The Polit ically Correct Nuclear Energy Plant Andrew C. Kadak - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Polit ically Correct Nuclear Energy Plant Andrew C. Kadak - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Polit ically Correct Nuclear Energy Plant Andrew C. Kadak Massachuset t s I nst it ut e of Technology Ford Distinguished Lecture Series October 31, 2001 Politically I ncorrect ! High Cost Meltdowns Reprocessing (f or now)


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SLIDE 1

The Polit ically Correct Nuclear Energy Plant

Andrew C. Kadak Massachuset t s I nst it ut e of Technology

Ford Distinguished Lecture Series October 31, 2001

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SLIDE 2

Politically I ncorrect !

  • High Cost
  • Meltdowns
  • Reprocessing (f or now)
  • Breeder Reactors (f or now)
  • Prolif eration
  • Waste that Dissolves in Water
  • Big - Small is Beautif ul
  • Nuclear Energy - But Getting Better
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SLIDE 3

Politically Correct !

  • Natural Safety
  • No Meltdowns
  • No Reprocessing
  • Proliferation Resistant
  • Competitive with Natural Gas
  • Waste Forms that are Geologically Stable
  • Something “New” - no “Baggage”
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SLIDE 4

Common Myt hs

  • Cont inued Burning of Fossil Fuels is

Sust ainable - Coal, Oil and Nat ural Gas

  • Nat ural Gas is a Clean Fuel - relat ive

t o what - coal?

  • Renewables are “clean and f ree”…
  • Conservat ion wit h sacrif ice will work
  • There is no solut ion t o nuclear wast e

disposal

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SLIDE 5

Yucca Mount ain

Next t o t he Nevada Nuclear Weapons Test Sit e

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SLIDE 6

Disposition of Naval Reactor Spent Nuclear Fuel Disposition of Naval Reactor Spent Nuclear Fuel Defense Complex Clean-Up Defense Complex Clean-Up Support of Nonproliferation Initiatives, e.g. Disposal of DOE and Foreign Research Reactor Spent Fuel Support of Nonproliferation Initiatives, e.g. Disposal of DOE and Foreign Research Reactor Spent Fuel Disposition of Surplus Weapons Materials Disposition of Surplus Weapons Materials

U.S. Department of Energy High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Program U.S. Department of Energy High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Program

Our mission is to manage and dispose of the Nation’s spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste. We will provide leadership in developing and implementing strategies that assure public and worker health and safety, protect the environment, merit public confidence, and are economically viable. Our mission is to manage and dispose of the Nation’s spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste. We will provide leadership in developing and implementing strategies that assure public and worker health and safety, protect the environment, merit public confidence, and are economically viable.

Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel

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SLIDE 7

Viability Assessment “Status Report” Science and Engineering Accomplishments

Construction Activity At Busted Butte Daylight TBM April 1997 Drift Scale Heater Test Surface Drilling Drift Scale Heater Test Construction Activity At Busted Butte View of TBM Launch Chamber Laboratory Materials Testing (off site) Design Daylight TBM April 1997 Tunnel Boring Machine Tunnel Boring Machine Large Block Experiment Large Block Experiment Unsaturated Zone Niche Studies Unsaturated Zone Niche Studies View of TBM Launch Chamber

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SLIDE 8

Viability Assessment: Total System Performance Assessment (Volume 3)

Water Movement Through the Geologic Formations

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SLIDE 9

Realit ies

  • The Calif ornia elect ricit y problem is a

capacit y and t ransmission problem

  • Cont inued dependence on nat ural gas

f or new generat ion is a bad idea.

  • There is no new nuclear energy plant

t hat is compet it ive at t his t ime.

  • De-regulat ion did not creat e t he

compet it ive market expect ed

  • CO2 is increasing in t he environment .
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SLIDE 10
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SLIDE 11
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SLIDE 12
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SLIDE 13

Today’s Realit y

  • Nat ionally - 20 % of elect ricit y comes

f rom exist ing 104 nuclear plant s

  • Perf ormance of all nukes improving -

f leet capacit y f act or 90% last year.

  • Product ion Cost s Decreasing - not

increasing like nat ural gas

  • More of our primary energy demand

is being f illed by elect ricit y.

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SLIDE 14

What About Transport at ion ?

  • Fuel Cells ?
  • Elect ric Cars ?
  • Solar Elect ric Cars
  • Nat ural Gas ?
  • Combo-Cars
  • Hydrogen Powered

Where do we get t he hydrogen ?

