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6/10/2016 SAS SAS Q2 201 2015/2 /2016 TELECONFERENCE 10.06.2016 - PDF document

6/10/2016 SAS SAS Q2 201 2015/2 /2016 TELECONFERENCE 10.06.2016 More passengers in a weak quarter Q2 Q2 vs. LY Positives +More passengers than last year, with record EBT bef. non- Change number of passengers on long-haul routes


  1. 6/10/2016 SAS SAS Q2 201 2015/2 /2016 TELECONFERENCE 10.06.2016 More passengers in a weak quarter Q2 Q2 vs. LY Positives +More passengers than last year, with record EBT bef. non- Change number of passengers on long-haul routes recurring items +Strong response on SAS upgraded Business Class MSEK -601 MSEK -270 +SEK 0.8bn lower jet fuel cost +EU-fee reversal Traffic, RPK Change 7,424 +7.9% Negatives Unit cost excl. Change ‒ Yield down 9.2% vs. last year fuel, SEK ‒ Negative currency effect of SEK 0.5bn vs. last year 0.62 -1.3% ‒ Only SEK 0.2bn in impact from efficiency program PASK, SEK Change ‒ Additional technical maintenance costs and engine provisions SEK 0.3bn 0.64 -11.5% 2 1

  2. 6/10/2016 Intensified yield pressure in the market as expected • Resumed capacity growth after a SAS short-haul revenue per ASK (PASK) stable FY15 (R12, scheduled, SEK) ‒ Capacity up 6% in Q2 and expected to increase 5-6% in FY16 1.2 1.1 • Lower jet fuel prices 1.0 • SAS long-haul growth ‒ Longer stage length 0.9 0.8 • Leisure driven growth • Terror attacks 0.0 FY11 FY13 FY15 3 SAS strategy is to focus on Scandinavia’s frequent travelers Typical low cost carrier strategy Strategy of SAS • Multimarket focus, general low yield, • Focus on Scandinavia’s frequent Market especially leisure travelers • One type fleet, operate traffic flows • Fleet designed to fit best network and Operational platform that fit fleet schedule for customers • New destinations, anywhere • Improve offer for primary customer base Growth to increase loyalty 4 2

  3. 6/10/2016 SAS’s most frequent travelers increase their travel with SAS EuroBonus important to grow customer loyalty Passenger revenue FX adjusted (MSEK) • 4.4 million EuroBonus members -3.8% ~500,000 additional members since last year +4.5% ~75,000 additional Silver/Gold/Diamond members since last year Q2 ’15 Q2 ’16 Q2 ’15 Q2 ’16 • Silver/Gold/Diamond members increased their travelling with SAS by 6% in Q2 vs LY Silver/Gold/Diamond Non EB-member ‒ Revenue for this customer group up MSEK 100 in Q2 vs. LY EuroBonus members (in millions) • EuroBonus members account for over 50% of +13% SAS passenger revenue and contribute with more ancillary revenue than non-EB members 4.4 3.9 Apr ’15 Apr ’ 16 5 SAS long-haul expansion – strong response in Business Class Background Strongly improved customer • Growing demand for more direct long-haul routes satisfaction and external to/from Scandinavia awards • SAS improved crew productivity • Record number of passengers on long- • Fleet expansion from 12 to 16 aircraft at minimal haul routes in Q2 investment • Strong response on SAS upgraded Product investments Business Class - load factor up to close • Upgraded cabin interior to 75% in Q2 • New destinations and more frequencies • Cabin now upgraded on all long-haul aircraft in traffic Business Class and SAS Plus revenue HONG KONG FX adjusted +110 MSEK Q2 ’15 Q2 ’16 6 3

  4. 6/10/2016 Digitalization of SAS processes and customer offering Implemented Under development Not started Pre-travel Pre-flight In-flight Post-flight and travel Digitalization Distribution Transportation WiFi Baggage claim status Advertisement Check-in Catering Arrival services Ticket sales Baggage Entertainment Complaints Ancillary sales Irregularities Store & pre-order Personalization .com .com .com Crew App App App App Enabling technology Dev New Digital Gateway New Digital Gateway Departure CRM System Control CRM System System Loyalty System Loyalty System Revenue Mgmt System Reservation and Ticketing System Aircraft Maintenance System Integrated Planning Platform HR and Finance System 7 Digitalization and innovation of SAS customer interface – making life easier for Scandinavia’s frequent travelers Pre-travel Pre-flight In-flight Post-flight and travel New website New product iPads for cabin crew (Apr- Digitalization on ground to to improve inventions Sep 2016) further streamline SAS digital explored by operations and deliver Improved customer service experience – SAS Lab customer improvements summer 2016 E.g. electronic E.g. self check-in, bag tagging More baggage tags and new GPS technology for individualized vehicles customer experience 8 4

