Normal 1 24/05/2017 We now think of it as normal 2 24/05/2017 3 - - PDF document

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What is Zero Carbon?

‘Normal’

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We now think of it as ‘normal’

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• but there’s a Catch-22

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A plan that delivers what the physics & the ambition of the UN Paris Agreement demands

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Showing have all the technologies….

2013 2010

In collaboration with:

2007 1977

Where we are now

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Through integrating a smart approach to food, diet, buildings, transport, energy & land-use, the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced to net zero

• without relying on future technology
• without major impacts on quality of life
• whilst also considering ‘adaptation’

Power-down & Power-up

Power down energy demand:

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Today

• 35%
• 78%

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Powering up Britain with renewables: Can we “keep the lights

• n”?

Yes we can! The ZCB Energy Model: is based on ten years of real-world hourly data from 2002 - 2011 87,648 hours

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The ZCB Scenario demonstrates

• 82% of the time, the supply of renewable electricity exceeds

demand (including heating and transport).

• 18% of the time, electricity supply does not fully meet demand.
• Short-term storage & load shifting can reduce this from 18% to 15%.
• Biogas & “carbon neutral synthetic gas” in power stations cover this.
• Management of supply and demand with a 100% renewable

energy system is possible with existing technology Synthetic gas storage = Demand met 100% of time

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Rethinking diets & land-use

64% of adults overweight/obese (Bates et al, 2011). Too much food.

• An unhealthy balance.
• Too much HFSS and high protein foods.
• Too little fruit, vegetables and cereals.
• Waste = 30% in Europe (FAO, 2011).

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• 65-70% = food production/agriculture (despite 42% imports).
• 85% of agricultural land = livestock.
• About 12% = forest (European average = 37%).

Land use today

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Net zero emissions is achievable

Showing have all the technologies gives hesitant policy makers nowhere to hide …

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words

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http://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/USStatesWWS.pdf

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$5.3 trillion in 2015.

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Employment

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‘The trend is our friend’

• but will we get there in time?
• Building stock – energy efficiency,

generation potential

• Transport impacts - skype,

homeworking, local supply, EV’s

• Energy consumption
• Design life of products
• Footprint & Mindprint
• Land-use
• Food related issues
• Waste
• Externalised costs – carbon tax, air

quality etc…

Transforming your business …

• Clean tech growth
• Fuel costs
• Adaptation
• Reduced working week
• Closed cycle operation
• Jobs
• Imports/exports
• Key barriers to change – lock-in
• Leadership/governance
• Future vision for the business

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Making it Happen

• Science*
• Technology*
• Culture
• Economics
• Psychology
• Philosophy
• Sociology
• History
• Democracy
• Law
• Spirit

Identifying barriers and overcoming them

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Rather than an unresolved technical challenge, it is increasingly accepted that we actually face a mix of economic, cultural and psychological barriers. Tackling such a complex global challenge requires a new kind of approach which joins up research and practice across disciplines, borders, sectors and scales.

‘Cutting edge research’ ‘Cutting edge practice’

What are the barriers and how do we overcome them? In 4 key sectors – Buildings, land use, energy & transport and the wider cross cutting themes

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Food

Credit: Feedback

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Transport

Credit: York Bike Belles

Sheridan Piggott

Founder of Bike Belles

“If you can demonstrate to people that what they are doing is not just good for the planet but will improve their quality of life and they’ll have a great time doing it, that is transformational”.

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Buildings

ARNO SCHMICKLER

Programme Director, Energiesprong UK

“I’m an architect by

• background. Coming to

Britain, it’s almost impossible what people put up with in terms of the quality of the building stock. It’s appalling to see what’s still being delivered today in terms of energy efficiency in the UK”.

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Energy

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‘Wider changes’

Linking individual/local change to wider changes needed

The historical, technical, cultural and institutional co-evolution of fossil powered energy, housing, transport and agricultural systems creates persistent forces that are hugely resistant to change

Tools to un-lock our ‘carbon lock-in’

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Credit: Sustainable Development Alliance

Politics and Governance

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Communications

Credit: Greenpeace

Economics and Finance

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Credit: Green Open Homes

Psychology & Behaviour

• Local governments, and especially cities, are

well-placed to drive change and to co-operate with other cities taking similar action.

• e.g. the Milan Urban Food Policy Pact, signed

by 100 other mayors, is a network of cities developing & implementing sustainable food systems. Behaviour: wider systemic change

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Changing Values

Credit Muslim Climate Action

Making it Happen - in your business The power of a positive vision

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‘Postcards from the future’

4 sectors we must change to get to zero are; Food, Transport, Buildings, Energy

The power of a positive vision

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The shift to zero carbon is actually one

• f the most exciting
• pportunities in

human history.

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Employment

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£ 2,450,458

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100 ‘good ideas’

Released via CAT social media

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Lessons from History

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The Children's Fire is part of the Earth teachings of the elders of ancient America. The Children's Fire was a reminder of the first promise: "No law, no action of any kind, shall be taken that will harm the children". It is now time to re-kindle this fire: in our corporations, governments, religion and education.

Hearts and Minds

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1. We have all the technologies we need 2. We need to link things up – to make systemic change 3. Practical projects overcome barriers in innovative ways 4. These must be supported & scaled up 5. Positive vision co-benefits – health, wellbeing, NHS costs 6. Through education and inspiration, we can support each

• ther to catalyse change at all levels.

Making it Happen: Key conclusions

• 20th May – Citizens Workshop in

the Brink, Liverpool.

• 6th-8th June – Zero Carbon Britain

Short Course (Wales) & Small is … at CAT in Wales