midsize insurers are conducting more pilots, but large insurers continue to invest to maintain their leads. 18% of insurers believe there is a high probability that predictive analytics will create material affects this year. Predictive Analytics Capabilities in the Novarica New Normal 100:

  • Underwriting scoring using third party

data (pictured)

  • Predictive fraud scoring (pictured)
  • Underwriting scoring using internal

data

  • Predictive severity scoring

Data and Analytics

40% 30% 50% 48% 32% 66% 55% 80% 30% 19% 19% 43% 17% 20% 20%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Claims UW Midsize L/A Claims UW Large L/A Claims UW Midsize P/C Claims UW Large P/C Current Usage Rate of Predictive Analytics for Underwriting and Claims Fraud Current Capabilities Pilot Program

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Big Data

Few insurers use real “Big Data” data sets, but use of Big Data Technology to solve enterprise data problems is becoming more common.

  • Dist. Data

No-SQL Columnar Appliance

Potential Uses Extremely large data intake. Analysis across TBs of data. Rapid, real- time capture

  • f large data

sets Data warehouse for analysis Vendor- managed approach to many of the

  • ther use

cases Industry examples Analysis across business to develop predictive models Agent and consumer portal click- stream capture Policy, claims, and billing warehouse Fast replacement

  • f a failing

data warehouse Pitfalls Complex engineering required; quickly evolving technology Cannot use SQL or can

  • nly use

limited SQL Slower import/ export; poor transaction support Expensive

  • ver time;

less flexibility and control Providers Hadoop MongoDB, Cassandra Vertica, SAP HANA IBM Netezza, Teradata, Oracle Appliance

Data and Analytics

Deployed in some areas 12% Active or planned pilot project 29% Still trying to understan d value 37% Decided this does not apply to us in 2017 22%

Big Data Usage and Plans at Insurers 2017

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Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning is the next stage of predictive analytics

  • 10-20% of insurers report

using machine learning to improve rating algorithms.

  • Machine vision offers

potential for property underwriting and claims.

  • Natural Language

Processing virtual assistants have some application as chatbots, but insurers must beware the uncanny valley in voice systems. Data and Analytics

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Continued Lack of Clarity Around “Digital Strategy”

“Digital” is not a thing, it’s an orientation. It’s about rethinking the relationship between data accessibility, transactional capability, users, and process in a digital world. Digital

29% 31% 45% 53% 66% 73% 37% 47% 35% 37% 25% 14% 33% 22% 19% 5% 8% 11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Enterprise Data Management Analytics Digitizing and Optimizing Internal Business Processes Corporate Site and Online Marketing Policyholder e-Business Agent e-Business

“What does ‘digital strategy’ mean in your organization?”

Definitely this This too Not this

Integrated with everything we do, 2% Well understood, and widely deployed 11% Deployed in some areas 32% Active or planned pilot project 31% Still trying to understand value 15% Decided this does not apply to us in 2017 9%

“Digital” or “Digital Strategy” at Insurers

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Digital Capabilities Assessment and Investment Activities

Agent Portal projects tend to be enhancements of existing environments rather than replacements; CCM and life customer portals are more evenly split between replace and enhance. Digital

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Midsize L/A Large L/A Midsize P/C Large P/C Percentage of Insurers That Rate their Own Capabilities as Strong or Very Strong Agent Portals Customer Portals Documents/CCM

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Midsize L/A Large L/A Midsize P/C Large P/C Percentage of Insurers Planning Replacements or Major Enhancements Agent Portals Customer Portals Documents/CCM

Fewer than 50% of insurers are enthusiastic about their basic digital capabilities. Investment in enhancing agent and customer portals is widespread.

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Mobile

About 1/3 of insurers have some mobile capabilities, and about a 1/3 of those who don’t are planning pilots.

  • “3Cs of Mobile”
  • Camera
  • Convenience
  • Coordinates
  • Millennials
  • 30% cite mobile as a preferred

channel when researching providers

  • App v. Mobile Web is an evolving

discussion Digital

4% 10% 7% 4% 21% 29% 24% 22% 23% 23% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% For Distributors For Policyholders For Adjusters/Other External Users

Mobile Usage and Plans at Insurers 2017

Active or planned pilot project Deployed in some areas Well understood, and widely deployed Integrated with everything we do

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Don’t Forget about Email

Heavy volumes of “digital” communication with distributors are still via email. Digital

51% 37% 40% 44% 38% 40% 52% 46% 33% 50% 53% 42% 43% 50% 35% 21% 5% 5% 6% 3% 9% 2% 11% 7% 13% 17% 8% 2% 31% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Appetite App Submission Quote Add'l UW Reqs UW Decision Policy Docs Commissions General

Distributor Digital Channel Usage By Function: Small Commercial (Average Percentage of Communications Volume/Channel/Purpose) Email Portal Other Digital Offline

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Cloud

Some use for ancillary applications is widespread, and core application use is growing, especially for expansion lines.