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SLIDE 15

Why Nuclear Energy ? Thought it Was Dead ?

  • Too Expensive
  • Too Cont roversial
  • No Solut ion t o Nuclear Wast e Disposal
  • Too Much Financial Risk, But ...
  • Exist ing Nuclear Plant s Operat ing Very

Well

  • But , Generat ing Companies not I nt erest ed

in New Nuclear Plant s

  • Except , t his is changing
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SLIDE 16

Tomorrow’s Possibilit ies

  • I t Depends…

  • On a Product t hat is:

Cheaper t han Nat ural Gas Cleaner t han gas, oil and coal Saf er t han all of t he above Less environment ally impact f ul t han solar, wind, biomass & hydro

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SLIDE 17

Tot al Lif e Cycle Emissions

200 400 600 C

  • a

l L i g n i t e G a s C C N u c l e a r P V p

  • l

y W i n d 5 , 5 m / s H y d r

  • 300

200 100

SO2 [mg/kWh] PM10 [mg/kWh]

1000

CO2-equivalents [g/kWh] NOX [mg/kWh]

200 400 600 800 1000 C

  • a

l L i g n i t e G a s C C N u c l e a r P V p

  • l

y W i n d 5 , 5 m / s H y d r

  • 800

600 400 200 PV amorph PV amorph

From “Energy Supply and Sustainable Development: The Need for Nuclear Power”, A. Voss, Univ. of Stuttgart.

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SLIDE 18

Healt h Risk of Energy Syst ems

0% 3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 0% 3%

16.1.2001

Years of Life Lost (YOLL) per TWh

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Risks due to up- and downstream processes Risks due to power plant emissions Coal Lignite Gas CC Nuclear PV

(amorph)

Wind Hydro PV

(poly)

From “Energy Supply and Sustainable Development: The Need for Nuclear Power”, A. Voss, Univ. of Stuttgart.

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SLIDE 19

What ’s t he Solut ion ?

  • Develop a Product t hat :
  • 1. Can compet e wit h Nat ural Gas or Coal
  • 2. Be demonst rably Saf e
  • 3. Has a Wast e Form t hat can be easily

disposed

  • 4. Does not creat e Prolif erat ion concerns

And… … ...

  • Prove it t o t he Public, Regulat ors and

Polit ical Leaders

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SLIDE 20

To Do So, One must Change

  • How we:
  • Design
  • License
  • Build
  • Operat e

Nuclear Energy Plant s

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SLIDE 21

I s There Such a Thing ?

  • Not Yet , but some are working on it .
  • Sout h Af rica
  • China
  • Net herlands
  • MI T

Not exact ly nuclear power houses !

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SLIDE 22
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SLIDE 23

Modular High Temperat ure Pebble Bed React or

  • Modules added t o

meet demand.

  • No Reprocessing
  • High Burnup

> 90,000 Mwd/ MT

  • Direct Disposal of

HLW

  • Process Heat

Applicat ions - Hydrogen, wat er

  • 110 MWe
  • Helium Cooled
  • 8 % Enriched Fuel
  • Built in 2 Years
  • Fact ory Built
  • Sit e Assembled
  • On--line Ref ueling
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SLIDE 24

What is a Pebble Bed React or ?

  • 360, 000 pebbles in core
  • about 3, 000 pebbles

handled by FHS each day

  • about 350 discarded daily
  • ne pebble discharged

every 30 seconds

  • average pebble cycles

through core 10 times

  • Fuel handling most

maintenance- intensive part of plant

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SLIDE 25

Fuel Sphere Half Section Coated Particle Fuel

  • Dia. 60mm
  • Dia. 0,92mm

Dia.0,5mm 5mm Graphite layer Coated particles imbedded in Graphite Matrix

Pyrolytic Carbon Silicon Carbite Barrier Coating Inner Pyrolytic Carbon Porous Carbon Buffer

40/1000mm 35/1000 40/1000mm 95/1000mm

Uranium Dioxide

FUEL ELEM ENT DESIGN FOR PBM R

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SLIDE 26
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SLIDE 27

Equipment Layout

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SLIDE 28

Reactor Unit

Helium Flowpath

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SLIDE 29

Fuel Handling & Storage System

Fuel/Graphite Discrimination system Damaged Sphere Container Graphite Return Fresh Fuel Container Fuel Return Spent Fuel Tank

