Advanced Storage Technology Consortium Launch Event January 31 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Advanced Storage Technology Consortium Launch Event January 31 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Advanced Storage Technology Consortium Launch Event January 31 February 1 2011 ASTC Expanding and enhancing the power of R&D funding and technology development between storage industry par?cipants, suppliers, universi?es,


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Advanced Storage Technology Consortium

Launch Event January 31 – February 1 2011

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ASTC

  • Expanding and enhancing the power of R&D

funding and technology development between storage industry par?cipants, suppliers, universi?es, laboratories, and ins?tutes

  • Mission: member‐directed, scalable R&D
  • rganiza?on to address – pro‐compe??vely –

fundamental technology challenges

  • Supply chain involvement
  • HDD technology roadmap
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SLIDE 4

ASTC Structure

Execu?ve Council Steering CommiKee Technical CommiKees

  • Working Groups

Universi?es, Ins?tutes

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SLIDE 5
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Some Facts About Data Storage

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HDDs and Growing Storage Demand

1000000000000000000000 ZeAabytes 1000000000000000000000 1000000000000000000 Exabytes 1000000000000000000 1000000000000000 Petabytes 1000000000000000

1000000000000

Terabytes

1000000000000

1000000000

Gigabytes

1000000000

Megabytes

Kilobyte

1990:RAID/NAS/SAN 2000:Consumer Applica?on‐ Camcorder, DVD,etc 20xx: “Super Cloud” & Beyond 2010: Cloud, Web2.0, i‐ Stuff 1980:PC Era

Beyond HDD/System

2010: 3TB STX Drive, Hybrid Drive 1980: Microcomputer 10MB 2005: 500GB & PMR Technology 1990: 2.5’inch‐100MB

HDD Progress

20xx: HAMR/PM

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SLIDE 8

40 exabyte(1018) of Unique new informaLon will be generated worldwide this year

Fact 1: Consider That

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Fact 2: Digital content generated in 2010 is more than has been created in the previous 5,000 years

Source: Gartner

YouTube TwiKer My Space Facebook

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SLIDE 10

32GBs passes the human eye every day

18 GB of Games 12 GB of Video 3 GB of Movies Sponsors:

Fact 3 : The Ever Expanding Growth of Information

Source: How Much Informa2on? 2009 UCSD

How Much InformaLon? 2009 Report on American Consumers

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SLIDE 11

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 CY95 CY96 CY97 CY98 CY99 CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 Total Demand (HDD + SSD) HDD Forecast at Current SSD Pentration Rates Millions of Units

Fact 4: The Need for HDDs to Store Information

We are here

Over 650 million HDD unit shipments forecasted through CY10.

Increase of about 10% This is a great business!!

hAp://www.seagate.com/www/en‐us/about/investor_relaLons/

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SLIDE 12
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HDD Industry Historical Areal Density Trend

100 110 ProducLon Year 1E‐3 1E‐2 1E‐1 1E+0 1E+1 1E+2 1E+3 1E+4 1E+5 1E+6

Areal Density Megabits/in2

HDD Products Industry Lab Demos

Areal Density PerspecLve

AMR Head

60 70 80 90

2000 10

60% CGR 100% CGR Perpendicular Recording

10

5

10

4

10

3

10

2

10 6 10 1 10

‐1

10

‐2

10

‐3

25% CGR

(First Hard Disk Drive)

Thin Film Head

200 Million X Increase

Thin Film Media PRML Channels GMR Heads

40% CGR

PR ProjecLon TuMR Heads AFC Media

13

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2 Disk Mobile Historical Announces With Volume Ship of > 5M/Qtr

100 1000

Dec-06 Aug-07 Apr-08 Dec-08 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Feb-13 Oct-13

Month-Year HDD Capacity (GBytes)

Company A Company B Company C More than 5M/Qtr 200 500 400 300 700 600 800 900 Colored boxes show the press announcement dates purple cross show when industry shipped more than 5M/Qtr

Technology Maturity: Slowing PMR Capacity Growth Rate

80% CAGR enabled by large head‐media SNR gains System features enable growth

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Historical Perspective: Jumping “S” Curves in HDD

