A CHANGING LOS ANGELES: LATINO COMMUNITIES AND OUR ECONOMIC FUTURE - - PDF document

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A CHANGING LOS ANGELES: LATINO COMMUNITIES AND OUR ECONOMIC FUTURE - - PDF document

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2/ 24/ 2017 A CHANGING LOS ANGELES: LATINO COMMUNITIES AND OUR ECONOMIC FUTURE MANUEL PASTOR @Prof_MPastor 02.22.17 1 2/ 24/ 2017 Changing Demographics, California, 19802040 100% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 90% 13% Other 14%

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02.22.17

MANUEL PASTOR

A CHANGING LOS ANGELES:

LATINO COMMUNITIES AND OUR ECONOMIC FUTURE

@Prof_MPastor

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67% 57% 47% 40% 37% 34% 30% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 19% 25% 32% 38% 40% 43% 45% 6% 9% 11% 13% 14% 14% 15% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Changing Demographics, California, 1980‐2040 Other Native American Asian/Pacific Islander Latino Black White 53% 41% 31% 28% 25% 22% 20% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 28% 37% 45% 48% 51% 54% 56% 6% 10% 12% 14% 14% 14% 14% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Changing Demographics Los Angeles County, 1980‐2040 Other Asian/Pacific Islander Latino Black White

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IMMIGRATION AS A (NON-) FACTOR

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2014

Los Angeles California U.S.

Immigrant Share of the Population, United States, California, and Los Angeles County, 1860-2014

‐10% ‐23% ‐2% ‐29% 39% ‐3% 31% ‐6% 31% ‐8%

‐40% ‐30% ‐20% ‐10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% U.S. Los Angeles Change in Youth Population by Race/Ethnicity U.S. and Los Angeles County, 2000‐2010 White Black Latino API Other

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35 45 45 41 38 29 26

All Native American White Asian/Pacific Islander Black Latino Other or mixed race Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County, 2010‐2014

WHO STAYS?

60% 70% 80% 82% Non-Hispanic White African American Latino Asian Pacific Islander

Share of Those Aged 25‐45 Who Were Born in California and Are Still Living in California, 2015

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THE LEGACY OF IMMIGRATION

5,930,372 4,087,626 10,072,681 3,113,819 4,375,038 3,379,311 7,408,103 38,366,950

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Rest of California Central Valley Los Angeles Orange Inland Empire Border Bay Area Total

I mmigr ant Shar e of Population, Califor nia, 2010-2014

THE LEGACY OF IMMIGRATION

316,425 339,649 962,150 254,735 266,149 204,703 506,677

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Rest of California Central Valley Los Angeles Orange Inland Empire Border Bay Area

U ndo c umente d Shar e of I mmigrant Population, California, 2010-2014

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LATINOS IN LOS ANGELES

Latino Ancestry Population % Immigrant Mexican 3,125,469 39% Salvadoran 356,970 62% Guatemalan 230,138 64% Honduran 45,698 64% Nicaraguan 34,089 69% Peruvian 30,207 67% Puerto Rican 28,716 0% Cuban 28,433 48% All other Latinos 919,652 34% Total 4,799,372 42%

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So urc e : U S Ce nsus

Mississippi Arkansas Louisiana D.C. Alabama Florida Oklahoma Tennessee Kentucky South Dakota New Mexico Texas Missouri West Virginia Georgia South Carolina Virginia North Carolina North Dakota Kansas New York Nebraska Arizona Iowa Montana California Minnesota Rhode Island Alaska Colorado Idaho Oregon Illinois Wyoming Maryland Massachusetts Delaware New Jersey Pennsylvania Hawaii Vermont Connecticut Washington Ohio Wisconsin Nevada Maine Michigan Utah Indiana New Hampshire

