11 HALF YEAR RESULTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
11 HALF YEAR RESULTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
11 HALF YEAR RESULTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED 3 May 2011 Results Presentation & Investor Discussion Pack 11 HALF YEAR RESULTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED 3 May 2011 Mike Smith Chief
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Mike Smith
Chief Executive Officer
Overview of financial performance
3
1H11 AUDm Growth vs 2H10 Growth vs 1H10 Underlying Profit 2,818 3% 23% Revenue 8,430 3% 11% Expenses 3,821 3% 18% Provisions 660 (9%) (40%) Statutory Net Profit After Tax 2,664 3% 38% EPS (cents) 109.6 2% 20% 1H11 Franked Dividend (cents) 64 n/a 23% Customer deposits 268,705 4% 13% Net loans and advances including acceptances 375,833 2% 7%
All figures other than statutory net profit after tax and dividend are presented on an underlying basis.
Australia
4
Underlying profit growth (AUDm) 1H11 v 2H10 1H11 v 1H10 Australia Region 2% 15% Australia Division (6%) 5%
1.2x 1.6x
Mortgages Household Deposits
System
1H11 Growth v System HOH1 Retail revenue, lending and deposit growth HOH
- 1. Source: APRA Statistics
0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1H10 2H10 1H11 Revenue Deposits Lending Rebased: 1H10 = 100
New Zealand
5
Underlying profit growth (NZDm) 1H11 v 2H10 1H11 v 1H10 New Zealand Region 19% 63% New Zealand Businesses 20%
large
NZ Businesses Pro forma Revenue & Margins
2.00% 2.10% 2.20% 2.30% 2.40% 2.50% 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1H10 2H10 1H11 NZD m
NII (LHS) Other operating income (LHS) NZ Businesses NIM (RHS)
NZ Region revenue & expense growth (NZD)
5% 6%
- 3%
6% 4% 5% 4% 0% 2%
- 5%
2008 2009 2010 1H11 (PCP) 1H11 (HoH)
Revenue Expenses
Asia Pacific, Europe & America
6
Underlying profit growth (USDm) 1H11 v 2H10 1H11 v 1H10 Asia Pacific, Europe & America Region 11% 44%
19% 62% 22% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% HOH PCP
Net loans & advances including acceptances Deposits
APEA lending and deposit growth HOH
15% 15% 70%
APEA New Zealand Australia APEA plus APEA sourced revenue 18% of Group
% 1H11 Group revenue
APEA sourced revenue contributed an additional 3% to Group revenues 1H11, up from 2% FY10
- 1. Includes RBS acquisition
1
Institutional
7
Increased connectivity driven revenue
78% 22% Cross border revenues up 10% PCP Cross Border Domestic Booked
Growing and diversifying regional client base
Geographic Mix of new clients won past 12 months
16% 61% 4% 20%
Australia Asia New Zealand Europe & America
Underlying profit growth (AUDm) 1H11 v 2H10 1H11 v 1H10 Institutional Division 10% 24%
Funding and Capital
Strong Capital Position
Core Tier-1 Capital Ratio March 2011
Strong Funding Composition
8
7% 8% 8% 8% 50% 55% 58% 60% 14% 15% 16% 15% 7% 5% 6% 6% 22% 17% 12% 11%
Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
SHE & Hybrid Debt Customer funding >1 Year Residual Maturity Term Debt < 1 year Short Term W/sale Funding
8.5% ~9.5% ~11.8%
Current APRA Basel III Fully Aligned FSA
Emerging differentiation
9
- Super Regional strategy giving us greater exposure to
Asia‟s growth
- Building blocks in place via both acquisition and investment
in capability
- Developing stronger customer propositions
- Driving productivity gains from our hubs
- Integrating the Super Regional strategy into all our
businesses
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Peter Marriott
Chief Financial Officer
Up 3%
2,576 2,727 2,818 2,664 151 116 62 87 154
2H10 Statutory Profit Non-Core Items 2H10 Underlying Profit Profit Before Provisions Provisions Tax & OEI 1H11 Underlying profit Non-Core Items 1H11 Statutory Profit
$m
Up 3%
First Half 2011 – The Numbers
Performance 2H10 v 1H11
11
1H11 v 1H10
1H10 Statutory Profit Non-Core Items 2H10 Underlying Profit Profit Before Provisions Provisions Tax & OEI 1H11 Underlying Profit Non-Core Items 1H11 Statutory Profit
1,925 373 2,298 291 438 (209) 2,818 154 2,664 Up 7% Up 23% Up 38%
Adjust for acquisitions & FX – The Pro forma Numbers
12
2.6% 4.1% 2.6% 4.1% 2.7% 4.1% 3.4% 5.5%
Underlying Pro Forma Underlying Pro Forma Underlying Pro Forma Underlying Pro Forma
Revenue Expenses Profit before Provisions Net Profit after Tax
Growth 1H11 v 2H10 – Underlying & Pro forma Growth 1H11 v 1H10 – Underlying & Pro forma
Revenue Expenses Profit before Provisions Net Profit after Tax
Underlying Pro forma Underlying Pro forma Underlying Pro forma Underlying Pro forma 11% 8% 18% 10% 7% 6% 23% 22%
Foreign Exchange impacts
Earnings Composition by Region & Average Translation Rates
13
0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 APEA (LHS) New Zealand (LHS) Australia (LHS) AVG AUD/USD (RHS) AVG AUD/NZD (RHS) % Group Underlying profit (1.9%) ~(1.5%) (2.5%) ~(3.1%)
1H11 HOH FY11 @ Current rates
Current Hedging Unhedged
Earnings Per Share Impact
Divisional overview
14
Australia Division (AUD) APEA (USD) NZ Businesses (NZD) Institutional (AUD)
Profit Before Provisions (Pro forma)
1H11 HOH PCP 2,312 4% 5% 538 25% 20% 738 6% 14% 1,591 2% 1%
Underlying Profit (Pro forma)
1H11 HOH PCP 1,329 (6%) 2% 385 15% 38% 453 20% large increase 1,028 12% 26% Australia Division (AUD) APEA (USD) NZ Businesses (NZD) Institutional (AUD) NPAT 2H10 1H11 Increase 1H11 Decrease
Income composition
Income movement (Pro forma) 1H11 v 2H10 ($m) Markets Revenue by Geography
15
8,102 8,430
94 234 2H10 NII Other Income 1H11 Up 4%
400 800 1,200 1,600
1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Australia APEA New Zealand Up 9% Up 2%
23% CAGR 5,548 5,642
126 220 2H10 NII Global Markets Other NII 1H11
$m
Pro forma NII movement 1H11 v 2H10
Up 4% Down 2%
Markets Mix Impact
249.7 247.2 1.3 0.4 4.2 7.2 1.0 5.4
2H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other Markets 1H11
bps
Down 2.5 bps Up 2.9 bps Ex-Markets 278.0 280.9
Net Interest Margin
16
Movement 1H11 V 2H10
Movement 1H11 v 1H10 (bps)
1H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other Markets 1H11 245.0 (0.4) (2.9) (10.1) 22.9 2.1 (9.3) 247.2
Divisional movement 1H11 v 2H10 (bps)
258.0 243.8 282.0 312.8 Australia Division NZ Businesses APEA ex-markets Institutional ex-Markets 2H10 1H11 Increase 1H11 Reduction
Up 4.0bps Up 5.6bps Up 6.0 bps Down 9.2bps
Net Interest Margin
- Key differentiator is asset mix:
- Mix of mortgages
- Institutional lending
- Greater proportion of undrawn
lines which are included in NII but not assets
- Line fees included in NII
- Higher capital
Composition of margin relative to peers
17
1.50% 1.70% 1.90% 2.10% 2.30% 2.50% 2.70%
2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10
ANZ CBA NAB WBC
Net Interest Margin HOH
Investment continues in high growth businesses
18
4% 1% 18% 4% 3%
- 4%
14% 8% Australia Division New Zealand Businesses Asia Pacific Europe & America Institutional Revenue & Expense Growth Pro forma 1H11 v 2H10 Mature Domestic Businesses Investing for Growth
Individual Provision Charge & Impaired Assets
19
Total Provision Charge New Impaired Assets
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
AUDm
Australia Division NZ Businesses APEA ex-Institutional Institutional Oswal 3,035 3,600 3,126 2,319 2,437
- 200
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
AUDm
Institutional Australia Division NZ Businesses APEA ex-Institutional CP charge 1,435 1,621 1,098 722 660
Collective Provision Charge & Management Overlay
Collective Provision Charge
20
- 400
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Lending Growth Risk Profile Portfolio Mix Eco Cycle & Concentration (Management Overlay)
Management Overlay Charge 1H11
- 200
400 600
Mar09 Sep09 Mar10 Sep10 Mar11 $m
79
- 19
60
Australia Division NZ Businesses Group $m
Management Overlay Balance
Reflects release made prior to 1st Canterbury earthquake Natural Disasters
Outlook
Currency Impacts Cost Growth Group Margin ex-Markets Markets Income
21
2.35% 2.55% 2.69% 2.78% 2.81%
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 400 800 1200 1600
1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Total Provision Charge Lending Volumes / Other Income
1,435 1,621 1,098 722 660 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
(1.5%) ~(0.3%) (3.1%) ~(0.7%)
FY11 PCP @ Current rates FY11 sensitivity to further 5%
Current Hedging Unhedged 6%
- 1%
16% 12%
Australia Division NZ Businesses Institutional APEA ex- Institutional