1 100 Jul-98 Dec-99 Apr-01 Sep-02 Jan-04 May-05 Oct-06 Feb-08

SVM Date Capacity/Disk (GB)

10% Capacity CAGR 99% Capacity CAGR

PMR

100 1000

Nov-06 Aug-07 Apr-08 Dec-08 Aug-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11

SVM Date Capacity/Disk (GBytes)

200 600 400 800

35% Capacity CAGR 80% Capacity CAGR

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Areal Density Scaling and the Magnetic “Trilemma”

Stored
Energy








K Stored
Energy








Ku*V
 *V
 Thermal
Energy






k Thermal
Energy






kB*T
 *T


~ > 70

2K 2Ku
 
M 
Ms
 Write Field > α

  • Neff*Ms

To
ensure
that
the
recorded
bit
is
 To
ensure
that
the
recorded
bit
is
 thermally
stable,
the
anisotropy
 thermally
stable,
the
anisotropy
 needs
to
increase
proportionally
to
 needs
to
increase
proportionally
to
 the
grain
volume
reduction
 the
grain
volume
reduction
 In
order
to
write
a
sharp
recorded
bit
 In
order
to
write
a
sharp
recorded
bit
 transition,
the
write
field
needs
to
be
 transition,
the
write
field
needs
to
be
 sufficiently
large
 sufficiently
large
 To
preserve

 To
preserve

 signal-to-noise
ratio:
 signal-to-noise
ratio:


SNR~log10(N)

the
#
of
grains
in
a
 the
#
of
grains
in
a
 bit
must
be
 bit
must
be
 constant.

 constant.



16

Signal‐to‐Noise RaLo Thermal stability Writeability

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Future Technology Options

SMR/TDMR SMR/TDMR Ener Energy Assisted R y Assisted Recor ecording ding Bit P Bit Patter tterned ned

Reader Shingle Writer

Progressive Scan Head Motion

Laser Reader Spin-Torque Oscillator Reader Write Pole 1 Bit = 1 Island Near Field Write Field

(Illustrations courtesy of Y. Shiroishi, Intermag 2009)

  • Con?nued scaling requires innova?ons in systems technologies, materials

science and process engineering to advance areal density

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1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Jul-98 Apr-01 Jan-04 Oct-06 Jul-09 Apr-12 Dec-14 Sep-17 Jun-20

Date AD (Mb/mm2)

Solid State Technology Memory as a Competitive Storage Technology

HDD @ 43% CAGR NAND @ 51% CAGR Shingle EAMR BPM CTD 3D HDD CY10: Revenue = $34B R&D = ~$3.5B LSI CY10: Revenue = $304B R&D = ~$60B

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ASTC Can Help Address HDD Technology Challenges

  • HDD Industry is facing challenges to grow areal density at historic rates
  • These challenges are distributed throughout component and system

level technologies

  • Energy assist technology will not in itself enable AD growth without

adequate readers, H/M interface, channel, servo capability, etc.

  • Solid State Technology has emerged as a credible alternative to HDD

in certain segments, and the semiconductor industry is committed to large scale R&D

  • ASTC provides the ideal forum to address these challenges

collaboratively as an industry with a holistic but targeted approach

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Signal Processing Contribution to HDD Density Growth

3 Tb/in2 14 Tb/in2 55 Tb/in2

Single par?cle super paramagne?c limit (es?mated) Charap’s limit (broken)

PRML Programmable target SPC 10‐bit RS Son ECC LDPC

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Recent Trends in Signal Processing

  • SNR improvements coming from the Read Channel (RDC) were

driven by advancements in Error Correction Coding (ECC): large codeword size afforded by adaptation of Long Sector Format, and transition to Soft ECC

  • Shingled recording, Bit Pattern Recording (BPR), Two-Dimensional

Magnetic Recording (TDMR), and Heat Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) provide new challenges to signal processing

  • Hard disk controller SOC should no longer be viewed as a standalone

component in the drive; it has become an integral part of system solution.