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SLIDE 30

Saf et y Advant ages

  • Low Power Densit y
  • Nat urally Saf e
  • No melt down
  • No signif icant

radiat ion release in accident

  • Demonst rat e wit h

act ual t est of react or

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SLIDE 31

AVR: Jülich

15 MWe Research Reactor

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SLIDE 32

THTR: Hamm-Uentrop

300 Mwe Demonstration Reactor

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SLIDE 33

HTR- 10 China First Criticality Dec.1, 2000

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SLIDE 34

MI T’s Pebble Bed Proj ect

  • Similar in Concept

t o ESKOM

  • Developed

I ndependent ly

  • I ndirect Gas Cycle
  • Cost s 3.3 c/ kwhr
  • High Aut omat ion
  • License by Test
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SLIDE 35

MI T’s Proj ect Obj ect ive

Develop a concept ual design of a complet e nuclear energy plant t o show t hat it can meet t he obj ect ives of economy, saf et y, non-prolif erat ion and wast e. Then BUI LD one!

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SLIDE 36

Modular Pebble Bed Reactor

Thermal Power 250 MW Core Height 10.0 m Core Diameter 3.5 m Fuel UO2 Number of Fuel Pebbles 360,000 Microspheres/Fuel Pebble 11,000 Fuel Pebble Diameter 60 mm Microsphere Diameter ~ 1mm Coolant Helium

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SLIDE 37

Project Overview

  • Fuel Performance
  • Fission Product Barrier
  • Core Physics
  • Safety
  • Balance of Plant

Design

  • Modularity Design
  • Core Power Distribution

Monitoring

  • Modeling of Pebble Flow
  • Reactor Research/

Demonstration Facility

  • License by Test
  • Future Research Needs
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SLIDE 38

MI T’s Proj ect I nnovat ions

  • Advanced Fuels
  • Tot ally modular - build in a f act ory

and assemble at t he sit e

  • Replace component s inst ead of repair
  • I ndirect Cycle f or Hydrogen

Generat ion f or f uel cells & t ransport at ion

  • Advanced comput er aut omat ion
  • Demonst rat ion of saf et y t est s
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SLIDE 39

Coated TRISO Fuel Particles

IPyC/SiC/OPyC: structural layers as pressure vessel and fission product barrier Buffer PyC: accommodate fission gases and fuel swelling

From Kazuhiro Sawa, et al., J. of Nucl. Sci. & Tech., 36, No. 9, pp. 782. September 1999

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SLIDE 40

Barrier Integrity

  • Silver Diffusion observed in tests @ temps
  • Experiments Proceeding with Clear

Objective - Understand phenomenon

  • Palladium Attack Experiments Underway
  • Zirconium Carbide being tested as a

reference against SiC.

  • Focus on Grain SiC Structure Effect
  • Will update model with this information
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SLIDE 41

Core Physics

  • MNCP Modeling Process Being Developed
  • Tested Against HTR-10 Benchmark
  • Being Tested Against ASTRA Tests with

South African Fuel and Annular Core

  • VSOP Verification and Validation Effort

Beginning

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SLIDE 42

Nonproliferation

Pebble-bed reactors are highly proliferation resistant:

  • small amount of uranium (9 g/ball)
  • high discharge burnup (100 MWd/kg)
  • TRISO fuel is difficult to reprocess
  • small amount of excess reactivity limits

number of special production balls

Diversion of 8 kg Pu requires:

  • 260,000 spent fuel balls – 2.6 yrs
  • 790,000 first-pass fuel balls – 7.5
  • ~ 15,000 ‘special’ balls – 3

Spent Fuel Pu238 5.5% Pu239 24.1 Pu240 25.8 Pu241 12.6 Pu242 32.0 First Pass Pu238 ~ 0 % Pu239 64.3 Pu240 29.3 Pu241 5.6 Pu242 0.8

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SLIDE 43

Proliferation Conclusions

  • At high burnups not useful or even practical

to reprocess for weapons however crude.

  • Extraction at lower burnups requires a huge

number of pebbles to be diverted which can be detected due to limited access to pebbles and “closed” nature of system with reasonable IAEA detection systems in place.