Annualised HOH Growth (FX Adj) 1% 3% 4% 2% 5% 4% 1H10 2H10 1H11 Revenue Growth Expense Growth
- Mature
- Growth
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Net Interest Margin
NIM movement summary
23 Some small variances to the detailed NIM pages exist as a result of rounding
Basis points (bps)
Group Regions Divisions
Australia NZ Australia Division NZ Businesses Global Institutional HOH PCP HOH PCP HOH PCP HOH PCP HOH PCP HOH PCP Starting NIM 249.7 245.0 263.1 259.6 234.0 219.7 254.0 264.0 238.2 221.2 217.0 213.8 Funding & Asset Mix 1.3
- 0.4
- 0.6
- 2.3
- 1.0
- 0.4
- 2.3
- 6.3
- 1.0
0.4
- 1.8
- 5.9
Funding Costs
- 0.4
- 2.9
1.1
- 1.3
- 3.9
- 6.9
2.6
- 2.8
- 5.8
- 8.8
- 1.9
4.4 Deposits
- 4.2
- 10.1
- 3.6
- 6.9
- 7.8
- 19.1
- 4.7
- 9.2
- 8.6
- 20.9
0.7
- 3.8
Assets 7.2 22.9 6.9 17.3 17.6 44.9 5.9 13.0 18.9 48.4 6.0 24.8 Other
- 1.0
2.0
- 1.1
- 1.9
2.1 9.0 2.5
- 0.7
2.1 3.5
- 12.2
- 7.5
Movement ex-markets 2.9 11.5 2.7 4.9 7.0 27.5 4.0
- 6.0
5.6 22.6
- 9.2
12.0 Markets
- 5.4
- 9.3
- 6.4
- 5.1
- 5.5
- 11.8
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- 9.7
- 27.7
Total Movement
- 2.5
2.2
- 3.7
- 0.2
1.4 15.7 4.0
- 6.0
5.6 22.6
- 18.9
- 15.7
Ending NIM 247.2 247.2 259.4 259.4 235.4 235.4 258.0 258.0 243.8 243.8 198.1 198.1
Net Interest Margin
- Key differentiator is asset mix:
- Mix of mortgages
- Institutional lending
- Greater proportion of undrawn
lines which are included in NII but not assets
- Line fees included in NII
- Higher capital
Composition of margin relative to peers
24
1.50% 1.70% 1.90% 2.10% 2.30% 2.50% 2.70%
2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10
ANZ CBA NAB WBC
Net Interest Margin HOH
Drivers of Net Interest Margin
25
Geography Product Key Drivers by Product Category
2.81% Other Deposits Lending
Institutional Deposits Commercial Deposits Retail Deposits Institutional Lending Commercial Lending Retail Lending
APEA New Zealand Australia 2.81% 1H11 Net Interest Margin Ex-Markets Composition
Net Interest Margin - Group
26
Key drivers of movement Funding & Asset Mix Funding mix benefit from reduced reliance on wholesale funding and higher mix
- f free funds. This benefit was partially offset by higher proportion of Mortgages
and Relationship lending assets. Funding Costs Impact of higher wholesale funding costs Deposits Largely impacted by increased competition across NZ and Australia for deposits and negative product mix impacts Assets Asset repricing and mix benefits from the migration of fixed rate mortgages to variable rates in NZ and Australia. Fee income continues to benefit from higher commitment and line fees on undrawn balances in Relationship Lending
249.7 247.2 1.3 0.4 4.2 7.2 1.0 5.4
2H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other Markets 1H11
bps
NIM movement 1H11 v 2H10
Ex-markets up 2.9 bps Down 2.5 bps
Net Interest Margin - Australia Division
27
Key drivers of movement Funding & Asset Mix Asset mix impacted an increase in the proportion of mortgage business during the half Funding Costs Favourable funding cost impact primarily from lower cost of basis risk Deposits Largely driven by mix impacts including switching to term deposit products, increased deposit competition and lower returns from the insensitive and replicating portfolio Assets Improved asset margins, product mix and shift from low margin fixed rate to variable rate mortgages offset by competition on lending facilities and lower fees
254.0 258.0 2.3 2.6 4.7 5.9 2.5
2H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other 1H11
bps
NIM movement 1H11 v 2H10
Up 4.0 bps
Net Interest Margin - New Zealand Businesses
28
Key drivers of movement Funding & Asset Mix Decrease primarily driven by decline in net free funds and switching Funding Costs Increase in wholesale funding costs Deposits Continued increased competition in deposits Assets Increase driven by impact of asset repricing across all businesses and switching between fixed and variable home loans
238.2 243.8 1.0 5.8 8.6 18.9 2.1
2H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other 1H11
bps
NIM movement 1H11 v 2H10
Up 5.6 bps
Net Interest Margin – Global Institutional
29
Key drivers of movement Funding & Asset Mix Increase in proportion of lower margin wholesale deposits Funding Costs Impact of higher funding costs primarily due to reduced spreads on deposit book and increased wholesale costs Deposits Improvement in margins from Asian Term Deposit‟s and product mix benefits from reduced mix in low-margin term deposits Assets Increase primarily driven by asset repricing and improved product mix benefits
- ffset by increased competition primarily in Relationship Lending
Other Various interest recoveries in 2H10
217.0 198.1 1.8 1.9 0.7 6.0 12.2 9.7
2H10 Funding & Asset Mix Funding Costs Deposits Assets Other Markets 1H11
bps
NIM movement 1H11 v 2H10
Ex-markets down 9.2 bps Down 18.9 bps
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Balance Sheet Management
Group loans and deposits
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
$b
Retail Commercial Institutional
Group customer deposits Group net loans and advances (including acceptances)
31
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
$b
Growth Rates FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 13% 15% (1%) 4% 2% Growth Rates FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 15% 13% 14% 11% 4%
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
Retail Commercial Institutional
Customer deposits by geography
32
Australia (AUDb) New Zealand (NZDb) APEA (USDb)
Growth Rates FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 10% 16% 7% 2% Growth Rates FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 5% 1% 0% 5% Growth Rates FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 49% 49% 72% 22%
- 1. Includes Wealth
1
86 99 100 40 40 44 105 113 118 7 7 7 238 259 269 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Wealth Retail Commercial Institutional 37% 29% 77% 19% 19% 22% 29% 42% 48% 23% 44% 2% 1% 8% Group Australia APEA New Zealand
Customer deposit composition by segment
Group deposits by segment (AUDb) Deposits composition March 2011
33
- 1. Includes Group Centre
1
50 100 150 200 250 300 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
Retail Commercial Institutional
Net loans and advances by geography
34
Australia (AUDb) New Zealand (NZDb) APEA (USDb)
Growth Rates FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 14% 0% 6% 3% Growth Rates FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 11% (1%) (1%) (1%) Growth Rates FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 1H11 large (2%) 45% 19%
- 1. Includes Wealth
1
73 76 80 84 85 84 177 186 191 18 20 20 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Institutional Commercial Retail Mortgages Other Retail & Wealth 21% 19% 80% 7% 22% 17% 54% 51% 59% 37% 5% 5% 20% 2% Group Australia APEA New Zealand
Lending composition by segment
Group lending composition by segment (AUDb) Lending composition March 2011
35
353 367 376
164.8 168.1 5.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 1.2 5.3 0.1
Sep-10 Retail Wealth Esanda Regional Business Banking SBB Inst. Other Mar-11
$b
Australia Region - Deposits
36
7% 14% HOH PCP
Retail
10% 12% HOH PCP
Commercial
- 10%
7%
HOH PCP
Institutional
Growth Rates
0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 System ANZ Deposits Growth of 1.6x system 1H11
Household deposit growth
(Multiple of system)1
1. APRA Statistics
Deposit movement – 1H11 v 2H10
Commercial
268.8 277.8 6.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 1.9 0.0
Sep-10 Mortgages Cards & Unsec. Wealth Esanda Regional Business Banking SBB Inst. Other Mar-11
$b
Australia Region - Lending
Lending movement – 1H11 v 2H10
37
4% 10% HOH PCP
Retail
1% 4%
HOH PCP
Commercial 4% 1%
HOH PCP
Institutional
Growth Rates
Commercial Retail
1.Source: APRA Statistics
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 System ANZ Lending Growth of 1.2x system 1H11
Mortgage lending growth1
(Multiple of system)
APEA Region - Deposits
- Deposit growth has been primarily driven by Institutional
- Growth has been particularly evident in
Japan, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong, and across priority customer segments (including the Financial Institutions & Public Sector)
- Retail deposit growth reflects strategy to re-focus on core
affluent and emerging affluent customers.
