Sustainability impact assessments of Sustainability impact - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Sustainability impact assessments of Sustainability impact assessments of policy changes policy changes recent development ecent development of analytical modeling in Europe of analytical modeling in Europe Marcus Lindner, Risto
Growth)
(cf. EU sustainable development strategy, Gothenburg 2001 and EU Council decision 2006)
The sustainability concept evolved over the centuries
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Provision
Land based production
Infra- structure Abiotic resources Biotic resources Ecosystem processed Human health & recreation Cultural & aesthetic values Industry & services
Agriculture Forestry Nature Conservation Transport Infrastructure Energy Tourism
Social Economic Environment
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Indicators impacts (~40) Impacts are calculated for environmental, social and economical dimensions of sustainability Land use policy scenario Land-use allocation model (CLUE-s) Macro- economical model (NEMESIS) Forest sector model (EFISCEN)
Policy variable Indicator value
Dead wood Forest fire risk Carbon sequestration
Agricultural model (CAPRI)
Jansson et al. 2008
Age-class Volume-class Wood demand Manage- ment strategy Forest area change
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Deadwood Carbon stock Fellings and increment Biomass revenue Workforce
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Nordic
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Deadwood Carbon Resource utilisation Biomass revenues Workforce Baseline Biodiversity Bio-energy
Central and Alpic
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Deadwood Carbon Resource utilisation Biomass revenues Workforce Baseline Biodiversity Bio-energy
The EU Integrated Project
The EU Integrated Project
ToSIA measures volume flows and sustainability indicators
EU-SIA Guidelines 32 topics
15 level 1- indicators 47 level 2- indicators 99 level 3 – indicators MCPFE
CSD 15 themes 40 sub-themes 60 indicators PAIS 5 themes 16 issues 57 indicators
Economic Environmental Social
Gross value added Production costs Resource / material use Total production Investment and research & development Energy generation and use Greenhouse gas emissions and carbon stocks Transport distance and freight Water use Soil, water and air pollution Generation of waste Forest biodiversity Forest resources Employment Wages and salaries Occupational safety and health Education and Training 14.1. Greenhouse gas emissions 14.2. Carbon storage 14.3. Greenhouse gas balance 17.1. Area of forest and other wooded land 17.2. Growing stock 17.3. Balance of net increment and annual fellings
Sustainability indicators are linked to all production processes
= a production process in a selected FWC = production processes in optional FWCs
Forest Resources Management Forest Resources Management A production process
S t a g e s
Forest to Industry Interactions Forest to Industry Interactions Industrial Processing and Manufacturing Industrial Processing and Manufacturing Industry to consumer interactions Industry to consumer interactions
Options R e
y c l i n g E n d
i f e
FWC is a chain of processes
M2 M2 A production process
S t a g e s
M3 M3 M4 M4 M5 M5
Re-cycling End-of- life
1. Take indicator value per unit of reference flow 2. Multiply with material flow through a process 3. = sustainability indicator value for the process
0,2 person hours/ m³/sawing A x 10 m³ = 2 person hours 0,4 person hours/ m³/sawing B x 10 m³ = 4 person hours
Employment (ID 003895) TOTAL 3 4 11 3 2 1
M2 M2 A production process
S t a g e s
M3 M3 M4 M4 M5 M5
Re-cycling End-of- life
42.5 person hours 50 person hours
1) Production of pellets – used in single family homes
Source: Vapo Source: Vapo Source: Vapo Source: Vapo
2) Chipping of biomass – used in single family home via district heating
Jouko Parviainen, Josek Oy Source:Vapo
Based on:
a certain land area (1803 ha)
P Chain P&C Chain
increase in %
318 737 595 078
87
5 604 318 1 6491 609
194
0,99 2,18
120
63 126
101
5 382
n.a.
9.1 transport distance 272 416 363 846
34
9.2 freight transported 1 679 2 822
68
10.1 energy use 1 942 126 2 348 295
21
10.2 heat generation 6 404 935 20 725 555
224
Indicator
Unit euro MJ person a tons CO2 eqv. kg tkm tons MJ MJ
I will become a nice table... ...in my earlier lives I had
I used to live in Northern Sweden... We grew up
from here... I will be read in downtown London!
”forest-defined” ”product-defined” ”industry-defined”