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SLIDE 44

Safety

  • LOCA Analysis Complete - No Meltdown
  • Air Ingress now Beginning focusing on

fundamentals of phenomenon

  • Objectives
  • Conservative analysis show no “flame”
  • Address Chimney effect
  • Address Safety of Fuel < 1600 C
  • Use Fluent for detailed modeling of RV
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SLIDE 45

Temperat ure Prof ile

Fig-10: The Temperature Profile in the 73rd Day

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Distance to the Central Line Temperature (C)

Vessel Core Reflector Cavity Soil Concrete Wall

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SLIDE 46

Air Ingress Analysis Preliminary Conclusions

For an open cylinder of pebbles:

  • Due to the very high resistance through the pebble

bed, the inlet air velocity will not exceed 0.08 m/s.

  • The often feared “graphite fire” can be excluded

because of the temperature distribution and the low vapor pressure of the vaporized materials.

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SLIDE 47

Waste Disposal Conclusions

  • Per kilowatt hour generated, the space taken in a

repository is less than spent fuel from light water reactors.

  • Number of shipments to waste disposal site 10

times higher using standard containers.

  • Graphite spent fuel waste form ideal for direct

disposal without costly overpack to prevent dissolution or corrosion.

  • Silicon Carbide may be an reffective retardant to

migration of fission products and actinides.

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SLIDE 48

Pebble Bed Reactor Designs

  • PBMR (ESKOM) South African
  • Direct Cycle
  • Two Large Vessels
  • MIT/INEEL Design
  • Indirect Cycle - Intermediate He/He HX
  • Modular Components - site assembly
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SLIDE 49

PBMR Helium Flow Diagram

Direct Cycle

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SLIDE 50

MPS Cutaway

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SLIDE 51

Fuel Handling System

Reactor Vessel in this Area - Not shown Fresh Fuel Storage Used Fuel Storage Tanks

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SLIDE 52

Equipment Layout

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SLIDE 53

MI T MPBR Specif icat ions

Thermal Power 250 MW - 115 Mwe Target Thermal Ef f iciency 45 % Core Height

  • 10. 0 m

Core Diameter

  • 3. 5 m

Pressure Vessel Height 16 m Pressure Vessel Radius

  • 5. 6 m

Number of Fuel Pebbles 360, 000 Microspheres/ Fuel Pebble 11, 000 Fuel UO2 Fuel Pebble Diameter 60 mm Fuel Pebble enrichment 8% Uranium Mass/ Fuel Pebble 7 g Coolant Helium Helium mass f low rate 120 kg/ s (100% power) Helium entry/ exit temperatures 450oC/ 850oC Helium pressure 80 bar Mean Power Density

  • 3. 54 MW/ m

3

Number of Control Rods 6

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SLIDE 54

Features of Current Design

Three-shaft Arrangement Power conversion unit 2.96 Cycle pressure ratio 900°C/520°C Core Outlet/Inlet T 126.7 kg/s Helium Mass flowrate 48.1% (Not take into account cooling IHX and HPT. if considering, it is believed > 45%) Plant Net Efficiency 120.3 MW Net Electrical Power 132.5 MW Gross Electrical Power 250 MW Thermal Power

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SLIDE 55

Current Design Schematic

Generator

522.5°C 7.89MPa 125.4kg/s

Reactor core

900°C 7.73MPa 800°C 7.75MPa 511.0°C 2.75MPa 96.1°C 2.73MPa 69.7°C 8.0MPa 509.2°C 7.59MPa 350°C 7.90MPa 326°C 105.7kg/s 115 °C 1.3kg/s 69.7°C 1.3kg/s 280 °C 520°C 126.7kg/s HPT 52.8MW

Precooler Inventory control Intercooler Bypass Valve Circulator IHX Recuperator

LPT 52.8MW PT 136.9MW 799.2 C 6.44 MPa 719.°C 5.21MPa MPC2 26.1 MW MPC1 26.1MW LPC 26.1 MW HPC 26.1MW 30 C 2.71MPa 69.7 C 4.67MPa

Cooling RPV

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SLIDE 56

MI T Design f or Pebble Bed

Turbomachinery Module IHX Module Reactor Module

Conceptual Design Layout

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SLIDE 57

IHX Module Reactor Vessel Recuperator Module Turbogenerator HP Turbine MP Turbine LP Turbine Power Turbine HP Compressor MP Compressor LP Compressor Intercooler #1 Intercooler #2 Precooler ~77 ft. ~70 ft. Plant Footprint

TOP VIEW WHOLE PLANT

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SLIDE 58
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SLIDE 59