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Challenges Going Forward

  • HDD is facing severe compe??on from SSD and other storage

technologies

  • HDD industry needs to collaborate to define a technology roadmap
  • A roadmap gives our industry more nego?a?on power with customers
  • New technologies require more R&D investment and collabora?on
  • Peak detectors have long been replaced by PRML with sophis?cated detectors

designed to take signal characteris?cs into account

  • Powerful itera?ve decoders come to replace tradi?onal algebraic ECC’s
  • Culng‐edge CMOS technology in electronics design is key to future success.
  • Leveraging some technologies used in solid state drives in support of large block

write formats in SMR

  • Adding some level of non‐vola?le chip memory support for power‐loss handling
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Why is the HDD supply base interested in ASTC?

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Suppliers meet HDD Factories

  • HDD producers operates at the outer boundaries of technology & scien?fic

knowledge

  • “There’s plenty of room at the boKom”§
  • One nanometer is the characteris2c dimension
  • substrate processes, spuKering, chemistry, metrology
  • Two million hours is the characteris2c MTBF
  • automa?on, disk processing systems, cleaning, RV
  • Three gigahertz is the characteris2c frequency
  • SOC, control, interface
  • Suppliers must meet producers needs at the outer boundaries of

technology & scien?fic knowledge

§ Richard P. Feynman, 29 December 1959

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Suppliers to HDD Producers

  • Far‐flung supply chain provides materials, components,

manufacturing, processing, and test equipment:

  • substrates
  • specialty metals
  • sputtering systems
  • automation
  • cleaning systems
  • processing equipment
  • processing supplies
  • certification
  • dimensional metrology
  • magnetic metrology
  • optical metrology
  • chemicals
  • suspensions
  • pre-amps
  • channels
  • SOC’s
  • servo track writers
  • Supply Chain Goes On ...

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Benefits for Infrastructure Companies

  • “Early warning” to technology transitions
  • Lead time to meet process and test requirements
  • Roadmap alignment within the industry
  • drive, heads, media, electronics, mechanical components
  • Roadmap alignment leads to efficient equipment development
  • Agreed-upon equipment platforms serving the industry
  • Efficient use of R&D resources developing equipment and

process

  • Meet time-to-market need for advanced technology products

and at lower cost

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Partnership HDD/Supply Chain

  • Improving areal density beyond ~1.5 Tb/in2 likely will require a

transition to new technology

  • HDD producers & supply chain collaboration is essential:
  • To manage technology choices
  • To generate detailed technology roadmap
  • To provide guidelines for each of process areas and infrastructure

development: “built for manufacturability & testability”

  • The success of ASTC will:
  • Steer suppliers efforts and investments to HDD producers’ needs
  • Yield shared solutions in component technologies
  • Reduce technology risk and improve time-to-market

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So What is ASTC ?

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Why Do We Need Something Different ?

  • Pace of technology transi?ons and scope of change required

means business as usual approach won’t work

  • Need to collimate and focus en?re industry R&D to be

successful

  • Need coordinated transi?on in supply base ‐‐ components,

equipment, and materials

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Vision for New ASTC

  • Global organiza?on
  • Learn and borrow from the successes of INSIC – EHDR and SRC

programs

– Collabora?ve research programs with universi?es

  • More open collabora?on among companies to share

direc?ons and manage projects

  • Act with a sense of urgency consistent with the needs of the

industry

  • Engage broader base of companies
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Expected Outputs from ASTC

  • Forum to share and coordinate direc?ons to increase speed

and reduce waste

  • Focused, collabora?ve research projects that will enable

beKer understanding of key scien?fic challenges

  • Shared, realis?c roadmap for the Industry
  • Solu?ons – science to engineering to manufacturing op?ons –

that will shorten time from invention to productization

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What is Expected from Members ?

  • Par?cipa?on – commitment of ?me
  • Openness – speed and reduce waste
  • Higher funding levels
  • More collabora?on and direc?on selng in research projects
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ASTC High Level Organization

Steering Committee Executive Council Technology Committee

Working Group Working Group

. . . . .

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