THIS IS YOUR MOMENT Generate Conference, November 6, 2019 The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THIS IS YOUR MOMENT

“There couldn’t be a better moment for this conference and this conversation. For years, those of us who work on climate have been trying to increase public engagement in the issues and renewable energy companies have been trying to get people excited about the incredible

• pportunity.

It has been a struggle. Social change isn’t linear. It happens at tipping point moments. For climate change and clean energy, this is that moment. The price of renewable energy is dropping, technological innovation is skyrocketing, the need for renewable energy generation at scale could not be more acute, and public momentum is

• unbelievable. ”

Generate Conference, November 6, 2019 Tzeporah Berman

“Just the other day we all woke up to this

• headline. Double the power output of
• ur current electricity supply, just for

transportation! There is also, as you know, heat, industry and everything else.”

VANCOUVER, OCT 25, 2019

“A few days before that 10,000 people rallied around the corner. A month before that 100,000 people in Vancouver, close to a million across the country. Our kids are scared. They are marching in the streets.”

“2/3rds of Canadians just voted for federal parties promising aggressive climate action. Our Provincial government is driving forward on climate change.”

The public is now with you.

“The public knows aggressive climate action will increase jobs

• - and they have faith it will more than replace the jobs lost

in oil and gas.”

CLEAN ENERGY PROJECTS ARE THE TANGIBLE SOLUTION TO THE CLIMATE CRISIS…

“And we need tangible solutions.”

AND YOUR INDUSTRY WILL PROSPER…

... IF YOU EMBRACE THE MOMENTUM

IF YOU RECOGNIZE THE MOMENTUM IS DRIVEN BY REAL

CRISIS

California today “If you recognize the momentum is driven by real crisis, YOU are the solution to a catastrophic problem. You have to engage in the battle. Doing so will create space for your industry to flourish. Right now we have the luxury to plan in BC. At current rates of global emissions that will not last long. There is not a lot of spacious long term planning happening in California right now. 2.35 million Californians without power for days, 200,000 ordered to evacuate - in Los Angeles, in the Bay Area. Friends and clean energy advocates are scrambling for places to sleep, marking themselves ’safe’ on social media.”

PEOPLE ARE DYING AND SUFFERING AROUND THE WORLD

• Jakarta isn’t planning its energy transition - they are racing to move

the city before rising oceans drown the Indonesian capital.

• At least 21 cities in India, including New Delhi, are projected to run
• ut of groundwater by 2020.
• Megacity Chennai was already functionally out of water this
• summer. Temperatures hit 41C for nine days in June, with a high of

43C.

• Cape Town’s Day Zero, the city stopped water for agriculture,

residents had only access at centralized tanks.

AND HERE AT HOME

“In two years BC spent close to a billion dollars fighting fires. Thousands of British Columbians were forced to evacuate their homes and flee ahead of the unpredictable and aggressive wildfires.”

“The United Nations now says that with current rates of emissions we can expect 1 billion refugees by 2050. Last year we had 65 million refugees globally. And we are not handling it well…”

“This moment is driven by threat. This is the moral crisis of our age. YOU CAN BE THE LOCAL, TANGIBLE SOLUTION TO THE GREAT MORAL AND HUMAN CRISIS HUMANITY HAS EVER FACED.”

CLIMATE SAFETY IS A RACE AGAINST FOSSIL FUELS

“It is your race against fossil fuels. Ultimately the world needs renewable energy to overtake and replace fossil fuel energy. And right now you and the planet are losing.”

TOO MUCH FOSSIL FUELS ALREADY

“Many from the industry will argue that it is about reducing emissions intensity, that is, cleaning up oil and gas production.

But we don’t need to more efficiently destroy the planet.

We now have enough oil gas and coal under production or under construction to take us well past two degrees. That means any new projects, any new oil and gas expansion is inconsistent with a safe climate. That’s why the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that if we are to stay below two degrees all countries and all industries need to reduce overall emissions

• now. ”

THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY IS FINANCING DIVISION SOWING DOUBT UNDERMINING MOMENTUM

“The oil and gas industry in Canada is trying to play both sides of the fence so they continue to expand while claiming to recognize the climate threat. On the surface they support climate policy while weakening climate legislation. The reason the state of New York and others are suing Exxon is because Exxon knew. Rex Tillerson is testifying in court this week because oil companies have known how their products fuel climate chaos since the 70’s and have successfully covered up the science and sown doubt. We like to think we are different in Canada. In fact we like to get along so much that I have been told it’s impolite to talk about oil and gas expansion as part of the problem. The fact is yesterday we found out that the fossil fuel sector lobbied Federal officials 11,452 between 2011 and 2018, or roughly six times a day.”