Total Modules Needed For Plant Assembly (21): Nine 8x30 Modules, Five 8x40 Modules, Seven 8x20 Modules Six 8x30 IHX Modules Six 8x20 Recuperator Modules 8x30 Lower Manifold Module 8x30 Upper Manifold Module 8x30 Power Turbine Module 8x40 Piping & Intercooler #1 Module 8x40 HP Turbine, LP Compressor Module 8x40 MP Turbine, MP Compressor Module 8x40 LP Turbine, HP Compressor Module 8x40 Piping and Precooler Module 8x20 Intercooler #2 Module

PLANT MODULE SHIPPING BREAKDOWN

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SLIDE 60

For 1150 MW Electric Power Station

Turbine Hall Boundary

Admin Training Control Bldg. Maintenance Parts / Tools

10 9 8 7 6 4 2 5 3 1

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 20 40 60 80 100

Primary island with reactor and IHX Turbomachinery

Ten-Unit MPBR Plant Layout (Top View)

(distances in meters)

Equip Access Hatch Equip Access Hatch Equip Access Hatch

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SLIDE 61

AP1000 Footprint Vs. MPBR-1GW

~400 ft. ~200 ft.

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SLIDE 62

Compet it ive Wit h Gas ?

  • Nat ural Gas

3.4 Cent s/ kwhr

  • AP 600

3.6 Cent s/ kwhr

  • ALWR

3.8 Cent s/ kwhr

  • MPBR

3.3 Cent s/ kwhr

Relat ive Cost Comparison (assumes no increase in nat ural gas prices) based on 1992 st udy ESKOM’s est imat e is 1.6 t o 1.8 cent s/ kwhr (bus bar)

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SLIDE 63

I NCOME DURI NG CONSTRUCTI ON ?

G raph for Incom e D uring C

  • nstruction

60,000 30,000 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 320 360 400 Tim e (W eek) Incom e D uring C

  • nstruction : M
  • st

Lik l D

  • llars/W

eek

likely

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SLIDE 64

Generating Cost Generating Cost

PBMR vs. AP600, AP1000, CCGT and Coal PBMR vs. AP600, AP1000, CCGT and Coal

(Comparison at 11% IRR for Nuclear Options, 9% for Coal and CCGT (Comparison at 11% IRR for Nuclear Options, 9% for Coal and CCGT1

1)

)

(All in (All in ¢ ¢/kWh) /kWh)

AP1000 @ AP1000 @ Coal Coal2

2

CCGT @ Nat. Gas = CCGT @ Nat. Gas = 3

3

AP600 AP600 3000Th 3000Th 3400Th 3400Th PBMR PBMR ‘ ‘Clean Clean’ ’ ‘ ‘Normal Normal’ ’ $3.00 $3.00 $3.50 $3.50 $4.00 $4.00 Fuel Fuel 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

0.48 0.48

0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.1 2.45 2.8 2.1 2.45 2.8 O&M O&M 0.8 0.52 0.46 0.8 0.52 0.46 0.23

0.23

0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 Decommissioning Decommissioning 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.08 0.08

  • Fuel Cycle

Fuel Cycle 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

  • _

_

  • _

_

  • _

_ Total Op Costs Total Op Costs 1.5 1.22 1.16 1.5 1.22 1.16 0.89

0.89

1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 2.35 2.70 3.05 2.35 2.70 3.05 Capital Recovery Capital Recovery 3.4 3.4 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Total Total 4.9 3.72 3.26 4.9 3.72 3.26 3.09

3.09

3.4 3.4 2.7 2.7 3.35 3.70 4.05 3.35 3.70 4.05

1 1 All options exclude property taxes

All options exclude property taxes

2 2 Preliminary best case coal options:

Preliminary best case coal options: “ “mine mouth mine mouth” ” location with $20/ton coal, 90% capacity factor & 10,000 BTU/kW location with $20/ton coal, 90% capacity factor & 10,000 BTU/kWh heat rate h heat rate

3 3 Natural gas price in $/million Btu

Natural gas price in $/million Btu

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SLIDE 65

Key Technical Challenges

  • Materials (metals and graphite)
  • Code Compliance
  • Helium Turbine and Compressor Designs
  • Demonstration of Fuel Performance
  • US Infrastructure Knowledge Base
  • Regulatory System
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SLIDE 66

Opportunities

  • Major New Source of

Electric Generation

  • Competitive with natural

Gas

  • Markets in US and

worldwide including China.

  • Introduce new way of

manufacturing plants

  • Build Demo plant in

Idaho - $ 350 Million

  • US Utilities will buy if

competitive.

