Strictly Private & Confidential
Feb, 2017
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Strictly Private & Confidential 0 Feb, 2017 Strictly Private & Confidential 1 Feb, 2017 Disclaimer The provision herein does not constitute legal advice or investment opinions of any kind, neither is it intended as an offer,
Strictly Private & Confidential
Feb, 2017
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Strictly Private & Confidential
Feb, 2017
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The provision herein does not constitute legal advice or investment opinions of any kind, neither is it intended as an offer, solicitation for Carabao Group PCL. (“CBG” or “The Group”). The information presented within this material is intended to indicate the Group’s operational and financial position at a given period of time and to be used, downloaded, and distributed for analyst briefings, and general meetings with CBG, and to be used for educational material in order to understand CBG’s operation only. The Group makes no representation that all information is complete and accurate for the purpose of producing a projection of CBG’s operations, performance, or financial position and may be susceptible to uncertainty and important changes based on political, economic, strategic, and other such uncontrollable factors. Forward looking statements in this presentation are based on the management’s assumption in light
information currently available and
as well as the aforementioned/unmentioned risks and uncertainties. CBG’s actual results may vary materially from those expressed or implied in its forward-looking statements, and no assurance is made as to whether such future events will occur. The Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising directly or indirectly from the use or endorsement of any information contained herein by any users and/or third parties. 1
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Financial
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Business Update
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M-150
Source: Nielsen energy drink market report, December 2016 ("Nielsen Report")
78% 84% 84% 90% 91% 95% 95% 95% 96% 96%
Selling Distribution (Coverage) Selling Distribution (Coverage) Carabaodang
31.0% 31.4% 30.7% 32.0% 30.9% 32.6% 32.6% 33.1% 33.1% 32.6% 33.0%
33.4%
32.8% 32.5% 33.3% 32.9% 33.0% 31.8% 31.6% 31.4% 30.6% 31.0% 31.5%
31.7%
JAN16 FEB16 MAR16 APR16 MAY16 JUN16 JUL16 AUG16 SEP16 OCT16 NOV16 DEC16
Number 1 in Central region since June’ 16
35.40% of the Thai traditional trade channel CBG’s contribution by region 4
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6,863 7,448 7,753 9,965 2,076 2,858 2,102 2,316 2,689 2,858 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 4Q15 4Q16 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 (Baht mil)
BREAKDOWN OF DOMESTIC AND EXPORT SALES BREAKDOWN BY SALE CHANNEL OF DOMESTIC SALES
3YR CARG +13.4%
72% 71% 66% 28% 29% 34% FY14 FY15 FY16 70% 64% 30% 36% 4Q15 4Q16
EXP DOM
+37.6% +6.28% +28.5%
Key growth contributors
New Products
from Cambodia & Afghanistan
20.6% 5,477 6,603
24% 22%
73% 63%
2% 15%
FY15 FY16 TT(CV) TT(Agent) MT
5
7
90.7% 3.7% 5.5%
91.1%
2.1% 3rd parties 3.1%
2.2%
1.5%
FY2016 DOMESTIC
SALES
5,358 5,477 6,603 1,453 1,820 1,387 1,546 1,850 1,820 FY14 FY15 FY16 4Q15 4Q16 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 +25.2%
+20.5% 2,094 2,276 3,362 624 1,038 717 769 838 1,038 FY14 FY15 FY16 4Q15 4Q16 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 +66.3% +23.86% +47.7%
(Bath Mill)
FY2016 OVERSEAS
SALES
Annual domestic sales growth is attributed to the following:
respectively
Coffee collectively amounted to THB 238mn in sales 6
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Cambodia
CLMV GROWTH YoY
1,315 1,868 2,526 FY14 FY15 FY16 Cambodia 62% Afghanistan 14% Myanmar 8% Vietnam 5% Yemen 5% UK 2%
Baht Mil FY14 FY15 FY16 %YOY 4Q15 4Q16 %YoY Cambodia 1,006 1,547 2,074 34% 461 599 30% Myanmar 243 223 279 25% 40 100 150% Vietnam 66 98 173 77% 22 68 209% Yemen 169 167 202 21% 42 70 67% Afghanistan 531 164 481 193% 44 160 264% United Kingdom 62 100% 21 100% Others 76 77 91 18% 15 20 33% Total 2,091 2,276 3,362 48% 624 1,038 66%
