an update from the Global Burden of Disease Study Catherine O. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
an update from the Global Burden of Disease Study Catherine O. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Global trends in cardiovascular disease - an update from the Global Burden of Disease Study Catherine O. Johnson, PhD MPH Lead Research Scientist, IHME Cardiovascular Group Global Burden of Disease Captures all forms of health loss (death,
Global Burden of Disease
- Captures all forms of health loss (death, sickness, injury)
- Covers all potential diseases, injuries, and impairments
- Generates comprehensive and comparable estimates
- Facilitates comparisons between different types of health loss
Over 20 years of innovation on GBD
1991: GBD
- riginated
by the World Bank and WHO 1993: Prelim. results published in World Development Report 2007: IHME established to catalyze new era of GBD innovation 2015: WHO and IHME sign MOU; European BoD Network formed
1990 2000 Today 2010
1996-7: Final results published 2016: IHME begins annual updates to GBD as global public good
Publication of updated GBD results
2018: IHME and WHO sign new MOU to strengthen GBD efforts and uptake
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GBD is a global effort
3,641 collaborators 143 countries 2 territories
Four “Building Blocks” of Estimation
All-cause Mortality
“How many people died?”
Causes of Death
“What do they die from?”
Risk Factors
“What’s causing this death and sickness?”
Non-Fatal Outcomes
“What makes people sick?”
YLLs, DALYs, YLDs, HALE
Building Blocks: Cause of Death
All-cause Mortality Causes of Death
- Estimation of specific causes of death by
age & sex.
- Estimates then fit to all-cause mortality
estimates.
- Cause list is mutually exclusive and collectively
exhaustive.
- Important for informing health policy and
interventions.
Risk Factors Non-Fatal Outcomes
YLLs, DALYs, YLDs, HALE
ICD: Cause Map
- The cause list is mapped to ICD
codes
- Each cause is mapped to one or
many ICD codes
- Many iterations of ICD codes, such as
ICD-9, ICD-9 BTL, ICD-10
- Causes mapped to each ICD iteration
to capture all possible codes in available data for each cause
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Redistribution of Garbage Codes
Unspecified Stroke
Heart Failure
Cardiovascular Deaths
Cardiovascular Deaths
Cardiovascular Deaths – 50 to 69 years
Cardiovascular Deaths – 70+ years
Risk Factors
Risk Factors – Systolic Blood Pressure
Exposure
Risk Factors – LDL Cholesterol
Exposure
Risk Factors - Smoking
Exposure
Risk Factors – Fasting Plasma Glucose
Exposure
Global Burden of Disease
- Results visualization:
- https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
- Results query tool:
- http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool
- Input data sources:
- http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2017/data-input-sources
Global Burden of Disease
Global Burden of Disease
- Results visualization:
- https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/
- Results query tool:
- http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool
- Input data sources:
- http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2017/data-input-sources