  • Desalinization Market
  • Process Heat Market
  • Hydrogen Generation

Market

  • Restore US Leadership
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SLIDE 67

The I nevit abilit y of Nuclear Energy

  • Environment alist s will realize t he import ant

cont ribut ion t hat nuclear energy can make t o a clean environment .

  • The price of f ossil f uels will cont inue t o

increase

  • Polit icians will realize t hat ideas mat t er,

especially bad ones and begin t o t hink about consequences not expediency

  • We need a new nuclear t echnology t hat is

polit ically correct .

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SLIDE 68

Common Questions ?

  • What about the Safety of Existing Plants ?
  • What about Uranium Supply ?
  • How much power could/should come from

Nuclear energy ?

  • When will Fusion be available ?
  • Is spent fuel waste or a resource ?
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SLIDE 69

A “New” Question

  • Can Nuclear Plants withstand a direct hit of

a 767 jet with a plane load of people and fuel ?

  • Can it deal with other Terrorist Threats?
  • Insider
  • Outsider
  • General Plant Security
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SLIDE 70
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SLIDE 71

Exelon - MIT/INEEL Projects

Exelon

  • Commercial
  • Direct Cycle
  • German Technology
  • Not Modular
  • German Fuel
  • NRC site specific

application (exemptions)

  • Repair Components

MIT/INEEL

  • Private/Government
  • Indirect Cycle
  • US advanced Technology
  • Truly modular
  • US fuel design (U/Th/Pu)
  • NRC Certification using

License by Test

  • Replace Components
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SLIDE 72

MPBR PLANT CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE (MILLIONS OF JAN. 1992 DOLLAR WITH CONTINGENCY) Account No. Account Description Cost Estimate 20 LAND & LAND RIGHTS 2.5 21 STRUCTURES & IMPROVEMENTS 192 22 REACTOR PLANT EQUIPMENT 628 23 TURBINE PLANT EQUIPMENT 316 24 ELECTRIC PLANT EQUIPMENT 64 25 MISCELLANEOUS PLANT EQUIPMENT 48 26 HEAT REJECT. SYSTEM 25 TOTAL DIRECT COSTS 1,275 91 CONSTRUCTION SERVICE 111 92 HOME OFFICE ENGR. & SERVICE 63 93 FIELD OFFICE SUPV. & SERVICE 54 94 OWNER’S COST 147 TOTAL INDIRECT COST 375 TOTAL BASE CONSTRUCTION COST 1,650 CONTINGENCY (M$) 396 TOTAL OVERNIGHT COST 2,046 UNIT CAPITAL COST ($/KWe) 1,860 AFUDC (M$) 250 TOTAL CAPITAL COST 2296 FIXED CHARGE RATE 9.47% LEVELIZED CAPITAL COST (M$/YEAR) 217

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SLIDE 73

MPBR BUSBAR GENERATION COSTS (‘92$)

Reactor Thermal Power (MWt) 10 x 250 Net Efficiency (%) 45.3% Net Electrical Rating (MWe) 1100 Capacity Factor (%) 90 Total Overnight Cost (M$) 2,046 Levelized Capital Cost ($/kWe) 1,860 Total Capital Cost (M$) 2,296 Fixed Charge Rate (%) 9.47 30 year level cost (M$/YR): Levelized Capital Cost 217 Annual O&M Cost 31.5 Level Fuel Cycle Cost 32.7 Level Decommissioning Cost 5.4 Revenue Requirement 286.6 Busbar Cost (mill/kWh): Capital 25.0 O&M 3.6 FUEL 3.8 DECOMM 0.6 TOTAL 33.0

slide-74
SLIDE 74

O&M Cost

  • Simpler design and more compact
  • Least number of systems and components
  • Small staff size: 150 personnel
  • $31.5 million per year
  • Maintenance strategy - Replace not Repair
  • Utilize Process Heat Applications for Off-

peak - Hydrogen/Water

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SLIDE 75

Sequence of Pebble Bed Demonstration

  • China HTR 10 - December 2000
  • ESKOM PBMR - Start Construction 2002
  • MIT/INEEL - Congressional Approval to

Build 2003 Reactor Research Facility

  • 2005 ESKOM plant starts up.
  • 2008 MIT/INEEL Plant Starts Up.
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SLIDE 76

Highlights of Plan to Build

  • Site - Idaho National Engineering Lab (maybe)
  • “Reactor Research Facility”
  • University Lead Consortium
  • Need Serious Conceptual Design and Economic

Analysis

  • Congressional Champions
  • Get Funding to Start from Congress this Year
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SLIDE 77

Reactor Research Facility

Full Scale

  • “License by Test” as DOE facility
  • Work With NRC to develop risk informed

licensing basis in design - South Africa

  • Once tested, design is “certified” for

construction and operation.

