Periodical Financial Information
9M 2017
RESULTS
9M 2017 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Analyst call 3 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
9M 2017 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Analyst call 3 Table of contents Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67 Main messages Ageas reports strong
Periodical Financial Information
RESULTS
Table of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
Main messages
Ageas reports strong nine months
3 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 *Consolidated entities only
Insurance performance Group result Balance sheet
including additional provision for Fortis settlement
which EUR 0.9 bn ring-fenced
4 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Settlement between Ageas & claimants organisations
Press release 16 October 2017 – Extension granted up to 12/12/2017
not to start any legal proceeding related to the events
Announcement 14/03/2016 Court’s interim decision 16/06/17 PR 16/10/17
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Group Free Capital Generation roll forward
Operational FCG of EUR 636 mio during 9M ’17, excl. Non-European NCP’s
In EUR mio
5
EUR 122 mio related to stop loss cover in UK EUR 70 mio dividend upstream from Non-European NCP’s *
Free Capital Generation
* Operational FCG generated by Non-European NCP’s of EUR 249 mio over H1 ’17 is not included in EUR 636 mio 1,111 1,071 39 127 444 (217) (200) (2) (419) 122 70 636
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 17OF SCR FCG = OF - 175%*SCR
stop loss cover Driven by
Belgium
464 (35)526 UK
23 (130)250 219 CEU
175 7163 Reinsurance
12 15(14) (24) General Account
423423 Geographical
106 106(79) (72) diversification Group eliminations
(632)(632) Total Ageas Solvency II scope
571 (37)636 122
Operational impact
10/03/2010 I page 6Split of operational impact per segment
Operational impact driven by Belgium & CEU
6 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * Expected return on RE investments reduced to 5% (vs. 6% in IR-day data) SCR reduction due to geographical diversification is deducted as non-transferable OF OF up on strong operational results Impact from consolidation of intra-company elements Driven by upstream from operating companies OF up on strong operational results *
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Evolution SCR & OF split between types of impact
In EUR mio 7
Own Funds
adjusted for accrued expected dividend
SCR
8,560 8,411 259 571 (58) (300) (200) (2) (419)
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 174,257 4,194 75 (55) (37) (47)
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 17424 473 181 212 199 803 686
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life cap gain AICAIn EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
Total Insurance: Headlines
Strong net result in both Life & Non-Life
8 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% In % NEP
118 161 77 80 196 241
Q3 16 Q3 1719.9 22.4 4.8 4.7 24.7 27.1
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life4.8 5.2 1.5 1.4 6.3 6.6
Q3 16 Q3 1797.0 94.9
9M 16 9M 1793.2 92.7
Q3 16 Q3 1797 106
9M 16 9M 1777 90
Q3 16 Q3 1721 26
9M 16 9M 178 28
Q3 16 Q3 1774.5 74.2 74.2 69.5 74.3 75.8 144.0 148.4 150.0
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 conso non-consoNet result: Solid result further underpinned by strong Q3 Non-Life combined ratio: excellent
Inflows*: Continued Life inflow growth in Asia driven by regular premiums Life Technical liabilities up in non-conso Operating margin Guaranteed: higher investment result & cap gains Operating margin Unit-Linked: up in both BE & CEU
4.6 4.2
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life 233 245 76 122309 366
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life 63 65 40 42103 107
Q3 16 Q3 17In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP 9 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
0.9 0.8 0.4 0.51.3 1.2
Q3 16 Q3 17 59.0 58.4 58.1 FY 16 6M 17 9M 1791 100
9M 16 9M 1797.1 89.6
9M 16 9M 1789.6 88.2
Q3 16 Q3 1714 35
Q3 16 Q3 1720 32
9M 16 9M 1765 78
Q3 16 Q3 17Belgium : Headlines
Continued excellent operating performance, especially in Non-Life
Life Technical Liabilities slightly down Non-Life: very strong performance - terror & weather events in 2016 Inflows: anticipated lower Guaranteed
Non-Life combined ratio - excellent performance confirmed in Q3 Operating margin Guaranteed: improved investment result Operating margin Unit-Linked: high underwriting margin
99.7 103.7
9M 16 9M 17In EUR mio 10 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In % of NEP In EUR bn * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
54 25
9M 16 9M 1719 14
Q3 16 Q3 1798.7 99.5
Q3 16 Q3 171.7 1.6
9M 16 9M 170.5 0.5
Q3 16 Q3 17United Kingdom: Headlines
Ogden rate review continues to influence results
Ogden impact
Ogden rate change impact mitigated by various actions
Net result impacted by Ogden (EUR 40 mio) Inflows* slightly down at constant FX Non-Life combined ratio impacted by Ogden (4.4pp)
Continental Europe: Headlines
Excellent operating performance continued
11 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
33 47 27 46 60 93
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life17 16 8 18 24 34
Q3 16 Q3 173.1 3.5 0.9 1.0 4.1 4.5
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life0.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.5
Q3 16 Q3 1715.5 15.9 16.1 20.0 21.2 21.6 35.5 37.1 37.7
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 conso non-conso90.7 90.4
9M 16 9M 1791.0 90.2
Q3 16 Q3 17116 144
9M 16 9M 17142 165 Q3 16 Q3 17 6 21
9M 16 9M 1722
Q3 16 Q3 17Net profit up 55% with equal contribution from Life & Non-Life Non-Life combined ratio @ excellent level & still improving Inflows driven by strong Life sales Operating margin Guaranteed up on higher investment margin Life Technical liabilities up 6% Operating margin Unit-Linked significantly up on higher fees & commissions
