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FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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FY20 FY19 INTERIM RESULTS FULL YEAR RESULTS PRESENTATION PRESENTATION our view today goes on forever Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements and projections. These reflect thl s current expectations, based on
FY19 FULL YEAR RESULTS PRESENTATION
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements and projections. These reflect thl’s current expectations, based on what it thinks are reasonable assumptions. The statements are based on information available to thl at the date of this presentation and are not guarantees or predictions of future performance. For any number of reasons, the future could be different and the assumptions on which the forward-looking statements and projections are based could be wrong. thl gives no warranty or representation as to its future financial performance or any future
materially. This presentation has been prepared for publication in New Zealand and may not be released or distributed in the United States. This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not an offer of securities, or a proposal or invitation to make any such offer, in the United States or any other jurisdiction, and may not be relied upon in connection with any purchase of thl
United States, except in transactions exempt from, or not subject to, the registration of the US Securities Act and applicable US State securities
This presentation may contain a number of non-GAAP financial measures. Because they are not defined by NZ GAAP or IFRS, thl’s calculation of these measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies and they should not be considered in isolation from, or construed as an alternative to, other financial measures determined in accordance with NZ GAAP. This presentation does not take into account any specific investors objectives and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Investors are encouraged to make an independent assessment of thl. The information contained in this presentation should be read in conjunction with thl’s latest financial statements, which are available at: www.thlonline.com.
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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0.9251).
0.6705).
business units, and the Group, in relation to the financial resources utilised. ROFE is calculated as EBIT divided by average monthly net funds employed. Net funds employed are measured as total assets, less non-interest bearing liabilities and cash on hand. The lease liability as a result of IFRS 16 is not considered to be part of funds employed. Accordingly, the interest expense arising from IFRS 16 is also deducted from EBIT for the purposes of ROFE. The calculation is done in NZ dollars.
was 0.6735 (H1 FY19 – 0.6713); the AUD cross-rate used was 0.9617 (H1 FY19 – 0.9520) and the GBP cross-rate used was 0.5136 (H1 FY19 – 0.5290).
rate of 0.66.
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thl’s H1 FY20 results include changes in financial disclosures resulting from the adoption of IFRS 16:
the thl balance sheet, grossing up total assets and total liabilities.
positive impact of $5.1M on EBITDA. These have resulted from a change in lease expense classification from operating expenses of $5.1M to:
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vehicle sales market and investment in Togo Group.
Australia and stable revenue in the USA.
margin perspective.
the lag of right sizing of fleet in the USA.
* Based on the closing share price on 26 February 2020 of $2.55 and assumption of 20cps total FY20 dividend. ** Based on the assumed cross-rates noted on page 4.
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OPERATING PROFIT BEFORE FINANCING COSTS AND TAX (EBIT)
(H1 2019 - $34.7M) INTERIM DIVIDEND1
(H1 2019 - 13CPS)
+3%
EBIT EXCLUDING IMPACT OF IFRS 16
(H1 2019 - $34.7M)
As at 31 December 2019
1 100% imputed in H1 2020; 50% imputed in H1 2019.
2 As at 31 December.
3 Represents thl’s share of NPBT losses.
REVENUE (RENTALS & SERVICES)
(H1 2019 - $144.3M)
INVESTMENT IN TOGO GROUP3
(H1 2019 - $5.4M)
NET PROFIT AFTER TAX (NPAT)
(H1 2019 - $17.5M) REVENUE (VEHICLE SALES)
(H1 2019 - $62.9M)
NET DEBT2
(H1 2019 - $226M)
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and Rentals Australia businesses.
expense was down $0.4M as a result of lower debt across the half year.
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR % Operating revenue 207.5 207.3 0.2 0% Earnings before interest and tax (1) 31.0 34.7 (3.7) (11%) Operating profit before tax (2) 18.7 25.0 (6.2) (25%) Profit after tax 13.1 17.5 (4.4) (25%) (1) H1 FY20 includes a $1.5M benefit relating to the adoption of IFRS 16. (2) H1 FY20 includes a $0.5M expense relating to the adoption of IFRS 16. * Includes additional $2.0M expense relating to the adoption of IFRS 16.
