THE FUTURE OF URBAN LIVING New forms of work, planning for the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

International

ISOCARP CONFERENCE 2016

13 September 2016 Track 4: Urban Planning and Policy Making in Times of Uncertainty, Fragility & Insecurity

THE FUTURE OF URBAN LIVING

New forms of work, planning for the unknown in Amsterdam

Miranda Schut

The Spontaneous City International (SPcitI) works on the central question of how to strengthen the relationship between citizens and their city

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Ambitions analysis lines

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frame- works development strategies Central question

LITERATURE RESEARCH & LOCAL EXPERTISE INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES INTERVIEWS MULTI-STAKEHOLDER ROUND TABLES STRATEGY 2025 - HARBOR CITY case study

spatial principles

Amsterdam Metropolitan Area

Trends / forecasts > ‘What-if?’ SCENARIOS Framing of relevant themes Obstacles

The future of urban living

RESEARCHING PLANNING < > NEW FORMS OF WORK

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Ambitions and obstacles analysis lines

• utput

frame- works development strategies Central question

LITERATURE RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES INTERVIEWS & LOCAL EXPERTISE MULTI-STAKEHOLDER ROUND TABLES STRATEGY 2025 - HARBOR CITY case study

spatial principles

Amsterdam Metropolitan Area

Trends / forecasts > ‘What-if?’ SCENARIOS

1. Central question Scenario planning

The 4th industrial revolution

• K. Schwab (2016), The Fourth Industrial Revolution.

We do not live in an era of change, but a change of era

• J. Rotmans, (2014) Verandering van tijdperk - Nederland kantelt

To benefjt from the automation revolution we need a universal basic income, the slashing of working hours and a redefjnition of ourselves without work

P . Mason, The Guardian 17th February 2016

PLANNING FOR THE UNKNOWN

u r b a n t r a n s i t i

• n

p r

• c

e s s e s

FUTURE of URBAN LIVING

CITY and its TERRITORY

. new comers . capacity building . basic income . bank of time . articifical intelligence . human social skills . precariat . new technologies&trends . new economies . education . waste . energy . ... . ... . ... . ... . urban mix . public space . density . mobility/logistics . ... . typologies . small entrepreneurship . regional food system . ealth system . vacancy . workplace structures . new work / work disappearance . retirement . social divide . housing

How can existing (mono-functional) areas and business parks be transformed into fmexible and attractive mixed urban areas, which can absorb the transition to new work? At present, which urban / morphological / functional principles, and what institutional preconditions / frameworks and strategies can be used, to in the future create an interesting mixed urban environment?

Research questions

Identifying dominant variables Identifying uncertainties and risks Developing possible future scenarios Discussing effects and anti- cipating strategies

Scenario planning

A TOOL FREQUENTLY USED BY AMSTERDAM MUNICIPALITY NO REGRET MEASURES: BENEFICIAL NO MATTER WHICH SCENARIO GETS THE UPPER HAND

What if..? scenarios

TAKING SCENARIOS TO THE NEXT LEVEL

trend breaches or discontinuities in developments highly exploratory scenarios to stretch the mind ‘What if, we are no longer able or willing to work in the traditional way?’

2. Case study International references

Koers 2025

STRATEGY OF THE AMSTERDAM MUNICIPALITY

Amsterdam is popular and is growing by an average of 11,000 people each year Vision for 2025: 50,000 new homes within Amsterdam MRA: 996 km² - 2,3 million (2014) Amsterdam: 219 km² - 838,338 (2016)

Koers 2025: Space for the city

Current projects Projects outside the municipality of Amsterdam Acceleration sites 2014 (tranche 1 investment decision) Acceleration sites 2014 (tranche 2 strategic decision) Proposed new projects in 2016 (tranche 3) Plan 2016 focused on new projects 2017-2018 Strategic space for the city for the benefjt of development after 2020 Case study area

case study: AMSTERDAM HAVEN-STAD

Role of Haven-Stad

STRATEGIC AREA FOR THE CITY AND THE STRATEGY

700 units are being constructed Possible acceleration to an additional 3600 units The area will be providing nearly 10% of the target

case study: AMSTERDAM HAVEN-STAD

Functioning, growing port. Station area

THE AREA IS FRAGMENTED BY MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE: HIGHWAY, RAIL, LARGE GREEN SPACES

Relatively unknown to current residents of

• Amsterdam. Student

housing in containers Relatively mono-functional work area. Key sectors: manufacturing, trade and transport Little amenities, facilities and public/green space

• available. Isolated mosque.

Business park along the highway Old polder remnants

SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS: VARIETY OF BUILDING TYPOLOGIES, DENSITY AND MIX

Contemporary architecture shaping the work area facing the water.

current character

1. The Student Hotel / The Refugee Company Amsterdam, NL 2. South Melbourne Glennferrie Road, Australia 3. Chapelle International Paris, France 4. NEW LAB New York, USA 5. The Deptford Project London, UK 6. Goose Island Chicago, USA

11 Stories x 2025

INTERNATIONAL REFERENCES

Project is completed/advanced stage of planning 1) From monofunctional to mixed 2) Looking at new trends Model for Koers 2025 selected sites Metropolitan: High dynamic + density

7. West End Vancouver, Canada 8. Factory Berlin, Germany 9. Living Lab Buiksloterham Amsterdam, NL 10. De Oude Dokken Gent, Belgium 11. Cat Street Tokyo, Japan

A PARADIGM SHIFT: generate new insights for strategic planning with fmexibility, diversity of production activities and a mix of functions as core principles

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Toolbox

PROVIDING: I - SPATIAL PRINCIPLES II - FRAMEWORKS III - DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES