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Center for Tobacco UCSF School Control Research and of Medicine Education The Future of Smoking: The Changing Context of Smoking Cessation Pamela M Ling, MD MPH Division of General Internal Medicine Department of Medicine Integrated Care


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UCSF School

  • f Medicine

Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education

The Future of Smoking: The

Changing Context of Smoking Cessation

Integrated Care Conference Keynote October 26, 2017

Pamela M Ling, MD MPH Division of General Internal Medicine Department of Medicine

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  • I have no financial interests to disclose
  • This presentation includes product

advertisements for educational purposes

  • I do not endorse the use of any of these

products

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Thanks to …

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▪ Stan Glantz ▪ Tor Neilands ▪ Nadra Lisha ▪ Danielle Ramo ▪ Nicolas Sheon ▪ Bonnie Halpern-Felsher ▪ Janice Tsoh ▪ Sarah Rosen ▪ Stacey Anderson

  • Nan Jiang
  • Youn OK Lee
  • Rachel Grana
  • Emily McDonald
  • Lucy Popova
  • Sara Kalkhoran
  • Amanda Fallin
  • Louisa Holmes
  • Johannes Thrul
  • Cati Brown-Johnson
  • Jeff Jordan
  • Jenny Kondrasky
  • Andrew Ermlick
  • Tyler Janssen
  • Sohrab Sidhu
  • Tracey Maruyama
  • Rachel Barry
  • Yogi Hendlin
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“If you want to reach me as a young gay man, and especially a young gay man of color, then you need to give me information in a vocabulary I can understand and relate to.''

Photo: Ken Probst

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Photo: Richard Castro

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Cigarette Consumption USA 1900-2012

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Why study tobacco marketing?

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industrydocuments.library.ucsf.edu/tobacco

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http://www.mediavisioninteractive.com

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Philip Morris, 1994, tid:leg76e00

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www.trinketsandtrash.org

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http://tobaccodocuments.org/pollay_ads/Came20.04.html

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Philip Morris, 1994, tid: leg76e00

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1976: Coupons with foodstamps

▪ Coupons in manila envelope distributed with foodstamps ▪ RJ Reynolds wanted to be embedded with other industry coupons (e.g., Campbell’s soup) ▪ RJ Reynolds had concerns that other people might perceive RJR as unethical:

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RJR, 1976, TID: grh76a00

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African American women according to RJ Reynolds (1985)

RJR, 1985, TID: kwb15d00

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  • Luxury
  • Alternative advertising and branding
  • Smaller packs
  • Lowering costs at retail
  • Menthol

Targeting African American women

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Tobacco Industry Bar Promotions

▪ Have been a focus for over 20 years ▪ Increased dramatically in the 1990s ▪ Continue to reach young adults effectively

www.camelsmokes.com

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RJR, 1995 Camel Club Program Strategy, tid: alo41d00

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RJR, 1995 Camel Club Program Strategy, tid: alo41d00

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RJR 2006, tid: gyc87h00

“…They’re all plugged in to the now…these people are trend setters themselves…they’re the ones who got iPods and TiVos back when none of us understood why we needed them…” “…as thought leaders, they often serve as brand ambassadors, oftentimes recommending new smokes to their friends.”

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Source: SRITA

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Source: SRITA

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www.blucigs.com Increased social status (44%)

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Fruit 73% Candy 71% Alcohol 10%

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Celebrity Endorsements – 22%

Thanks to: Jaime Jensen

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Health Claims – 95%

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Doctors = 22% of websites

Videos from www.smokestik.com Image from www.ecigaretteschoice.com; www.v2cigs.com

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Cessation claim – 64%

Health Claims: 95%, Cessation 64% of websites

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“I have been able to quit smoking because of your product.”

  • -Debbie from Sacramento, CA
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www.blucigs.com, Accessed September 25, 2011

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Circumvent smokefree laws

Circumvent laws: 71% of websites

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http://www.v2cigs.com/

User recruitment programs

Cheaper claims: 93% of websites

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Cost savings

Tobacco.stanford.edu

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Kalkhoran and Glantz, Lancet Respir Medicine, 2016

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Vapingcheap.com

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Vaping360.com

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“We’ve Changed!”

