University Medical Center Groningen
The History and Future of Heart Failure
WCN Peter Dunselman Lecture 28 november 2018
Dirk J. van Veldhuisen, cardioloog Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen
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The History and Future of Heart Failure WCN Peter Dunselman Lecture 28 november 2018 Dirk J. van Veldhuisen, cardioloog Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen University Medical Center Groningen Conflict of Interest Statement No relevant
University Medical Center Groningen
WCN Peter Dunselman Lecture 28 november 2018
Dirk J. van Veldhuisen, cardioloog Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen
University Medical Center Groningen
Investigator of DECISION trial (Digoxin survival study, supported by ZonMW and Hartstichting, #848090001)
University Medical Center Groningen
Heart Failure: A Public Health Crisis
Hospitalizations x 3 in last 25 Years
Hospitalizations/100,000 Population 1970 50 100 150 200 250 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995
Year 65+ years 45-64 years
Lenfant NEJM 2003
Population of the Netherlands Changes from 1900-2050
1900 1950 2000 2050 (?) Source: CBS/NRC Handelsblad
University Medical Center Groningen
1-vermindering van morbiditeit: betere kwaliteit van leven minder ziekenhuisopnames betere inspanningstolerantie 2-vermindering van mortaliteit: ofwel: verbetering van overleving
University Medical Center Groningen
1-vermindering van morbiditeit: betere kwaliteit van leven minder ziekenhuisopnames betere inspanningstolerantie 2-vermindering van mortaliteit: ofwel: verbetering van overleving
N Engl J Med 1987; 316: 1420
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Double-blind randomised controlled study
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3991 patients CHF
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NYHA II–IV
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LVEF ≤40%
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randomly assigned to target
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The study was stopped early
the independent safety
Lancet 1999
University Medical Center Groningen
Patients
Unk no wn caus e
Non-car dio
Other car dio
M yo cardial infarction Pump failure Sudden death 0.45 (0.27 – 0.74) 0.75 (0.37 – 1.50) 1.17 (0.67 – 2.03) 0.85 (0.31 – 2.34) 83 6%
p=0.00 11
48 4% 36 3% 0.56 (0.39 – 0.80) 0.74 (0.48 – 1.14) Hazar d r atio : (95% CI )
p=0.17 p=0.75 p=0.58 p=0.41 p=0.00 12
Biso pro lol (n = 1327) Placebo (n = 1320) 20 40 60 80 100 47 4% 7 1% 8 1% 28 2% 23 2% 14 1% 18 1% 23 2% 49 4%
Lancet 1999
University Medical Center Groningen
SOLVD- Treatment 16% reduction
Pitt et al, N Engl J Med, 1999.
Probability
Months
Spironolactone + standard therapy Standard therapy (ACE inhibitor + loop diuretic ± digoxin)
1.00 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 Risk Reduction 30% 95% CI 18–40% p <0.001
University Medical Center Groningen
EMPHASIS: primary outcome
Zannad et al. NEJM 2011
Treatment of HFrEF
5
CHARM Added CHARM Preserved
3 component trials comparing candesartan to placebo in patients with symptomatic heart failure
CHARM Alternative
n=2028
LVEF £40% ACE inhibitor intolerant
n=2548
LVEF £40% ACE inhibitor treated
n=3025
LVEF >40% ACE inhibitor treated/not treated
Primary outcome for Overall Programme: All-cause death Primary outcome for each trial: CV death or CHF hospitalisation
57
0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2
All Cause Mortality CV Death or CHF Hospitalisation
Hazard ratio Hazard ratio
p heterogeneity=0.43
Alternative Added Preserved Overall
p heterogeneity=0.37
p=0.0004 p=0.055 p=0.011 p=0.118 p<0.0001 0.77 0.85 0.89 0.84 0.91
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0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Mortality 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Months of follow-up Amiodarone ICD Therapy Placebo HR 97.5% Cl P-Value Amiodarone vs. Placebo 1.06 0.86, 1.30 0.529 ICD Therapy vs. Placebo 0.77 0.62, 0.96 0.007
Bardy et al. NEJM 2005;352:225
The effect of cardiac resynchronization
Cleland et al; NEJM 2005
16 32 40 24 8
Enalapril
(n=4212)
360 540 720 900 1080 1260
Days After Randomization
180
Patients at Risk
1117
Kaplan-Meier Estimate of Cumulative Rates (%)
914
LCZ696
(n=4187)
HR = 0.80 (0.73-0.87) P = 0.0000002 Number needed to treat = 21
LCZ696 4187 3922 3663 3018 2257 1544 896 249 Enalapril 4212 3883 3579 2922 2123 1488 853 236
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Preserved left ventricular systolic function Reduced left ventricular systolic function
University Medical Center Groningen
University Medical Center Groningen
University Medical Center Groningen
ESC HF Guidelines 2016
University Medical Center Groningen
University Medical Center Groningen
Exercise time Norepinephrine JACC 1993
University Medical Center Groningen
All-cause mortality Death or worsening HF NEJM 1997
University Medical Center Groningen
Digoxin-DIG Low-dose
Rathore JAMA 2003
University Medical Center Groningen
University Medical Center Groningen
Outpatients in the Netherlands