OPERATING PROFIT BEFORE TAX $M
25.0 18.7
0.4 0.4 1.6 (6.1) (0.1) (1.1) (1.4) – 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
Profit Before Tax H1 FY19 Rentals NZ Rentals AU Rentals USA Tourism Group Group Services & Other JV & Associates Net Interest * Profit Before Tax H1 FY20
NZ$m
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received from the thl rights offer, investment in Togo Group and new fleet capital expenditure.
primarily due to the equity raise completed in July 2019.
us with capacity for acquisitions and growth initiatives.
$135M to $145M, in line with our previous expectations.
structure is underway and will be completed prior to year end. Net debt
Last year
Net debt Net debt:EBITDA*
Last year
* Net debt:EBITDA is calculated using a 12 month EBITDA on a frozen GAAP basis. Net debt used for the calculation includes LOC and derivatives balance. 178 199 226 202 181 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.7 – 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 – 50 100 150 200 250
Dec 17 Jun 18 Dec 18 Jun 19 Dec 19
Net debt LOC Net debt: EBITDA
Note: Net debt and Net debt:EBITDA do not include lease liabilities relating to the adoption of IFRS 16.
NZD ($M) Net debt:EBITDA (x)
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
Fully imputed
Interim FY19 – 13 cents (50% imputed)
Interim Dividend
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approximately $14.8M (compared to $16.1M in the pcp). Compared to the pcp, dividend per share reflects the greater number of shares on issue.
dividend pay-out in FY20 excluding our investment in Togo Group.
the thl Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP).
* Based on the closing share price on 26 February 2020 of $2.55 and assumption of 20cps total FY20 dividend.
9 10 13 13 10 10 11 14 14
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Interim Final
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additional features including ‘RV Living’.
the summer period.
time capacity information on freedom campgrounds to CamperMate users.
to revenue.
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Togo Fleet
system was successfully launched within thl in October 2019.
efficiencies including fleet scheduling, inventory management, vehicle collections and relocations.
effectively with booking cancellations in Australia due to bush fires.
the end of FY20 include booking, and customer and agent management systems for New Zealand and Australia.
Togo Insights (Telematics)
telematics devices are being installed in all rental vehicles in New Zealand and Australia.
communicate with our rentals customers during the bush fire events in Australia.
Togo Group
H1 FY20 was NZ$7.3M.
expected to be US$10M (previously US$8.5M).
Togo Group is under review.
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*In H1, the majority of EBIT relates to the USA business due to seasonality.
Revenue by Geography
38% 22% 40%
New Zealand Rentals & Sales Australia USA
H1 FY20 H1 FY19 EBIT before Group Services and Other* H1 FY20 H1 FY19
$M
FY20 FY19 VAR VAR %
thl Rentals New Zealand 7.5 7.0 0.4 6% Australia 8.6 8.2 0.4 5% USA 12.4 18.4 (6.1) (33%) Total Rentals 28.5 33.7 (5.2) (15%) Tourism Group 4.3 4.4 (0.1) (3%) Total operating divisions 32.8 38.1 (5.3) (14%) Group Support Services & Other (1.8) (3.4) 1.6 47% Total EBIT 31.0 34.7 (3.7) (11%) Split Australia 8.6 8.2 0.4 5% USA 12.4 18.4 (6.1) (33%) NZ 10.0 8.1 1.9 23% Total EBIT 31.0 34.7 (3.7) (11%) 6 Months to December Prior to IFRS 16 Impact of IFRS 16 H1 FY20 Australia 8.2 0.4 8.6 USA 11.8 0.6 12.4 NZ 9.6 0.4 10.0 Total EBIT 29.5 1.5 31.0 40% 22% 38%
New Zealand Rentals & Sales Australia USA
18% 22% 48% 12%
New Zealand Rentals & Sales Australia USA Tourism Group
23% 26% 38% 13%
New Zealand Rentals & Sales Australia USA Tourism Group
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“Continued core growth”
and delivered year on year growth.
and yield up on the pcp.
compared to 270 in the pcp. Sales of minivan vehicles, which comprised the greatest shortfall in sales in FY19, have been positive in FY20 to date.
digit percentage growth expected.
(1) EBIT excluding the impact from the adoption of IFRS 16 is $7.1M. (2) Exclude sales of non-fleet vehicles.
