The Mediterranean Gateway to the Energy Union Brussels, 22 nd of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Mediterranean Gateway to the Energy Union Brussels, 22 nd of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Mediterranean Gateway to the Energy Union Brussels, 22 nd of November 2017 Stefano da Empoli Franco DAmore Gloria Marcotullio Index Overview Electricity sector Main indicators The Mediterranean electricity grid Gas

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SLIDE 1

The Mediterranean Gateway to the Energy Union

Brussels, 22nd of November 2017 Stefano da Empoli Franco D’Amore Gloria Marcotullio

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SLIDE 2

Index

  • Overview
  • Electricity sector
  • Main indicators
  • The Mediterranean electricity grid
  • Gas sector
  • Main indicators
  • Mediterranean gas exisJng infrastructures & new projects
  • Open Issues
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SLIDE 3

Overview

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Mediterranean countries (all together)

Mediterranean Countries (21 Countries) account for:

  • 6.82% of World populaJon
  • 11.60% of World GDP
  • 6.81% of World TPES
  • 7.85% of World electricity consumpJons
  • 5.90% of World emissions
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SLIDE 5

Popula8on dynamics in the Mediterranean Region

rce: I-Com on UN data

50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 350 000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 EU MED MENA Balkans & Turkey

20,7% 2,7% 12,0%

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SLIDE 6

Mediterranean TPES and primary energy mix (2015)

rce: I-Com on IEA data

7% 35% 22% 23% 13%

EU-Med (TPES = 558,839 ktoe)

5% 51% 41% 3%

MENA (TPES = 230,192 ktoe)

Coal Oil Natural gas Nudear RES

28% 30% 28% 14%

Balkans & Turkey (TPES = 140,038 ktoe)

0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 EU-Med MENA Balkans & Turkey

TPES/ab. [toe/ab]

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SLIDE 7

Mediterranean imports - 2015

rce: I-Com on IEA data

  • 200%
  • 150%
  • 100%
  • 50%

0% 50% 100% Algeria Egypt Libya Morocco Tunisia Israel Jordan Lebanon Syria Turkey Albania Bosnia Herzegovina Montenegro Croazia Cyprus France Greece Italy Malta Slovenia Spain EU-Med MENA Balkans & Turkey

Net import/TPES - 2015

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Mediterranean renewables

rce: I-Com on IEA data

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Algeria Egypt Lybia Morocco Tunisia Israel Jordan Lebanon Syria Turkey Albania Bosnia Herzegovina Montenegro Croazia Cyprus France Greece Italy Malta Slovenia Spain EU-Med MENA Balkans & Turkey

Total renewable energy supply/total primary energy supply

2000 2007 2015

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Energy efficiency and emissions

rce: I-Com on IEA data

0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 Toe/thousand dollars 2010

TPES/GDP

2000 2007 2015

2 4 6 8 10 12 Algeria Egypt Libya Morocco Tunisia Israel Jordan Lebanon Syria Turkey Albania Bosnia Herzegovina Montenegro Croazia Cyprus France Greece Italy Malta Slovenia Spain EU-Med MENA

tCO2/capita

CO2 emissions/populaJon

2000 2007 2015

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Mediterranean energy engagement

rce: OME

Energy efficiency RES CO2 MiJgaJon Algeria

  • 9% of energy consump]on

27% of electricity genera]on From -7% to -22%*

Israel

  • 17% of electricity genera]on (vs

BAU) 17% electricity genera]on

  • 23% compared to BAU

Jordan

11% of the energy mix (2025) From -1.5% to -14%*

Lebanon

  • 3% in electricity demand vs BAU 15% of electricity and heat

(up to 20%) From -15% to -30% compared to BAU

Morocco

  • 15% of energy consump]on

52% of electricity capacity From -13% -34% compared to BAU

Tunisia

  • 30% of energy demand vs 2010

30% of electricity genera]on From -9% to -38% compared to BAU

Turkey

36 GW

  • 21% compared to BAU

EU (Cyprus, France, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain)

