T I M BON N O
M C P F M E M B E R , A N D M C P F M E M B E R , A N D P R O D U C E R O F “ E A R T H Q U A K E S: M E A N B U SI N E SS” SE M I N A R S
T I M BON N O M C P F M E M B E R , A N D M C P F M E M B E R , - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
T I M BON N O M C P F M E M B E R , A N D M C P F M E M B E R , A N D P R O D U C E R O F E A R T H Q U A K E S: M E A N B U SI N E SS SE M I N A R S My Introduction Recently left AT&T after 30+ years of service
M C P F M E M B E R , A N D M C P F M E M B E R , A N D P R O D U C E R O F “ E A R T H Q U A K E S: M E A N B U SI N E SS” SE M I N A R S
Recently left AT&T after 30+ years of service –
Much of my career has been in Business Continuity
Producer of the “Earthquakes: Mean Business”
M orning
The EarthScope Project
in 1811-1812?
Afternoon
Earthquake Scenario
Teams (CERT) in a Business
Engineering
Central US Teams (CERT) in a Business Environment
Command System (ICS) in a Business Environment
Earthquakes
Center
Material in this presentation came from:
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A presentation made by Michael Griffin, P.E. with CCS Group, at the 16th Annual “Earthquakes: Mean Business” seminar.
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“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on theCentral
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“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on theCentral USA” report produced by the Mid- Gress, administrative Project Manager
Here’s the link to request the report: mae.cee.uiuc.edu/ new s/ reportusa2.html mae.cee.uiuc.edu/ new s/ reportusa2.html
Know Your Risk
Know Your Risk IL
IN
AK
Know Your Risk
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA”
Scenario
(IL, IN, KY, TN, AL, MS, AR, MO)
Summary Results
impacted
travel delays in Memphis and St Louis
After three days 7.2M people are still displaced 2M people seek temporary shelter Direct economic losses = $300B Indirect economic losses may be at least $600B
Deaths & injuries – Life Safety Damage – Property Loss Business disruption – Functional Loss Know Your Risk Business disruption – Functional Loss
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Damaged parapet with falling hazards to street below
Photos courtesy Dr. Norman C. Hester
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Missouri Buildings
Type Total At Least M oderate Damage Complete Damage Single 1,753,400 61,700 31,800 Single Family 1,753,400 61,700 31,800 Other Residential 2 21,900 10,400 Commercial 35,300 2,000 1,000 Industrial 9,600 600 300 Other 10,900 600 300
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Missouri Essential Facilities
Type Total At Least M oderate Damage Complete Damage Schools 2,871 136 90 Schools 2,871 136 90 Fire Stations 1,399 69 45 Police Stations 654 53 40 Hospitals 208 7 1 EOCs 84 13 11
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Missouri Transportation Lifelines
Type Total At Least M oderate Damage Complete Damage Highway 27,258 1,004 545 Highway bridges 27,258 1,004 545 Railway bridges 200 2 Railway facilities 139 23 Bus facilities 72 5 Port facilities 232 52 Airports 562 28
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA”
Total At Least M oderate Damage Complete Damage Potable water facilities 357 28 Waste water facilities 7,816 519 Natural gas facilities 354 64 Oil facilities 167 7 Electric facilities 1,855 117
21,789 1,536
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Missouri Utility Pipelines
Type Total M iles Leaks Breaks Total Repairs Potable water 165,900 14,964 21,624 36,588 Waste water 99,500 11,842 17,098 28,940 Waste water 99,500 11,842 17,098 28,940 Natural gas – local 66,400 12,653 18,275 30,928 Natural gas – interstate 4,100 217 727 944 Oil – interstate 6,400 52 176 228
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Other CI
Type Total Facilities Damaged Dams 5,408 55 Dams 5,408 55 Levees 369 25 HazMat 3,040 32
“Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA” Casualties @ 2:00 AM (worst case timeframe)
Note – Jefferson and STL counties along with the City of STL incur large Level 1
least sever
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4
most sever
Total 10,179 2, 898 361 687 14, 125 Note – Jefferson and STL counties along with the City of STL incur large numbers of casualties
Transportation Utilities Total $13,512 $1,789 $33,700 $49,001
Ref: Dahlhamer (1999) and Baum & Oliver (1991)
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Tim Bonno E-mail: tjb0000@swbell.net
Cell: 314.960.9472