FOSSILS ARE UNDERMINING CLIMATE PROGRESS

Fossil industry lobbies Canadian officials 6 times per day

“And it’s working. Climate policy is weakened and increased production is celebrated, even as royalties drop and employment is decimated by automation.”

THEY ARE EATING YOUR LUNCH

“Oil and gas is driving the dialogue in Canada, while racking up billions in tax breaks and subsidies. And even at this moment in history, they are knocking out clean energy solutions like electric heat pumps.”

IT’S TIME TO MAKE THE DECISION: OUR CHILDREN OR THE FOSSIL INDUSTRY

“It’s time for the renewable energy industry in BC to pick a side. From what I saw this morning you are betting

• n the wrong horse.”

THE NEXT BIG FIGHT IS OVER FOSSIL GAS IN B.C.

B.C. GAS AND LNG: THE NEXT OILSANDS?

The coming fight in BC is over fossil gas.

GAS IS NOT CLEAN, CHEAP, OR NECESSARY

• 25% of today’s global warming comes from methane
• Gas is a Blockade to a clean future, not a bridge.

“Fracking is turning huge swathes of Northern BC into an industrial sacrifice zone - resulting in an unprecedented fragmentation

• f the landscape, threatening at-risk species, causing earthquakes and threatening community drinking water – its not a clean

industry. Fracking is being banned in many places; the UK banned fracking last week. But here in BC new electricity transmission is being built to expand the fracking industry. BC’s new generation of clean power supply is being sucked into expanding fracking.

• Entire transmission lines, funded by government just to fuel the gas industry.
• 92 dams built just for fracking that have been built without permits completely unregulated. In the agricultural land reserve.
• How much water is being used? Don’t know. It’s unregulated even though water removal is permanent.

Like the oilsands the scale is staggering -- and the world is just waking up.

GAS IS A FOSSIL FUEL: METHANE

• 84 times more potent than

CO2 over 20 years

• 30 times worse over 100 years

“As far as the atmosphere is concerned gas is just another fossil fuel. It is not clean energy --it is almost pure methane, 87 times more potent over 20 years and 36 times hotter over 100 years than carbon dioxide. Industry has fought back on regulations, and weakened mandatory monitoring (only 7% of oil and gas facilities will even be monitored three times a year) when we know that there is daily leakage from 35% of inactive wells and 85% active gas wells in BC. BC’s methane regulations fall short of other jurisdictions and our real world emissions are at least 2.5 times higher than reported. ”

GAS DRIVES US FAR FROM SAFETY

“Fossil gas is not clean – it’s a global carbon disaster. T

• stay at 1.5 degrees, our country’s goal, we would have to stay on

the red line. That is not where the gas industry is heading. Fossil gas is not a climate solution – it’s driving us in the opposite direction from our Paris goals.”

CANADIAN EXPANSION IS A GLOBAL PROBLEM…

Emissions unlocked by new Canadian

• il and gas development 2018-2050

Canadians like to think we are a small part of the climate problem. Our Prime Minister (and BC’s premier) talk about LNG and gas as part of the global climate solution but Canada’s plans to expand oil and gas are a huge part of the global problem. Close to 80% of the planned oil and gas expansion over the next five years is in Canada and the US. Canada’s planned oil and gas expansion is the equivalent of adding 200 coal plants to the world between now and 2050.

… AND IT DOESN’T HELP THE WORLD: IEA FINDS VERY SMALL GHG REDUCTIONS FROM GAS INSTEAD OF COAL

“Let’s take a moment on the IEA (International Energy Agency),the oil and gas Industry’s most reputable and reliable thinktank. They are famous in my circles for radically underestimating the growth and overestimating the cost of renewables year after

• year. They are incredibly conservative on energy futures. Well, IEA issued 2 reports in 2019 that are incredibly important. Of

course, they are in the business of recommending gas development, which they do. But let’s look at what the analyses actually show: IEA shows that Gas’ role in fighting climate change is tiny ("Avoided emissions”) Renewables and efficiency more than twice as effective When you build Gas – you’re locking the world into carbon emissions for decades into the future Forecasting a best case scenario, IEA estimates gas could “bring down global power sector emissions by 10% and total energy-related CO2 emissions by 4%." “[T]he increased combustion of natural gas does not provide a long-term pathway to global climate objectives" *Note that IEA shows all this even though IEA undercounts methane's forcing effect – they use even lower number than any scientific body drastically undercounting the amount of methane pollution going into the atmosphere (fugitive emissions); and assumes “best practices all along the gas supply chain" (especially monitoring methane leaks) – which is happening nowhere. Certainly not in BC.