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn 12 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In % NEP * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
158 182 21 14 199378 197 9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life cap gain HK
13.6 16.2 0.7 0.614.3 16.8 9M 16 9M 17
Life Non-Life 3.1 3.2 0.2 0.23.3 3.3 Q3 16 Q3 17
39 80 10 349 84 Q3 16 Q3 17 49.5 53.1 54.2 FY 16 6M 17 9M 17
non-conso75.0 93.9
Q3 16 Q3 1784.6 89.2
9M 16 9M 17Asia: Headlines
Excellent operating performance thanks to product mix & financial performance
Life Technical liabilities up 9% Net result up almost 20% vs. LY excl. EUR 212 mio contribution from HK Inflows* up 22% scope-on-scope & @ constant FX - new business & renewals Non-Life combined ratio very strong
In EUR mio 13 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In % NEP In EUR mio
Intreas: Headlines
Internal Non-Life reinsurance company established in July 2015
Net result Inflows Combined ratio
3 5
9M 16 9M 171 2
Q3 16 Q3 1732 38
9M 16 9M 1711 14
Q3 16 Q3 1777.2 81.0
9M 16 9M 1776.1 85.5
Q3 16 Q3 17Net result Q3 includes EUR 100 mio provision related to Fortis settlement
In EUR mio
Accounting value remaining legacies – increased provision Fortis settlement
General Account: Headlines
Impacted by revaluation RPN(i) liability & additional provisions Fortis settlement
14 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Total liquid assets down on SBB &
In EUR mio
Impact on P&L from RPN(i) Staff & Operating expenses down
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR mio
Accounting value on AG Insurance put
(686) (326)
9M 16 9M 17(11) (165)
Q3 16 Q3 171.8 1.6 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.9 1.7 1.7
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 net cash liquid assets(275) (397) (437) 42 26 17 (1,024) (1,024) (1,124)
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 RPN(i) RPI Settlement(1,266) (1,363) (1,426)
FY 16 6M 17 9M 1723 22 49 38 72 60
9M 16 9M 17 Staff & Intercompany Operating10 11 9 14 19 25
Q3 16 Q3 1763 (162)
9M 16 9M 17(5) (41)
Q3 16 Q3 17In EUR mio
result
UK
agreement regarding the Fortis case
Table of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 17
Key financials
In EUR mio
9M 16
9M 17
Q3 16
Q3 17
Gross inflows
24,692
27,062
10%6,349
6,597
4%Net result Insurance
803
686
(15%)196
241
23%By segment:
309
366
18%103
107
4%54
25
(53%)19
14
(25%)60
93
55%24
34
43%378
197
(48%)49
84
72%3
5
1
2
By type:
623
473
(24%)118
161
36%181
212
17%77
80
3%Net result General Account
(686)
(326)
(11)
(165)
Net result Ageas
118
360
185
76
Earnings per share (in EUR)
0.56
1.78 Life Operating Margin Guaranteed (in bps)
97
106
77
90
Life Operating Margin Unit-Linked (in bps)
21
26
8
28
Combined ratio (in %)
97.0
94.9
93.2
92.7
FY 16
9M 17
Shareholders' equity
9,561
9,212
(4%)Net equity per share (in EUR)
46.56
46.02
Insurance ROE excl.UG/L
10.6%
14.1%
Insurance Solvency IIageas ratio
179%
194%
For a definition see Lexicon in annex to the press release
424 473 181 212 199 803 686
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life cap gain AICAIn EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
Total Insurance: Headlines
Strong net result in both Life & Non-Life
18 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% In % NEP
118 161 77 80 196 241
Q3 16 Q3 1719.9 22.4 4.8 4.7 24.7 27.1
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life4.8 5.2 1.5 1.4 6.3 6.6
Q3 16 Q3 1797.0 94.9
9M 16 9M 1793.2 92.7
Q3 16 Q3 1797 106
9M 16 9M 1777 90
Q3 16 Q3 1721 26
9M 16 9M 178 28
Q3 16 Q3 1774.5 74.2 74.2 69.5 74.3 75.8 144.0 148.4 150.0
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 conso non-consoNet result: Solid result further underpinned by strong Q3 Non-Life combined ratio: excellent
Inflows*: Continued Life inflow growth in Asia driven by regular premiums Life Technical liabilities up in non-conso Operating margin Guaranteed: higher investment result & cap gains Operating margin Unit-Linked: up in both BE & CEU
Inflows @ 100%
Growth driven by Asian Life & inclusion Ageas Seguros – 3% negative FX
19 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
EUR mio9M 16
9M 17
9M 16
9M 17
9M 16
9M 17
Belgium
75%3,135
2,684
(14%)1,462
1,485
2%4,597
4,169
(9%)United Kingdom
1,569
(9%)1,733
1,569
(9%)Consolidated entities
100%1,217
(10%)1,350
1,217
(10%)Non-consolidated JV's 383
352
(8%)383
352
(8%)Continental Europe
3,125
3,501
12%942
1,023
9%4,066
4,524
11%Consolidated entities 1,398
1,471
5%521
586
12%1,919
2,057
7%Portugal
51% - 100%1,076
1,141
6%368
474
29%1,444
1,615
12%France
100%322
330
3%322
330
3%Italy
50%154
112
(27%)154
112
(27%)Non-consolidated JV's 1,727
2,030
18%421
438
4%2,147
2,467
15%Turkey
36%421
438
4%421
438
4%Luxembourg
33%1,727
2,030
18%1,727
2,030
18%Asia
13,606
16,169
19%690
631
(8%)14,295
16,800
18%Consolidated entities
100%183 183 Non-consolidated JV's 13,422
16,169
20%690
631
(8%)14,112
16,800
19%Malaysia
31%425
515
21%451
393
(13%)876
908
4%Thailand
31%-15%1,856
2,052
11%238
239
0%2,094
2,290
9%China
25%10,997
13,408
22%10,997
13,408
22%Philippines
50%3
11
3
11
Vietnam
32%4 4
India
26%141
178
26%141
178
26%Insurance Ageas
19,866
22,353
13%4,826
4,709
(2%)24,692
27,062
10% #DIV/0! ###### ######Consolidated entities 4,717
4,155
(12%)3,333
3,288
(1%)8,049
7,443
(8%)Non-consolidated JV's 15,149
18,198
20%1,494
1,421
(5%)16,643
19,619
18%Reinsurance
32
38
32
38 Life Non-Life Total
Inflows @ Ageas’s part
Strong growth in Asian JV’s & Continental Europe
In EUR mio 20 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
2,351 2,013 1,470 1,623 3,664 4,185 7,486 7,820 1,096 1,114 1,542 1,394 596 687 175 157 3,409 3,352
(9%) (10%) 12% 13% 3% 20%
3,448 3,127 2,066 2,310 3,840 4,342 10,895 11,172 32 38
9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17EUR 70 mio in Life / EUR 211 mio in Non-Life Non-Life Life Belgium UK CEU Asia Insurance Reins.