  • 27% of energy demand in 2030

27% RES in 2030

  • 40% compared to 1990

* Based on the of interna]onal financing availability

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Electricity sector

Main indicators The Mediterranean electricity grid

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Electricity consump8on per capita - 2015

rce: I-Com on IEA data

0,00 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 5,00 6,00 7,00 8,00 Algeria Egypt Lybia Morocco Tunisia Israel Jordan Lebanon Syria Turkey Albania Bosnia Herzegovina Montenegro Croazia Cyprus France Greece Italy Malta Slovenia Spain EU-Med MENA Balkans & Turkey MWh/capita

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Installed capacity per capita - 2014

rce: I-Com on UN data

0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 kW per capita

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Electrical capacity - 2014

rce: I-Com on IEA data

43% 18% 19% 11% 9%

EU-Med (total capacity= 393,814 MW)

Combus]ble fuels Nuclear Geothermal Hydro Wind Solar Other

92% 6% 1% 1%

MENA (total capacity = 106,867 MW)

Combus]ble fuels Nuclear Geothermal Hydro Wind Solar Other

59% 36% 5%

Balkans & Turkey (total capacity = 79,932 MW)

Combus]ble fuels Nuclear Geothermal Hydro Wind Solar

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SLIDE 15

Electrical produc8on - 2015

rce: I-Com on IEA data

11% 4% 16% 69%

EU-Med (total producJon = 1,217 TWh)

Coal Oil Gas Other (Nuclear+RES) 10% 20% 64% 6%

MENA (total producJon = 459 TWh)

Coal Oil Gas Other (Nuclear+RES) 30% 1% 35% 34%

Balkans & Turkey (total producJon = 286 TWh)

Coal Oil Gas Other (Nuclear+RES)

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Electricity prices (domes8c sector) - 2016

rce: I-Com on different na]onal data

50 100 150 200 250 < 160kWh/Month 501-600kWh/Month > 1000kWh/Month < 50kWh/month 351-650kWh/month > 1000kWh/month Mid-peak hours <100 300-400kWh/month >500kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month ≈200-400kWh/month Jord. Alg. Egy. Mor. Leb. Tur.

  • Alb. Bos. H. Mont.

It. Fr. Cro. Cyp. Gre. Mal. Sp. EU-Med=100

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SLIDE 17

Exis8ng electricity infrastructures

Source: Entso-E (2017)

Mediterranean exisJng interconnecJons Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia Spain-Morocco Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Pales]ne, Syria and Turkey Turkey-Bulgaria Turkey-Greece

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Electricity infrastructures projects

Source: EU Commission, Terna (2017)

Planned North Mediterranean electricity InterconnecJons

From To Status Commissioning data France Italy under construc]on 2019 France Spain feasibility study 2025 Portugal Spain permilng phase 2018 Israel Cyprus-Greece planned 2019-2022 Italy Montenegro Under construc]on 2019 Italy Slovenia under construc]on n.a. Sardinia* Corsica preliminary planning phase Italy* Tunisia preliminary planning phase

*projects out of the PCIs list

From To Status project Voltage level Nominal line capaci Algeria Morocco 400 kV 1200 MW Tunisia 400 kV 1200 MW Egypt Sudan Feasibility phase 600 kV (DC) 2000 MW Saudi Arabia Permilng phase 500 kV (DC) 3000 MW Libya Feasibility phase 500/400 kV 500 MW Pales]ne Feasibility phase 220 kV 150 MV Jordan Pales]ne Feasibility phase 400 kV 1000 MV Saudi Arabia 400 kV 500 MV Egypt 400 kV 1200 MV Libya Egypt Feasibility phase 400 kV (Libyan side) 500 MW Egypt Feasibility phase 500 kV (Egyp]an side) Tunisia 400 kV 500 MW Morocco Algeria 400 kV 500 MW Spain 50 MV PalesJne Jordan Feasibility phase 400 kV 150 MV Egypt Feasibility phase 220 kV 150 MV Tunisia Libya 500 MW