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR VAR %
Rental income 40.5 38.5 2.0 5% Sale of goods 25.8 22.7 3.1 14% Costs (58.8) (54.1) (4.7) (9%) EBIT(1) 7.5 7.0 0.4 6%
Half Year
Units:
Dec-19 Dec-18
VAR
VAR %
Opening Fleet 2,332 2,083 249 12% Fleet Sales(2) (269) (199) 70 35% Fleet Purchases 570 677 (107) (16%) Closing Fleet 2,633 2,561 72 3% Vehicle Fleet
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“Delivering growth in a competitive environment”
increase of 7%.
small reduction in yield from increased competition.
vehicles sold towards smaller RVs. Total vehicle sales contribution improved on the pcp due to growth in average sales margins on consistent vehicle sales volumes.
a result, H2 FY20 rental revenue is expected to be below H2 FY19.
(1) Excludes sales of buyback vehicles. (2) EBIT excluding the impact from the adoption of IFRS 16 is NZD $8.2M (AUD $7.8M). (3) Includes sales of buyback vehicles, but excludes sales of non-fleet vehicles.
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR VAR %
Rental income 37.7 37.0 0.7 2% Sale of goods(1) 7.6 8.5 (0.9) (11%) Costs (36.7) (37.3) 0.6 2% EBIT(2) 8.6 8.2 0.4 5%
Half Year
AUD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR VAR %
Rental income 35.6 34.2 1.4 4% Sale of goods(1) 7.2 7.9 (0.7) (9%) Costs (34.6) (34.5) (0.1) 0% EBIT(2) 8.2 7.6 0.6 7% Units:
Dec-19 Dec-18
VAR
%
Opening Fleet 1,641 1,539 102 7% Fleet Sales(3) (324) (324)
379 437 (58) (13%) Closing Fleet 1,696 1,652 44 3%
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“Difficult vehicle sales conditions continue”
US$8.0M (down 35% on the pcp), despite consistent performance in rental revenue.
experienced growth of 4% (NZ$2.0M) in NZD terms due to favourable exchange rate fluctuations.
smaller due to right sizing of fleet. Focus for H2 FY20 and early FY21 is to maximise revenue through improved utilisation and yield on our smaller fleet size.
(1) EBIT excluding the impact from the adoption of IFRS 16 is NZD $11.8M (USD $7.6M).
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR %
Rental income 52.4 50.4 2.0 4% Sale of goods 25.7 31.7 (6.1) (19%) Costs (65.7) (63.7) (2.0) (3%) EBIT(1) 12.4 18.4 (6.1) (33%)
Half Year
USD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR %
Rental income 33.9 33.9 0.0 0% Sale of goods 16.1 20.9 (4.8) (23%) Costs (41.9) (42.4) 0.5 1% EBIT(1) 8.0 12.4 (4.3) (35%) Units:
Dec-19 Dec-18
VAR % Opening Fleet 2,440 2,109 331 16% Fleet Sales (351) (400) (49) (12%) Fleet Purchases 3
2,092 1,709 383 22% Vehicle Fleet
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FY20 on the pcp, there has been a small improvement in the second quarter of FY20 compared to the first quarter (US$4,748 vs. US$3,872).
mix in Q2 compared to Q1, which had some large wholesale transactions at lower margins.
improvement in visitor numbers at recent RV shows, as well as improvement in dealer sentiment.
greater than in the pcp, due to excess fleet held across the period.
Progress People The targeted changes to head count and roles have been implemented. Property Two branches have been closed. Further potential closures are being explored. Funds employed On track to achieve target of a reduction in funds employed of US$20M by the end of FY20.
USD Q2FY20 Q2FY19 VAR %
Motorhome fleet sales (units) 107 157 (50) (32%) Gain on sale of motorhome fleet after selling costs ($M) 0.5 0.9 (0.4) (46%) Total average gain on sale after selling costs ($) 4,748 5,939 (1,191) (20%)
USD Q1FY20 Q1FY19 VAR %
Motorhome fleet sales (units) 244 243 1 0% Gain on sale of motorhome fleet after selling costs ($M) 0.9 1.7 (0.8) (45%) Total average gain on sale after selling costs ($) 3,872 7,021 (3,149) (45%)
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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“Continued strong ROFE performance”
from $4.4M in the pcp.
declined due to a fall in passenger numbers.
despite a decline in revenue, due to good cost controls being put in place.