Insurance net result
Very strong operating performance across all segments except UK
21 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
terrorism & weather in 9M ‘16
Non-Life Life Belgium UK CEU Asia Reins. Insurance
In EUR mio 233 245 33 47 357 182 623 473 76 122 27 46 21 14 181 212
309 366 54 25 60 93 378 197 3 5 803 686
9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17 9M 16 9M 17Overview of net realised capital gains* on investments
Support of cap gains somewhat higher in Belgium & UK
22 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * Net capital gains include capital gains, impairment & related changes in profit sharing, net of tax & @ ageas’s part – CEU JV’s not included EUR mio 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17
Life
80 102 4 12 Higher cap gains on equities &
Non-Life
12 13 (1) 2 RE transactions, mainly Q1
Total Belgium 92 115 3 14
Non-Life
10 19 1 (1) Derisking part of
Total UK 10 19 1 (1)
investment portfolio in Q1
Life
(6) (1) 2
Non-Life
Total CEU (6) (1) 2
Life
12 39 10 35
Non-Life
2 2 1 Mainly in China
Total Asia 14 40 11 35
Life
86 140 14 49
Non-Life
24 34 1 1
Total Ageas 110 173 15 50
23 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Insurance Combined ratio
Consistently below 97% target throughout the year
Combined ratio
Other lines & Motor - 9M ’16 included 3.5 pp terrorism & weather impact
Continental Europe (90.4%)
Motor improvement in BE Accident & Health in Portugal benign weather conditions helping Household Quarterly combined ratio
Claims ratio
– back to normal levels in Q3
Expense ratio up in UK
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
In % Net earned premium
73.2 69.0 68.1 64.3 64.4 62.2 67.0 63.0 59.6 59.8 56.7 32.8 31.1 31.0 34.0 35.2 34.7 34.1 34.0 35.3 33.4 36.0106.0 100.1 99.1 98.3 99.6 96.9 101.1 97.0 94.9 93.2 92.7
(3.7) (3.5) (3.1) (3.8) (4.0) (5.9) (3.0) (6.2) (5.4) (1.8) (4.4) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
2,858 3,507 4,178 3,749 3,843 4,112 3,079 3,052 1,034 983
Insurance Combined ratio per product line
Exceptional items impacting COR comparison
24 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Motor: excellent in BE – 2.4 pp Ogden Accident & Health: 2.7pp terrorism in 9M ’16 – improving in Portugal Other: 5.6pp Ogden vs. 5.5pp terrorism – good claims ratio in CEU Household: very strong COR in BE & CEU – 8.5 pp BE & UK weather impact in 9M ‘16
71.9 70.5 70.0 67.3 65.4 67.5 69.5 66.9 25.0 25.5 25.6 27.0 28.3 27.2 27.4 27.396.9 96.0 95.6 94.3 93.7 94.7 96.9 94.2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 72.0 73.6 69.8 69.6 69.1 78.2 68.3 67.6 25.3 25.4 29.3 29.7 30.5 29.7 29.5 30.997.3 99.0 99.1 99.3 99.6 107.9 97.8 98.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 61.9 55.6 51.5 51.5 50.4 50.5 51.9 43.1 41.5 41.6 44.0 44.6 41.6 42.7 43.1 44.6103.4 97.2 95.5 96.1 92.0 93.2 95.0 87.7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 67.2 66.5 62.4 71.2 57.9 60.4 55.1 53.1 44.8 44.9 45.5 50.6 46.4 44.4 43.9 46.4112.0 111.4 107.9 121.8 104.3 104.8 99.0 99.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17NEP 736
763 813 813 811 838 625 639
NEP 1,571 2,058 1,557 1,616 1,724 1,790
1,343 1,317
NEP 892
1,007 986 1,029 1,078 1,067 800 794
NEP 308
349 394 385 424 418 311 303
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
Insurance Life operating margin per product line
Margins in Guaranteed driven by investment result
Guaranteed: up in both BE & CEU Unit-linked: increase in both BE & CEU
25 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
11 13 12 17 4 4 3 2 1 (2) 2 1 2 2 1 (4) 37 18 6 18 19 15 23 7 3048 28 20 36 25 21 26 8 28
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Operating margin Expense & other m. Investment m. Underwriting m.Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
11.8 12.3 12.6 13.0 12.1 12.0 14.9 12.0 14.9
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
54.0 55.5 56.9 57.9 57.3 57.2 55.9 57.2 55.9
44 43 38 33 41 41 41 41 48 87 83 90 80 88 92 106 76 84 (33) (31) (39) (23) (36) (36) (41) (40) (42)99 96 89 90 93 97 106 77 90
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 174.6 4.2
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life 233 245 76 122309 366
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life 63 65 40 42103 107
Q3 16 Q3 17In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP 26 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
0.9 0.8 0.4 0.51.3 1.2
Q3 16 Q3 17 59.0 58.4 58.1 FY 16 6M 17 9M 1791 100
9M 16 9M 1797.1 89.6
9M 16 9M 1789.6 88.2
Q3 16 Q3 1714 35
Q3 16 Q3 1720 32
9M 16 9M 1765 78
Q3 16 Q3 17Belgium : Headlines
Continued excellent operating performance, especially in Non-Life
Life Technical Liabilities slightly down Non-Life: very strong performance - terror & weather events in 2016 Inflows: anticipated lower Guaranteed– continued strong inflow growth in UL Non-Life combined ratio - excellent performance confirmed in Q3 Operating margin Guaranteed: improved investment result Operating margin Unit-Linked: driven by high underwriting margin
+2% 1,462 1,485
9M 16 9M 17 2,816 2,086 320 5983,135 2,684
9M 16 9M 17Life
In EUR mio
Non-Life
In EUR mio 27 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor
Belgium: Inflows@ 100%
Lower inflows in Guaranteed & continued strong increase in UL
Guaranteed
with expectations after gradual downward review of the guaranteed rates over 2016
Unit-linked
campaigns in the bank channel
Group Life
Non-Life
28 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Belgium: Combined ratio
