The Reform of Social Services: The Reform of Social Services: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Reform of Social Services: The Reform of Social Services: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Reform of Social Services: The Reform of Social Services: Problems, Pitfalls and Prizes , Julian Le Grand London School of London School of Economics New Zealand 2014 Central Problem of Social Service Delivery How to improve the
Central Problem of Social Service Delivery
- How to improve the effectiveness of social
services (school education, higher education, ( g health care, social care, etc).
- Do poor providers (hospitals schools
- Do poor providers (hospitals, schools,
children’s homes, social work offices) need h f incentives to improve? Or is the provision of incentives irrelevant – or actually damaging?
SOCIAL SERVICES: DIMENSIONS OF EFFECTIVENESS
- Quality
- Efficiency
Efficiency
- Responsiveness
- Equity
- Accountability?
Accountability?
Motivation: Knaves and Knights Motivation: Knaves and Knights
’In contriving any system of government, and fixing the several checks and controls
- f the constitution, every man ought to be
supposed a knave and to have no other end, in all his actions, than private interest. By this interest, we must govern him and, by means of it, notwithstanding his insatiable avarice and ambition, co-operate to the public good’ David Hume
MODELS OF SOCIAL SERVICE DELIVERY
- TRUST
- MISTRUST
MISTRUST –Targets and Performance Management –Regulation
- VOICE
VOICE
- CHOICE
–Reputation Competition Public Service Mutual –Public Service Mutual
% patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months % patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months
30% 25%
- nths
15% 20%
aiting > 12 mo
England Northern Ireland 10%
% patients wa
Northern Ireland 0% 5%
%
0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Are improvements in targeted performance in the English NHS undermined by gaming: A case for new kinds of audit of performance data? Gwyn Bevan and Christopher Hood, British Medical Journal (forthcoming)
% patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months % patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months
30% 25%
- nths
15% 20%
aiting > 12 mo
England Northern Ireland Scotland 10%
% patients wa
Scotland Wales 0% 5%
%
0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Are improvements in targeted performance in the English NHS undermined by gaming: A case for new kinds of audit of performance data? Gwyn Bevan and Christopher Hood, British Medical Journal (forthcoming)
% patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months % patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months
30% 25%
- nths
15% 20%
aiting > 12 mo
England Northern Ireland Scotland 10%
% patients wa
Scotland Wales 0% 5%
%
0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Are improvements in targeted performance in the English NHS undermined by gaming: A case for new kinds of audit of performance data? Gwyn Bevan and Christopher Hood, British Medical Journal (forthcoming)
% patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months % patients waiting for hospital admission > 12 months
30% 25%
nths
15% 20%
ting > 12 mon
England Northern Ireland 10% 15%
% patients wai
Scotland Wales 5%
%
0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Are improvements in targeted performance in the English NHS undermined by gaming: A case for new kinds of audit of performance data? Gwyn Bevan and Christopher Hood, British Medical Journal (forthcoming)
% Patients spending less than 4 hours in A +E % Patients spending less than 4 hours in A +E
100 80 40 60
%
20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 24% i i A E d itt
Source: Chief Executive's Report on the NHS - Statistical Supplement (December 2005)
+ 24% increase in A+E admittances
Competition in health care: Evidence from UK.
- Following roll out of choice in UK, AMI
mortality dropped faster in more competitive y pp p areas (Zack Cooper, Carol Propper).
- Introduction of ISTCs (Independent Sector
- Introduction of ISTCs (Independent Sector
specialist treatment centres) led to technical ff efficiency improvements in NHS competitors (Cooper)
- Expansion of market since 2008 to include any
willing provider: no further improvement? willing provider: no further improvement?
Waiting times: an equity problem Waiting times: an equity problem
195 200 180 185 190
The poor waited up The poor waited up to to 30 30-
- days
days longer longer
170 175
than the wealthy than the wealthy
155 160 165 145 150 I II III IV V I II III IV V
Level of Deprivation ( V = Most Deprived Quintile)
Hip replacement broken down by deprivation: Impact of targets and deprivation: Impact of targets and choice
300 200 250 I 150 II III IV 50 100 V 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Year
Parental Choice in New Zealand Parental Choice in New Zealand
96% f t i di t d th ld lik t l t
- 96% of parents indicated they would like to select
the school their child goes to
- 80% of parents agreed that education should be
- 80% of parents agreed that education should be
funded such that parents can afford to send their children to the school of their choice.