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33.30% 38.80% 37.30% 38.60% 34.76% 34.70% 32.40% 33.20% 32.70% 32.5% FY14 FY15 FY16 4Q15 4Q16
Domestic Export
33.7% 36.9% 35.90% 36.80% 33.9%
TOTAL
Carabao &Start Plus : 38% Remaining:15%
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Unit: THB million 2015 2016 FY2016 FY2016 4Q15 4Q16 4Q16 4Q16 %sales YoY %sales YoY
Revenue from sales 7,753 9,965 100.0% 28.5% 2,076 2,859 100.0% 37.7% Costs of goods sold 4,893 6,388 64.1% 30.6% 1,312 1,889 66.1% 44.0% Gross profits 2,860 3,577 35.9% 25.1% 764 969 33.9% 26.8% Selling expenses 1,120 1,484 14.9% 32.5% 359 521 18.2% 45.1% G&A expenses 360 510 5.1% 41.7% 104 170 5.9% 63.5% Operating profits 1,380 1,583 15.9% 14.7% 301 278 9.7%
Other incomes 121 147 1.5% 21.5% 30 27 0.9%
Other expenses 35 42 0.4% 20.0%
1.5% 42.0% EBIT 1,466 1,686 16.9% 15.0% 331 261 9.1% -21.1% EBITDA 1,702 1,912 19.2% 12.3% 391 316 11.1%
Interest expenses 2 4 0.0% 80.0% 1 2 0.1% 60.0% EBT 1,465 1,638 16.4% 11.8% 330 215 7.5% -34.8% Income tax expenses 209 278 2.8% 33.0% 42 63 2.2% 50.0% Net profits for the period 1,256 1,404 14.1% 11.8% 288 196 6.9%
1,256 1,490 14.95% 18.6% 288 281 10%
Non-Controlling interest in 2016 -85 THB million ,-1% Sales for FY2016
Equity Holder of the Company
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ASSETS Dec-15 Dec-16 Change LIABILITIES Dec-15 Dec-16 Change Current Assets Current Liabilities Cash, Cash Equivalents 1,377 745 (632) Bank overdrafts&short-term loans from financial institutions
750 Current Investments 473 604 131 Trade and other payable 802 1,302 500 Trade and other receivable 425 562 137 Other Current Liabilities 150 272 122 Inventories 249 433 184 Total Current Liabilities 951 2,324 1373 Other current assets 17 110 93 Total non-current liabilities 77 354 277 Total Current Assets 2,541 2,454 (87) Total Liabilities 1,028 2,678 1650 Non-Current Assets SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Long-term Investment
1,000 1,000
108 104 (4) Premium on shares 3,963 3,963
4,667 6,626 1,959 Retained earnings 938 1,477 539 Intangible Assets 16 15 (1) Other components of shareholders' equity 432 432
25 34 9 Equity attributable to owners of the Company 6,333 6,873 540 Other non-current assets 4 8 4 Non-controlling interests of the subsidiary
226 Goodwill
536 Total Non-Current Assets 4,820 7,323 2,503 Total shareholders' equity 6,333 7,099 766 Total Assets 7,361 9,778 2,417 Total liabilities and Equity 7,361 9,778 2,417
STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
Unit THB million
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Products Carabao Energy Drink (Original) Carabao Energy Drink (Original Export) Carabao Carbonated Carabao Ginseng Edition Carabao Carbonated (Original) Carabao Carbonated (Sugar Free) Carabao Carbonated (Green Apple) Descriptions
amber glass bottle
d + B12
aluminum can
B12
aluminum can
Multivitamins
aluminum can
Multivitamins
Extract
aluminum can
Multivitamins
(1:4)
aluminum can
Multivitamins
aluminum can
Multivitamins
Flavour Markets Domestic (mainly) Export Only Export in Asia First market: Afghanistan First market: UK First market: UK First market: UK Launch Date October 2001 2004 May 2015 February 2016 April 2016 August 2016 October 2016 Retail Selling Price 10 THB (domestic) Differ in various countries 2,000 Riel (17 Baht) Differ in various countries 1.19 GBP 1.19 GBP 1.19 GBP
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Products Start Plus Carabao Drinking Water Carabao Coffee (Rich Aroma) Carabao Coffee (Espresso) Carabao Coffee (Robusta) Carabao Coffee (Espresso) Descriptions
glass bottle
& vitamins
caffeine)
600ml & 1200ml
production
through Cash Vans Channel
1 pack
production
through Cash Vans Cannel and Tesco
1 pack
production
through Cash Vans Cannel and Tesco
production
through Cash Vans Channel, BigC and 7- Eleven
production
through Cash Vans Channel, BigC and 7-Eleven
Domestic Market Launch Date May 2014 February 2016 July 2016 November 2016 Retail Selling Price 10 THB 7 & 12 THB 85 THB 10 THB
