The Chinese Are Coming How Big, How Fast, How Powerful? February 1, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Chinese Are Coming How Big, How Fast, How Powerful? February 1, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Chinese Are Coming How Big, How Fast, How Powerful? February 1, 2017 Chinese New Year: Hey Buddy, No Cuts From Revolutionary to Pragmatic All China Understanding Starts With The People in Charge Who are our friends who are our


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The Chinese Are Coming

How Big, How Fast, How Powerful?

February 1, 2017

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SLIDE 2

Chinese New Year: Hey Buddy, No Cuts

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From Revolutionary to Pragmatic All China Understanding … Starts With The People in Charge

“Who are our friends who are our enemies?” “Black Cat, White Cat, If It Catches Mice, It's a Good Cat"

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Chinese Auto Companies Are Already Here

Strategic Shift Started in 2010, Accelerated in 2015

Happening Now ​ ​Midwest Suppliers California EV/AV ​Volvo & Buick Coming By 2020 GAC Trumpchi & Co – Price Lynk & Co. - Direct Model Acquisitions - (FCA?)

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Chinese Entry Started with Acquisitions in 2010

Beijing West Industries (BWI) acquired Delphi Advanced Testing in 2010 for US$ 100 million.

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2010-2016: 128 Investments, Worth $5 Billion

Yanfeng (Revenues $11B) Started Out as a Junior Partner to Visteon.

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SLIDE 7

Chinese EV/AV Base Camp in California

Funded by Ambitious Chinese Internet Billionaires

Design in… Costa Mesa Gardena Los Angeles San Jose Sunnyvale Build in… Costa Grande, AZ Lancaster Las Vegas, NV Moreno Valley

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SLIDE 8

Faraday Future Presents The World's Quickest Electric Vehicle

FF financials are shaky but the product is the real deal.

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Next EV Introduces the NIO EP9, the World's Fastest Electric Vehicle

"We aim to build a robot that looks like a car."

  • Padmasree Warrior, COO, NIO
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Wanxiang Group Owns Karma, the Re-incarnated Fisker

Purchase Price: $149M. Production in Moreno Valley, California.

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BYD Sells $550K to $1.2M Buses to Stanford University, City of Long Beach

Warren Buffett & Bill Gates Investors; Production in Lancaster, California.

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A "Wait-But-What" Moment: China-Built Buicks Shipped to the US

Volvo, Buick, Cadillac in 2017. Volkswagen next?

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A Massive, Protected Home Market.

Import duties, VAT, Duties: US $30K Car Goes to $45K in China. Chinese Vehicle Market 2000-2016 Imports Share​ 3.6%

Source: OICA

2000 2M 4% 2005 6M 3% 2010 18M 4% 2014 24M 6% 2016 27.5M

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But Aren't Shanghai Streets Covered With Buicks, VWs and BMWs?

Summary: Most of the money stays in China with Chinese companies. Make Keep 3.87 M 1.25 M 133,000 1.94 M 615,000 67,000 2016 Sales in China

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Deng’s Strategy for China - Build Cars to Call their Own. Strategy

  • Set Up 50/50 JVs
  • Get Know-How
  • Build Our Own
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Sleeping in Same Bed, Dreaming Different Dreams

1980 - 2000 The Kit Price Wars 2000 - 2010 The Concubine Economy 2010 - 2020 The End of the Beginning

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China Targets Global Leadership in EVs: One Stone, Three Birds

Aggressive EV Tech Transfer Demands on Global Automakers.

  • 1. Minimize Oil Imports
  • 2. Fix Air Pollution
  • 3. Lead in a Technology
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Beijing Leaders Invite Internet Billionaires to Join in 2014

Chinese Internet Money Swarms into California.

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What's Coming Just Around the Corner?

Imports? Direct Sales? Capital!

Trumpchi GS4.

M&A

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Alibaba, Apple & Foxconn: American Jobs, Jobs, Jobs.

"I want new plants built here for cars sold here!"

  • Donald J. Trump, January 24, 2017
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Level 22 Tower II, Lippo Centre 89 Queensway, Admiralty, Hong Kong www.dunneautomotive.com