26 th World Gas Conference 1 5 June 2015, Paris, France REPORT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶
26 th world gas conference
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

26 th World Gas Conference 1 5 June 2015, Paris, France REPORT - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Aug 03, 2023 361 likes •514 views

26 th World Gas Conference 1 5 June 2015, Paris, France REPORT STUDY GROUP 2.1 UGS DATABASE Ladislav Goryl Vladimr Lorenc Chair of WOC2 SG 2.1 Leader NAFTA a.s. SG 2.1 UGS Database UGS App SG 2.1 Aim UGS

slide-1
SLIDE 1

1 – 5 June 2015, Paris, France

26th ¡World ¡Gas ¡Conference ¡

REPORT STUDY GROUP 2.1 UGS DATABASE Ladislav Goryl Vladimír Lorenc Chair of WOC2 SG 2.1 Leader NAFTA a.s.

slide-2
SLIDE 2

SG 2.1 UGS Database

2

  • UGS statistical survey as of 2013 /updated

2014

  • Data analysis & summary of general trends
  • Update of the UGS World Map
  • Extension of UGS Glossary
  • UGS App http://ugs.igu.org/

SG 2.1 Aim UGS App UGS Interactive map

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3 ¡

Main Contributors

Main ¡Contributors ¡

Joachim ¡Wallbrecht Storengy Marije ¡Wagter GasTerra ¡B.V. Kimberly ¡Denbow AGA Philippe ¡Meynard Storengy Emmanuelle ¡Wicquart EDF Andreas ¡Böhmer EGS Ali ¡Teymouri NGSC Michael ¡Kreuz OMV ¡Gas ¡Storage, ¡GmbH Mária ¡Poláková NAFTA ¡a.s. Vladimír ¡Lorenc ¡ NAFTA ¡a.s.

SG ¡2.1 ¡Leader ¡ Programming ¡& ¡visualiza<on ¡

Vladimír ¡Lorenc ¡ NAFTA ¡a.s. Igor ¡Olejník NAFTA ¡a.s.

slide-4
SLIDE 4

UGS per region...Where will the growth come from?

4 ¡

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 USA Russia Ukraine Germany Canada Italy Netherlands France Austria Iran Hungary Uzbekistan United China Kazakhstan Azerbaijan Czech Spain Slovakia Romania increase WGV WGV (bcm) WGV 2015 WGV 2012 increase WGV

w/o Russia’s 38,12 bcm long term strategic reserves which represents gas which might be used under special circumstances with existing infrastructure 149 38% 119 30% 110 28% North America CIS Europe Middle-East Asia Asia Pacific L.America & Caribbean

2015 Total WGV 393 bcm 15 4% 3122 47% 1151 17% 2195 33%

North America CIS Europe Middle-East Asia Asia Pacific L.America & Caribbean

2015 Total PWR 6656 mcm/d 189 3% 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 WGV (bcm) North America Europe CIS Others 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 450% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 WGV growth WGV (bcm) darker shades 2015 lighter shades 2012

China, Iran and maybe South America

slide-5
SLIDE 5

UGS in Europe...Essential for SoS

5 ¡

European ¡storages ¡in ¡a ¡nutshell ¡

  • Inherent part of energy infrastructure 110 bcm

at integrating market 500 bcma

  • Excellent source of physical flexibility 2,2 bcm/d
  • High utilization of storages & proved SoS tool
  • >60 years safe & reliable operation

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 5 10 15 20 25 Germany Italy Netherlan France Austria Hungary United Czech Spain Slovakia Romania Poland Turkey Latvia Denmark Belgium Croatia Bulgaria Serbia Portugal Ireland Sweden increase WGV WGV (bcm) WGV 2015 increase WGV 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 20 40 60 80 100 Supply share(%) Supply (bcm)

bcm Supply share(%)

UGS covered 20% supply

Produc<on ¡vs. ¡demand ¡

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 20 40 60 80 100 Supply share(%) Supply (bcm)

bcm Supply share(%) ENTSOG summr/winter outlook 2014/15

Harsh winter time LNG covered

  • nly 5%
slide-6
SLIDE 6

6 ¡

...but renewables are making their way

through the energy system...

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Renewables: Threat or opportunity?

