Affinity HR Group Your HR Partner & Resource Labor Market - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Affinity HR Group Your HR Partner & Resource Labor Market - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Affinity HR Group Your HR Partner & Resource Labor Market January 2019 Summary News Your Business Can Use Trends for 2019 Findings: Focus on attracting and Topics Covered retaining employees! Unemployment Trends Wage


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SLIDE 1

Labor Market Summary

News Your Business Can Use

Affinity

HR Group

Your HR Partner & Resource

January

2019

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SLIDE 2

Findings: Focus on attracting and retaining employees!

Trends for 2019

Topics Covered

■Unemployment Trends ■ Wage Growth ■ Minimum Wage ■ Immigration ■Occupational Outlook ■ Legislative Outlook

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

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SLIDE 3

National Unemployment at 3.9% - Approx. 1 million more job openings than unemployed workers

Unemployme nt

16-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+ 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Percentage (%) of unemployment

Unemployment Rate by Age (All Workers)

Ag e

■ Expect difficulty recruiting & retaining employees. ■ Anticipate need to increase wages. ■ Know your competitors. ■ Identify traditional and non-traditional sources for candidates. ■ Plan on training as pool of experienced candidates continues to

shrink. What employers need to do:

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

■ 32 States have

unemployment rates of less than 4% (up from 26% in June 2018)

■ Aimes IA has lowest rate of

1.4%

■ El Centro has highest rate

at 19.3% Unemployment Rate by Age

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SLIDE 4

2018 Wage Growth – Approx 3.2% Anticipated 2019 Wage Growth 3.2% – 3.5%

Wage Growth

  • High-Growth/Urban Areas increased almost 7%
  • Boise, ID is now the fastest-growing area in the

US

  • Price for new hires approx. 15% - 20% above

budget

  • Minimum wage growth, unemployment rate,

restricted immigration & opioid crisis driving wage growth

What employers need to do:

■ Review pay policies for competitiveness in recruiting market(s)

and internal salary equity.

■ Anticipate the need to increase wages. ■ Provide richer, more comprehensive benefit packages and more

  • n the job training and education.

■ Provide more flexible schedules and work requirements. ■ Anticipate the need to raise prices of goods/services to pay for

increased wages and benefits.

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

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SLIDE 5

The federal minimum wage

  • f $7.25 has not

been increased since 2009.

Minimum Wage

What employers need to do:

■ Changes are active – not just something to be looked at annually. ■ Monitor in all the locations where they do business. ■ Be aware of effective dates - not all changes take effect on

January 1.

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

  • 29 States & DC have

minimum wages exceeding fed. Level. 11 states will increase in 2019

  • 17 States index rates
  • Several states adapting

regional Minimum Wage

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SLIDE 6

Restricted legal and illegal immigration affecting work pool.

  • Crack down
  • n illegal

immigration

  • Restrictions
  • n legal

immigration

  • Reduction of

refugee immigration

Immigration

In 2017, ICE conducted 1,300 workplace audits. In 2018, 6,000 were conducted – an increase of more than 360%. Workplace arrests are up nearly 700%, from 300 arrests in 2017 to 2,300 arrests in 2018 (mostly illegal workers). Expect continued dramatic increases in 2019.

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

What employers need to do:

■Evaluate I9 form policies. ■Consider online electronic forms to minimize errors. ■Maintain forms in proper file format.

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As of August, 2018, 7.1 million job

  • penings vs.

6.1 million unemployed and looking for work. Manufacturing assembly jobs are expected to decrease 14%

Occupational Outlook

Occupation New Jobs Change 2016 – 2026 Janitor/Cleaner 236,500 +9.9% Metro Area Median Hourly Wage All Us Metro Areas $12.02 Boston Metro Area $17.90 San Francisco Bay Area $17.58 $12.28 North Texas Area $10.90

What employers need to do: ■Know your competitors are particularly true for entry level employers. ■Anticipate the need to increase wages to recruit and retain as demand increases.

Janitorial/Cleaning Sector Statistics

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

Southeast Iowa Area

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SLIDE 8

2018 was quiet on federal level. Not so on local level.

Legislative Outlook

Emerging Legislation:

  • Minimum Wage
  • Pay Equity (39 states enacted or under consideration)
  • Ban the box (33 states & 150 counties)
  • Marijuana Use (9 recreational states/ 31 recreational states)
  • Predictive Scheduling Laws (Oregon & 6 jurisdictions)

What employers need to do:

■ Examine pay policies for compliance ■ Examine interview questions & job application for all locations ■ Examine current drug testing policies and practices ■ Determine how you are going to stay abreast of state and local

changes

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

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Questions?

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Labor Market Summary - December 2018 www.affinityhrgroup.co m

Claudia udia St. . John, hn, SPHR, R, SHRM-SCP CP President, Affinity HR Group claudia@Affinityhrgroup.com 877-660-6400 affinityHRgroup.com