Experience have launched.
relating to COVID-19.
NZD $M
Dec-19 Dec-18
VAR % Revenue 17.8 18.4 (0.7) (4%) Costs (13.5) (14.0) 0.5 4% EBIT 4.3 4.4 (0.1) (3%) Half Year
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Tax (EBIT), and are not included in our ROFE calculations.
($0.9M).
Fairfax Industries.
plan.
34% higher than in the pcp.
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR % Action Manufacturing 1.4 0.6 0.9 151% Just go 0.2 0.3 (0.1) (28%) Togo Group (7.3) (5.4) (1.9) (34%) Total (5.7) (4.6) (1.1) (24%) Equity Investments
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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$1.8M, down 47% on the prior year.
attributable to the transaction costs incurred in the first half of FY19 relating to the discontinued sale of the Tourism businesses and other acquisition opportunities.
NZD $M Dec-19 Dec-18 VAR % Revenue – – –
(1.8) (3.4) 1.6 47% EBIT (1.8) (3.4) 1.6 47%
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Gross Capital Expenditure ($M) Proceeds from Fleet Sales ($M) Net Capital Expenditure ($M)
Note: Fleet purchased/sold under buyback arrangements are not treated as additions/sales of fixed assets, but are treated as operating leases under IFRS reporting. For the purposes of the above, the purchases and sales values under buyback arrangements are included. The above also includes non-fleet capital expenditure, which has been categorised as core capital expenditure.
forecast at approximately $133M.
in FY20 as we adjust fleet, release capital and generate a positive
business.
be core expenditure and 45% flex expenditure.
expected to be around $129M, ~6% up on prior year.
expected to be around $4M, due to the substantial reduction of capital expenditure in the USA.
81 112 143 121 ~129
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Forecast
Core Flex
46 58 58 76 ~4
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Forecast
Net Capex
126 171 201 197 ~133
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Forecast
Core Flex
FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FY20 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION
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primary relevant factors being:
approximately $4M.
continue to exclude our investment in Togo Group for dividend purposes.
* Based on the assumed cross-rates noted on page 4.
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* Note: the FY19 earnings per share calculations have been adjusted for the bonus element of the capital raise. $M FY20 FY19 VAR VAR % Sale of services 148.4 144.3 4.1 3% Sale of goods 59.1 62.9 (3.9) (6%) Total revenue 207.5 207.3 0.2 0% Costs 145.4 147.2 (1.9) (1%) EBITDA 62.1 60.0 2.1 3% Depreciation & Amortisation 31.1 25.3 5.8 23% EBIT 31.0 34.7 (3.7) (11%) Interest (6.6) (5.2) (1.4) (28%) Share of Joint Ventures (5.9) (4.9) (1.0) (21%) Share of Associates 0.2 0.3 (0.1) (28%) Profit before taxation 18.7 25.0 (6.2) (25%) Taxation (5.7) (7.5) 1.8 24% Profit attributable to thl shareholders 13.1 17.5 (4.4) (25%) Basic EPS (in cents) 8.9 14.0 *
6 Months to December
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$M FY20 FY19 VAR VAR %
