Transit-Time Distributions: General Discussion and Applications - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Transit-Time Distributions: General Discussion and Applications - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transit-Time Distributions: General Discussion and Applications Timothy Hall, NASA GISS Defined age spectrum in last lecture. Type of Green function. How is age spectrum related to more familiar Green functions? c t + L ( c ) = 0


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Transit-Time Distributions: General Discussion and Applications

Timothy Hall, NASA GISS

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Defined “age spectrum” in last lecture. Type of Green function. How is age spectrum related to more familiar Green functions? ∂c ∂t + L(c) = 0 with inhomogeneous c(W,t) = f (t) ∂G ∂t + L(G) = d(r - r')d(t - t') ∂c ∂t + L(c) = S(r,t) with homogeneous BCs ∂G ∂t + L(G) = 0 with G(r

W,t |W,t') = d(t - t')

c(r,t) = dt' dr'

Ú

S(r',t')G

t

Ú

(r,t | r',t') c(r,t) = dt'c(W,t')G

t

Ú

(r,t |W,t')

Compare to more familar

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SLIDE 3

Can we express G in terms of G? Yes. Look at simple example: 1-D semi-infinite diffusion, point source x=e, homogeneous BC

e

distance x concentration Q/k

S(x,t) = Q e d(x -e) c(x,t) = dt' dx' Q e

  • Ú

t

Ú

d(x -e)G(x,x',t - t') = dt'

t

Ú

Q e G(x,e,t - t') = dt'

t

Ú

c(e)k d dx' G(x,

1 2e,t - t')

(Morse and Feshbach, 1953)

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SLIDE 4

More generally

c(r,t) = dt'c(W,t') d2r' k

W

Ú

t

Ú

ˆ n •—r'G(r,t | r',t')

So, quantity that acts as boundary propagator, or “age spectrum” is

G(r,t |W,t') = d2

W

Ú

r' k ˆ n •—r'G(r,t | r',t')

So what? Hard to interpret because gradient acts on source variable.

G(r,t | r',t') = G

†(r',t'| r,t)

RECIPROCITY:

G(r,t |W,t') = d2

W

Ú

r' k ˆ n •—r'G†(r',t'| r,t)

G G = flux into W in adjoint flow

with t’<t

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Reciprocity cartoon

r r’,t’ t r, t r’ t’ Reciprocity: symmetry between source and response

forward flow (t>t’) adjoint flow (t>t’)

For simple adv-diff., get adjoint by sign-change on velocities.

(Morse and Feshbach, 1953)

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SLIDE 6

Holzer and Hall Fig

From Green function reciprocity, get similar relationship between explicit-source Green functions and boundary propagators (“age spectra”) forward flow adjoint flow

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SLIDE 7

G(r,t |W,t') = d2

W

Ú

r' k ˆ n •—r'G†(r',t'| r,t)

Now, physical interpretation flux into W from unit source at r, t in adjoint flow

∂ ∂t'{probability that particle is still in

domain at time t’ first W-arrival time pdf in adjoint flow last W-arrival time pdf in forward flow

∂ ∂t'{fraction remaining in domain at t’

“following” unit source at r,t

= = = = =

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SLIDE 8

first W-arrival time pdf at r in adjoint flow last W-arrival time pdf at r in forward flow flux into W from unit source at r in adjoint flow response at r to d(t) Dirichlet BC on W in orward flow

=

Summary of equivalences

= = =

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SLIDE 9

Applications:

  • Strategies for ocean storage of CO2.
  • Diagnostics of “gross” flux; e.g., STE.
  • Estimating ocean uptake of CO2.
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SLIDE 10

Goal: inject industrial CO2 into deep ocean to keep it from atmosphere for long time. Question: from where in ocean will injected CO2 take longest time to return to surface? Answer: Use GCM to simulate tracer releases from lots of possible injection points. Run each tracer 1000 years. Problem: Computationally expensive. Solution: Simulate single full-surface G in adjoint model. Response at each point equals first arrival time pdf for tracer release from r in forward model. Strategies for ocean storage of CO2

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SLIDE 11

Primeau Fig

Primeau, JPO, 2004

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STE

Flux diagnostics for stratosphere-troposphere exchange.

  • Midlatitude STE complex, episodic.
  • Net flux constrained globally, but

chemical constituents affected by local back-and-forth motion.

  • Studies try to compute “gross”

(one-way) fluxes.

  • Sum up local met-data fluxes

keeping up and down separate.

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Wernli and Bourqui, JGR, 2002

strat-to-trop trop-to-strat

24 hr 48 hr 96 hr

Gross fluxes computed with particle trajectories for different particle resident-time thresholds (i.e., don’t count particle tropopause crossing if less than threshold).

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Flux diagnostics

Flux diagnostics and stratosphere-troposphere exchange

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r’ R2 R1 W R1

d

3rG(r,t'+t | r',t') R2

Ú

fraction from r’, t’ still in R2 after time t, given r’,t’

1 M2 d

3r' R2

Ú

d

3rG(r,t'+t | r',t') R2

Ú

fraction from R2 at t’ that is still in R2 time t later Advection-diffusion in domain R partitioned by surface W. Unit source at r’, t’. BC=0 on W.

