13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Interim Results 2017/18 13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update Humphrey Singer Business review Seb James Page 2 Summary Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing revenues,
Agenda
- Introduction
Seb James
- Financial update
Humphrey Singer
- Business review
Seb James
Page 2
Summary
Page 3
- Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing
revenues, profitability and market share
- Maintaining scale in UK mobile but profitability challenging
- Repositioning mobile business to deliver a simpler, less capital
intensive business
- Board intends to maintain total full year dividend at 11.25p
- Expect to deliver full year 2017/18 Headline PBT within £360m -
£400m range
- Headline PBT consensus for FY18: range £362m-£420m,
average £383m
- Good start to peak trading with record Black Friday in all geographies
Humphrey Singer
Group Finance Director
Financial highlights H1 2017/18
Page 5
- Group headline PBT of £61 million (2016/17: £154 million); YoY includes (£58) million impact from revaluations
- Group H1 like-for-like revenue up 4%; Q2 like-for-like up 3%
- Group H1 electricals like-for-like up 7%; UK&I electricals like-for-like up 6%; Nordics like-for-like up 8%; Greece
like-for-like up 7%, strong growth in all markets and growth in all categories
- UK H1 mobile like-for-like down 3%, including the impact of delayed iPhone X launch into H2
- Free cash flow of £169 million (2016/17: £64 million); reduction in capex YoY, improved stock management and
favourable timing on working capital
- Net debt of £206 million (2016/17: £285 million)
- Full year total dividend maintained at 11.25p
H1 17/18 Reported rate Like-for- like H1 17/18 H1 16/17 £m % change % change £m £m UK & Ireland 3,009 (2)% 2% 34 130 Nordics 1,666 13% 8% 42 34 Greece 191 14% 7% 6 3 honeybee 2 (80)% n/a (12) (4) Group 4,868 3% 4% 70 163 Net finance costs (9) (9) Profit before tax 61 154 Headline revenue Headline profit / (loss)
70 61 (12) (9) 34 42 6 UK & Ireland Nordics Greece honeybee EBIT Net finance cost PBT
Profit bridge
Page 6
YoY £(96)m +£8m +£3m £(8)m £(93)m Flat £(93)m
£m
Free Cash Flow
Page 7
£m
169 (96) (30) (12) (19) 70 83 171 2 Headline EBIT
- Dep. &
amort. Working capital Capex Taxation Interest Restruct. Other Free cash flow
Balance Sheet
Page 8
£m
(206) (89) (46) (271) 169 29 2 Opening Net debt Free cash flow
- Acq. and
disposals Dividends Pension contributions Other Closing Net debt
H1/H2 split of revaluations
Page 9
- H1 this year includes (£19) million of network debtor revaluation
- Last year +£39 million including insurance
16/17 H1 H2 FY Customer support agreements 28 28 Network debtors 17 4 21 Insurance 22 22 Total 39 32 71
UK & Ireland like-for-like and Gross Margin
Page 10
Mobile
- Q1 like-for-like flat
- Q2 like-for-like (6)%, impacted by phasing of iPhone launches
- Trading gross margin down ~200bps
- Further reduction of ~400bps due to revaluations
Electricals
- Q1 like-for-like +7%, +1% excl. sales transfers
- Q2 like-for-like +5%, +1% excl. sales transfers
- Gross margin broadly flat
91 53 34 (39) (19) 130
Reported Revals Excl Revals Dixons CPW Excl Revals Revals Reported
UK & Ireland EBIT
Page 11
£m
Trading*
(38)
*Indicative split
16/17 17/18
Guidance FY 2017/18
- Full year headline PBT expected to be within £360m to £400m range
– Consensus headline PBT for FY18: £362m-£420m, average £383m
- We anticipate that our electrical businesses will deliver earnings growth this year across
the Group
- Full year headline interest of c.£18m
- The 2017/18 effective headline tax rate is expected to be around c.22%
- Mobile debtor revaluation, including EU roaming, expected to be in line with a negative
£10-£40m range provided
- Exceptional cash flow in 2017/18 c.£40m
- Pension contribution of £46m
- Capital is expected to be c.£200m:
- Full year total dividend maintained at 11.25p
Page 12
UK&I Nordics Greece honeybee
Capex by geography
Seb James
Group Chief Executive
Transforming Carphone Warehouse
The Carphone proposition remains just as relevant today
Page 15
Brand Strength / Relevance
ASSETS
Service Capability Network Relationships New Category Growth
£
1m insurance agreements 1.1m repairs a year 370,000 trade in a year Strong commercials Highly relevant to networks - 33% share of new subs Exclusive large indirect partner 22% market share SIMO Multiplay Energy switching +72 instore net promoter score Deep system integration 78% brand consideration Compare and Save
CHALLENGES
Cost Base and Profit Balance Sheet Customer Proposition
× High central costs driven by
complex business model
× Price difference vs.
customer perception
× Large receivable built up
Market Change
× Increasing handset prices × New aggressive market
entrants
× New customer buying
behaviours
Traditional postpay connections continue to shift with lengthening handset cycle and increased SIMO penetration
Page 16
CPW market share H1 17/18
13% 24% 4% 22% 47% 49% 49% 49% 43% 12% 11% 13% 16% 34% 25% 21% 19% 16% 12% 16% 19% 19% 19% 11%
FY 13/14 FY 14/15 FY 15/16 FY 16/17 1H 17/18 Postpay Postpay SIMO Prepay Prepay SIMO
Total UK mobile connections
What has caused the reduction in Carphone profitability?