Excellent operating performance with combined ratio at 89.6%
Net earned premium (in EUR mio)
68.7 64.3 62.7 63.2 63.5 56.9 58.3 59.0 51.4 51.7 50.4 36.4 36.8 36.8 36.7 37.7 37.8 37.7 38.1 38.2 37.9 37.8105.1101.1 99.5 99.9 101.2 94.7 96.0 97.1 89.6 89.6 88.2
(6.6) (7.3) (4.5) (3.6) (3.4) (7.2) (8.2) (9.0) (9.1) (1.8) (4.9) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
1,541 1,601 1,698 1,785 1,815 1,832 1,836 1,374 1,389 464 469Combined ratio
product lines 9M ’16 combined ratio was impacted by terrorism events of 22 March 2016 (2.8 pp) adverse weather events (4.1 pp)
Quarterly combined ratio
Claims ratio
weather
Expense ratio stable
97.6 97.0 97.5 95.5 98.0 97.6 100.8 98.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 58.2 65.9 66.1 87.5 65.8 58.3 57.6 46.2 49.5 48.1 47.2 47.6 45.0 44.6 45.0 44.6107.7 114.0 113.3 135.1 110.8 102.9 102.6 90.8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 63.0 50.5 51.4 51.7 43.9 47.8 50.0 36.6 46.9 46.2 45.6 45.7 45.2 44.8 45.2 45.7109.9 96.7 97.0 97.4 89.1 92.6 95.2 82.3
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 58.9 64.7 64.7 62.6 56.2 59.7 57.3 52.9 35.3 35.8 36.3 37.2 36.4 36.4 36.8 37.094.2 100.5 101.0 99.8 92.6 96.1 94.1 89.9
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17Belgium: Combined ratio per product line
Solid combined ratio in all product lines
29 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
NEP
451 480 507 504 484 472 355 359NEP
525 540 552 562 568 570 427 431NEP
484 530 564 579 595 605 451 454NEP
142 149 162 170 185 190 141 145Accident & Health: higher claims in SME – 4.7 pp impact of terrorism in 9M ‘16 Motor: Excellent combined ratio, driven by Motor Third Party Liability Household: Very strong ratio, benefitting from benign weather Other: 9M ’16 heavily impacted by terrorism (12.1 pp)
Life operating margin per product line
Strong margins in Guaranteed & Unit-Linked
Guaranteed: supported by solid capital gains in both
years
Unit-linked: improved underwriting margin
30 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In bps Avg techn. liabilities
4 4 (2) 1 (5) 1 (1) 2 44 38 32 31 31 25 31 15 3347 41 30 32 31 20 32 14 35
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Operating margin Investment m. Expense & other m. Underwriting m.Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
44.9 46.4 47.5 48.1 48.7 48.6 48.0 48.6 48.0
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
5.2 5.4 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.0 7.5 6.0 7.5
32 32 30 25 29 29 30 25 35 93 88 95 88 91 97 106 76 79 (29) (31) (38) (27) (34) (35) (36) (36) (36)96 89 87 86 86 91 100 65 78
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 9M 17 Guaranteed interest rate 2.71% 2.63% 2.49% 2.37% Fixed income yield 3.84% 3.71% 3.45% 3.37% Liabilities Guaranteed
(EUR bn)
51.8 50.3 52.9 50.3 FY 15 FY 16 9M 17 Fixed income yield 2.89% 2.11% 1.91% Reinvested amount (EUR bn) 4.6 4.2 1.7
Guaranteed retail Life:
Margin evolution Assets & Liabilities Belgium
Yield & guaranteed rate on back book down at the same pace
Life Back book New money Life & Non-Life
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 31
1,5% 2,0% 2,5% 3,0% 3,5% 4,0% 4,5%
Guaranteed interest rate Total fixed income yield
3.37%
Margin evolution Assets & Liabilities Belgium
Evolution of the margin on the back book since 2011
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 32
2.37%
99.7 103.7
9M 16 9M 17In EUR mio 33 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In % of NEP In EUR bn * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
54 25
9M 16 9M 1719 14
Q3 16 Q3 1798.7 99.5
Q3 16 Q3 171.7 1.6
9M 16 9M 170.5 0.5
Q3 16 Q3 17United Kingdom: Headlines
Ogden rate review continues to influence results
Ogden impact
Ogden rate change impact mitigated by various actions
Net result impacted by Ogden (EUR 40 mio) Inflows* slightly down at constant FX Non-Life combined ratio impacted by Ogden (4.4pp)
34 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Non-Life
In EUR mio Other Household Accident & Health Motor
United Kingdom: Inflows@ 100%
Inflows down 9%, impacted by adverse FX – down 2% at constant FX
31 26 1,182 1,094 347 315 173 1351,733 1,569
9M 16 9M 17Non-Life
than offset by all other lines
Commercial
run off in Special Risks
impact on total
35 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 Restatement for deconsolidation of Tesco Underwriting since 2013. 2015 figures restated for consolidation Non-Life & Other In % Net earned premium
United Kingdom: Combined ratio
COR impacted by Ogden rate change
Net earned premium (in EUR mio)
81.5 74.6 73.3 65.6 66.3 69.3 80.7 68.2 69.3 68.4 64.0 28.0 25.3 26.5 32.2 33.5 32.8 31.5 31.5 34.4 30.3 35.5109.5 99.9 99.8 97.8 99.8 102.1 112.2 99.7 103.7 98.7 99.5
(1.1) 0.1 (2.1) (4.0) (4.6) (4.4) 4.5 (3.9) (0.7) (1.5) (4.1) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
948 1,524 2,083 1,562 1,613 1,751 1,598 1,217 1,128 387 365
Combined ratio 9M 17
Quarterly combined ratio
Claims ratio
improvement in Motor & benign weather in Household
claims in Motor & large losses in Other lines
Expense ratio
performance more than offset by lower ancillary income & commission mix
NEP
366 434 374 399 413 361 274 25936 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 Restatement for deconsolidation of Tesco Underwriting since 2013. 2015 figures restated for consolidation Non-Life & Other
United Kingdom: Combined ratio per product line
87.7 78.1 76.2 66.0 55.8 58.4 62.5 59.2 23.2 28.2 34.3 38.7 43.3 40.9 42.6 47.4110.9 106.3 110.5 104.7 99.1 99.3 105.1 106.6
