TREMOVE Workshop on EU policies to Improve the contribution of Urban - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TREMOVE Workshop on EU policies to Improve the contribution of Urban - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Mar 02, 2024 276 likes •413 views

TREMOVE Workshop on EU policies to Improve the contribution of Urban Busses and other Captive Fleets to Air Quality 14 january 2004 Short description of TREMOVE model (Bart Van Herbruggen & Jasper Knockaert) Major project outputs 1.

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TREMOVE

Workshop on EU policies to Improve the contribution of Urban Busses and other Captive Fleets to Air Quality

14 january 2004 Short description of TREMOVE model (Bart Van Herbruggen & Jasper Knockaert)

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Major project outputs

  • 1. Transport and emissions Baseline (2020)
  • Transport Activity
  • Vehicle stock turnover
  • Emissions & Energy consumption

Consistency with other European models (SCENES , PRIMES , RAINS) Preference for EU data sources (EUROSTAT, COPERT, ARTEMIS) Stakeholder consultation and agreement

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SLIDE 3

Major project outputs

2. Simulation tool for policy evaluation

  • Clean Air for Europe Programme
  • Greenhouse Gas Policies
  • Road Charging Policies
  • Energy Related Polices
  • Assessment of new road technologies
  • ...
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SLIDE 4
  • EU 15 + CH + NO + SI + PL + CZ + HU
  • Each country consists of 3 model regions

« aggregated » treatment of urban transport

Geoghraphical scope

Metropolitan

  • ther urban

non-urban

Non-Urban Urban

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SLIDE 5

Modal scope

Car Motorcycle Bus Coach Moped

  • Metro & Tram
  • Train
  • Air
  • Non-motorised
  • Ferries

(passenger transport)

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SLIDE 6

Heavy duty truck Light duty truck Inland waterway Rail Maritime (freight transport)

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Modular structure

Vehicle stock turnover module Vkm by type and tech Fuel consumption and emissions module Emissions by vehicle type

Traffic demand Stock structure Usage

Usage Stock structure Fuel consumption Usage Cost Speed & Load Transport demand module Activity by mode Welfare cost module Life cycle emissions module Consumer utility, Producer costs & Tax revenues

External Costs

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How to simulate e.g. CNG bus subsidising In vehicle stock module (iteration over years):

Total urban bus fleet : Stocki(t) = Stocki(t-1) - Scrapi(t) + Salei(t) Modelling diesel versus CNG bus fleet Sales = choice models using nested logit functions and cost/tax/subsidy parameters The logit model enables to simulate the effect of subsidies to CNG busses on their market penetration

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In transport demand module (iteration over years) :

Penetration of subsidised CNG busses in the fleet might lead to changes in tariffs for public transport users This leads to modal shifts… This leads to changes in congestion levels and avg. speeds …

A new equilibrium on the transport market is calculated

How to simulate e.g. CNG bus subsidising

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In emission module (iteration over years) :

Changes in transport quantities by mode Changes in fleet composition for each mode ⇒Effects on fuel consumption and emissions compared to the baseline ⇒The lifecycle module deals with second-order emissions resulting from increased CNG use

How to simulate e.g. CNG bus subsidising

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In welfare module :

Changes in utility of consumers

Transport price and time cost changes Transport quantitity changes (and change in consumption of other goods)

Changes in industries production costs Changes in governments budgets (bus subsidy compensated by eg labour tax increase or cuts in investments) Changes in external costs of pollution + => overall welfare effect

How to simulate e.g. CNG bus subsidising

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WWW.TREMOVE.ORG