… AND IT DOESN’T HELP THE WORLD: IEA FINDS VERY SMALL GHG REDUCTIONS FROM GAS INSTEAD OF COAL

“IEA also shows that Building new Gas doesn’t make sense anymore:

• Doesn’t make sense for new baseload plants - renewables much cheaper (IEA now focused on recommendations for

supplying gas to existing plants)

• Doesn’t make sense anymore even for peakers and load balancing - battery storage is much cheaper
• “Gas is not the main challenger to coal for electricity generation in China and India… In both countries, at the prevailing

gas prices, new onshore wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) are much cheaper ways to generate electricity than new combined-cycle gas turbines (CCGTs)."

• Only makes sense for hard-to-decarbonize sectors eg "high-temperature heat for industry"

IEA has done the analysis to figure out how we are avoiding emissions globally (see chart). For the one year between 2017- 2018, 13% of avoided emissions were from gas, 30% from renewables. Over the last ten years the picture is even worse. Switching to this “transition fuel” has only contributed 7%, a trivial amount. Coal to gas is the purple stripe. The green stripe is

• renewables. When the IEA forecasts ahead, as I mentioned, they estimate gas could make about a 4% contribution to fighting

climate change. Renewables are already a bigger solution. Much more than double. Why are we still calling gas a transition? 20 years ago maybe it was transition fuel. T

• day gas is not a bridge. T
• day it’s a blockade.

NATURAL GAS IS NOT A “BRIDGE” TO CLEAN ENERGY — IT’S A BLOCKADE

FOSSIL GAS EXPANSION IS A DISASTER FOR B.C.’S CLIMATE OBJECTIVES

“If we allow current approved expansion, BC gas alone will take up the entirety of our carbon budget 20 years from now. By 2050 -- even if we don’t build LNG Canada -- current gas production takes up all of our possible emissions. (10-12)”

“(GAS) C AN BRING ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS, BUT IT REMAINS A SOURCE OF EMISSIONS IN ITS OWN RIGHT AND NEW GAS INFRASTRUCTURE C AN LOCK IN THESE EMISSIONS FOR THE FUTURE.”

– DR. FATIH BIROL, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

GAS IS ALREADY TAKING UP THE CLEAN ENERGY SPACE

This bus should be electric. In China, it would be.

THIS IS YOUR MOMENT, IF YOU CHOOSE TO SEIZE IT

“The public is with you and there is a massive urgent need for clean energy. So why aren’t we hearing this from you? Why is it that we had to wait for a university think tank to tell us that power production would need to double to meet electric car needs? If you catch the wave of public concern on climate you can get the support you need to expand at a massive scale. ”

YOUR MOMENT

Public is with you There is a massive, urgent need for clean energy So, why aren’t we from you more often? More loudly? At least as much as we hear from the fossil industry

“The renewable industry does this well in other countries. On the Clean BC website the last media release is about fossil fuels. It’s the wrong side of history. You need to be carrying the message that businesspeople, lawyers, engineers, entrepreneurs want clean future and are willing to fight the fossils to get it. You can capture people’s imagination. Be what we are advocating for and know that you are on the right side of history at a moment in time when every ton matters. Every ton of carbon we don’t put in to the atmosphere right now saves lives. You didn’t get into this industry to help fuel a 70% increase in fracking and today silence is not just acquiescence. It’s not okay to think you can stay out of the fray. Silence is the new climate denial. And worse – literally powering the development of more fossil fuels.”

CLEAN INDUSTRIES OFTEN DO IT WELL

OVO ENERGY’S PUBLIC MESSAGE

SOMETIMES BETTER THAN THE CLIMATE MOVEMENT

YOUR MOMENT (IF YOU ARE WILLING TO GRASP IT)

• You will have to fight the fossils
• Align with the climate

movement

• Avoid public perception of you

as enablers of fossil fuel expansion or lose all social license

YOUR MOMENT

• Be the skunk at the oil & gas

garden party

• Advocate for our children’s

safety at business luncheons

• Run public campaigns to

accelerate and capitalize on climate momentum

YOUR MOMENT

• “We have ten years to avoid runaway climate
• change. That’s what a climate emergency means.

Ten years to ensure that our children and their children are not simply coping in a world on fire but they are thriving. Ten years to bend the curve and 30 to get to net zero emissions. That means stopping the expansion of oil and gas now. It means capturing this moment of fear and

• possibility. Of challenge and of hope. It means

having the courage to say and act on what you believe and to build the future you want.

• It will take courage. If there is anything 16 year

Greta Thunberg has taught us from her lonely student strike one year ago to a movement in hundred of cities with tens of millions of people marching-- courage is contagious. Thank you.”

• Tzeporah Berman

TZEPORAH BERMAN