38
Growth Rates
67% 6% 27%
Asia Pacific Europe & America
5% 53%
HOH PCP
Retail
1H11 Deposits by region (USD m)
28% 50%
HOH PCP
Institutional
APEA deposits
26.8 37.4 46.1 56.2
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 (USD b)
1H11 deposit growth by segment (HOH)
6% 4% 28% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Retail Asia Retail Pacific Institutional (%) RBS1 Impact 1H10 2H10 1.5 5.0
- 1. Deposits (in USDb) for the RBS acquisition, includes Vietnam, Philippines & Hong Kong in 1H10; Taiwan,
Singapore and Indonesia in 2H10
APEA Region - Lending
39
Growth Rates
8% 55%
HOH PCP
Retail 23% 64%
HOH PCP
Institutional 19% 62%
HOH PCP
APEA Region
APEA loans
16.7 17.7 24.1 28.8
- 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 (USD b)
1H11 loan growth by segment (HOH)
12% 2% 31% 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Retail Asia Retail Pacific Inst. Trans. Banking Inst. Global Loans (%)
- A continued focus on customer acquisition, particularly in
Corporate & Institutional, has driven significant lending growth, particularly in Singapore and Hong Kong.
RBS1 Impact 1H10 2H10 0.4 2.8
- 1. Loans (in USDb) for the RBS acquisition, includes Vietnam, Philippines & Hong Kong in 1H10; Taiwan,
Singapore and Indonesia in 2H10
New Zealand Region Lending
Lending Movement – 1H11 v 2H10
40
- 1%
- 1%
HOH PCP
Retail
- 1%
0%
HOH PCP
Commercial 0% 0%
HOH PCP
Institutional
Growth Rates (NZD)
96.0 95.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.1
Sep 2010 Retail Commercial Institutional Wealth Mar 2011
NZDb
Down 1% Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Retail Commercial Institutional Wealth
38% 54% 7% 1%
Lending Composition by Business
95.7 96.0 95.4
New Zealand Region Deposits
Deposit Movement – 1H11 v 2H10
41
3% 4%
HOH PCP
Retail 9% 5%
HOH PCP
Commercial 4% 10%
HOH PCP
Institutional
Growth Rates (NZD)
59.7 62.8 0.8 1.5 0.5 0.3
Sep 2010 Retail Commercial Institutional Wealth Mar 2011
NZDb
Up 5% Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Retail Commercial Institutional Wealth
44% 29% 19% 8%
Deposit Composition by Business
59.3 59.7 62.8
Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Australia APEA New Zealand
Global Institutional Deposits
Deposit movement 1H11 v 2H10
42
- 10%
7%
HOH PCP
Australia 20% 33%
HOH PCP
APEA 1% 4%
HOH PCP
New Zealand
Growth Rates (AUD) 50% 41% 9%
Deposit Composition by Geography
76.9 79.8 86.4 98.7 100.3 98.7 100.3 5.2 6.8 0.0
Sep 2010 Australia APEA New Zealand Mar 2011
$b
Majority of reduction in wholesale investor, less sticky deposits
Global Institutional Lending
Lending movement – 1H11 v 2H10
43
4% 1%
HOH PCP
Australia 15% 46%
HOH PCP
APEA
- 4%
- 5%
HOH PCP
New Zealand
Growth Rates (AUD)
75.6 80.2 1.9 2.9 0.2
Sep 2010 Australia APEA New Zealand Mar 2011
$b
Up 6% Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Australia APEA New Zealand 66% 28% 6%
Lending Composition by Geography
85.4 70.6 73.1 75.6 80.2
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Regional Performance (Geographies & Divisions)
1,733 1,927 1,962 709 186 434 671
- 50
150 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350 1,550 1,750 1,950 2,150 1H10 2H10 1H11 1H11 by segment $m
Australia region
45
Pro Forma Net Profit After Tax
1H11 revenue by business1 1H11 NPAT by business1
38% 22% 10% 29%
Retail Commercial Wealth Institutional
1. Excludes Group Centre and Other
35% 22% 9% 34%
Retail Commercial Wealth Institutional
- Aus. Division
$1,329m Retail Wealth Commercial Institutional Group Centre
Australia region
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10 Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 1H10
46
1,927 1,962 57 48 99 13 16
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m
2% 5% HOH PCP
Revenue
4% 8% HOH PCP
Expenses
2% 13% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 2%
- 26%
HOH PCP
Provisions 1,733 1,962 197 94 178
198 82
1H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m
Revenue growth: Australia Div = 4%; Institutional = -4%
Australia Division – Business update & strategy
- Mortgages growth 1.2x system and customer
deposit growth 1.6x system for the half
- Increased commercial customers - ANZ
Commercial Banking customers2 rose by 6.4% or 25.1k customers for the half
- Well advanced in Wealth business
integration, launch of OnePath brand, increased management bench strength
- Targeting Asian migrant and student flows
with pan-regional migrants making up ~20%
- f all new-to-market customers
- Leveraging links to Asia Pacific region with
169 referrals received from Asia Pacific Commercial customers in 1Q11
- Investing in customer facing technologies
(e.g. internet & mobile platforms and multi- lingual ATMs) and group wide systems to deliver the business agenda.
47
- 1. Source: APRA Statistics; 2. Excluding Esanda
ANZ Australia delivered a solid outcome
1.6x 1.2x
- 0.2
0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 Household lending Household customer deposits
Multiple of system (1H11)1 Commercial deposits growth
10% 12% 12% 10%
- 5%
10% 15% Total Commercial Regional Commercial Banking Business Banking Small Business Banking
System
Australia Division
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10 Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 1H10
48
4% 5% HOH PCP
Revenue
3% 4% HOH PCP
Expenses
- 6%
2% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
69% 17% HOH PCP
Provisions 1,411 1,329 149
8 57 169 3
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m 1,303 1,329 175 10 72 61 26
1H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m
Australia Division – Retail
49
6% 3% HOH PCP
Revenue
4% 2% HOH PCP
Expenses
2% 3% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
37% 13% HOH PCP
Provisions
… leading to customer gains
(„000s; MFI Relationship)2 30 60 90 120 150 180 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 ANZ
Trial intention
(%) transactional account trial intention1 10 20 30 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 ANZ
- PBP up 7%
- Strong trial intention and customer acquisition
- Retail deposit FUM increased 7% HOH, particularly in term deposits
and savings products such as Progress Saver
- Retail deposits market share increased to 12.5% over the five months
to February
- Mortgages FUM up 4% HOH while NIM increased 4 bps
- NPAT growth was adversely impacted by flood provisions over the half
116 77 72 61
1.Source: Australian Retail Brand Monitor; 2. Source: Roy Morgan 12 month moving average
Australia Division – Commercial
1% 7% HOH PCP
Revenue
6% 8% HOH PCP
Expenses
- 12%
2% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
67% 22% HOH PCP
Provisions
Investment in frontline FTE staff in 2H10
50
2,581 2,836 2,806 1H10 2H10 1H11
Customer growth
(„000s; Main Bank Relationship)2,3,4
- 5
10 15 20 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 ANZ
524 550 580
- 200
400 600 800 1H10 2H10 1H11 SBB Business Banking $m
Net interest income SBB & BB
44.5 45.7 46.2 33.2 33.7 37.2
- 10.0
20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 1H10 2H10 1H11 NLA Deposit $b
Net loans and advances incl. acceptances & deposits
8 6 4 2
Commercial underlying performance uneven - Business and Small Business performance was solid offset by difficult conditions for Regional Commercial
- 1. Small Business Banking (SBB), Business Banking (BB), Regional Commercial Banking (RCB); 2. Source: DBM
Business Financial Services Monitor; 3. Based on rolling 12 months average and includes businesses that have changed MFI during the last 12 months; 4. Includes customers who did not have a MFI 12 months ago (start up businesses)
Credit Quality
- Higher provisions partly due to long-term
stress in the sector and also specifically for extreme weather events such as the Queensland floods. Delinquency trends higher in Western Australia (prolonged drought) while full effect of Queensland (Cyclone Yasi and flooding) is yet to emerge
- Majority of collective provision overlay for
Commercial is related to RCB Business Performance
- Significant increase in deposits (up 12%
HOH, 20% PCP)
- Lending down 3% HOH, flat PCP
- Revenue down 1% HOH following reduced
loan growth while expenses for the half were flat.