  • Use to test - process heat applications, fuels,

and components

slide-78
SLIDE 78

Why a Reactor Research Facility ?

  • To “Demonstrate” Safety
  • To improve on current designs
  • To develop improved fuels (thorium, Pu, etc)
  • Component Design Enhancements
  • Answer remaining questions
  • To Allow for Quicker NRC Certification
slide-79
SLIDE 79

Modular Pebble Bed Reactor Organization Chart

Industrial Suppliers Graphite, Turbines Valves, I&C, Compressors, etc Nuclear System Reactor Support Systems including Intermediate HX Fuel Company Utility Owner Operator Architect Engineer Managing Group President and CEO Representatives of Major Technology Contributors Objective to Design, License and Build

US Pebble Bed Company

University Lead Consortium Governing Board of Directors MIT, Univ. of Cinn., Univ. of Tenn, Ohio State, INEEL, Oak Ridge, Industrial Partners, et al.

slide-80
SLIDE 80

License By Test

  • Build a research/demonstration plant
  • reactor research facility
  • Perform identified critical tests
  • If successful, certify design for

construction.

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SLIDE 81

Risk Based Approach

  • Establish Public Health and Safety Goal
  • Demonstrate by a combination of deterministic

and probabilistic techniques that safety goal is met.

  • Using risk based techniques identify accident

scenarios, critical systems and components that need to be tested as a functional system.

slide-82
SLIDE 82

Cost and Schedule

  • Cost to design, license & build ~ $ 400 M
  • ver 7 Years.
  • Will have Containment for Research and

tests to prove one is NOT needed.

  • 50/50 Private/Government Support
  • Need US Congress to Agree.
slide-83
SLIDE 83

Cost Estimate for First MPBR Plant Adjustments Made to MIT Cost Estimate for 10 Units Estimate Category Original Estimate Scaled to 2500 MWTH New Estimate 21 Structures & Improvements 129.5 180.01 24.53 22 Reactor Plant Equipment 448 622.72 88.75 23 Turbine Plant Equipment 231.3 321.51 41.53 24 Electrical Plant Equipment 43.3 60.19 7.74 25 Misc. Plant Equipment 32.7 45.45 5.66 26 Heat Rejection System 18.1 25.16 3.04 Total Direct Costs 902.9 1255.03 171.25 91 Construction Services 113.7 113.70 20.64 92 Engineering & Home office 106 106.00 24.92 93 Field Services 49.3 49.30 9.3 94 Owner's Cost 160.8 160.80 27.45 Total Indirect Costs 429.8 429.80 82.31 Total Direct and Indirect Costs 1332.7 1684.83 253.56 Contingency (25%) 333.2 421.2 63.4 Total Capital Cost 1665.9 2106.0 317.0 Engineering & Licensing Development Costs 100 Total Costs to Build the MPBR 417.0

For single unit

slide-84
SLIDE 84

Annual Budget Cost Estimates For Modular Pebble Bed Reactor Generation IV Year Budget Request 1 5 2 20 3 40 4 40 5 100 6 120 7 100 Total 425 Annual Budget Request

5 20 40 40 100 120 100 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Years $ Millions

slide-85
SLIDE 85

International Application

  • Design Certified &

Inspected by IAEA

  • International “License”
  • Build to Standard
  • International Training
  • Fuel Support
  • No Special Skills

Required to Operate

slide-86
SLIDE 86

Opportunities

  • Major New Source of

Electric Generation

  • Competitive with natural

Gas

  • Markets in US and

worldwide including China.

  • Introduce new way of

manufacturing plants

  • Build Demo plant in

Idaho - $ 350 Million

  • US Utilities will buy if

competitive.

  • Desalinization Market
  • Process Heat Market
  • Hydrogen Generation

Market

  • Restore US Leadership
slide-87
SLIDE 87

Summary

  • Pebble Power Appears t o Meet Economic, Saf et y

and Elect ricit y Needs f or Next Generat ion of Nuclear Energy Plant s

  • Exelon I nvest ing in Sout h Af rican Proj ect wit h

Desire t o Commercialize in US by 2006

  • MI T Project aimed at longer term development

with f ocus on innovation in design, modularity, license by test, using a f ull scale reactor research f acility to explore dif f erent f uel cycles, process heat applications, and advanced control system design, helium gas turbines and

  • ther components.
slide-88
SLIDE 88

88

Exelon Interests

  • Own rights to 12.5% of “PBMR Pty. Ltd.”

