Structure of the Brokerage Industry Mr. Andrew Sheng Chairman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Structure of the Brokerage Industry Mr. Andrew Sheng Chairman - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Hong Kong Institute of Bankers Structure of the Brokerage Industry Mr. Andrew Sheng Chairman Securities and Futures Commission 13 November 2002 The Brokerage Industry Worldwide trend consolidation Two-tier structure world class


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Hong Kong Institute of Bankers

Structure of the Brokerage Industry

  • Mr. Andrew Sheng

Chairman Securities and Futures Commission 13 November 2002

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The Brokerage Industry

Worldwide trend – consolidation

Two-tier structure – world class international brokers as well as small local brokers

Well capitalized industry

Business model challenged by banks and e- brokers

Strategies taken for the industry and the need to gear up

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1.0 3.3 1.6 2.4

2.6 5.7

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2000 2001 Wholesale brokers Retail brokers

Source: Estimates of McKinsey and JP Morgan

Profits for brokerage industries in UK, France, Germany and Italy (Euro bn)

  • 58%
  • 51%
  • 54%

Consolidation is happening – Europe

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Consolidation is happening – Worldwide and Local

300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Source: NYSE

Number of SEHK Participants

500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Sep

Number of NYSE Members

Source: HKEx

300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Source: NYSE

Number of SEHK Participants

500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Sep

Number of NYSE Members

Source: HKEx

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Number of brokers in major markets

(US$ bn, end 2001)

  • No. of exchange Market Avg market turnover

participants turnover per exchange

participant

HKEx 495 241 0.5 NYSE 365 10,489 29 LSE 258 4,551 18 TSE 114 1,661 15 ASX 93 244 2.6 SGX 34 72 2.1

Remark: The number of exchange participants in Hong Kong here only includes those who report to the FRR, and does not include those who have ceased (or indicated to cease) business or those who have not commenced business. Sources: Websites of various exchanges and broker associations

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HK’s Brokerage industry is a two-tier structure (end Aug 2002)

Cat A Cat B Cat C Total Number of Exchange Participants 14 51 418 483 Market Share in Turnover (Aug 2002, %) 53% 30% 17% 100% Average Turnover (12 months ending Aug 2002, HK$ bn) 120 21 1.7 7.2 Average Number of Clients 779 4,437 583 996 Shareholders’ funds / total assets (%) 31% 33% 63% 43%

large international brokers (mainly Cat A + some Cat B brokers) and local small retail brokers (mainly Cat C brokers)

Remark: The number of exchange participants here only includes those who report the FRR, and does not include those who have ceased (or indicated to cease) business or those who have not commenced business. Source: SFC, FRR Returns

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Shareholders’ Funds Remain Stable

Shareholders’ funds / total assets (period end, %) Cat A Cat B Cat C Total Aug 2002 31% 33% 63% 43% Jun 2002 28% 29% 59% 39% Mar 2002 28% 32% 60% 41% Dec 2001 35% 36% 63% 47%

Remark: The number of exchange participants here only includes those who report to the FRR, and does not include those who have ceased (or indicated to cease) business or those who have not commenced business. Source: SFC, FRR Returns

Shareholders’ Funds to Total Assets ratio maintained largely at 40+% for the industry

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Market Turnover – HK$6-8 bn daily except during peak periods

15.5 6.9 7.8 12.3 8.0 7.0 5.7 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 (1-9)

Source: HKEx

Average Daily Turnover (HK$ bn)

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Turnover of HSI constituent stocks – very stable in volume terms

2.9 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.4 3.1 2.7 2.7 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.1 3.3 2.2 1.6 2.2 1.8 1.8 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 3.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2000 Q1 2000 Q2 2000 Q3 2000 Q4 2001 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2002 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 HSI constituent stocks Mainland enterprise stocks Other stocks

Remark: HSI constituent stocks do not include those which are also Mainland enterprise stocks. Source: SFC Research Paper No. 1, “Turnover Behaviour of the Hong Kong Stock Market”, SFC website

Average Daily Turnover at constant prices (HK$ bn)

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Commission Income – relatively stable for Category A Brokers

80 130 180 230 280 330 380 430 480 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Category A Category B Category C

Source: SFC, FRR Returns

Net Commission Income (HK$ mn)

80 130 180 230 280 330 380 430 480 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Category A Category B Category C

Source: SFC, FRR Returns

Net Commission Income (HK$ mn)

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Operating Costs are on the Downtrend, but slower than commission income

Source: SFC, FRR Returns

Recurring Overheads (HK$ mn)

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Category A Category B Category C

Source: SFC, FRR Returns

Recurring Overheads (HK$ mn)