Australia Division – Regional Commercial Banking
51
Significant pay down of debt occurring after high agri cash inflows
Productive Loans v. Deposit FUM
6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 Oct-08 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-11 Productive Loans Deposit FUM Productive Loans ($b) $0.6b Deposit FUM ($b) Pay down of debt
Australia Division – Wealth
Insurance in-force premiums
- Integration of former INGA business on track including OnePath new brand launch
- New ANZ Wealth business created (including OnePath, Private Bank and Investment
and Insurance) and management bench-strength improved
- Wealth NPAT down $41m primarily due to reduced net interest income (repayment
- f loans)
- Other operating income higher due to insurance book growth and favourable claims
experience offsetting higher funding costs and brokerage margin tightening
- Operating expenses flat HOH
- Strong growth across the insurance segments particularly in individual life
- Funds management growth subdued in difficult market conditions coupled with
business transformation
- $11m gross impact in General Insurance due to natural disasters (includes ex-gratia
payments to policy holders).
52
1% 5% HOH PCP
Operating Income
0% 4% HOH PCP
Operating Expenses
- 18%
1% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
44,608 44,493 45,456
1H10 2H10 1H11
ANZ Trustees Ppty & Infra'ure. Cash and FI Global Equities
- Aus. Equities
$m
Funds Under Management
Up 2%
1,230 1,320 1,381 1H10 2H10 1H11 General Insurance Individual Group
$m Up 12%
Performance Highlights
- APEA derived revenue delivers an
additional 3% of Group revenues over revenues earned in the APEA geography
- 6th in Asia-Pacific ex-Japan DCM market
- Five-fold increase in Wealth AUM PCP
- Asia‟s Best Employer Brand Award, 2011
APEA - Business update and strategy
The APEA business continues to grow via organic build of customer relationships and core capabilities, and inter-connectivity across the network, together with Partnerships
ANZ number of branches and representative
- ffices
() Franchise Network Hubs Partnerships Demonstrating interconnectivity across the ANZ network India (1) Pacific (60) Indonesia (28) Singapore (6) Greater China (27) Greater Mekong (31) Malaysia Pacific- Aus/NZ Pacific- Asia Asia-US
Asia- Europe
Intra- Asia Asia- Aus/NZ
- Positive jaws despite high revenue growth and continued
investment, including local incorporation in China, India branch build, further investment in Partnerships, and rollout
- f platforms such as Transactive Asia
- Continuing to grow customer base and client penetration
through increasing industry focus, build out of regional product suite and improved of relationship management
- Accelerating „catch' and „throw' model to capitalise on multi-
national companies increasing business to/from Asia
- RBS integration nearing completion - over 2.4m customers in
Asia
- Launched Signature Priority Banking proposition in 8 countries
- Commercial build out focusing on customer acquisition and
increasing management bench strength
- Growth in deposits a priority
Focused investment and increased cost efficiency drives continued revenue and profit growth Institutional business continuing to grow… …while Retail & Wealth, Private Bank and Commercial businesses growing in target segments
53
Asia Pacific Footprint
Source: Bloomberg, Employer Branding Institute, internal financials Notes:
- 1. 1H FY 2011 annualised, FY 2010 is FX adjusted
2,094 1,023 1,071 1,268 1,214 573 641 730 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 FY10 1H10 2H10 1H11 Revenue Expenses (USD m)
Pro forma NPAT
APEA Division overview
54
Pro forma revenue & expenses 1H11 revenue by geography
38% 36% 14% 12%
South East Asia North East Asia Pacific Europe & America
1H11 revenue by business
52% 36% 12%
Institutional Retail Asia Partnerships 615 280 335 385 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 FY10 1H10 2H10 1H11 (USD m)
APEA Division financial performance
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10
55
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 1H10
18% 24% HOH PCP
Revenue
14% 27% HOH PCP
Expenses
15% 38% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 30%
- 62%
HOH PCP
Provisions 335 385 30 167 89 18 76
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
USD m 280 385 72 173 157 71 54
1H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
USD m
APEA Institutional
APEA Institutional revenue driven by Asia
56
30% 29% HOH PCP
Revenue
15% 37% HOH PCP
Expenses
28% 41% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
69%
- 56%
HOH PCP
Provisions
Strong contribution by Global Markets
Underlying revenue (USD ‘000) 200 400 600 800
FY08 FY09 FY10 1H102 2H10 1H11
Trading Sales 68% 9% 13% 9% Asia Europe America Pacific Continue momentum across the region
- ~600 new clients over last 12 months1
- 23% lending growth and 28% deposit growth in 1H11
- Revenue contribution to Global Institutional increased to 26%
Ongoing investment in capability
- Global Markets platform and footprint
- ANZ Transactive cash management platform launched, with Singapore and Hong Kong
- n-line later this year
- Core banking platform development
- ~50 new products deployed into region
Increasing footprint, building connectivity
- Continue to invest in front line staff
- Expanding footprint in China, India, London and New York
- Continue to develop key markets of Indonesia, Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan
Ongoing sales momentum
- Industry specialisation
- Focus on product cross-sell and capturing intra Asia flows
- Diversifying business mix
- 1. APEA includes Commercial Bank
FY09 benefited from increased market volatility
Growth momentum in Asian Wealth AUM1
57
APEA Retail & Wealth
715 2,037 2,058 433 431 420 5 6 6 1H10 2H10 1H11
R&W Asia R&W Pacific Private Bank
Significant customer build-out
Customer Numbers (‘000) 1,439 5,248 5,838 1H10 2H10 1H11 14% 18% HOH PCP
Revenue
7% 17% HOH PCP
Expenses
large large HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 64%
- 66%
HOH PCP
Provisions
2 2
USD m
- 1. Assets Under Management (AUM); 2. Retail & Wealth (R&W);
- 3. Signature Priority Banking
Strong revenue growth in chosen customer segments
- 14% revenue increase HOH; positive JAWS
- Wealth AUM increased 11% HOH
- Focused acquisition on target segments; closed 82,500 accounts HOH
Customer Centricity
- Launched SPB3 in 6 Asian and 2 Pacific Countries
- Revamped sales incentive scheme - focus on customer satisfaction
- Expanded wealth management products (added 700+ products HOH)
- Launched mortgages in Singapore, Taiwan & Indonesia
Connectivity
- Focus on deposits / cross-sell of wealth management products
- Leveraging of strategic partnerships, e.g. Singapore Airlines
Channels
- Updated website look-and-feel
- Established standardised service levels for call centres
- Launched mobile banking application on iPhone in Taiwan
Includes accounts from RBS acquisition Includes accounts from RBS acquisition
1 2 3 4 5 Listed investment Unlisted investment
Asia Partnerships' contribution continues to be significant
58
- Sacombank impairment charge taken in 1H11 with
weak Vietnamese Dong and share price
- Key Partnerships delivering majority of profit
- Continue to add value to Partnerships through
infusion of ANZ talent and skills to “outperform”
- Invest in expansion opportunities at appropriate
times and as price, policy and regulations allow
Note: AMMB Holdings Berhad (AMMB), Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (SRCB), P.T. Bank Pan Indonesia (Panin), Bank of Tianjin (BoT) and Saigon Thung Tin Commercial Joint-Stock Bank (Sacombank)
Profit contribution remained significant Driving outperformance Partnership contribution to APEA NPAT Growth in value in Partnerships
ANZ share as at (31 March 2011)
- 50
- 50
100 150 200 1H11 Others BoT Panin AMMB SRCB Sacombank
Current book + additional market value of listed partners Current book value Net cash investment
USD b USD m
Impacted by write-down of investment in Sacombank principally due to a decline in the Vietnamese currency
New Zealand – simplifying structure, systems and processes
- Management structure change will deliver greater external focus and
faster decision making while reducing costs
- Moved from six national management structures to three across Retail, Business
Banking and Commercial & Agri
- Business Banking now a standalone specialist business
- Commercial and Rural Businesses merged to form Commercial & Agri, broadens
service provided to agricultural sector
- Four distinct regions created & aligned across segments to bring
decision making closer to customer
- Moving to a single technology platform will drive efficiencies and
improve customer experience
- A NZD98 million post tax significant item charge related to this project
is reflected in the half year accounts
- Single refreshed core banking platform & single set of channel
platforms
- Removing product duplication to provide a simplified, market
competitive product suite
59
Simplifying our structure to be more customer focused Simplifying systems, products and processes
New Zealand economic update
- Emerging economic recovery impacted by the
Christchurch earthquake in February:
- Reconstruction work of $15-20bn is equivalent to up to 10%
- f annual GDP
- Immediate fall in confidence but subsequent recovery in
business confidence is encouraging
- Likely economic recovery from second half
2011, supported by:
- Record commodity prices
- Rugby World Cup
- Christchurch earthquake rebuilding
- NZ’s economic framework is serving the economy
well:
- RBNZ cut OCR by 50 bps in March
- Strong NZD/USD but weak NZD/AUD
- Low levels of government debt and scope to lean on the
balance sheet to support the economy near term
- Challenge is to unlock natural resource endowment
including water and strengthen trade linkages to Asia
- The medium-term outlook is more modest
- Extended period of deleveraging as the economy rebalances
- A lower trend growth rate in medium-term but stronger 5-
10 years out as areas of comparative advantage (e.g. primary production, tourism, water) are unlocked
- Household credit growth is expected to recover, but
will remain more closely tied to income growth of c.5% p.a.