14% 47% 11% 20% 13% 27% 26% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

SaaS for ancillary applications SaaS for core applications IaaS or PaaS Cloud Usage and Plans at US Insurers 2017

Integrated with everything we do Well understood, and widely deployed Deployed in some areas Active or planned pilot project

  • Variable cost is

increasingly attractive

  • Eliminating data

center/hardware management and cost

  • verhead
  • Maturity of solution

providers and awareness of own limitations is mitigating security concerns Core

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Security Requires Investment in Practices as well as Technology

Security continues to consume about 10% of IT budget with no end in sight. Additional investments in…

  • Device security
  • Data encryption
  • Intrusion detection
  • Application security

Additional regulatory and compliance pressure to certify procedures, formal CISO requirements. Security

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

SSE-CMM Framework Adoption NIST Framework Adoption Audits and Procedures Current and Planned Development for Audits and Procedures, NIST Framework Adoption, and SSE-CCM Framework Adoption

Grow existing capabilities significantly Enhance existing capabilities Launch capabilities in this area for the first time Pilot/Test capabilities

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Insurer IT Groups are Struggling to Find and Retain Talent

A boom in analytics and digital across multiple industries is making it harder for insurers. CIOs cite talent as their top challenge. Strategies:

  • Enabling remote employees
  • Reconfiguring workspaces
  • Partnering with universities to attract digital and analytics talent
  • Partnering with community colleges for skills development
  • Developing bimodal IT organizations
  • Improving ease of employee return
  • Business unit rotational programs

Talent

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Alignment and Governance are More Critical Than Ever

With so many areas demanding investment, 40% of insurers are improving governance to make sure resources are allocated effectively and aligned with strategy.

Project and spending transparency Clear decision-making process Shared objectives Shared understanding

Alignment

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Related Novarica Research

  • Managing Innovation in Insurance
  • Enabling Innovation: Lessons Learned

from Silicon Valley

  • Insurance IT Talent Management
  • Artificial Intelligence: Insurance

Application and Use Cases

  • Insurance IT Practices and Disciplines
  • IT Security Update: 2017 Plans
  • “Hot Topics” for Insurers: Social,

Mobile, Analytics, Big Data, Cloud, Digital, and IoT/Drones

  • Five Potential Changes in 2017 for

Insurance

  • ABCs of InsureTech for Incumbent

Insurers

  • Insurer IT Budgets and Projects 2017
  • The Novarica New Normal For Insurers:

100 Data, Digital, and Core Capabilities

  • Property/Casualty
  • Life/Annuity

References

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About Novarica

39

Novarica provides technology strategy research, advisory services, and consulting to more than 90 property/casualty and life/annuity insurers. Novarica’s research covers trends, benchmarks, best practices, case studies, and vendor solutions, drawing on the expertise of its senior team and relationships with nearly 400 insurer CIO members of the Novarica Insurance Technology Research Council. Through its advisory services, Novarica’s expert team becomes an adjunct member of its clients’ strategy and planning functions, providing a force-multiplier that facilitates faster, better, more informed decisions. Novarica’s consulting services focus on vendor selection, custom benchmarking, project assurance, and IT strategy, leveraging its proven methodologies, extensive knowledgebase, and broad network to rapidly deliver actionable insights and recommendations. Contact us at: Novarica, Inc. 175 Federal St, Suite 510 Boston MA 02110 617-342-8100 inquiry@novarica.com www.novarica.com

About Novarica

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Rob McIsaac is a SVP in the insurance practice at Novarica with expertise in IT leadership and transformation as well as technology and business strategy for life, annuities, wealth management, and banking. He has broad experience in IT strategy and management in the insurance and financial services industries. Prior to joining Novarica, he served in a series of senior technology management positions including leading the Business Transformation Office at Nationwide Insurance and as the CIO for First Citizens Bank, a rapidly growing regional firm based in Raleigh, NC. Rob spent the majority of his career at Guardian Life, where he was the Divisional CIO responsible for annuity, distribution and broker dealer operations and at Prudential Insurance, where he held a variety of positions including leading e-Business development efforts. Rob holds a BA in Economics from Montclair State University, an MBA in Information Systems from Seton Hall University and has received a number of business and technical designations including FLMI and LLIF. He can be reached directly at rmcisaac@novarica.com.

About Novarica

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