thl Rentals - Rental Revenue New Zealand 40.5 38.5 2.0 5% Australia 37.7 37.0 0.7 2% USA 52.4 50.4 2.0 4% 130.6 125.9 4.7 4% thl Rentals - Sale of Goods New Zealand 25.8 22.7 3.1 14% Australia 7.6 8.5 (0.9) (11%) USA 25.7 31.7 (6.1) (19%) 59.1 62.9 (3.9) (6%) Tourism Group 17.8 18.4 (0.7) (4%) Total Revenue 207.5 207.3 0.2 0% Split Australia 45.3 45.5 (0.2) (0%) USA 78.1 82.2 (4.1) (5%) NZ and other 84.1 79.6 4.5 6% 207.5 207.3 0.2 0% Revenue Split Sale of Services 148.4 144.3 4.1 3% Sale of Goods 59.1 62.9 (3.9) (6%) 207.5 207.3 0.2 0% 6 months to December
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* Operating cash flow includes the sale and purchase of rental assets. $M REVENUE DIVISIONAL EBIT AVE FUNDS EMPLOYED OPERATING CASHFLOW* REVENUE DIVISIONAL EBIT AVE FUNDS EMPLOYED OPERATING CASHFLOW*
Rentals New Zealand 66.3 7.5 155.4 (24.2) 61.2 7.0 155.7 (19.4) Rentals Australia 45.3 8.6 83.0 (1.3) 45.5 8.2 84.0 (3.5) Rentals USA 78.1 12.4 164.6 24.2 82.2 18.4 139.1 19.8 Tourism Group 17.8 4.3 20.6 5.8 18.4 4.4 22.0 6.6 Group Support Services/Other – (1.8) 4.4 (3.5) – (3.4) 1.8 (10.6) thl 100% owned entities 207.5 31.0 428.0 0.9 207.3 34.7 402.5 (7.1) Joint Ventures (5.9) 56.9 (4.9) 53.4 Associates 0.2 4.7 0.3 4.2 Group Total 207.5 25.3 489.6 0.9 207.3 30.1 460.1 (7.1)
31-Dec-19 31-Dec-18
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EBITDA
$M FY20 FY19 VAR VAR %
EBIT 31.0 34.7 (3.7) (11%) Add back non-cash items: Depreciation 30.6 24.7 5.8 24% Amortisation 0.5 0.6 (0.0) (8%) EBITDA 62.1 60.0 2.1 3%
6 Months to December EBITDA excluding IFRS 16 $M FY20 FY19 VAR VAR % EBIT 29.5 34.7 (5.2) (15%) Add back non-cash items: Depreciation 26.9 24.7 2.2 9% Amortisation 0.5 0.6 (0.0) (8%) EBITDA excluding IFRS 16 57.0 60.0 (3.0) (5%) 6 Months to December
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As at
$M DEC 19 DEC 18 VAR Equity 314.9 250.7 64.3 Non current liabilities 209.5 247.0 (37.5) Current liabilities 65.2 75.1 (9.9) Lease liabilities (IFRS 16) 80.5 0.0 80.5 Total source of funds 670.1 572.7 97.4 Intangible assets and goodwill 43.6 44.2 (0.6) Investments in associates and joint ventures 58.1 56.8 1.3 Property, plant and equipment 403.6 379.1 24.5 Right-of-use assets (IFRS 16) 68.8 0.0 68.8 Non-current derivative financial instruments 0.0 0.7 (0.7) Current assets 96.0 91.9 4.1 Total use of funds 670.1 572.7 97.4 Net debt position (exclude IFRS 16 lease liabilities) 181.0 225.6 (44.6) Net tangible assets (NTA) 271.3 206.4 64.9 NTA per share $1.83 $1.67 Book value of net assets per share $2.13 $2.03 Debt / debt + equity ratio (net of Intangibles) 40% 52% Equity ratio (net of Intangibles) 43% 39% AUD exchange rate at period end 0.9617 0.9520 USD exchange rate at period end 0.6735 0.6713
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6 Months to December
$M FY20 FY19 VAR VAR %
Proceeds from sales of motorhome fleet 51.0 52.7 (1.7) (3%) Net book value of vehicles sold (incl writeoffs) 44.3 45.6 (1.3) (3%) Gain on sales of motorhome fleet before selling costs 6.7 7.1 (0.5) (6%) Vehicle sales costs (warranty only) 0.4 0.4 0.0 6% Gain on sales of motorhome fleet after selling costs 6.3 6.7 (0.4) (6%) Gross profit on non-fleet vehicles, retail and accessory sales 1.5 1.8 (0.3) (17%) Reported gross profit 7.8 8.5 (0.7) (8%) Total average gain on sale ($000) after selling costs 8.2 8.9 (0.7) (8%) Fleet motorhomes sold (incl writeoffs, excl buybacks) AU 144 147 (3) (2%) NZ 269 199 70 35% US 351 400 (49) (12%) Total fleet motorhomes sold (units), excl. buybacks 764 746 18 2% Flex fleet sales on buy-backs excluded from above FY20 FY19 AU 180 177 FY20 FY19 Total fleet sales 324 324
AU
269 199
NZ
351 400
US 944 923