- Demand for business finance is expected to increase
as the recovery progresses
60
- 4%
- 2%
0% 2% 4% 6% 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 GDP Annual % change
The Canterbury earthquake delayed the upswing
Lending Growth FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 Housing 3.0 1.7 4.8 4.3 4.3 Consumer Finance 2.2 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.9 Business1
- 2.7
0.2 2.0 5.5 6.1 Lending Growth 0.6 1.1 3.7 4.8 5.0 Deposit Growth Households 2.9 8.0 5.6 5.1 5.5 Note 1. Includes Rural Sources: RBNZ (2010 actual); ANZ forecasts (2011-14), finalised February 2011
System Forecasts (Registered Banks)
Forecast
New Zealand Region
61
(Pro forma)
Net Profit After Tax
1. Excludes contribution from Shareholder‟s Functions, Operations and Support
1H11 Profit Before Provisions
Contribution by Business1
24% 50% 3% 23% Retail Commercial Wealth Institutional
1H11 NPAT
Contribution by Business1
22% 47% 4% 27%
Retail Commercial Wealth Institutional 643 884 374 510 605 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 FY09 FY10 1H10 2H10 1H11 (NZD m)
- Momentum moderated by de-leveraging across the market
- Demand for credit subdued with revenue growth assisted by
continued switching of fixed rate to variable rate lending – fixed rate now 46% of mortgage book versus 68% same time last year
- Expenses well managed with cost to income ratio reduced to
44.8%, down from 49.0% at 2H10
- Operational efficiencies, improved service levels and business
- utcomes are expected from the move to a single banking technology
platform and simplified regional management structure
New Zealand Region
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10 Financial performance has continued to improve with recovery in the New Zealand economy
62
4% 6% HOH PCP Revenue
- 5%
2% HOH PCP
Expenses
19% 62% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 35%
- 74%
HOH PCP Provisions
510 605 7 59 38 46 55
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
NZDm
New Zealand Region – Key drivers of performance
63
Revenue & expense growth Pro forma NPAT Contribution
1% 2% 4% 6%
- 5%
7%
- 5%
2% 1H10 2H10 1H11 (HoH) 1H11 (PCP) Revenue Expenses
Provision charges
496 147 374 510 605 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
NZDm
Retail & Wealth Commercial Institutional Other 291 599 330 131 85 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
NZDm
Retail & Wealth Commercial Institutional Other
New Zealand Businesses
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10 Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 1H10
64
376 453
- 22
7 30 67 35
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11 NZDm 1% 7% HOH PCP Revenue
- 4%
Flat HOH PCP
Expenses
20% Large
HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 41%
- 72%
HOH PCP
Provisions 218 453
- 102
8 2 253 110
1H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11 NZDm
New Zealand Businesses – Revenue composition
65
NZ Businesses Pro forma Revenue Composition (NZDm) Mortgage portfolio composition Mortgage portfolio repricing profile % of portfolio repriced
1.95% 2.00% 2.05% 2.10% 2.15% 2.20% 2.25% 2.30% 2.35% 2.40% 2.45% 2.50% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 NZDm
NII (LHS) Other operating income (LHS) NZ Bus NIM (RHS)
77% 77% 68% 58% 46% 23% 23% 32% 42% 54% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
% Fixed % Variable
40% 73% 88% 97% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
New Zealand – Retail & Wealth
- Strong NPAT growth driven by significant decline in provisions both HoH and PCP
- Revenue has absorbed ~1% PCP impact of exception fee reductions effective 1st
December 2009
- Expenses well managed down 4% HoH
- Share of new mortgage business increasing in <80% LVR market
- The ongoing repricing of the Fixed Mortgage book estimated 73% complete at FY10
with a further 15% to reprice during FY11
- Integration of OnePath into Wealth business progressing well - 20% share of new
life risk business for the March quarter, market-leading KiwiSaver provided with $1.95b FUM and 24% market share
Well managed business in a subdued economy
66
1% 4% HOH PCP Revenue
- 4%
4% HOH PCP
Expenses
31% 38% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 46%
- 63%
HOH PCP Provisions
Changes to fees and launching market leading products has restored customer growth
1,170 1,175 1,180 1,185 1,190 1,195 1,200 1,205 1,210 Jun 08 Sep 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun 10 Sep 10 Dec 10
Thousands
Main Bank Customers (Seasonally Adjusted)
ANZ brand customer satisfaction at historic highs1
- 1. Nielsen CFM survey
85% 85% 89% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11
New Zealand – Commercial & Agri
- New Zealand Commercial business now comprises of Commercial
division, Agri division and Business Banking
- Guiding customers through the current challenging economic cycle via
customer learning forums
- Super Regional strategy continues to support New Zealand business‟
regional growth aspirations, e.g. Transactive platform enables seamless Trans-Tasman banking; first Australasian bank to complete Chinese RMB deal
- Reduction in lending due to increased Fonterra payouts, and continued
debt reduction in market
- Maintaining good cost management disciplines
Successful consolidation of the Agri division into Commercial division now better placed to support customers growth
67
1% 9% HOH PCP
Revenue
Flat
- 4%
HOH PCP
Expenses
12% Large
HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates1
- 38%
- 75%
HOH PCP Provisions
Activity Outlook Index2 Dairy Milk Payout/Price3
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60
Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11
Total Agriculture Manufacturing
1 Growth rates reflect total Commercial i.e. includes the combination Commercial and Agri and Business Banking divisions 2 National Bank Business Outlook March 2011
- 3. ANZ National Bank
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 Oct 02 Oct 03 Oct 04 Oct 05 Oct 06 Oct 07 Oct 08 Oct 09 Oct 10
$ per kg MS.
