13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

13 december 2017
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13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Interim Results 2017/18 13 December 2017 Agenda Introduction Seb James Financial update Humphrey Singer Business review Seb James Page 2 Summary Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing revenues,


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SLIDE 1

13 December 2017 Interim Results 2017/18

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SLIDE 2

Agenda

  • Introduction

Seb James

  • Financial update

Humphrey Singer

  • Business review

Seb James

Page 2

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SLIDE 3

Summary

Page 3

  • Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing

revenues, profitability and market share

  • Maintaining scale in UK mobile but profitability challenging
  • Repositioning mobile business to deliver a simpler, less capital

intensive business

  • Board intends to maintain total full year dividend at 11.25p
  • Expect to deliver full year 2017/18 Headline PBT within £360m -

£400m range

  • Headline PBT consensus for FY18: range £362m-£420m,

average £383m

  • Good start to peak trading with record Black Friday in all geographies
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SLIDE 4

Humphrey Singer

Group Finance Director

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SLIDE 5

Financial highlights H1 2017/18

Page 5

  • Group headline PBT of £61 million (2016/17: £154 million); YoY includes (£58) million impact from revaluations
  • Group H1 like-for-like revenue up 4%; Q2 like-for-like up 3%
  • Group H1 electricals like-for-like up 7%; UK&I electricals like-for-like up 6%; Nordics like-for-like up 8%; Greece

like-for-like up 7%, strong growth in all markets and growth in all categories

  • UK H1 mobile like-for-like down 3%, including the impact of delayed iPhone X launch into H2
  • Free cash flow of £169 million (2016/17: £64 million); reduction in capex YoY, improved stock management and

favourable timing on working capital

  • Net debt of £206 million (2016/17: £285 million)
  • Full year total dividend maintained at 11.25p

H1 17/18 Reported rate Like-for- like H1 17/18 H1 16/17 £m % change % change £m £m UK & Ireland 3,009 (2)% 2% 34 130 Nordics 1,666 13% 8% 42 34 Greece 191 14% 7% 6 3 honeybee 2 (80)% n/a (12) (4) Group 4,868 3% 4% 70 163 Net finance costs (9) (9) Profit before tax 61 154 Headline revenue Headline profit / (loss)

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SLIDE 6

70 61 (12) (9) 34 42 6 UK & Ireland Nordics Greece honeybee EBIT Net finance cost PBT

Profit bridge

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YoY £(96)m +£8m +£3m £(8)m £(93)m Flat £(93)m

£m

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SLIDE 7

Free Cash Flow

Page 7

£m

169 (96) (30) (12) (19) 70 83 171 2 Headline EBIT

  • Dep. &

amort. Working capital Capex Taxation Interest Restruct. Other Free cash flow

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SLIDE 8

Balance Sheet

Page 8

£m

(206) (89) (46) (271) 169 29 2 Opening Net debt Free cash flow

  • Acq. and

disposals Dividends Pension contributions Other Closing Net debt

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SLIDE 9

H1/H2 split of revaluations

Page 9

  • H1 this year includes (£19) million of network debtor revaluation
  • Last year +£39 million including insurance

16/17 H1 H2 FY Customer support agreements 28 28 Network debtors 17 4 21 Insurance 22 22 Total 39 32 71

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SLIDE 10

UK & Ireland like-for-like and Gross Margin

Page 10

Mobile

  • Q1 like-for-like flat
  • Q2 like-for-like (6)%, impacted by phasing of iPhone launches
  • Trading gross margin down ~200bps
  • Further reduction of ~400bps due to revaluations

Electricals

  • Q1 like-for-like +7%, +1% excl. sales transfers
  • Q2 like-for-like +5%, +1% excl. sales transfers
  • Gross margin broadly flat
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SLIDE 11

91 53 34 (39) (19) 130

Reported Revals Excl Revals Dixons CPW Excl Revals Revals Reported

UK & Ireland EBIT

Page 11

£m

Trading*

(38)

*Indicative split

16/17 17/18

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SLIDE 12

Guidance FY 2017/18

  • Full year headline PBT expected to be within £360m to £400m range

– Consensus headline PBT for FY18: £362m-£420m, average £383m

  • We anticipate that our electrical businesses will deliver earnings growth this year across

the Group

  • Full year headline interest of c.£18m
  • The 2017/18 effective headline tax rate is expected to be around c.22%
  • Mobile debtor revaluation, including EU roaming, expected to be in line with a negative

£10-£40m range provided

  • Exceptional cash flow in 2017/18 c.£40m
  • Pension contribution of £46m
  • Capital is expected to be c.£200m:
  • Full year total dividend maintained at 11.25p

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UK&I Nordics Greece honeybee

Capex by geography

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SLIDE 13

Seb James

Group Chief Executive

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SLIDE 14

Transforming Carphone Warehouse

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SLIDE 15

The Carphone proposition remains just as relevant today

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Brand Strength / Relevance

ASSETS

Service Capability Network Relationships New Category Growth

£

1m insurance agreements 1.1m repairs a year 370,000 trade in a year Strong commercials Highly relevant to networks - 33% share of new subs Exclusive large indirect partner 22% market share SIMO Multiplay Energy switching +72 instore net promoter score Deep system integration 78% brand consideration Compare and Save

CHALLENGES

Cost Base and Profit Balance Sheet Customer Proposition

× High central costs driven by

complex business model

× Price difference vs.

customer perception

× Large receivable built up

Market Change

× Increasing handset prices × New aggressive market

entrants

× New customer buying

behaviours

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SLIDE 16

Traditional postpay connections continue to shift with lengthening handset cycle and increased SIMO penetration

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CPW market share H1 17/18

13% 24% 4% 22% 47% 49% 49% 49% 43% 12% 11% 13% 16% 34% 25% 21% 19% 16% 12% 16% 19% 19% 19% 11%

FY 13/14 FY 14/15 FY 15/16 FY 16/17 1H 17/18 Postpay Postpay SIMO Prepay Prepay SIMO

Total UK mobile connections

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What has caused the reduction in Carphone profitability?