7 ¡

Key ¡highlights ¡

  • 27% RES in EU by 2030
  • RES will increase volatility in energy system
  • P2G innovative technology initiative
  • Gas & gas infrastructure may back up energy

system

  • Technology for energy storage is there!
  • CH4+H2 mixture storage
  • SNG
  • H2 storage
  • CAES

Source: eon, GdF Suez, GerG, RAG, audi, Electrochaea,

Commercial feasibility is missing so new innovations must come

slide-8
SLIDE 8

UGS in North America...Momentum in deliverability

8 ¡

Key ¡highlights ¡

  • The largest gas market 840 bcma
  • Shale gas revolution & new demand centres
  • Resilient gas infrastructure WGV 149 bcm
  • Heating&Power generation: gas drivers
  • Further projects aimed at deliverability and

value added optimization

Storage ¡usage ¡

20 40 60 80 100 120 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Storage level U.S. Working Natural Gas in Storage (bcm)

Note: Colored band around storage levels represents the range between the

Note: Colored band around storage levels represents the range between the minimum and maximum from Jan 2011 to Jan 2015 Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, February, modified by IGU 2015,

Peak ¡withdrawal ¡rate ¡

1750 56% 258 8% 756 24% 358 12% Gas Field Aquifer Salt Cavern Oil Field

2015 Total PWR 3122 mcm/d

>50% growth in salt caverns’ peak withdrawal rate

WGV ¡development ¡in ¡US&Canada ¡

50 100 150 200 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 WGV (bcm) in operation projects as of 2012 in operation as of 2015

UGS central part of resilient gas system accomodating ups&downs

slide-9
SLIDE 9

UGS in CIS...Steady growth

9 ¡

CIS ¡– ¡quick ¡overview ¡

  • Production but also significant consuming region

640 bcma

  • WGV 119 bcm covers gas consumption & export
  • Further demand on deliverability
  • UGSS is further expanded to strengthen
  • reliability & SoS for residential consumers
  • exports to western&eastern markets
  • 12 bcm projects planned till 2020 incl. salt caverns

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 20 40 60 80 100 120 Gas Field Aquifer Salt Cavern Oil Field Unit PWR (mcm/d/bcm) WGV (bcm)

22% growth

  • f rate per

triennium

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 WGV (bcm)

w/o Russia’s 38,12 bcm long term strategic reserves which represents gas which might be used under special circumstances with existing infrastructure

slide-10
SLIDE 10

UGS in Middle East…Focus on Iran

10 ¡

Iran’s ¡UGS ¡

  • Gas market 160 bcma, Flexibility driven by R&C

sector in large cities likeTehran

  • UGS developing rapidly WGV 6bcm in gas fields but

lags behind winter gas peaks

  • Strategic plan to develop additional capacity
  • 220 structures screened, 40 selected e.g. Nasr-Abad

Kashan Salt Dome, Yurt-e-Shah Aquifer,etc.

>400% WGV per triennium

Iran’s ¡UGS ¡ WGV ¡growth ¡per ¡IGU ¡region ¡

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 450% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 WGV growth WGV (bcm) darker shades 2015 lighter shades 2012

slide-11
SLIDE 11

UGS in Asia…Talk about China’s the greatest challenge

11 ¡

China’s ¡drivers ¡

  • Gas consumption > 200 bcm to double by 2030
  • Increase of import dependency > 40%
  • Massive urbanization => flexibility
  • WGV 4,8 bcm => 30 bcm by 2025 for
  • peak shaving
  • SoS
  • Geology : Depth > 4000 m, Low permeability mD

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2025 WGV (bcm) in operation projects as of 2015 prognosis

Planned UGS

slide-12
SLIDE 12

UGS … New frontiers

12 ¡

Latin America: Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay etc. Asia: India, Pakistan

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13 ¡

Ladislav Goryl

NAFTA a.s. Tel.:+421 34 697 4535 e-mail:ladislav.goryl@nafta.sk

¡ Thank ¡you ¡for ¡aNen<on ¡! ¡ ¡

Vladimír Lorenc

NAFTA a.s. Tel.:+421 34 697 4697 e-mail:vladimir.lorenc@nafta.sk www.nafta.sk