  5. 6/10/2016 SAS production model enables SAS to offer the frequent travelers a better network Significant wet lease operation established • Enables SAS to offer a better network – ~20 destinations that otherwise could not be served – More off peak flights on larger traffic flows • About 8% of ASK and 20% of flights and more than 1 million passengers in Q2 – 6 CRJ900 phased into traffic with CityJet Wet lease aircraft in operation during Q2 • Wet lease production15-20% more cost 10 efficient than internal operation* 15 33 – Collective agreements in Scandinavia Q2 FY12 Q2 FY14 Q2 FY16 SAS two tier production model SAS’s AOC - 123 aircraft Wet lease operation – 33 aircraft 9 * Excludes jet fuel, airport/overflight charges, ground handling and overhead costs Focus on improving quality in operations delays cost program Regularity* % • SAS has had unsatisfactory regularity and SAS Majors 100% punctuality levels in Q1-Q2 FY16 99% – Abnormal level of unscheduled 98% maintenance 97% – Technical resources tied up in system migration 96% Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- • Prioritization of quality standards to protect 15 15 16 16 16 16 customer satisfaction and loyalty – Additional spare aircraft Revised impact from cost program (MSEK) – Reprioritization of resources 200 700 600 335 920 365 • Completion of cost program prolonged to FY18 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 Realized effect Remaining effect * Source: Based on Flightstats Monthly Reports 10 5

  6. 6/10/2016 European routes is driven by non-Scandinavian LCC platforms LCCs with cost structure outside Scandinavia Capacity between Scandinavia and Europe S eats in millions 70.9 Change 66.7 66.1 65.5 FY16 vs FY10 60.5 58.9 55.3 +50% 38.4 36.1 35.9 36.2 27.6 30.4 25.6 Major carriers outside Scandinavia 20.2 19.4 +10% 17.9 17.2 18.1 19.0 18.4 11.9 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.3 +9% 11.3 11.6 Scandinavian FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 +28% cost structure SAS must explore additional measures to stay competitive Source: Innovata Schedule data 11 FINANCIALS 6

  7. 6/10/2016 eBreakdown of the income statement Income statement Feb-Apr 16 Feb-Apr 15 Change vs LY Currency Total operating revenue 8,916 9,403 -487 -291 Payroll expenditure -2,308 -2,427 +119 Jet fuel -1,497 -2,299 +802 Government charges -977 -993 +16 Other operating expenditure -3,602 -2,843 -759 Total operating expenses* -8,384 -8,562 +178 -139 EBITDAR before non-recurring items 532 841 -309 -430 EBITDAR-margin* 6.0% 8.9% -2.9 p.u. Leasing costs, aircraft -706 -662 -44 Depreciation -312 -405 +93 Share of income in affiliated companies -2 -2 0 EBIT before non-recurring items -488 -228 -260 -429 EBIT-margin* -5.5% -2.4% -3.1 p.u. Financial items -113 -103 -10 EBT before non-recurring items -601 -331 -270 -463 Non-recurring items 728 686 +42 EBT 127 355 -228 -463 * = Before non-recurring items 13 Extraordinary items in Q2 Extraordinary items and unplanned events MSEK Currency effect -463 Spot currency changes on operation net vs. last year -135 Hedging effects vs. last year -383 Working capital and net financial items +55 EU- fee reversal +655 Engine reservations, return conditions and airframe -273 Brussels attack -50 to -60 Positive net effect from strikes in Q2 FY15 of about SEK 0.2bn 14 7

  8. 6/10/2016 Breakdown of payroll expenses Payroll expenses significantly reduced Payroll expenses excl. restructuring costs (MSEK) • New pension and remuneration -22% agreements in November 2012 2,968 Pilots 769 (26%) 2,308 • Outsourcing significant parts of operation 690 (30%) and administration Crew 539 (18%) Tech 309 (10%) 438 (19%) • Increased productivity in all areas 242 (10%) Ground 817 (28%) 652 (28%) Admin 534 (18%) 286 (12%) Q2 FY12 Q2 FY16 Opportunities going forward Avg. number of FTEs • Digitalization and automation of operation -24% on the ground and administration and 13,599 where possible also for flying personal Pilots 1,335 (10%) 10,339 2,589 (19%) Crew 1,306 (13%) 1,494 (11%) Tech 2,470 (24%) 1,110 (11%) Ground 5,601 (41%) 3,943 (38%) Admin 2,580 (19%) 1,511 (15%) Q2 FY12 Q2 FY16 15 Revenue primarily affected by lower yield in Q2 Total Revenue Q2 Estimated based on MSEK average yield in Q2 FY15 -185 +764 9,403 -701 -291 9,112 +76 -149 8,916 Total Currency Total Scheduled Total load Yield Cargo and Other Total revenue revenue capacity factor other traffic operating revenue Q2 FY15 Q2 FY15 change revenue revenue Q2 FY16 – mostly Ground +10.8% -1.8 p.u. -9.2% Handling 16 8

  9. 6/10/2016 Operating expenses down due to fuel costs and efficiency measures Total Operating Expenses Q2 MSEK -338 +180 -273 +798 -50 -8,384 -8,562 -139 -8,701 Total Currency Operating Fuel ex Volume Cost Engine + Other Operating operating expenses currency, efficiency return expenses expenses, Q2 FY15 volume program conditions Q2 FY16 Q2 FY15 and airframe 17 Jet fuel costs MSEK 802 lower in Q2 Fuel cost Q2 MSEK +33 +15 -1,497 +308 +568 -4 -2,299 -2,303 -118 Q2 FY15 Currency Curr. adj. Volume Price Hedging Time value Other Q2 FY16 Q2 FY15 2016: -425 2015: -733 18 9

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