32% 21% 20% 15%
ANZ/NBNZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
New Zealand – Business Banking
68
- FUM and revenue growth solid in a subdued market
- Strong NPAT growth and a significant decline in provisions evident in the HoH and PCP outcomes
- Investment in frontline roles to grow the business has been managed through other cost
savings, leaving expenses largely flat
- Customer Satisfaction has improved across both Brands in the last 6 months1
Establishment of a standalone specialist business bringing a new level of focus to managing small business customers One third of the SME market in NZ has a banking relationship with ANZ1
- 1. Source: TNS Conversa
100,200 100,400 100,600 100,800 101,000 101,200 101,400 101,600 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11
Business Banking has seen steady growth in customer numbers over the half year
New Zealand – Institutional
- Extended position as clear market leader, outstanding results across 5 Peter Lee
Associate surveys
- First half revenue growth reflects strong Markets result. Growth against 1H10 impacted
by lower contribution from the management of interest rate risks in the Bank‟s balance sheet
- Expenses flat HoH. Cost growth of 16% PCP driven by investment in systems
supporting the Super Regional strategy
- Connecting customers to Asia and demonstrating ANZ regional capability, e.g. first
Australasian bank to complete a Chinese RMB denominated trade settlement deal; implemented full local payments and cash management for NZ customer's China
- perations
- Market leading innovative client solutions, e.g. only domestic bank to structure Export
Credit Agency Funding; extended commodities capability; launched Transactive, the
- nly full capability web based Tran-Tasman cash management and payment system to
be offered by an Australasian bank
ANZ continues to dominate the NZ institutional segment
69
13%
- 7%
HOH PCP Revenue
- 1%
16% HOH PCP
Expenses
5%
- 17%
HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 62%
- 38%
HOH PCP Provisions
598 531 517 449 426 ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4
Relationship Strength1
(Relationship Strength Index 2010)
Sources: 1: Peter Lee Associates Large Corporate and Institutional Relationship Banking New Zealand Survey 2010
Most Trusted Adviser1
(% Total Customers)
54% 42% 29% 16% 8% 12% ANZ Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5
Global Institutional
- Growing our client base and diversifying our geographic
mix:
- Brought on 676 new Institutional, Corporate and Financial
Institutions clients in the past half, a 10% increase HOH
- ANZ recognised as “One of the Fastest-growing corporate
banks in Asia” in the Greenwich Associates‟ 2011 Large Corporate Banking Survey
- 28% of total lending now in APEA, up from 21% in 2009
- Investing in support infrastructure:
- ANZ Transactive Trans-Tasman cash management platform
launched, with Singapore and Hong Kong on-line later this year – 3,241 client sites activated for ANZ Transactive in Australia and New Zealand
- New capabilities have been introduced including new FX
liquidity and rates platforms
- Core Market Risk and Credit Risk capabilities are in the
process of being enhanced
- Strengthening our relationships:
- Further strengthened our position in Australia and New
Zealand relationships as measured by Peter Lee Associates1
- Making progress in our priority sectors of
resources, agriculture and infrastructure:
- Lead Arranger and book-runner for Woodside‟s $1bn
Syndicated Term Loan Facility
- Sole arranger of AUD475m Emerald grain repurchase
syndication
Making Clear Progress on our Strategy Growing connectivity driven revenue Growing and diversifying regional client base
70
78% 22%
Cross border revenues up 10% PCP Cross Border Domestic Booked 16% 60% 4% 20%
Geographic Mix of new clients won past 12 months Australia
Asia New Zealand Europe & America
- 1. Based on ANZ‟s Relationship Strength Index scores in the Peter Lee Associates Large Corporate and Institutional
Relationship Banking Survey – Australia and New Zealand 2009 and 2010.
Global Institutional – Financial Performance
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 2H10
71
Pro forma NPAT movement – 1H11 v 1H10
4% 7% HOH PCP
Revenue
8% 20% HOH PCP
Expenses
12% 26% HOH PCP
Net Profit after Tax
Pro forma Growth Rates
- 50%
- 65%
HOH PCP
Provisions 914 1,028 102
203 71 156 72
2H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m 816 1,028 19 198 166 280 81
1H10 Net Interest Other Income Exp. Prov. Tax and OEI 1H11
$m (65%) (50%)
Global Institutional – Performance by Geography
Pro forma PBP movement - 1H11 v 2H10
72
Pro forma PBP movement - 1H11 v 1H10
- 4%
30% 13% Australia APEA New Zealand
Revenue
Pro forma Growth Rates 1H11 v 2H10
- 9%
48% 19% Australia APEA New Zealand
PBP 1,561 1,591 104 108
26
2H10 Australia APEA New Zealand 1H11
AUDm 1,578 1,591 17 59 29
1H10 Australia APEA New Zealand 1H11
AUDm
10% 28% 5% Australia APEA New Zealand
NPAT
Global Institutional – Performance by Business
Pro forma PBP movement – 1H11 v 2H10
73
Pro forma PBP movement – 1H11 v 1H10
4% 0% 12%
Global Loans Transaction Banking Global Markets
Revenue
Pro forma Growth Rates 1H11 v 2H10
1,561 1,591 24 29 67 32
2H10 Global Loans Transaction Banking Global Markets Other 1H11
$m
36%
- 16%
28% Global Loans Transaction Banking Global Markets
NPAT
3%
- 8%
14% Global Loans Transaction Banking Global Markets
PBP 1,578 1,591 50 69 82 24
1H10 Global Loans Transaction Banking Global Markets Other 1H11
$m
Impacted by one-off interest write back 2H10
- 200
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 $m
Other Capital Markets Foreign Exchange Fixed Income
Global Markets – Performance by Product
Revenue Contribution by Product
- Continued focus on growing global customer flows, risk management
and diversifying product revenues across the regions
- Investment in FX and Commodities businesses delivering real revenue
momentum, further supported by upward trends in commodity prices
- Capital Markets deal flow continues to strengthen across the entire
Asia Pacific region
- Fixed income captured increased share of key markets, including a
record deal in Japan, the largest Corporate Sales deal for ANZ in Asia
74
8%
- 2%
HOH PCP
Total Revenue
12%
- 18%
HOH PCP
Fixed Income
6%
- 10%
HOH PCP
Capital Markets
Revenue Growth
23% 21% HOH PCP
FX & Commodities 43% 31% 12% 14%
Global Markets – Performance by Geography
Revenue Contribution by Geography
- Results highlight continuing success of strategic initiatives aimed at
diversifying revenue streams across geographies
- Targeted investment in APEA has driven 1H11 growth of 30% with
42% growth in Asia
75
(4%) (7%) HOH PCP
Australia
30% 16% HOH PCP
APEA
Revenue Growth
19%
(20%)
HOH PCP
New Zealand
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Australia APEA New Zealand
53% 35% 12% (20%)
Transaction Banking
ANZ Transactive
Monthly Transaction Volumes
- Effective working capital and liquidity
management is central to any client‟s core banking relationship
- ANZ Transactive monthly transaction volumes
up 27% HOH
- Launched trans-tasman cash management
functionality during half – the first integrated cash management platform across Australia and NZ
- ANZ Transactive Asia also launched into eight
Asian countries during the half, and currently has 2,599 registered clients
Payments & Cash Management
- Total Trade assets are up 30% in Asia
compared to March 2010.
- ANZ again awarded best trade bank in Australia
by Global Finance, Insto and Global Trade Review magazines
- Also recognised as one of the Top 5 trade banks
in the Asia Pacific region
- Structured Trade Finance team recently
completed a AUD475M Syndicated Warehouse Finance Repurchase Facility - the first ever in the global market place
Trade & Supply Chain
76
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Nov-09 May-10 Nov-10 Australia (LHS) Asia (RHS)
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1H10 2H10 1H11 AUDb Asia Australia NZ E&A
Total Trade Exposures
Funded & Unfunded
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Treasury
8.5% 8.0% 8.5% ~11.8% 10.7% 10.1% 10.5% ~7.4% ~7.0% ~7.7% ~8.3% ~8.5% ~9.5% ~9.5% ~14.1% 13.0% 11.9% 12.1% ~15.5%
Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Core Tier-1 Deduction (Insur,banking assoc,ELvEP) Higher RWA Charges (market & credit risk, securitisation)* 10%/15% threshold insur,assoc, DTA Dividend accrual,net capitalised expenses+ DTA incl. in EL v EP deduction+ RWA: IRRBB & mortgage LGDs Mar-11 Basel III Core Tier-1 Ratio FSA Mar-11
Full alignment to Basel ~ +250bps Additional Basel 3 requirements ~ -150bps
Minimum Target: 4.5%
Core Tier 1 surplus
- ver
7.0% Capital Buffer 2.5% Minimum Target 4.5%
ANZ well capitalised and positioned to manage transition to Basel III
Basel II Basel III – Core Tier 1
*excludes impact of BIII liquidity reforms in RWA +includes increase in 10% threshold insurance & associates
Core Tier 1 Tier-1 Total 78
8.05 1.06 (0.37) (0.09) (0.09) (0.07) 8.49 ~9.5 ~11.8
Sep-10 NPAT(1) Dividend/ DRP(2) RWA movement(3) Other(4) Investments Mar-11 Mar-11 Basel III Mar-11 FSA
Solid organic capital generation underpins strong Core Tier-1 position
- 1. Underlying NPAT. 2. Includes prior period under-accrual of DRP . 3.Includes impact of movement in Expected Loss versus Eligible Provision
- excess. 4. Includes OnePath Insurance Business, Asian Banking Associates, Non-Core NPAT items, Capitalised Costs and Software, FX, Net
Deferred Tax Assets, Pensions, MTM gains on own name included in profit
Capital Position (Core Tier-1 Ratio)
Portfolio Growth & mix: 15bp decrease Risk Migration: 7bp increase Non credit RWA: 1bp decrease
net organic up 51bp up 44bp
79
- 1. Underlying NPAT. 2. Includes prior period under-accrual of DRP . 3.Includes impact of movement in Expected Loss versus Eligible Provision
- excess. 4. Includes OnePath Insurance Business, Asian Banking Associates, Non-Core NPAT items, Capitalised Costs and Software, FX, Net
Deferred Tax Assets, Pensions, MTM gains on own name included in profit. 5. Includes 10% reduction in hybrid Tier-1 volumes.