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Products Seaweed Dish Washing Liquid Peanuts Fish Snacks Toothbrush Razor Juice Retail Selling Price (THB) 5 10 5 5 10 10 10 Launch Date November 2015 April 2016 June 2016 July 2016 Products Fabric Softener Squid Snacks Cigarettes (10Skus)1 Toilet Cleaner Tissue Detergent Retail Selling Price (THB) 10 5 40 - 86 25 5 10 Launch Date August 2016 September 2016 October 2016 December 2016
RD Party Products in Cash Vans
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15 15
14
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12 7 DCs 8 DCs 3 DCs
W
4 DCs 2 DCs 6 DCs
Target reached since October 2016: 30 DCs with 337 Vans, covering approx. 320,000 retailers nationwide % contribution of Branded products
by our branded products
70% 19% 7% 4% Total Carabao Coffee Drinking Water StartPlus 70% 30% Total Branded Product 3rd Paties
% contribution of total CV sales
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Retails/MT 50%
3,000 POS in 2Q2017
with new MT accounts
MT and TT account for 60% and 40% respectively of the market
approximately
Cash Vans
MT accounts expected in 2Q2017
Cash & Carry/TT 50%
Enlarge fleet of cash vans to 45-50 units in the short term
Develop promotional tools to push forwards sales continuously TT accounts at the present 18
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Extended reach to the Greater China region through a JV arrangement with a group
Items Descriptions Project
Size of investment
Description
Carabao trademark and/or other trademarks to be developed or acquired by the JV companies
Macau and Taiwan Source of fund
Indicative timetable
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24 24
4
23
Billion USD
25 25
4
24
26 26
25
27 27
4
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28 28
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country as "o País do Futebol " ("the country of football")
club in South America
Carabao Brand successful launched partnership with Flamengo F.C. in January 2017 Local distributor is responsible for the sponsorship with the Flamengo football club.
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Red bull 43% Ambev 10% Globalbev 5% Monster 4% Coca-Cola 10% Pretropolis 8% Others 20%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Total Consumption (Million Litre )
Brazil Consumption of Energy Drinks
*Source: Euromonitor Oct 2016
Market Share% (2015)
210m
Population
130m
Litres
1.6bn
Euro
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Construct a brand new factory to boost capacities in anticipation of increasing demands for energy drinks in bottle format
Items Descriptions Project
Size of investment
Description
covering approx 15 rais of land plot to accommodate up to 10 bottle filling machines
with each being capable of 1,000 bottles per minute or 24 million bottles per month, with option to relocate 5 existing lines from the Bang-bor site
reach 1,535 million bottles per year Source of fund
<THB 1,500mn from commercial bank(s) Indicative timetable
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Items Descriptions Project
Size of investment
Description
petrochemicals, chemicals, aluminum, electronics and battery with international footprints in Asia, Europe and North America
aluminum cans for packaging purpose with installed capacity of 1,000 cans p.a. in the initial phase
future expansions
and costs more effectively Source of fund
Indicative timetable
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CBG and SHOWA jointly invest and establish a factory of aluminum cans for packaging purpose
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Increasing production capacity for amber glass bottle in
Production Capacity : 650 mn bottles/annum Production starts : 4Q2017
APG FURNACE 2 –30 % PROGRESS CAN FILLING FACTORY – Test run in February 2017
Increase can filling production capacity (beginning with 2 new lines) to support volume growth of overseas business Production Capacity : 240 mn cans/annum (2 line) Production starts : 1Q2017 32