Traffic emissions of PM10 and NO x in Stockholm a comparison between - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

traffic emissions of pm10 and no x in stockholm
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Traffic emissions of PM10 and NO x in Stockholm a comparison between - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Traffic emissions of PM10 and NO x in Stockholm a comparison between bottom-up and top-down data Kristina Eneroth and Sanna Silvergren SLB-analys Environment and Health administration City of Stockholm www.slb.nu The Capital of Scandinavia


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The Capital of Scandinavia The Capital of Scandinavia

Traffic emissions of PM10 and NOx in Stockholm

– a comparison between bottom-up and top-down data

Kristina Eneroth and Sanna Silvergren SLB-analys Environment and Health administration City of Stockholm

www.slb.nu

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  • Founded in 1992
  • 4 counties
  • 50 municipalities
  • ~ 3 million inhabitants (>30 % of total

population in Sweden)

  • Institutes, companies and government

agencies

Coordination of air quality monitoring

Air quality monitoring in Stockholm but also surrounding counties

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Eastern Sweden’s Air Quality Management Association

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  • …is to provide input data for modeling

– to survey the air quality in the current situation (supplement to measurements) – future projections at the development of new residential areas, roads, tunnels, etc. – analyze various measures to improve air quality – calculate the exposure of various air pollutants/ epidemiological studies (time series calculations backwards in time)

  • …not reporting emission data and

emission trends

The main purpose and use of our emission databases…

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Measurements Emission databases Dispersion models

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Local emissions in Stockholm County

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NOx

PM10 CO2 SO2 VOC

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Road traffic emissions

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  • Road network, signed speed,

– National Road Data Base (traffic flow, signed speed, road type..) – Traffic measurements and models (traffic flow, real speed, heavy traffic share

Pneumatic road tube counters Video cameras Microwave detectors

  • Emission models

– Exhaust emissions: HBEFA 3.2 – Emissions and resuspension of road dust: Nortrip

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Non-exhaust emission model NORTRIP

2016-08-17 Page 6 Denby et al 2013. A coupled road dust and surface moisture model to predict non-exhaust road traffic induced particle emissions (NORTRIP). Part 1: Road dust loading and suspension modelling.

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  • PM10

– BUP higher emissions of wear-particles

  • NOx

– BUP higher emissions from diesel vehicles – BUP lower emissions from gasoline vehicles

TOD vs BUP Traffic emissions

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Stockholm County Stockholm City

Studded tyres Vehicle distribution between diesel and gasoline

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Geographical distributions BUP vs TOD

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NOx emissions from diesel and gasoline

79% 84% 12% 21% 76% 23%

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Trends in diesel and petrol passenger cars

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  • Lowest share of studded tyres in

South and Stockholm region

  • Decreasing trend

The share of passenger cars with studded tyres in Sweden during winter

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SOUTH WEST STOCKHOLM EAST MIDDLE NORTH SOUTH WEST EAST STOCKHOLM MIDDLE NORTH

Swedish Transport Administration’s yearly survey (parked vehicles)

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  • Swedish Transport Administration’s yearly survey (parked vehicles)
  • SLB-anays measurements on passenger cars in traffic

The share of passenger cars with studded tyres in Stockholm during winter

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TOD: ca 70 % BUP: 50-60 % (depending on road type)

Ban against studded tyres

  • Hornsgatan 1 Jan 2010
  • Flemminggatan 1 Jan 2016
  • Kungsgatan 1 Jan 2016
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  • SLB-analys emission data base (BUP)

– EF based on non-exhaust emission model NORTRIP

Emission factors for road wear

  • Swedish air emission inventory for submission (TOD)

– default EF from the EMEP/EEA (only direct emissions, not resuspension) – future: SIMAIR model with NORTRIP EF implemented

Denby et al 2013. A coupled road dust and surface moisture model to predict non-exhaust road traffic induced particle emissions (NORTRIP). Part 1: Road dust loading and suspension modelling.

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Summary NOx

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Emissions of NOx from petrol vechicles

Time trend Decrease in share of petrol passenger cars 2011>2013 TOD>BUP Geographical variation The share of petrol passenger cars is lower in Stockholm compared to Sweden Sweden>Stockholm TOD>BUP Methodology/EF TOD and BUP both based on Hbefa EF Sum of effects Both time-trends and spatial variation of emissions contribute to TOD is higher than BUP TOD>BUP

Emissions of NOx from diesel vechicles

Time trend Increase in share of diesel passenger cars 2011<2013 TOD<BUP Geographical variation The share of diesel passenger cars is higher in Stockholm compared to Sweden Sweden<Stockholm TOD<BUP Methodology/EF TOD and BUP both based on Hbefa EF Sum of effects Both time-trends and spatial variation of emissions contribute to TOD is lower than BUP TOD<BUP

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Summary PM10

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Emissions of road wear (PM10)

Time trend Decrease in share cars with studded tyres 2011>2013 TOD>BUP Geographical variation The studded tyre share is lower in Stockholm compared to Sweden Sweden>Stockholm TOD>BUP Methodology/EF TOD: EMEP/EEA, direct emissions BUP: NORTRIP, direct emissions and resuspension Sweden<Stockholm TOD<BUP Sum of effects Both time-trends and spatial variation of emissions contribute to higher emissions in TOD compared to BUP, while the difference in EF used between the two databases contribute to higher emissions in BUP compared to TOD. The different EF gives rise to much greater differences in emissions compared to the differences in the proportion of studded tires -> TOD<BUP TOD<BUP

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  • To understand and analyze the differences between emissions of TOD

and BUP it is important to consider:

– time trends and geografical variations of the input parameters for the calculations of TOD and BUP emissions – calculation methodology and underlying emission factors for the calculations of TOD and BUP emissions

  • Only after this is it valuable to study and analyze the more advanced

diagrams provided in the Fairmode emission tool

Concluding remarks

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Diamondplot

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Thank you!

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kristina.eneroth@slb.nu