Tier-1 position continues to strengthen with solid
- rganic capital generation
Capital Position (Tier-1 Ratio)
10.10 1.06 ~11.3 (0.37) (0.11) (0.10) (0.07) 10.51 ~14.1
Sep-10 NPAT(1) Dividend/ DRP(2) RWA movement(3) Other(4) Investments Mar-11 Mar-11 Basel III(5) Mar-11 FSA
Portfolio growth & mix: 18bp decrease Risk Migration: 8bp increase Non credit RWA: 1bp decrease
net organic up 48bp up 41bp
80
Reconciliation of ANZ’s capital position to FSA Basel 2 guidelines
- 1. Other includes Net Deferred Tax Assets, Capitalised Expenses, Deferred Income and roundings.
APRA regulations are more conservative than current FSA regulations, in that APRA requires:
- A 20% Loss Given Default floor for mortgages (FSA: 10% floor)
- Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book (IRRBB) included in Pillar I risks (FSA: Pillar II)
- Capital deductions for investments in funds management subsidiaries (FSA: RWA assets)
- Insurance subsidiaries to be a mixture of Tier 1 and Tier 2 deductions (FSA: transitional regulations permit Total Capital
deductions under certain circumstances)
- Expected dividend payments (net of dividend reinvestments) to be deducted from Tier-1 (FSA: no deduction)
- Collective Provision to be net of tax when calculating EL v EP deduction (FSA: tax effect difference between EL and EP on
gross basis)
- Associates to be a mixture of Tier-1 and Tier-2 deductions (FSA: permits proportional consolidation under certain
circumstances)
81
Core Tier-1 Tier 1 Total Capital Mar-11 under APRA standards 8.5% 10.5% 12.1% RWA (Mortgages, IRRBB) 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% OnePath Funds Management and Life Co. businesses 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% Interim dividend accrued net of DRP & BOP 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% Expected Losses v Eligible Provision 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% Insurance subsidiaries (excluding OnePath businesses) 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Investment in associates 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% Other1 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% Total adjustments 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% Mar-11 FSA equivalent ratio 11.8% 14.1% 15.5%
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 YTD FY 11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15+ Senior Debt Government Guarantee Subordinated Debt Pre funded in FY10
1 Excludes perpetual debt
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 Sep 05 Sep 06 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Bps
Stable term debt issuance, portfolio costs continue to increase
Stable term funding profile – FY11 issuance ahead of schedule (~70% complete)
Issuance Maturities
Portfolio term funding costs continue to increase as pre 2008 debt reprices
1
Future Repricing
82
7% 8% 8% 8% 50% 55% 58% 60% 14% 15% 16% 15% 7% 5% 6% 6% 22% 17% 12% 11% Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11
ANZ’s has a well diversified and improved funding profile
Strong Funding Composition
Short Term Wholesale Funding Term Debt < 1 year Residual Maturity Term Debt > 1 year Residual Maturity Customer Funding Shareholders equity & Hybrid debt
Minimal offshore short-term wholesale funding; Offshore CP accounts for <2% (~$8.6b)
Equity/ Hybrids 8%
6% 2% 1% 2% Gross Interbank, Other APEA CDs Offshore CP Domestic CDs
11%
6% 5% 4% 2% 4% Offshore PPs (Multi ccy
- incl. HKD,SGD,RMB)
Japan (¥) UK & Europe (€,£,CHF) North America (USD, CAD) Domestic (AUD, NZD)
21%
Well diversified term wholesale funding portfolio
83
Solid Liquidity position however B3 liquidity requirements remain uncertain
Strong liquidity position ($b)
34.7 60.2 66.7 67.0 31.1 3.2 7.8 6.2 5.0 7.7 28.2
Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Mar 11 Mar 11
Recent Basel III Developments
- The implementation of the new B3 liquidity
requirements remains subject to consultation and clarification
- Key Definitions including Financial Institutions
and Operational Deposits remain outstanding and are likely to be clarified by APRA later in 2011
- Given the lack of eligible liquid assets in
Australia, APRA will allow banks to meet their LCR requirements through a committed liquidity facility at the RBA backed by repo eligible stock
- The banks will pay a fee for this facility in line
with cost of holding B3 eligible liquid assets
Timing / Next steps
- Extended transition period with
implementation of the LCR expected in 2015
- Final quantum of the LCR shortfall will
depend on exact definitions adopted and product innovation and development during the transition period
- Expected NSFR implementation in 2018
Class 1 – AAA & Cash Class 2 – AA or better Class 3 – Internal RMBS
84
Prime Liquidity Portfolio Other Eligible Securities
- Hedge profits partially mitigated the impact of
AUD strength on 1H11 earnings
- For 2H11, hedges are in place to cover ~60% of
NZD, USD and other significant currencies - each 5% appreciation of the AUD negatively impacts FY11 EPS by ~0.3%
- FY12 FX headwind estimated to be ~1%, with
~60% of USD and other significant currency exposures hedged at an equivalent AUD/USD rate of 0.97, however only modest NZD hedges in place
Foreign Exchange impacts
Earnings Composition by Region & Average Translation Rates
0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
% Group Underlying Profit
APEA (LHS) New Zealand (LHS) Australia (LHS) AVG AUD/USD (RHS) AVG AUD/NZD (RHS) (1.9%) ~(1.5%) (2.5%) ~(3.1%) 1H11 HoH FY11 PCP @Current rates
Current Hedging Unhedged
EPS Impact
85
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Risk Management
- 200
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Institutional Australia Division NZ Businesses APEA ex-Institutional CP charge 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Provision Charge and Impaired Assets
New Impaired Assets by Division Total Provision Charge (IP charge by Division, total CP charge)
87
1,435 1,621 1,098 722 660 3,035 3,600 3,126 2,319 2,437 Oswal
Individual Provision Charge
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 $m Institutional Commercial Consumer
Individual Provision Charge by Segment Individual Provision Charge composition Individual Provision Charge by Region
88
1,531 1,283 1,062 762 594
- 500
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 $m New Increased Writebacks & Recoveries 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 $m Australia New Zealand APEA 1,531 1,283 1,062 762 594 1,531 1,283 1,062 762 594
- 400
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m Lending Growth Economic Cycle & Concentration Risk Profile Portfolio Mix
Collective Provision Charge
89
Total Group Australia Division New Zealand Businesses Global Institutional APEA (ex-Inst.) 66 116 (46) 5 (9)
60 79
- 19
56 16
- 1
29 12
- 34
21
- 26
- 9
- 20
- 16
- 15
- 1
Collective Provision Charge by Source
Credit Risk Weighted Assets
Total Credit Risk Weighted Assets
90
233.5 233.2 4.6 0.1 3.7 1.1
Sep 10 Growth Data Review FX Impact Risk Mar 11
$b 257.8 229.8 220.4 233.5 233.2
Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
$b
Credit RWA movement 1H11
Impaired Assets
Gross Impaired Assets by Type Gross Impaired Assets by Size of Exposure New Impaired Assets by Segment
91
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
$m
Impaired Loans NPCCD Restructured 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
$m
> $100m $10-$99m < $10m 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
$m
Institutional Commercial Retail 3,035 3,600 3,126 2,319 2,437 4,158 5,595 6,561 6,561 6,221 4,158 5,595 6,561 6,561 6,221
Oswal Oswal
Watch & Control Lists and Risk Grade Profiles
Group Risk Grade profile by Exposure at Default Watch & Control List
92
59% 59% 58% 60% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13% 13% 13% 12% 9% 9% 9% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 AAA to BBB BBB- BB+ to BB BB- >BB-
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
Index Mar 2009 = 100
Watch List by Limits Watch List by No. Groups Control List by Limits Control List by No. Groups
Commercial Industry Exposures
93
Finance & Insurance Property Services Manufacturing
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 20 40 60 80 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
Exposure at Default ($b) (LHS) % of Group Portfolio (RHS) % in Non-Performing (RHS)
Agri, Forestry & Fishing Wholesale Trade Other Commercial Exposures