Photo: Sebastian Dooris

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RAI investors day, November 12, 2012

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BAT “Next Generation Products”

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  • Test-marketed in Poland and Japan as

“HeatSticks” (2015)

  • Intended $6 per pack in the US
  • Heated just below combustion, 660 degrees F
  • Heavy investment: $500 million factory in Italy
  • pened in 2016

iQOS (PMI, 2014-)

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  • 2-3 million page Modified Risk Tobacco Product (MRTP)

application submitted Dec. 5 2016 to FDA

  • PMI, through Altria, also submitting “pre-market tobacco

product application in the first quarter of 2017”

  • Premium market positioning (like e-cigs)
  • Wells Fargo analyst Bonnie Herzog predicts iQOS and other

HnB technologies “could displace up to 30% of the combustible cigarette industry in developed markets by 2025”

http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/07/22/philip-morris-international-proves-that-heated-cig.aspx

iQOS – Why is it important?

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  • Glo iFuse (Romania only, e-cig/HnB hybrid)
  • Glo (Sendai, Japan, HnB)
  • “iQOS is more like a cigarette while the iFuse is more like an e-cig”

Glo iFuse (BAT)

  • Because of price point:
  • hoping to quit  go for iFuse
  • If no quitting intentions  iQOS

https://www.ileanachermenschi.com/blog/2016/6/12/behavioral-economics-used-for-the-worst-glo-ifuse-and-iqos-what-marketers-should-never-do

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vaping360.com/best-vape-pen/

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Photo: Gaby Butcher

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http://bymuza.deviantart.com/art/godzilla-212114211

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BAT Harm Reduction Report 2017

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BAT Harm Reduction Report 2017

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“Business as Usual!”

Photo: Sebastian Dooris

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www,ecigclick.co.uk

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Nicotine or Cannabis?

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Tobacco Risk According to Altria

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Data collection

  • One-on-one interviews (1 hour)
  • 32 young adults
  • 25 2ND interviews
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Picture sorting task

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Participants (N=32)

▪ Age 18-26, mean age 23 ▪ 44% women

Hispanic, 34% NH White, 31% NH Black, 19% >1 race NH, 13%

94% Cannabis, 44% daily 44% Smokers, 16% daily

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Results

Combustion Medicinal Potency Chemicals Addiction

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Combustion

▪ “In terms of [marijuana] edibles…there’s no carcinogens, no pathogens or anything going into your lungs. [With] vaporization, there is really no smoke…eliminating the same thing that the edibles eliminate. It’s safer for your lungs.”

Smoking was considered more harmful than non- combustible products

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Medicinal

Health risks of combusted marijuana were balanced by perceived medicinal benefits

“I know smoking in general is bad for your lungs… but weed out

  • f all these, to me, is not as harmful… because they suggest it

to cancer patients. It's medicinal.”

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Potency

Edibles and marijuana concentrates were perceived as more dangerous than smoking marijuana flower because

  • f the potential to receive too high a dose of THC

(tetrahydrocannabinol)

“I still think that the dangers of a panic attack from a vaporizer or an edible outweigh possible dangers of inhaling smoke from cannabis.”

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Potency

Using marijuana concentrates through a “dab rig” was associated with harder drugs for some

“…it just feels very meth-like to me, or looks like something the FBI could kick down my door for. So it's just not something I have any desire to do.”

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Chemicals

Products containing chemical additives were more harmful than “pure” or “natural” plant products (marijuana flower)

“They do say marijuana has more tar than

  • tobacco. But I don't know if the body can break

that down easier, because it's just a natural tar, as opposed to a chemical-filled tobacco product.”

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Addiction

Participants recognized physiological addiction to nicotine, but primarily talked about psychological or lifestyle dependence on marijuana

“I feel that for a lot of people, especially in Colorado, it's very much emotionally dependent, mentally dependent, on marijuana…”

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Source of knowledge

Personal experiences, warning labels, campaigns, the media, and opinions of product retailers and medical practitioners

“”Generally when things make you feel bad, they’re bad for you.”