South Mediterranean electricity InterconnecJon projects

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Gas sector

Main indicators Mediterranean gas exisJng infrastructures & new projects

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Mediterranean natural gas reserves

rce: I-Com on CIA, ECFR data

0,1 1,0 10,0 100,0 1.000,0 10.000,0 Algeria Egypt Libya Syria Israel Jordan Turkey Morocco Cyprus Italy Croa]a France Spain Greece Albania Billion mc

Natural gas proved reserves

5% 95%

Share of Mediterranean natural gas proved reserves

Mediterranean Rest of the World

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Net import/consump8on and per capita consump8on of gas - 2016

rce: I-Com on ENI data

200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 cubic metres

Natural gas consumpJon per capita (mc)

  • 200%
  • 150%
  • 100%
  • 50%

0% 50% 100%

Net import/consumpJon (%)

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SLIDE 22

Final gas consump8on per sector - 2015

rce: I-Com on IEA data

34% 2% 61% 3%

EU-Med

34% 4% 35% 27%

MENA

Industry Transport Other Non-energy use

41% 2% 56% 1%

Balkans & Turkey

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Exis8ng infrastructures

rce: GIE, IGU (2017)

Pipelines

Area Name Interconnected countries Western Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline Algeria-Morocco-Spain- Portugal Medgaz Algeria-Spain Central TransMed Algeria-Tunisia-Italy-Slovenia Greenstream Libya-Italy Eastern Arab gas pipeline Egypt-Jordan-Syria-Lebanon- Turkey

LNG

Number of LGN export terminal Algeria 5 Egypt 2 Libya 1 Number of LGN import terminal Spain 3 Italy 3 Egypt 2 Turkey 2 France 2 Greece 1 Israel 1 Jordan 1

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Mediterranean capacity of LNG import terminals and net imports- 2016

rce: GIE, IGU (2017)

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Spain Italy Egypt Turkey France Jordan Greece Israel Billion mc/year

LNG import capacity

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Spain Egypt France Turkey Italy Jordan Greece Israel Billion mc/year

Net LNG imports

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Mediterranean natural gas projects

rce: EU Commission, GIE

From To Name Status Commi ng

Western area Portugal Spain planned 2021 Spain France Midcat planned 2022 Central area Malta Italy planned 2026 Malta LNG project planned 2021 Algeria Sardinia-Italy Galsi permilng 2019 Greece Italy via Albania TAP under construc]on 2020 Italy Greece Poseidon permilng 2022 Croa]a Slovenia permilng 2019-2020 Albania Montenegro- Bosnia and Herzegovina IAP* Krk (Slovenia) LNG projects permilng 2018 Greece (Northern) permilng 2020 Eastern area Cyprus Greece via Crete EastMed permilng 2022 Cyprus LNG project planned Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan via Georgia and Turkey to Europe TCP under considera]on 2021

*project out of the PCIs list

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Mediterranean energy coopera8on plaQorms

ENP -> DG NEAR External Investment Plan (European Fund for Sustainable Development - EFSD) -> DG DEVCO UfM -> energy & climate dialogue plaporm (DG ENERGY) electricity gas RES & EE

Top-down

MEDREG

Borom-up

MEDTSO MEDENER OME

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Open issues

  • Secure, competitive and sustainable supply of energy calls for a deeper cooperation between EU and Neighboring
  • Countries. The Mediterranean Region is a privileged and natural partner for EU (not only for energy related issues).
  • In spite of the existing differences in political and institutional frameworks, as well as social and economic contexts, the

reasons for cooperating are much stronger.

  • Energy relations in the Region have to be innovated in order to achieve a better integration of regulations, resources an

markets.

  • South-Med Region needs huge investments in energy infrastructures in order to close the “energy gap” and, at the s

time, contribute to reduce climate impacts.

  • What mix for energy efficiency, renewable energy and natural gas?
  • What role for energy cross-border interconnectors?
  • What is the role of EU (institutions, market actors, CSOs) in promoting the Energy Med Union?
  • Promotion of investments;
  • Promotion of energy reforms and market integration;
  • Promotion of capacity building and know-how transfer;
  • Promotion of business partnerships.
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Thank you!

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