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 20 40 60 80 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 20 40 60 80 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 20 40 60 80 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 20 40 60 80 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 20 40 60 80 100 120 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
Australia 90+ Day Delinquencies
0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50%
Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10
Total Mortgage Portfolio NSW & ACT Mortgages QLD Mortgages VIC Mortgages WA Mortgages Total Credit Cards
Australia Retail
90+ day delinquencies
94
Mortgages have low loss rates
Individual Provision Loss Rates
1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11 Group
0.85% 0.74% 0.61% 0.42% 0.31%
Australia Region
1.03% 0.72% 0.59% 0.42% 0.31%
Australia Mortgages
0.03% 0.02% 0.02% 0.01% 0.01%
Australia Division 90+ day Delinquency Balance ($m)
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Mortgages Other Lending
Australia Mortgages
Dynamic Loan to Valuation Ratio
95
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
0-60% 61-75% 76-80% 81%-90% 91%+
% Portfolio
Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11
Portfolio Statistics
Total Number of Mortgage Accounts 831k Total Mortgage FUM $165b % of Total Australian Lending 59% % of Total Group Lending 44% Owner occupied loans - % of portfolio 64% Average Loan Size at Origination $227k Average LVR at Origination 63% Average Dynamic LVR of Portfolio 47% % of Portfolio Ahead on Repayments 38% First Home Owners – % of Portfolio 11% First Home Owners – % of New lending 1H11 7%
10% of Portfolio >80% LVR
Mortgage Portfolio by State (Mar 2011) 27% 20% 27% 16% 10%
NSW & ACT QLD VIC WA OTHER
Australia Commercial
Australia Commercial 90+ day delinquencies Regional Commercial Banking 90+ day delinquencies
96
0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00%
Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Business Banking Regional Commercial Banking Esanda Small Business Banking
Australia Commercial Lending Mix 33% 29% 31% 7%
Business Banking Regional Commercial Banking Esanda Small Business Banking 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00%
Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11
RCB Total Agri Other Commercial
The Queensland economy was already facing challenges before the onset of natural disasters
Unemployment did not experience the level of decline experienced in the national average Tourism flows have been declining impacted by a strong AUD Mining is a key driver of economy but less significant than in WA
97
14% 30%
QLD WA
Mining as % of Total Industry 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Level of unemployment
Australia Queensland
0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10
- 2,000
- 1,000
- 1,000
2,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
AUD/USD Inverted Net Tourism Annual Rolling Sum („000)
Net Tourism (lhs) AUD/USD (rhs)
%
New Zealand
Total Impaired Assets Total Provision Charge 90+ Days Arrears
98
0.00% 0.40% 0.80% 1.20% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mortgages Commercial Rural
- 200
200 400 600 800 1H09 2H09 1H10 2H10 1H11
NZDm
IP Charge CP Charge 639 1,220 1,837 2,079 2,236 0.64% 1.24% 1.89% 2.13% 2.31%
Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 10 NZDm Impaired Assets IA as % GLA
291 598 330 131 85
Credit Intermediation Trades
99
Position as at 31 Mar 2011 Counterparty Rating No. Notional purchased protection principal amount (USDm) Mark to Market (USDm) Life to Date Notional Principal Amount on corresponding Sold Protection (USDm) Credit Risk
- n
Derivatives (USDm) Credit Risk
- n
Derivatives (AUDm) AA+/Aa3 2 2,010 204 46 44 1,522 BB/Ba1 1 3,100 94 48 47 3,100 Withdrawn Rating / No rating 3 3,778 160 54 52 3,778 Defaulted Monoline1
- Other costs2
- 295
318 Position 31 March 2011 6 8,888 458 443 461 8,400 Position 30 September 2010 6 9,879 620 488 515 8,414
- 1. The last bought protection trade from the defaulted monoline matured in September 2010.
- 2. Other costs are cumulative life to date costs which include realised losses relating to restructuring trades to reduce risks which were unhedged due to
default by the purchased protection counterparty and realised losses on termination of sold protection trades. It also includes foreign exchange hedging losses.
- Cumulative Credit Risk on Derivative expense for the Credit
Intermediation Trade portfolio as at 31/3/2011 was $461m (down $55m from 30/9/2010)
- Credit markets have shown a tightening bias over the past
six months despite periods of volatility. The relative stability in credit markets and the reduced level of credit exposure
- utstanding has resulted in lower MTM and CVA over the
past 6 months
- However, MtM and CVA remain subject to volatility in
both credit spreads and exchange rates
- The level of sold protection was relatively unchanged with no
trades exited during HY11. The total notional value of the sold protection outstanding was USD 8,400m (30/9/10 USD 8,414m).
- ANZ will look at opportunities which may arise to reduce our
remaining sold protection exposure.
- ANZ has strong levels of protection under the sold protection
trades with an average attachment point of
- ~ 15% for the 12 CDO‟s
- ~ 36% for the 6 CLO‟s
- ANZ has USD 8,888m in bought protection outstanding
including approximately USD 0.49bn of bought protection for which ANZ has no remaining underlying sold protection exposure.
- The notional face value of bought protection reduced by
approximately USD1bn with one trade maturing during HY11.
Credit Intermediation Trade Portfolio
100
Credit Intermediation Trades
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 Sep 08 Mar 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 USDb AUDb Mark to Market AUD (LHS) Credit Valuation Adjustment AUD (LHS) Notional Sold Exposure USD (RHS)
11
HALF YEAR RESULTS
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED
3 May 2011
Investor Discussion Pack
Economic Updates
Australia New Zealand
2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012
GDP 0.9 2.7 1.7 4.0
- 2.8
1.3 0.4 4.0 Inflation 1.3 2.8 2.9 2.6 1.7 1.5 5.01 2.7 Unemployment 5.8 5.2 5.0 4.5 6.5 6.4 6.6 6.1 Cash rate 3.00 4.50 5.00 5.75 2.50 3.00 2.50 3.75 AUD/USD 0.88 0.97 1.05 0.98 N/A N/A N/A N/A Credit 1.7 3.2 4.3 5.2 3.6 0.6 1.1 3.7
- Housing
7.6 7.9 6.6 6.5 3.9 3.0 1.7 4.8
- Business2
- 4.6
- 3.7
0.1 4.0 3.6
- 2.7
0.2 2.0
- Other
- 5.5
2.7 4.7 5.0
- 1.8
2.2 4.2 4.0
Economic updates
102 Source - ANZ economics team estimates. Based on 30 September bank year. Growth rates in through the year terms.
- 1. Impacted by an increase in the Goods and Services tax rate from 12.5% to 15% effective 1 October 2010
- 2. NZ Business includes Rural lending
Growth Forecasts – Asia
103 Note: Based on calendar year.
Emerging Asia GDP Growth Forecasts
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
China 13.0 9.6 9.1 10.3 9.5 9.5 India 9.5 7.3 6.8 8.6 8.9 9.8 NIEs Hong Kong 6.4 2.4
- 2.8
6.5 5.0 5.2 Korea 5.1 2.3 0.2 6.1 3.9 4.7 Singapore 8.5 1.8
- 1.3
14.5 4.6 5.5 Taiwan 5.9 1.1
- 1.9
11.0 5.3 3.5 ASEAN Indonesia 6.4 6.0 4.5 6.1 6.2 6.5 Malaysia 6.5 4.7
- 1.7
7.2 5.1 5.9 Philippines 7.1 3.7 1.1 7.3 5.9 6.0 Thailand 5.0 2.5
- 2.3
7.8 4.4 5.5 Vietnam 8.5 6.3 5.3 6.8 6.4 6.6 Total 10.3 7.3 6.1 9.2 8.1 8.3 Total (ex. China & India) 6.1 3.3 0.4 7.6 5.0 5.3 Sources: CEIC, ANZ Economics.
The material in this presentation is general background information about the Bank‟s activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate This presentation may contain forward-looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief
- r current expectations with respect to ANZ‟s business and operations, market conditions, results of
- perations and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices.
When used in this presentation, the words “estimate”, “project”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “should” and similar expressions, as they relate to ANZ and its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. Such statements constitute “forward-looking statements” for the purposes of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. ANZ does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. For further information visit
www.anz.com
- r contact
Jill Craig Group General Manager Investor Relations ph: (613) 8654 7749 fax: (613) 8654 9977 e-mail: jill.craig@anz.com