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  • Rising handset prices through technology and currency effects
  • A lower demand in smartphones (lengthening of the

upgrade cycle) through a slowdown in the technology cycle and smartphone saturation

  • Competitive SIMO pricing
  • Reduced trading margin to achieve volumes
  • Falling out of bundle spend, 4G data premiums and

EU regulation on roaming

  • Performance of current model being

addressed

REVENUE

NO ROAMING

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SLIDE 18

How have we responded to changes in consumer behaviour so far?

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  • Handset leasing launched in Q2, credit
  • ffering to follow
  • New SIMO offers introduced
  • Grow iD
  • Diversification into new categories such as

fixed, broadband, TV content and energy switching

  • Multi-play market share increased to

10%

  • Better leverage of existing 3in1 estate

where appropriate

  • Cost focus
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SLIDE 19

What does the longer term look like?

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  • A sustainable and simpler model
  • Improved ROCE
  • Closer matching of P&L and cash receipts
  • Potentially meaningful cash release
  • Further alignment of distribution strategies

Whilst maintaining relevance to the customer

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SLIDE 20

Develop market leading Electrical businesses further

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SLIDE 21

UK electrical pricing

UK & Ireland key performance indicators

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UK electrical advocacy

70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Q1 1415 Q2 1415 Q3 1415 Q4 1415 Q1 1516 Q2 1516 Q3 1516 Q4 1516 Q1 1617 Q2 1617 Q3 1617 Q4 1617 Q1 1718 Q2 1718 23.2% 24.0% 25.1% 25.7% 25.8% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 H118

UK electricals share

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SLIDE 22

UK & Ireland achievements

Page 22

Stores

  • 3in1 largely completed
  • Launched new format Heathrow Terminal 3 store
  • Opened our first cruise ship Travel store
  • Tesco trial (2 stores)

Services and range

  • Launch of nationwide same day delivery
  • Midnight cut off for next day delivery
  • Benefiting from extended range
  • Team Knowhow: Same day repairs and white goods

promise

  • Your Plan: 422k customers, £1.4bn of credit

approved, £365m drawn Online

  • Revenue 3YR CAGR 17%
  • Traffic 3YR CAGR 8%
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SLIDE 23

UK & Ireland initiatives

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  • Nationwide roll out of same day mobile phone repairs
  • Launching Apple authorised same day repairs in the new year
  • White goods same day repairs
  • Expanding gaming proposition
  • Online developments:
  • New ways to pay – one click check out,

ApplePay

  • Beacon technology to deliver in-store

notifications

  • Carphone new concept store rollout
  • Expansion of multiplay and energy saving
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SLIDE 24

UK & Ireland: Black Friday

Page 24

Black Friday extended this year, with excellent performance in the “Why wait?” and Black Tag Event campaigns New records achieved on Black Friday:

  • Online penetration reached 41%
  • Mobile traffic mix was up to 73% at 6am
  • Highest average order value at 1am
  • Orders per second reached 4.55 at 9:34am
  • Big categories: gaming and consoles, LSTVs,

headphones and smart tech

  • On the day in Currys PC World we processed 27k Home

Delivery orders and 75k Reserve & Collect Orders

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SLIDE 25

Nordic achievements

Page 25

  • Record profits and low cost ratio in H1
  • Strong total sales growth of 8% in H1
  • Driven by online, increased range and

improved availability

  • Increased market shares in all geographies
  • Strong growth for the consumer electronics

and telecoms

  • Improved customer satisfaction index in all

markets

  • First Nordic retailer to top 1BNOK on Black

Friday

  • More than 450k orders / 315 per minute
  • 32% online penetration
  • Higher order volumes 4-5pm

Outperforming the market in most categories White goods

  • Cons. electronics

Small domestic appliances Telecoms Computing

Elkjop Market

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Nordic achievements (cont.)

Page 26

  • City store concept successfully

launched

  • Increased range in Jönköping

Nordic DC (6,000 to 12,000 SKUs)

  • Automatic replenishment working

well, driving record availability in stores

  • New Nordic customer contact

centre up and running in Denmark

  • Consolidated country head offices

into one Oslo site

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SLIDE 27

Greece

Page 27

  • Significant revamping of store estate
  • New flagship stores opened
  • Strong and growing NPS, brand awareness

and market share

  • A Big Black Friday:
  • Online and phone inbound penetration

reached 21%

  • Mobile traffic reached 71% at 6am
  • Highest average order value midnight to 1am
  • Orders per minute peaked at 9.25 at 11am
  • Launched YouTube channel, ‘Plugged in

Chef’

  • 5.3m total views (38 episodes so far)
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SLIDE 28

Summary

Page 28

  • Strong performance in electricals across the Group with growing

revenues, profitability and market share

  • Maintaining scale in UK mobile but profitability challenging
  • Repositioning mobile business to deliver a simpler, less capital

intensive business

  • Board intends to maintain total full year dividend at 11.25p
  • Expect to deliver full year 2017/18 Headline PBT within £360m -

£400m range

  • Headline PBT consensus for FY18: range £362m-£420m,

average £383m

  • Good start to peak trading with record Black Friday in all geographies
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SLIDE 29

Q&A