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Combustion Non-combustible

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Addiction Chemicals Potency Natural Medicinal Combustion Non-combustible Adverse Effects

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Fighting Back

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Peer Crowd Segmentation

▪5 minute intercept surveys ▪Fast and easy ▪Select pictures to identify friends ▪Affiliation with different peer crowds is scored

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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Hipster Partier Hip Hop Young Professional Homebody Country

Smoking Among Bay Area Young Adults 2014

Current Smoker

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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Hipster Partier Hip Hop Young Professional Homebody Country

Smoking Among Bay Area Young Adults 2014

Smoker Attends Bars Current Smoker

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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Hipster Partier Hip Hop Young Professional Homebody Country

Smoking Among Bay Area Young Adults 2014

Smoker Attends Bars Current Smoker

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Who are Hipsters?

Qualitative Research ▪Perceived as “the smokers” ▪Focus on local art and music scene ▪Authenticity - Skeptical about ‘wannabees’ ▪Experiential ▪Anti-corporate sentiment ▪Pro-environment, animals

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Insert Commune Video Here video

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Brian Zager

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Design: Oh Nori

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Lucy Duarte

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Mikey Dead

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30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Baseline FU1 FU2 FU3 Current Smoking (%)

Smoking Prevalence in Hipster Bars in San Diego

Trend Sensitive Hipsters Hipsters All bar patrons Non-Hipster bar patrons

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Study Design

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San Diego San Francisco Albuquerque Oklahoma City Los Angeles Tucson Nashville

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Smoking Cessation for Young Adults is Important

▪ 99% of smokers start by age 26 ▪ Quitting smoking before age 30 avoids most morbidity/mortality

  • Young adults are equally likely to try to quit
  • Most quit attempts are unplanned and unassisted

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Calls to Quitline by Young Adults

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June

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San Francisco County, 2016

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Danielle Ramo

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How confident are YOU that you could quit smoking?

New Designed Image Old Image

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New Designed Image Old Image

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Young Adult Smoking Cessation Access 2016-2017

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May

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San Francisco county, 2016-2017 Facebook Quitline

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Key lessons learned

▪ Tobacco marketing causes initiation and continuation of smoking ▪ Targeted marketing exacerbates tobacco disparities ▪ New products claim harm reduction ▪ Marketing of new products suggests business as usual ▪ Marijuana legalization is going to affect tobacco use ▪ Creative, scalable counter-marketing interventions are feasible

  • Significant decreases in smoking and binge drinking
  • Psychographic segmentation adopted by States and the FDA

▪ We can make smoking cessation cooler!

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Supporting your patients

▪ Ask all patients about ALL tobacco product use (cigarettes, little cigars, e-cigarettes) ▪ Personalize counseling to their medical conditions and life context ▪ Create environments that support cessation

  • Smoke-free homes and cars
  • Smoke-free substance use and mental health treatment settings

▪ Suggest smokers remove themselves from tobacco mailing lists

  • Direct mail, email, apps
  • Coupons are designed to keep them smoking
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Clinical advice on e-cigarettes

▪Questions about e-cigarettes may signal willingness to quit

  • Opportunity for discussion
  • Support quit attempt

▪Correct misperceptions

  • Not “harmless water vapor”
  • Not approved for smoking cessation

▪If patient insists on using e-cigarettes

  • Discourage dual use of cigarettes and e-cigarettes
  • Set a quit date for e-cigarettes
  • Do not expose others to the aerosol
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Advocacy and Community Action

▪Include e-cigarettes in tobacco free policies ▪Prohibit cessation and health claims ▪Apply cigarette advertising restrictions to electronic cigarettes ▪Support local flavor and menthol bans ▪Beware the pharmaceuticalization of tobacco companies ▪Apply lessons learned from tobacco to marijuana

  • Warning labels
  • Strong media campaigns
  • Include in smoke-free policies
  • Advertising and retailer density limits
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Photo: Gerard Van der Leun via Flickr

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Artist: Ubin Li

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Heather Katsoulis via Flickr

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“…a ‘community’ is simply any collection of people who are or feel connected, who help and depend on one another...community is the foundation of longevity and happiness”

Recovery includes becoming responsible members of the community

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