F(t'+t | t') = - ∂ ∂t 1 M2 d

3r' R2

Ú

d

3rG(r,t'+t | r',t') R2

Ú

Ê Ë Á Á ˆ ¯ ˜ ˜

flux into W of fluid fraction that resided at least t in R2

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F(t'+t | t') = - ∂ ∂t 1 M2 d

3r' R2

Ú

d

3rG(r,t'+t | r',t') R2

Ú

Ê Ë Á Á ˆ ¯ ˜ ˜ = 1 M2 d

3r' R2

Ú

d

2rk ˆ

n •—rG(r,t'+t | r',t')

W

Ú

limt Æ0G(r,t'+t | r',t) =d(r - r')

i.e., the source r’ adjacent to W dominates contribution at small t. But, G=0 for r on S by the BC. So, at small t, G is discontinuous in r.

ˆ n •—rG = •

and So,

limt Æ0 F(t'+t | t') = •

“Gross” flux dominated by smallest scales of motion.

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Estimating ocean uptake of anthropogenic carbon

Difficult to measure directly: order 1% background, natural in-situ biochemical source and sinks. Good approximation: anthropogenic C perturbation propagates as inert tracer responding to surface BC (biochemistry remains preindustrial, nutrient limited). Approach: use another inert tracer with no natural background as proxy for anthropogenic C transport.

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SLIDE 18

c(r,t) = d ¢ t d2r

S c(r S, ¢

t ) G(r,t | r

S, ¢

t )

S

Ú

  • t

Ú

x Gs(r,x)

c(r,t) = cs (t -t) = cs (t -x) d(x -t) dx

t

Ú

s S

x GV(r,x)

cV (t) = cs (t -x)GV (x) dx

t

Ú

V Tracer machinery r

c(r,t) = cs (t -x)Gs (r,x)

t

Ú

dx

Isopycnal, c(t) uniform on outcrop, steady-state (x = t-t’)

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CFC-12 on sample isopycnal (s0 = 26.7) isopycnals

Application to Indian Ocean

WOCE CFC-12 observations gridded on isopycnal surfaces. CFC-12 contours define northern boundaries of series of volumes, V(CFC-12), for GV(x) analysis.

26.7

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Invert parametrically. Choose two-parameter form for GV(t). Peclet number P, mean “age” t. CFC constrains ∆C to range. Upper bound (weak-mixing), Lower bound (strong-mixing).

c(t) = cS(t - t')GV (t') dt'

t

Ú

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SLIDE 21

GV (t) = 1 pPtt e-Pt /4t - e-P(t-t)2 /4tt

( ) + 1

2t erf Pt 4t Ê Ë Á ˆ ¯ ˜ + erf P 4tt (t - t) Ê Ë Á ˆ ¯ ˜ Ê Ë Á Á ˆ ¯ ˜ ˜

  • Related to “inverse Gaussian” distribution.
  • Two parameters: (1) t: mean transit time

(2) P: measure of diffusive mixing Functional form can mimic G simulated in GCMs

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dF(t) = k dCO2(t) -dpCO2(t)

( )

dF(t) = d dt V feq dpCO2(t - ¢ t )

( )GV ( ¢

t ) d ¢ t

t

Ú

Ê Ë Á ˆ ¯ ˜

F(t) = k CO2(t) - pCO2(t)

( )

CO2 flux by air-sea difference. Anthropogenic component: Also, flux drives rate change of mass in domain. For each water-density class:

Note: assumed linear Cdissolved = feq(pCO2), but more precise treatment makes only small difference.

GV(t) is V-averaged boundary propagator: last-contact time pdf for entire constant-density volume

CO2 at equilibrium with dissolved C in surface waters

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SLIDE 23

Sabine et al (1999) (Gruber C*) McNeil et al (2003) (CFC age)

Indian Ocean Mass ∆DIC Indian Ocean Net air-sea flux

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BC spatial variation

c(r,t) = dt' d2r'c(r',t')G(

W

Ú

  • t

Ú

r,t | r',t')

More general case of boundary propagator: spatial variation of boundary condition and non-steady flow. Still have probabilistic interpretation: G(r,t|r’,t’)d2r’dt’ = probability that parcel at (r,t) made last W contact time t’ to t’+dt’ and made the contact on d2r’. G(r,t|r’,t’) = joint PDF in source time and space. Note: much more difficult to compute, now. Need d(t) BC for each t’ and r’ to resolve on source.

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Troposphere PDF

Example: surface origins and transit-times for tropospheric air

  • bservation point
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Ocean illustration: simulate G(r,r’,t-t’) in North Atlantic MYCOM.

(Haine and Hall, 2002)

Tile the domain. For ith tile, tracer has BC = d(t) and zero elsewhere

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Summary

  • Green function (boundary propagator) has interpretation as

transit-time pdf (first-passage time, age spectrum).

  • Alternative transport discription to velocities and diffusivities.
  • Generally, G doesn’t have simple relationship to u and k.

But, offers more direct translation one tracer to another.

  • Three examples:

(1) Artificial carbon sequestration strategies in ocean. (2) Stratosphere-troposphere exchange diagnostics. (3) Estimating anthropogenic CO2 uptake by ocean.

  • Other uses:

(1) Propagation of T and S anomalies in DWBC diagnosed with tracers. (2) Evolution of total chlorine in stratosphere. (3) Model intercomparison studies.