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 79.2 77.2 71.9 74.6 75.8 91.0 73.9 75.7 19.5 21.3 25.0 25.1 27.2 25.5 25.4 27.198.7 98.5 96.9 99.7 103.0 116.5 99.3 102.8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 61.4 62.3 51.4 51.0 62.2 57.6 57.6 53.2 35.3 36.7 42.4 43.3 37.3 40.6 41.1 46.596.7 99.0 93.8 94.3 99.5 98.2 98.7 99.7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 71.6 67.7 59.8 56.0 55.3 73.7 59.2 68.3 39.3 42.1 44.4 54.3 48.6 44.9 43.4 47.2110.9 109.8 104.2 110.3 103.9 118.6 102.6 115.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17NEP
65 57 79 71 72 39 31 23NEP
949 1,420 907 958 1,062 1,014 772 713NEP
143 173 202 185 204 185 140 134Accident & Health: Lower volumes - marginal impact on total Motor: Ogden impact of 4.4pp - lower PY releases Other: 12.7pp Ogden impact – mainly Commercial lines Household: Lower ancillary income - lower PY releases
Continental Europe: Headlines
Excellent operating performance continued
37 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
33 47 27 46 60 93
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life17 16 8 18 24 34
Q3 16 Q3 173.1 3.5 0.9 1.0 4.1 4.5
9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life0.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.5
Q3 16 Q3 1715.5 15.9 16.1 20.0 21.2 21.6 35.5 37.1 37.7
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 conso non-conso90.7 90.4
9M 16 9M 1791.0 90.2
Q3 16 Q3 17116 144
9M 16 9M 17142 165 Q3 16 Q3 17 6 21
9M 16 9M 1722
Q3 16 Q3 17Net profit up 55% with equal contribution from Life & Non-Life Non-Life combined ratio @ excellent level & still improving Inflows driven by strong Life sales Operating margin Guaranteed up on higher investment margin Life Technical liabilities up 6% Operating margin Unit-Linked significantly up on higher fees & commissions
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
Life
In EUR mio
Non-Life
In EUR mio
Continental Europe: Inflows @ 100%
Focus on Unit-Linked sales in Life & strong overall growth in Non-Life
38 Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor
298 326 333 374 202 210 108 113+9% 941 1,023
9M 16 9M 17 1,585 1,303 1,540 2,198+12% 3,125 3,501
9M 16 9M 17Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Life
(+12%) - Increase mainly realised in Portugal & Luxembourg
Portugal: up 6%, on higher UL sales and retirement offer in Ocidental and inclusion of Ageas Seguros (EUR 69), outperforming the Portuguese market (-1% @ end August) France: up 3% also in a market that decreased by 4% (end of August 17). Business mix moving towards more Unit-Linked. Luxembourg: sales up 18% year-on-year and mainly realised in High Net Worth segment with Unit-Linked representing 72% (vs. 61% LY)
Technical liabilities
Non-Life
July (6M ’17 stood @ EUR 111 mio)
companies & influenced by inclusion Ageas Seguros as from Q2 2016
product lines
39
Continental Europe: Combined ratio
Combined Ratio continues improving – also & particularly in Turkey
* Scope: only consolidated companies
In % Net earned premium*
Net earned premium (in EUR mio)
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
66.4 63.6 63.7 61.3 55.9 58.6 61.6 60.8 62.4 58.2 30.3 29.8 30.0 30.8 29.5 30.1 29.1 29.6 28.6 32.096.7 93.4 93.7 92.1 85.4 88.7 90.7 90.4 91.0 90.2
(2.0) (2.5) (4.0) (4.3) (6.5) (6.5) (4.0) (6.0) (2.6) (4.4) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
Combined ratio
performance with gradual improvement since 2011
Ageas Seguros, still in the course of its transformation plan
combined ratio @ 95.9% (vs. 99.2%) despite hail & floods in July
Quarterly combined ratio
announced divestment in Italy
Claims ratio
Motor and Accident & Health
companies
Expense ratio
382 397 403 415 454 664 475 517 178 142
Continental Europe: Combined ratio per product line
Continued good claims experience, overall stable expense ratio
Motor: claims slightly up on large claims in Italy (in 6M ’17) partly offset by improved ratio in Ocidental. Accident & Health: improving on higher PY run-off in Portugal Household: good claims experience at Ocidental despite fires in Q2 Other: extremely good claims ratio & higher run-offs
40
63.5 63.3 59.7 61.9 58.8 64.9 65.2 62.6 27.8 28.2 26.6 26.7 25.2 25.1 24.6 25.291.3 91.5 86.3 88.6 84.0 90.0 89.8 87.8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17NEP
220 226 227 238 255 328 239 257 71.8 69.8 79.3 60.1 71.5 65.5 70.4 71.3 29.2 28.1 29.2 31.6 32.3 32.5 30.0 32.0 101.0 97.9 108.5 91.7 103.8 98.0 100.4 103.3 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 94.5 62.8 59.6 72.3 31.7 12.1 24.2 10.8 50.0 43.3 43.7 45.1 40.8 41.3 41.6 53.6 144.5 106.1 103.3 117.4 72.5 53.4 65.8 64.4 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 53.7 51.8 53.5 54.0 36.1 42.3 46.2 45.3 34.2 33.5 38.8 40.3 35.9 38.0 38.1 32.687.9 85.3 92.3 94.3 72.0 80.3 84.3 77.9
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17NEP
23 28 29 30 35 43 30 24
NEP
42 44 48 51 70 91 65 69NEP
97 99 99 96 94 202 142 168Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Overall stable expense ratio, influenced per Line of business by change in cost allocation in Italy and PGAAP at Ageas Seguros
Continental Europe Life operating margin per product line
Guaranteed & Unit-Linked margins continue improving
Guaranteed: increase thanks to higher investment margin Unit-linked: significantly up on higher fees & commissions
41
fees & commissions
In bps Avg techn. liabilities Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