Page 17
- Rising handset prices through technology and currency effects
- A lower demand in smartphones (lengthening of the
upgrade cycle) through a slowdown in the technology cycle and smartphone saturation
- Competitive SIMO pricing
- Reduced trading margin to achieve volumes
- Falling out of bundle spend, 4G data premiums and
EU regulation on roaming
- Performance of current model being
addressed
REVENUE
NO ROAMING
How have we responded to changes in consumer behaviour so far?
Page 18
- Handset leasing launched in Q2, credit
- ffering to follow
- New SIMO offers introduced
- Grow iD
- Diversification into new categories such as
fixed, broadband, TV content and energy switching
- Multi-play market share increased to
10%
- Better leverage of existing 3in1 estate
where appropriate
- Cost focus
What does the longer term look like?
Page 19
- A sustainable and simpler model
- Improved ROCE
- Closer matching of P&L and cash receipts
- Potentially meaningful cash release
- Further alignment of distribution strategies
Whilst maintaining relevance to the customer
Develop market leading Electrical businesses further
UK electrical pricing
UK & Ireland key performance indicators
Page 21
UK electrical advocacy
70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Q1 1415 Q2 1415 Q3 1415 Q4 1415 Q1 1516 Q2 1516 Q3 1516 Q4 1516 Q1 1617 Q2 1617 Q3 1617 Q4 1617 Q1 1718 Q2 1718 23.2% 24.0% 25.1% 25.7% 25.8% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 H118
UK electricals share
UK & Ireland achievements
Page 22
Stores
- 3in1 largely completed
- Launched new format Heathrow Terminal 3 store
- Opened our first cruise ship Travel store
- Tesco trial (2 stores)
Services and range
- Launch of nationwide same day delivery
- Midnight cut off for next day delivery
- Benefiting from extended range
- Team Knowhow: Same day repairs and white goods
promise
- Your Plan: 422k customers, £1.4bn of credit
approved, £365m drawn Online
- Revenue 3YR CAGR 17%
- Traffic 3YR CAGR 8%
UK & Ireland initiatives
Page 23
- Nationwide roll out of same day mobile phone repairs
- Launching Apple authorised same day repairs in the new year
- White goods same day repairs
- Expanding gaming proposition
- Online developments:
- New ways to pay – one click check out,
ApplePay
- Beacon technology to deliver in-store
notifications
- Carphone new concept store rollout
- Expansion of multiplay and energy saving
UK & Ireland: Black Friday
Page 24
Black Friday extended this year, with excellent performance in the “Why wait?” and Black Tag Event campaigns New records achieved on Black Friday:
- Online penetration reached 41%
- Mobile traffic mix was up to 73% at 6am
- Highest average order value at 1am
- Orders per second reached 4.55 at 9:34am
- Big categories: gaming and consoles, LSTVs,
headphones and smart tech
- On the day in Currys PC World we processed 27k Home
Delivery orders and 75k Reserve & Collect Orders
Nordic achievements
Page 25
- Record profits and low cost ratio in H1
- Strong total sales growth of 8% in H1
- Driven by online, increased range and
improved availability
- Increased market shares in all geographies
- Strong growth for the consumer electronics
and telecoms
- Improved customer satisfaction index in all
markets
- First Nordic retailer to top 1BNOK on Black
Friday
- More than 450k orders / 315 per minute
- 32% online penetration
- Higher order volumes 4-5pm
Outperforming the market in most categories White goods
- Cons. electronics
Small domestic appliances Telecoms Computing
Elkjop Market
Nordic achievements (cont.)
Page 26
- City store concept successfully
launched
- Increased range in Jönköping
Nordic DC (6,000 to 12,000 SKUs)
- Automatic replenishment working
well, driving record availability in stores
- New Nordic customer contact
centre up and running in Denmark
- Consolidated country head offices
into one Oslo site
Greece
Page 27
- Significant revamping of store estate
- New flagship stores opened
- Strong and growing NPS, brand awareness
and market share
- A Big Black Friday:
- Online and phone inbound penetration
reached 21%
- Mobile traffic reached 71% at 6am
- Highest average order value midnight to 1am
- Orders per minute peaked at 9.25 at 11am
- Launched YouTube channel, ‘Plugged in
Chef’
- 5.3m total views (38 episodes so far)
Summary
Page 28
- Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing
revenues, profitability and market share
- Maintaining scale in UK mobile but profitability challenging
- Repositioning mobile business to deliver a simpler, less capital
intensive business
- Board intends to maintain total full year dividend at 11.25p
- Expect to deliver full year 2017/18 Headline PBT within £360m -
£400m range
- Headline PBT consensus for FY18: range £362m-£420m,
average £383m
- Good start to peak trading with record Black Friday in all geographies