Household* Gini Coefficient, 1969

CHALLENGE OF INEQUALITY

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District of Columbia New York Connecticut Louisiana California Massachusetts Florida Rhode Island Texas Tennessee Georgia New Mexico Illinois Mississippi Alabama New Jersey North Carolina Arkansas Kentucky South Carolina Pennsylvania Arizona North Dakota Oklahoma Virginia Ohio Missouri Oregon Michigan Kansas Maine Colorado West Virginia Montana Washington Idaho Minnesota Delaware Maryland South Dakota Indiana Iowa Nevada New Hampshire Vermont Wisconsin Nebraska Hawaii Utah Wyoming Alaska

So urc e : U S Ce nsus

CHALLENGE OF INEQUALITY

Ho useho ld Gini Co effic ient , 2014

So urc e : I PU MS

CHALLENGE OF INEQUALITY

‐25% ‐23% ‐11% 4% 13% ‐11% ‐10% ‐7% 6% 17%

10th Percentile 20th Percentile 50th Percentile 80th Percentile 90th Percentile

Income Percentiles, Earned Income for Full‐Time Workers 25‐64 ($2010) U.S. and Los Angeles County, 1980‐2010*

Los Angeles County United States

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8% 29% 36% 18% 20% 11% 30% 38% 18% 26%

White Black Latino Asian/Pacific Islander All Percent of Families Living Below 150 Percent of the Federal Poverty Line by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County 1990 2010‐2014

PERSISTENT RACIAL GAPS

1% 3% 11% 3% 5% 2% 4% 13% 4% 7%

White Black Latino Asian/Pacific Islander All Percent of Full‐Time Workers age 25‐64 Below 150 Percent of the Federal Poverty Line by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County 1990 2010‐2014

PERSISTENT RACIAL GAPS

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35% 5% 10% 41% 11% 18% 36% 19% 25% 25% 14% 21% 4% 25% 31% 18% 16% 22% 5% 9% 10% 5% 8% 8% 21% 41% 22% 11% 51% 31%

New Jobs* White Black Latino API All Educational Requirement for New Jobs in California and Educational Attainment (of Adults 25‐64) by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County 2010‐2014 BA or higher AA degree Some college HS Diploma Less than HS

THE FUTURE’S SO BRIGHT . . . NOT

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A COMMON AGENDA

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% <$15,000 $15,000‐$35,000 $35,000‐$65,000 >$65,000

Percent Using Public Transit by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County, 2010‐2014

White Black Latino Asian/Pacific Islander Other

A COMMON AGENDA

59% 54% 54% 55% 63% 65%

40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% All Asian/Pacific Islander White Other Latino Black

Percent Rent Burdened by Race/Ethnicity Los Angeles County, 2010‐2014

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A BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY?

16% 8% 5% 7% 11% 25% 13% 14% 13% 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Non‐Hispanic White Black Latino API Other % Self‐employed among employed population ages 16+

Self‐Employment Rates by Race, Ethnicity, and Immigration, Los Angeles County, 2010‐2014

Native Born Immigrant

A BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY?

Source: 2012 Survey of Business Owners.

29.6% 10.6% 8.6% 5.7% 6.4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Share of all firms Share of firms w/ employees Share of employees Share of receipts Share of payroll

Latino‐owned Firms as a Share for All Firms with Owners Identified by Ethnicity, Los Angeles 2012

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LATINO SHARE OF THE ELECTORATE

Source: CSII analysis of data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the UC Berkeley Statewide Database .

23% 23% 32% 32% 35% 35% 44 44% 48% 48% Voted, 2014 General Election Registered to Vote, 2014 General Election Citizen Voting Age Population, 2009 to 2013 Voting Age Population, 2009 to 2013 Total Population, 2009 to 2013

LA County

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  • Work to build not just economic but

civic leadership

  • Stress that the Latino agenda is the

Los Angeles agenda – y lo contrario – so the future is shared

LOOKING FORWARD

  • Understand that this is an aspirational not

just an angry constituency

  • Stress that equity and inclusion are

fundamental not add-on’s

  • Commit to immigrant integration –it’s

everyone’s business

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FOR MORE . . .

@Prof_MPastor