Start of meeting Approval of the agenda Approval of the minutes - - PDF document

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands Working Group I meeting, 30 June 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Working Group I meeting Chaired by Christian Olesen

13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Start of meeting

• Approval of the agenda
• Approval of the minutes of 30 June 2011

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Herring in IIIa (and 22-24) TACs

• TACs 2011:
• ICES advice 2012:

Management Objective (s) 22-24 IIIa Fleet F Fleet C Fleet D MSY Framework

20.9 26.4 3.4

Fsq*0.5

18.2 22.9 2.9

Fsq*0.59

21.4 27.0 3.4

Fsq*0.7

24.7 31.1 3.9

22-24 IIIa Fleet F Fleet C Fleet D

15.9 30.0 6.7 +31%

• 12%

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Herring in IIIa (and 22-24)

• PRAC recommendation?

– TAC 2012 – LTM plan

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

North Sea herring advice

• TAC 2011 = 200 000 t
• Assumed catch in 2011 = 215 000 t (including

50% transfer from IIIa quota)

• SSB(2011) = 1 714 000 t (above Bpa, above

Btrig)

Management Objective (s) Landings in 2012 SSB in 2012 LTM plan (which invokes the 15% limit on TAC change) 230 kt 2013 kt The EU–Norway Harvest Control Rule as implemented within the management plan (no restriction on TAC change); this is also the

• ption for FMSY and Fpa

478 kt 1845 kt

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

PRAC recommendation 22 July 2011

The PRAC requests that ICES is tasked to investigate a number of options:

– The present LTM plan – “Benchmarking” the 2012 TAC to F = FMSY after which the LTM plan is kept in tact. – The present LTM plan without the 15% IAV constraint. – The present LTM plan but without the exception for the 15% IAV constraint. (i.e. removal of

• par. 6).

– The present LTM plan with alternatives for “TAC-stabilisers”:

• A range of values for the rule (not only 15%) in combination with the choice whether or

not to apply the constraint above as well as below the SSB trigger point (e.g. possible application of the rule only above the trigger point).

• Introducing a different type of TAC-stabiliser similar to what is used for instance in the

LTM plan for Icelandic cod or horse mackerel, i.e. to set the TAC as a weighted average

• f the projected value according to a target F and the previous year’s TAC.

– The present LTM plan with a symmetrical derogation rule to the IAV constraint (new formulation of par. 6) allowing managers to adjust the TAC more then 15% when considered appropriate.

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

EC response

“These options are well constructed, and they merit full consideration.” “My services will contact their Norwegian counterparts and ICES to explore the best working procedures to achieve that goal and discuss the content of a joint EU-Norway request to ICES for the evaluations. They will also keep in direct and informal contact with yourselves in order to ensure your full involvement in this process.

• Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

North Sea herring

• PRAC recommendation?

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

West of Scotland herring advice

Management Objective (s) Landings in 2012 ICES advises on the basis of the management Plan No more than 22 900 t ICES advises on the basis of the MSY approach no more than 22 900 t

• TAC 2011 = 22 481 t
• SSB 2011 = 81 000 t
• ICES advises on the basis of the Management

Plan

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

West of Scotland herring

• PRAC recommendation?

– Follow ICES advice to set TAC based on LTM plan, i.e. at 22.9 kt

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

VIaSouth and VIIc,d herring advice

< 4 471 tons ICES advises on the basis of the precautionary approach Management Objective (s) Landings in 2012

• TAC (2011) = 4 471 t
• SSB (2011) = no assessment

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

VIaSouth and VIIc,d herring

• Presentation by Sean O’Donoghue

(see also annex 1)

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

VIaSouth and VIIc,d herring

• PRAC recommendation?

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Celtic Sea herring advice

Management Objective (s) Landings in 2012 ICES advises on the basis of the MSY approach 26 900 t Agreed Rebuilding Plan 21 100 t Proposed Long Term Management plan 17 200 t

• TAC (2011) = 13 200 t
• SSB (2011/2012) = 118 400 t
• ICES advises on the basis of the MSY approach

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Celtic Sea herring

• Presentation by Eibhlin O'Sullivan.

(see also annex 2)

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Celtic Sea herring

• PRAC recommendation?

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Irish Sea herring advice

• TAC (2011) = 5 280 t
• SSB (2011) = no assessment
• ICES advises on the basis of precautionary

considerations

Management Objective (s) Landings in 2012 ICES advises on the basis of precautionary considerations Landings should not increase

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Irish Sea herring

• PRAC recommendation?

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Communication with HAWG

• PRAC communication to HAWG in March 2011:
• Response by HAWG in 2011 report
• Follow-up?

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands Working Group I meeting, 30 June 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

End of Working Group I meeting

Thank you

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

Celtic Sea herring LTM plan?

0,25 F SSB 44 kt Fmsy as identified by ICES Bmsy-trigger when identified by ICES in the future. Bpa for preliminary use.

Working Group I meeting, 13 September 2011, Leiden, The Netherlands

VIaSouth herring LTM plan?

0,25 F SSB 110 kt Fmsy as identified by ICES Bmsy-trigger when identified by ICES in the future. Bpa for preliminary use.