118 106 95 100 110 107 111 128 123 69 68 77 59 76 72 103 74 118 (85) (83) (102) (71) (65) (63) (70) (60) (76)102 91 70 88 121 116 144 142 165
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
7.8 7.6 7.7 8.0 8.7 8.7 7.9 8.7 7.9
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
6.1 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 7.4 5.9 7.4
1 (5) 1 2 1 (7) 2 1 1 2 2 5 1 2 41 51 9 4 5 3 16 (1) 2744 47 10 7 7 6 21 22
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M 16 9M 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Operating margin Expense & other m. Underwriting m. Investment m.In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn 42 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In % NEP * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
158 182 21 14 199378 197 9M 16 9M 17 Life Non-Life cap gain HK
13.6 16.2 0.7 0.614.3 16.8 9M 16 9M 17
Life Non-Life 3.1 3.2 0.2 0.23.3 3.3 Q3 16 Q3 17
39 80 10 349 84 Q3 16 Q3 17 49.5 53.1 54.2 FY 16 6M 17 9M 17
non-conso75.0 93.9
Q3 16 Q3 1784.6 89.2
9M 16 9M 17Asia: Headlines
Excellent result thanks to product mix & financial performance
Life Technical liabilities up 9% Net result up almost 20% vs. LY excl. EUR 212 mio contribution from HK Inflows* up 22% scope-on-scope & @ constant FX - new business & renewals Non-Life combined ratio very strong
Life Non-Life
43 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
13,477 15,529 129 640 +19% 13,605 16,169 9M 16 9M 17 310 291 84 86 81 79 215 176690 631
9M 16 9M 17Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor In EUR mio In EUR mio
Asia: Inflow @ 100%
Strong Life growth across all markets – Non-Life business mix towards more profitable lines
Life
New business premiums up 8% scope-on-scope with EUR 4.2 bn regular premium (+26%) & EUR 3.1 bn single premium (-9%)
Renewal premiums increased to EUR 8.9 bn (+33%) benefiting from continued good persistency
China +26% @ constant FX - New business premiums up 11% mainly driven by regular business following successful sales campaigns & increased number of agents. Renewal increased strongly (+41%)
Thailand +7% @ constant FX – strong growth in renewals (+13%) thanks to continued customer loyalty
Malaysia +29% @ constant FX - new business up 27%, gradually recovering from LY - renewals up 23%
India +22% @ constant FX - growth in new business (+31%) mainly in PAR & Non-PAR products in line with product strategies of better value creation - renewal premiums (+15%) increased.
Philippines Inflows @ EUR 11 mio mainly from credit life products
Vietnam started sales as of March 2017 with YTD inflows @ EUR 4 mio
Non-Life
Malaysia -8% @ constant FX - lower MAT & Motor partly compensated by higher Personal Accident & Fire
Thailand -3% @ constant FX - growth in Fire offset by lower inflows in Motor &
Result Q3 includes EUR 100 mio related to Fortis settlement
In EUR mio
Accounting value remaining legacies – increased provision Fortis settlement
General Account: Headlines
Impacted by revaluation RPN(i) liability & additional provisions Fortis settlement
44 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Total liquid assets down on SBB &
In EUR mio
Impact on P&L from RPN(i) Staff & Operating expenses down - Q3 provision corporate centre restructuring
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR mio
Accounting value on AG Insurance put
(686) (326)
9M 16 9M 17(11) (165)
Q3 16 Q3 171.8 1.6 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.9 1.7 1.7
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 net cash liquid assets(275) (397) (437) 42 26 17 (1,024) (1,024) (1,124)
FY 16 6M 17 9M 17 RPN(i) RPI Settlement(1,266) (1,363) (1,426)
FY 16 6M 17 9M 1723 22 49 38 72 60
9M 16 9M 17 Staff & Intercompany Operating10 11 9 14 19 25
Q3 16 Q3 1763 (162)
9M 16 9M 17(5) (41)
Q3 16 Q3 17In EUR mio
1,943 Fortis settlement SBB 1,691 (417) (199) (2) (77) (52) (26) (16) 510 27
Upstream Dividend Share buy-back RPI Asia UK HQ expenses RO expenses Other 9M 17
45 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Total liquid assets General Account
Evolution total liquid assets related to share buy-back & investments in insurance
In EUR mio
46 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Main characteristics Hybrids
In EUR mio
Ageas
Ageasfinlux Fresh Fixed-to-Floating Rate Callable Fixed Rate Reset Perpetual Subordinated Loans Fixed Rate Reset Dated Subordinated Notes CASHES % 3m EUR + 135 bps 5.25% 6.75% 3.5% 3m EUR +200 bps Amount
1,250 450 550 USD 400 948
ISIN XS0147484074 BE6261254013 BE6251340780 BE6277215545 BE0933899800 Call date Undated, strike 315.0 mandatory 472.5 Jun 24 Step up to 3M Euribor +413 bps Mar 19 Step up to 6yr USD swap + 533 bps June 2027 Step up after 12 years of 100bps Undated, strike 239.4, mandatory 359.1 Other Subscribed by Ageas & BNP Paribas Fortis Public issue Public issue Coupon served by FBB, trigger ACSM linked to Ageas dividend Market Price (30/09/17) 60.85 121.13 105.81 107.33 84.43
Fortis Bank
(now BNP PF)
AG Insurance
(Belgium)
Table of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
48 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Shareholders’ equity at EUR 9.2 bn - UG/L of EUR 13.38/share
Down on return to shareholders & FX, partly compensated by net result & UCG/L
In EUR mio 6,459 6,544 2,498 2,685 604 (17)
686 209
(326) (419) (199) (107) (183) (3) (7)
EUR 46.56 EUR 46.02
9,561 9,212
FY 16 Result Insurance Result Gen Acc Change UG/L Dividend Treasury Shares Reval AG put option Forex IAS 19 Other 9M 17Insurance UCG/L Insurance UCG/L
Shareholders’ equity per segment Shareholders’ equity per share