- A higher proportion of parents with annual income
- f $30,000 or less strongly agreed with the
t t t th t ith l i f statement than parents with an annual income of
- ver $30,000.
- Source: Steven Thomas and Ruth Oates The Parent
- Source: Steven Thomas and Ruth Oates The Parent
Factor Report Four: Access to Education. Auckland: the Maxim Institute, 2005
Minorities and Choice in the US Minorities and Choice in the US
- 52 per cent of parents, and 59 per cent of
public school parents, supported school p p pp choice.
- 60 per cent of minorities supported vouchers.
87 t f bl k t d 26 35 d
- 87 per cent of black parents aged 26‐35 and
66.4 per cent of blacks aged 18‐25 supported vouchers.
Who wants choice UK: Gender Who wants choice UK: Gender
100% 69% 80% 100% 56% 69% 60% % saying people should have a great d l it l t f 40% deal or quite a lot of say over which hospital to go to if they need treatment 20% treatment 0% Men Women
h h l l
M i l
Who wants choice UK: Social Class
59%
Managerial and professional
64%
Self Intermediate
- ccupations
class % saying people
64%
Lower i Self- employed social c y g should have a great deal or quite a lot of say over which hospital to go to if they need
62% 67%
semi routine supervisory & technical treatment
67%
55% 60% 65% 70%
and routine
h h Who wants choice UK: Income
70%
£10 000 < £10,000
% saying people should have a great deal or quite
65%
£32 000 £10,000 - £32,000
income
great deal or quite a lot of say over which hospital to go to if they need
57%
£32,000 - £50,000
i
g y treatment
59%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
>£50,000
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
h h d l h Who wants choice UK: Educational Achievement
69% None
- n
67% GCSE/O Level
al qualificatio
% saying people h ld h t
59% A Level
t educationa
should have a great deal or quite a lot of say over which hospital to go to if
56% Higher
Highes
they need treatment
56% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% education 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
London Choice Pilot: % opting for an alternative hospital
100% 69% 65% 65% 67% 68% 67% 66% 67% 63% 73% 60% 80% 40% 20% 0% Female Male Basic Higher Below verage Above verage n-white White Not ployed ployed F H B av A av Non N emp Emp Sex Educational status Household income Ethnic Group Employment Status
Source: Evaluation of the London Patient Choice Scheme, Picker Institute (July 2005)
Reputation Competition: % pupils achieving > 5 good Grades GCSE A* to C
Wales stops publication league tables
Note: data are missing for 1998, 2001 & 2005 & these have been estimated as the mean values from adjacent years
Reputation Competition: % Ambulance response times to life threatening emergencies response times to life‐threatening emergencies < 8 minutes
8 5
Star ratings published
7 5 8 5
Target
5 5 6 5 4 5 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 7
England Wales
Source: Bevan & Hamblin (2009)
The Public Service Mutual The Public Service Mutual
- The Public Service Mutual (PSM) is an
employee‐led (and owned) organisation, often p y ( ) g spun out of the public sector, delivering a public service public service.
- Mutuals across sectors and countries deliver:
- High user satisfaction
- Greater productivity
- Greater productivity
- High employee morale (especially
professionals)
So So…
For social service providers to improve, need external pressure. This could come from: p
- Government (mistrust)
R l ( i )
- Regulators (mistrust)
- Peers (reputation competition)
( p p )
- Users (voice or choice)
Need form of pressure least damaging to knightly motivation. Competition plus PSM?
Problems Pitfalls and Prizes Problems, Pitfalls and Prizes
- Problem: how to exert external pressure on
social service providers, that does not damage p g knightly motivation and that is politically and socially acceptable socially acceptable.
- Pitfall: Thinking that there is a perfect
l h bl solution to the problem.
- Prize: A system of social service provision that
Prize: A system of social service provision that is….. Th l t t
- The least worst.