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Category A Category B Category C

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Changing market share

32% 39% 28% 42% 47% 53% 33% 32% 31% 32% 32% 30% 30% 30% 40% 27% 23% 17% 32% 36% 35%

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Aug-02 Category A Category B Category C

Source: HKEx

Average Daily Turnover at constant prices (HK$ bn)

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Institutional trading’s share is rising

Overseas individual trading 3% Principal trading 4%

Local individual trading 36%

Local institutional trading 19% Overseas institutional trading 38%

Remark: Figures in parentheses are 1999/2000 Source: HKEX, Cash Market Transaction Survey 2000/2001

 Local individual trading: 49% in 1999/2000 fell to

36% in 2000/2001

(28%)

(49%)

(18%) (2%) (3%)

Market Share in Turnover by Investor Type (%)

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Retail market share changing

54% 56% 40% 27% 39% 30% 49% 3% 5% 10% 10% 69% 4% 1% 2% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1992 1994 1997 2001 Brokers only Banks only Both brokers and banks Others

Remark: Others refer mainly to stock trading through family members or friends Source: HKEX, Retail Investor Survey 2001

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15 25% 21% 49% 72% 58% 10% 2% 21% 40% 0% 2% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Existing stock investors New stock investors Online traders Brokers only Banks only Both brokers and banks Others

e-Brokers’ market share

In 2001 :

Remark: Others refer mainly to stock trading through family members or friends Source: HKEX, Retail Investor Survey 2001

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Risks in the Brokerage Industry

Financial risks arising from margin financing – pooling and accepting less liquid stocks

At end Aug 2002, 255 brokers (including securities dealers and margin financiers) engaged in margin financing with total margin loans amounting to $13.1 bn and collateral accepted totaling $44.6 bn. Of these, $10.9 bn worth of margin clients’ collateral was re- pledged to obtain bank loans of $1.8 bn

Because of pooling, margin clients may have difficulty to recover their securities from the banks in event of broker failure [non-borrowing and low-borrowing margin clients are more exposed]

Some brokers may accept less liquid stocks as collateral

Lack of widespread use of IP accounts → structural exposure to broker risks

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SFC Strategies for the Industry

Operational strategies – Risk-based regulatory framework

Legislative strategies – FRR changes (effective 1 Oct 2002)

  • to address the illiquid stock problem
  • to avoid excessive borrowing by re-pledging margin clients’

stock collateral

Establishing a Working Group (comprising the industry, academics and professional bodies) to rationalize the capital and financial requirements

Imposing licensing conditions on risky brokers

Proposing to extend the broker fidelity insurance to all securities dealers and margin financiers under the SFO

Investor and broker education

  • Through media, outreach programs and other channels like

District Council Offices and the Consumer Council

  • Alert investors and brokers to the risks in margin financing and

pooling

Maintaining Dialogue with the Industry

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Working closely with the Industry

Third party clearing to transfer clearing risks to specialist brokers with clearing capacity

  • HKEx is working on the technology and rule changes
  • Consultation paper issued in Jul 2002
  • Brokers could better utilize their regulatory capital

Some stockbrokers may diversify to other areas such as futures broking and financial planning

IP accounts

  • Need to allow investors direct control over their

shareholdings through IP accounts

  • Massive investor education needed

Margin finance risk would be reduced through regulatory and capital requirements to

  • Align margin finance practice with international standards, or
  • Shift margin finance to those who can manage credit risk

better

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The SFC continuously working with the HKMA in areas such as the Securities and Futures Ordinance (SFO) and the relevant subsidiary legislation

The Guidelines “Hong Kong Approach to Corporate Difficulties”, issued by the HKAB in Nov 1999, set out the basic principles to deal with corporate difficulties

This is applicable to the brokerage industry, and all banks are expected to comply with this approach to deal with brokers’ financial difficulties

Banks are advised to review the existing legal documentation between banks and brokers regarding re- pledging margin clients’ collateral to reflect the new regulatory framework under the SFO and relevant court judgements on broker failures such as CA Pacific

Cooperation with Banks and the HKMA

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Securities, asset management and banking industry convergence a matter of time

Smaller brokers are concerned about level playing field between banks and the brokerage sector

SFC and HKMA working closely to ensure that regulatory approach is even-handed

Great opportunities for banks and brokers to work together to improve the overall quality of service to the investor community

There is symbiotic relationship between banks and brokers – in all markets, retail brokers have worked closely with banks in improving retail service – many have moved to become boutique financial planners, working with financial supermarkets that provide the custody and payment services

Industry Convergence

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Thank You Very Much