Belgium 4,683
►4,844 Asia 2,004
►1,996 UK 815
►856 Reinsurance 104
►109 Continental Europe 1,350
►1,424 Insurance 8,957
►9,229 General Account 604
►(17)
49
Tangible net equity
High quality capital structure
10/03/2010 I page 49EUR bn FY 16 9M 17
IFRS Shareholders' Equity 9.6 9.2
Unrealised gains real estate 0.5 0.5 Goodwill (0.7) (0.7) VOBA (Value of Business Acquired) (0.1) (0.1) DAC (Deferred Acquisition Cost) (0.5) (0.5) Other (0.4) (0.4) Goodwill, DAC, VOBA related to N-C interests 0.4 0.4 25% tax adjustment DAC, VOBA & Other 0.2 0.2
IFRS Tangible net equity 8.9 8.6
IFRS Tangible net equity/ IFRS Shareholder's Equity 93% 93%
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
6.9 7.2 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5 0.1 0.1 (1.5)(1.6) 7.5 8.0 0.7 0.1 8.1 8.1 4.3 4.6
FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Solvency IIageas Insurance up on a strong operational performance
General Account down on put option, SBB, capital injection UK & Fortis settlement
Solvency IIageas in %
In EUR bn
Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*50
Belgium UK CEU Reins.
DiversificationInsurance GA Group
Non-transferable* Based on local solvency requirements
244% 251% 100% 134% 127% 171% 278% 217% 179% 194% 191% 193% 264% 259%51
Ageas Insurance Solvency sensitivities
Providing updated sensitivities to allow more accurate assessment
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
As per 31/12/’16
Based on Solvency IIageas SCR OF Solvency
Base case
Before stress 4,182 7,478
179% Yield curve down
Down 50 bps 4,456 7,407
166% Yield curve up
Up 50 bps 3,942 7,452
189% UFR
Down to 3.65% (from 4.2%) 4,235 7,396
175% Equity
Down 30% 3,958 6,954
176% Property
Down 20% 4,079 7,189
176% Spread
Spreads on corporate & government bonds up 50 bps 4,401 6,888
157% Corporate spread
Spreads on corporate bonds up 50 bps 4,054 7,501
185% Sovereign spread
Spread on government bonds up 50 bps 4,546 6,849
151%
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Insurance SCRageas per risk type
Market risk main factor in SCR
52 In EUR bn
( 1.5 ) ( 1.4 ) ( 0.5 ) ( 0.6 ) ( 1.0 ) ( 1.1 ) 4.3 4.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
4.2 4.1
FY 16 9M 17 Non Diversifiable Non-life UW Health UW Life UW Counterparty Default Market Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes Loss-Absorption Techn. Liab. Diversification Diversification Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Solvency PIM – as reported to the regulator under Pillar I
Insurance ratio up on a strong operational performance
Solvency II PIM in %
In EUR bn
Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*53
3.4 3.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 (0.3) (0.2) 4.6 4.3 0.1 0.1 4.7 4.4 1.6 1.86.8 7.0 0.7 0.8 1.7 1.9 0.1 0.1 (1.6) (1.7) 7.6 8.1 0.5 (0.0) 8.1 8.0 4.3 4.6
FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17 FY 16 9M 17* Based on local solvency requirements
Belgium UK CEU Reins.
DiversificationInsurance GA Group
Non-transferable 201% 216% 96% 129% 211% 290% 259% 207% 166% 187% 174% 183% 264% 259%Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Tiering of Group PIM own funds
High quality of own funds
54 In EUR bn
5.7 5.7 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.1
8.1 8.0
FY 16 9M 17
Tier 3 Tier 2 Tier 1 restricted Tier 1
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Group Free Capital Generation roll forward
Operational FCG of EUR 636 mio during 9M ’17, excl. Non-European NCP’s
In EUR mio
55
EUR 122 mio related to stop loss cover in UK EUR 70 mio dividend upstream from Non-European NCP’s *
Free Capital Generation
* Operational FCG generated by Non-European NCP’s of EUR 249 mio over H1 ’17 is not included in EUR 636 mio 1,111 1,071 39 127 444 (217) (200) (2) (419) 122 70 636
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 17OF SCR FCG = OF - 175%*SCR
stop loss cover Driven by
Belgium
464 (35)526 UK
23 (130)250 219 CEU
175 7163 Reinsurance
12 15(14) (24) General Account
423423 Geographical
106 106(79) (72) diversification Group eliminations
(632)(632) Total Ageas Solvency II scope
571 (37)636 122
Operational impact
10/03/2010 I page 56Split of operational impact per segment
Operational impact driven by Belgium & CEU
56 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 * Expected return on RE investments reduced to 5% (vs. 6% in IR-day data) SCR reduction due to geographical diversification is deducted as non-transferable OF OF up on strong operational results Impact from consolidation of intra-company elements Driven by upstream from operating companies OF up on strong operational results *
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Evolution SCR & OF split between types of impact
In EUR mio 57
Own Funds
adjusted for accrued expected dividend
SCR
8,560 8,411 259 571 (58) (300) (200) (2) (419)
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 174,257 4,194 75 (55) (37) (47)
FY 16 Model changes M&A (divestments) Market impact Operational impact Exceptional items Capital transactions M&A (acquisitions) Paid Dividend 9M 17Table of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
59 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017 In EUR bn
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costsAsset mix
Gross unrealized gains/losses on Available for Sale
fixed income & corporate bonds
Gross UG/L on Real Estate: stable at EUR 1.5 bn (vs. EUR
1.5 bn) - not reflected in shareholders’ equity
EUR 2.2 bn unrealized gains/losses on Held to Maturity (vs.