– Other Investors: ESKOM (40%), IDC (25%), BNFL (22 1/2%)

  • A Potential Source of Low Cost Power

– Exelon’s “Core Competencies”:

  • Operation of Nuclear Power Plants
  • Wholesale trading of Electricity
  • Viewed as ‘Merchant Nuclear Power’ – no rate base!
slide-89
SLIDE 89

Risks

Technical - PTG (magnetic bearings, vertical orientation, high temperature helium environment) Fuel manufacturing and testing Several other ‘FOAK’ systems (none of which are ‘nuclear’) (compressors, fuel burn up measurement, recuperator) Regulatory- RSA processes New processes for ESP, COL, DC Small modular gas reactors not envisioned in the current US regulations Schedule- Final design, fuel plant and plant licenses, construction, testing, regulatory approvals Consortium – Numerous competing interests and agendas will need to be reconciled among the partners and their governments (RSA, UK, USA; Eskom/PBMRPty, BNFL/Westinghouse, etc.)

slide-90
SLIDE 90

Overall Schedule/Exelon Desired Schedule

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

RSA Prototype DFS By Decision/Approval Build – 3 years Test – 1 yr Commercial Exelon Construction Modules 1-7 24 Mos. Build 1 Year Test Commercial Unit #1

2008

License 24 Mos. + U2 U3 U4 U5 U6 U7 18 Mos. 6 Mos.

Etc, Etc

slide-91
SLIDE 91

PBMR - What’s Different?

  • Safety Envelope HUGE

low power density, excess reactivity, hi S/D margin, long thermal time constants

  • Simple, Standard design

NO feedwater, ECCS, Recirc pumps, EDG’s; small EPZ, 30 total systems, 2 CRT’s per unit IS the control room; CCGT staffing and nuclear fuel economics, reasonable incremental capital investment, short time to Mwe, modern design and configuration control by reactor vendor

  • Merchant Nuclear Power aimed at a deregulated environment

No rate base; flexibility, size, speed all matter

  • NO direct Government funding

Unproven ESP, COL, DC processes; extensive lab work required; considering offset for initial Government fees

  • Full scale demonstration unit to be built in South Africa

Aim to fully demonstrate unit’s safety and other capabilities, satisfy NRC ‘ITAAC’

slide-92
SLIDE 92

Technology Bottlenecks

  • Fuel Performance
  • Balance of Plant Design - Components
  • Graphite
  • Containment vs. Confinement
  • Air Ingress/Water Ingress
  • Regulatory Infrastructure
slide-93
SLIDE 93

Regulatory Bottlenecks

  • 10 CFR Part 50 Written for Light Water

Reactors not high temperature gas plants

  • Little knowledge of pebble bed reactors or

HTGRs - codes, safety standards, etc.

  • Fuel testing
  • Resolution of Containment issue
  • Independent Safety Analysis Capability
slide-94
SLIDE 94

Economic Impact of Resolution

  • f Bottlenecks
  • Depends on whose money
  • Private investment would be large

depending on scenario for licensing for first

  • f a kind.
  • Expectations to resolve 5 years.
  • Impact on licensing depends on strategy.
  • Payback depends on number of units and

manufacturing infrastructure.

slide-95
SLIDE 95

Exelon - MIT/INEEL Projects

Exelon

  • Commercial
  • Direct Cycle
  • German Technology
  • Not Modular
  • German Fuel
  • NRC site specific

application (exemptions)

  • Repair Components

MIT/INEEL

  • Private/Government
  • Indirect Cycle
  • US advanced Technology
  • Truly modular
  • US fuel design (U/Th/Pu)
  • NRC Certification using

License by Test

  • Replace Components
slide-96
SLIDE 96

Conclusions

  • Basic Technology Proven
  • Specific Designs Need to Be Demonstrated
  • Fuel is a key issue
  • NRC licensing new technology difficult
  • Political support exists
  • No Meltdown Core a real plus
  • Which Strategy Can Bring the Plant to Market

Fastest is an Open Question.

  • Pebble Bed Reactors Can Be Licensed in US