Survey Conducted March 9-14, 2016 220-4366
Methodology 600 telephone interviews with likely November 2016 voters in San Juan Unified School District Interviews conducted March 9-14, 2016 Interviews in English and Spanish, and on landlines and cell phones Margin of sampling error of +/- 4.0% at the 95% confidence level Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding 1
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Nearly eight in ten are familiar with the school district. Are you familiar with the San Juan Unified School District? DK/NA Yes, very 2% familiar 44% Total No Yes 19% Yes, somewhat 79% familiar 35% 3
Significant percentages need more information about local schools’ performance. I am going to read you a list of organizations and individuals. Please tell me if you think the organization or individual is doing an excellent job, a pretty good job, only a fair job, or a poor job. Excellent/ Excellent Pretty Good Only Fair Poor NHO/DK/NA Pretty Good The San Juan Unified School District 42% 7% 34% 23% 13% 23% 41% Your neighborhood school 9% 33% 17% 11% 31% The San Juan Unified School District 24% 21% 19% 12% 44% Board of Trustees 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 4
Two-thirds think the school district is in need of additional funding. Generally speaking, would you say that the San Juan Unified School District has a great need for additional funding, some need, a little need, or no real need for additional funding? Great/ Great need 37% Some Need Some need 29% 66% Little/ Little need 7% No Real Need No real need 11% 18% Don't know/NA 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5
Respondents agree that San Juan USD schools are safe, but believe schools are in need of repair. Total Strng. Agr. Smwt. Agr. Smwt. Disagr. Strng. Disagr. DK/NA Agree Gangs and drugs are problems in our local schools. 62% 37% 26% 10% 8% 19% My neighborhood schools are aging, deteriorating, 61% 35% 26% 12% 11% 16% run down, and in need of repair. District funds are not shared equally among our 47% 32% 16% 9% 39% 5% neighborhood schools. San Juan public schools are safe for students. 69% 29% 40% 8% 17% 6% District funds are distributed equally so that all students have equal access to computers, science 44% 26% 18% 8% 18% 29% labs, and libraries. Our schools and classrooms lack access to 46% 25% 21% 15% 12% 26% up-to-date technology. The San Juan Unified School District has a difficult 39% 21% 17% 19% 15% 27% time attracting and retaining quality teachers. San Juan Unified School District has passed a bond 15% 12% 62% 26% 7% 6% measure within the past few years. San Juan Unified School District finances are 34% 12% 22% 10% 20% 35% generally well-managed. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Here is a list of statements about your local schools. After I read each one, please tell me if you agree or disagree. 6
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Conceptual Ballot Question Tested SAN JUAN UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT CLASSROOM REPAIR/STUDENT SAFETY MEASURE. To repair/upgrade all schools by repairing aging classrooms, leaky roofs, electrical wiring and deteriorating restrooms/plumbing; upgrading classroom technology, math/science/computer labs, fire safety/security systems; removing asbestos/lead paint; and repairing, constructing, and acquiring educational facilities/equipment, shall the San Juan Unified School District issue $600 million in bonds at legal rates, requiring independent financial audits, citizens’ oversight, no money for administrators’ salaries and pensions and keeping all funds local? If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 8
Seventy percent of voters support a 55% requirement bond of up to $600M. If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? Definitely yes 42% Total Probably yes 24% Yes 70% Undecided, lean yes 4% Undecided, lean no 2% Total Probably no No 7% 23% Definitely no 14% Undecided 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 9
The bond carries across genders. Initial Support by Gender Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% Men Women (% of Sample) (48%) (52%) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 10
The bond carries among all age groups. Initial Support by Age Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ (% of Sample) (9%) (11%) (14%) (32%) (17%) (16%) (34%) (66%) (34%) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 11
The bond receives bipartisan support. Initial Support by Party Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% Democrats Independents Republicans (% of (38%) (21%) (41%) Sample) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 12
There is no difference in support among voters who have children and those who do not. Initial Support by Children at Home Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% Yes No/DK/NA (% of Sample) (24%) (76%) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 13
Support is strong among those with children in San Juan USD schools and those with kids in other schools. Initial Support by School Attendance Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% San Juan USD San Juan USD San Juan USD Total San Juan USD Other/DK/NA/ Elementary School Middle School High School Refused (% of Sample) (12%) (5%) (8%) (18%) (8%) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 14
The measure receives strong support across all ethnicities. Initial Support by Ethnicity Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% Latinos Whites Voters of Color (% of (7%) (79%) (16%) Sample) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 15
The measure receives strong support across all geographic lines. Initial Support by City Total Yes Total No Undecided 55% 0% Citrus Heights Sacramento/Folsom Unincorporated (% of (22%) (3%) (75%) Sample) If the vote on this measure were held today, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? 16
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Respondents support a potential $600M bond at higher rates than lower bond amounts. If the San Juan Unified School District bond measure that I just described to you was for _________, would you vote yes in favor of it, or no to oppose it? Total Total Def. Yes Prob./Und., Lean Yes Prob./Und., Lean No Def. No DK/NA Yes No $500 million 67% 26% 41% 25% 9% 16% 7% 65% 27% $400 million 41% 24% 10% 16% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 18
Teacher retention, high quality education, asbestos and lead paint removal, and leaky roof repairs are the most important funding priorities. Ext./Very Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt. DK/NA Impt. Retaining and attracting high-quality teachers 83% 43% 40% 9% 5% Repairing leaky roofs 83% 40% 43% 12% Improving education for all students 83% 40% 43% 11% Removing asbestos and lead paint 74% 40% 35% 11% 12% Repairing aging water pipes and drinking 72% 37% 35% 17% 7% fountains Upgrading fire safety and school security 75% 36% 39% 15% 7% systems Requiring all funds stay local 75% 36% 39% 12% 7% 6% Requiring annual, independent financial audits 32% 41% 18% 73% 5% Repairing electrical wiring and Internet wiring 71% 32% 39% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% I am going to read you a list of types of projects…. Please tell me how important each is to you: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. 19
Repairing plumbing and upgrading fire safety are also of high importance. Ext./Very Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt. DK/NA Impt. Repairing plumbing 32% 39% 18% 72% 6% Upgrading fire safety systems 31% 40% 15% 8% 72% 6% Repairing aging classrooms 31% 35% 22% 10% 66% Repairing deteriorating restrooms 69% 30% 40% 18% 8% Upgrading math, science, and computer labs 30% 40% 18% 70% 5% 6% Improving vocational and career education 30% 38% 24% 68% classrooms Upgrading classroom technology 30% 32% 24% 9% 62% 5% Providing no money for administrators’ salaries 30% 26% 18% 18% 8% 57% or pensions Upgrading heating and air conditioning systems 65% 28% 37% 21% 10% 5% Ensuring all schools and classrooms meet 60% 28% 32% 26% 9% 5% California earthquake standards 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% I am going to read you a list of types of projects…. Please tell me how important each is to you: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. Split Sample 20
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