EUR 2.4 bn) - not reflected in shareholders’ equity
Investment portfolio
Investment portfolio down on unrealized capital gains on fixed income
Sovereign bonds 37.9 Sovereign bonds 37.7 Corporate bonds 24.1 Corporate bonds 21.6 Structured 0.1 Structured 0.1 Loans 8.7 Loans 8.9 Equities 4.4 Equities 4.8 Real Estate 5.3 Real Estate 5.3 Cash 2.2 Cash 2.3
82.7 80.7
FY 16 9M 1737.9 37.7
FY 16 9M 17In EUR bn
Sovereign bond portfolio*
Sovereign & Corporate bond portfolio
Value fixed income portfolio driven by a decrease in unrealized capital gains
60 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Corporate bond portfolio*
Banking 3.8 Banking 3.3 Other financials 1.9 Other financials 1.7 Non Financials 13.5 Non Financials 12.8 Government related 4.9 Government related 3.8
24.1 21.6
FY 16 9M 17 * All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costsLoan portfolio (customers + banks)*
Loan & Equity portfolio
More loans with guarantee
Loans to banks 1.3 Loans to banks 1.3 RE 0.2 RE 0.2 Infrastructure 0.5 Infrastructure 0.6 Mortgages 1.3 Mortgages 1.2 Other 5.4 Other 5.6
8.7 8.9
FY 16 9M 17guarantee by the Belgian regions or the Dutch State
61 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Equity portfolio*
Equities 2.5 Equities 3.2 Equity funds 0.3 Equity funds 0.2 RE funds 0.8 RE funds 0.8
Mixed funds &4.4 4.8
FY 16 9M 17 * All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costsIn EUR bn
62 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Real estate portfolio
10/03/2010shareholders’ equity but contributing to available capital for solvency calculation*)
Investment Offices 2.2 Investment Offices 2.2 Car Parks 1.1 Car Parks 1.1 Investment Retail 1.4 Investment Retail 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
5.3 5.3
FY 16 9M 17Investment Warehouses RE Development Investment Warehouses RE Development
In EUR bn
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costsTable of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
64 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Settlement between Ageas & claimants organisations
Press release 16 October 2017 – Extension granted up to 12/12/2017
not to start any legal proceeding related to the events
Announcement 14/03/2016 Court’s interim decision 16/06/17 PR 16/10/17
65
Fortis Settlement
Revised indicative timeline after Court’s interim decision & granted extension filing period
16/06/2017
17/10/2017
12/12/2017
estimated first half 2018
1
amendedsettlement
(if any) if approved by Court
1.Announcement Original Settlement
14/03/2016
23/05/2016
25/08/2016
Announcement
24/03/2017
est. mid 2018 by end 2019 ...
Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Table of contents
Analyst call 3 Segment information 17 Equity / Solvency/ FCG 48 Investment portfolio 59 Legal Settlement 64 General Information 67
situation 31/12/2016 situation 30/09/2017 situation 03/11/2017
216,570,471 209,399,949 209,399,949
15,143,439 13,118,575 13,377,966 7,170,522 5,191,462 5,450,853 3,968,254 3,968,254 3,968,254 45,804 3,958,859 3,958,859 3,958,859 201,427,032 196,281,374 196,021,983
67 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Total number of outstanding shares
SBB & cancellation cancellation SBB
Total Issued Shares
Shares not entitled to dividend nor voting rights
FRESH Other treasury shares
Shares entitled to dividend & voting rights
* After deduction of shares for management plans *
68 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Shareholders structure
Based on number of shares as at 3 November 2017
Ageas 4.5% Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Schroders Norges Fosun Franklin Mutual Advisers Identified retail investors 20% Identified institutional investors 39% Other investors 14%
Based upon press release 6 November 2017 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 6 May 2013 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 17 March 2014 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 14 December 2015 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 10 October 2017 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 5 October 2017 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 14 July 2015 Estimate by Estimate by Ageas Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Schroders Norges Fosun Franklin Mutual Advisers Identified retail investors Identified institutional investors
69 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Financial calendar 2017 - 2018
21 February FY 2017 results 16 May 3M 2018 results 16 May Ordinary shareholders’ meeting Brussels 28 May Ex-dividend date 6 April Annual report 2017 30 May Payment 2017 dividend 8 August 6M 2018 results 14 November 9M 2018 results 8 November 9M 2017 results
70 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Rating
Improved rating for operating entities
S&P MOODY'S FITCH Operating
AG Insurance (Belgium) A / stable A2 / stable* A+ / stable
entities
Last change 06/11/15 17/03/16 09/12/16
unsollicited
Ageas Insurance Limited A / stable A+ / stable Last change 06/11/15 23/11/16 Muang Thai Life BBB+ / stable BBB+ / stable Last change 29/12/10 27/07/16 Etiqa Insurance Berhad (Malaysia) A- / stable Last change 27/07/16 China Taiping Life A+ / stable Last change 06/04/17 Intreas A / stable Last change 11/11/16
Holding
ageas SA/NV BBB / stable Baa3 / positive* A / stable Last change 15/03/16 30/11/16 09/12/16
unsollicited
* Ageas has requested in early 2009 that this rating should be withdrawn. Ageas no longer participates in Moody's credit rating process. Ageas does not provide, for purposes of Moody's rating, access to the books, records and other relevant internal documents of these rated entities.
71 Periodic financial Information I 9M 17 results I 8 November 2017
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed
without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of
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