3/3/2020 Transportation Emissions MARCH 04, 2020 PRESENTATION TO THE SENATE ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY COMMITTEE AND SENATE TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 1 Air Quality Successes – Criteria Pollutants NOx emissions have steadily declined since 1970s • Reductions are due to improvements in vehicle efficiency and • advancements in stationary source engine and stack emission control technologies NOx Statewide Emissions Trend (tons/day) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 STATIONARY AREAWIDE ON ‐ ROAD MOBILE OTHER MOBILE CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 2 1
3/3/2020 Health Impacts Reducing NO X emissions is important because NO X is a precursor to ozone, a smog ‐ forming pollutant. CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 3 Ozone Progress Ozone (ppm) 2006 2019 8-hr 0.070 2037 0.075 2031 San Joaquin Valley 0.08 2023 Attainment years South Coast 0.110 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 4 2
3/3/2020 Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends 60% GDP 40% Change Since 2000 20% Population 0% GHG Emissions ‐ 20% GHG Emissions per Capita ‐ 40% GHG Emissions per GDP ‐ 60% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000 ‐ 2017 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 5 Transportation Sector: Largest source of GHG and NOx Emissions Source: CARB Emission Inventory Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000 ‐ 2017 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 6 3
3/3/2020 Transportation Sector: Targets for Pathway to Zero ‐ Carbon Widespread Electrification By 2035: 100% new car sales are ZEVs; All school buses, marine port & • airport equipment are ZEVs By 2045 : All passenger vehicles on the road are ZEVs • Increased Transportation Options to Reduce VMT By 2035: Reduce vehicle miles traveled per capita by 25% • By 2045: High-quality, efficient travel options for all Californians • CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 7 Light ‐ Duty Vehicle Regulations that Impact ZEVs Advanced Clean Cars II • Goal: Reduce GHG emissions and increase ZEVs from automakers beyond 2025 Reduce NOx emissions to help attain Ozone Standards in 2031 in South Coast • Method: Increased requirements for ZEVs, and lowered GHG and criteria fleet requirements Clean Miles Standard • Goal: Reduce emissions, promote ZEVs, and reduce VMT within ride-hailing fleets • Method: Set annual GHG targets and minimum required electric VMT CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 8 4
3/3/2020 GHG and NOx Emissions from Light ‐ Duty Vehicles Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000 ‐ 2017 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 9 GHG and NOx Emissions from Heavy ‐ Duty Vehicles Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000 ‐ 2017 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 10 5
3/3/2020 Heavy ‐ Duty Vehicles and Freight Incentives CARB’s Heavy ‐ Duty Incentives Portfolio Pre ‐ commercial demonstrations Early commercial pilots Broad purchase incentives Fleet turnover Financing assistance for fleets CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 11 South Coast Highlights Need for Federal Action 800 California-Regulated Sources: Cars, Trucks, & Equipment 600 NOx (tons per day) 400 200 Federally-Regulated Sources : Interstate Trucks, Planes, Trains, & Ships 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 12 6
3/3/2020 Beyond ZEVs – Reducing VMT • Even 100 percent ZEVs aren’t sufficient to achieve air quality and GHG goals. VMT reduction is increasingly important. • Expand travel choices that reduce the need to drive alone. • Design our communities in a way that makes it easy, convenient, and safe for people to choose these options • Align state policies and programs to support reducing VMT 20% of Household Income is spent on transportation CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 13 Low Carbon Fuel Standard Supports Diverse and Growing Alternative Fuel Pool Volume Credits Fuels supported by the LCFS displaced over two billion gallons of petroleum fuel in 2018 LCFS provides substantial support for transportation electrification 14 7
3/3/2020 Thank You CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD 15 8
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