Souther n R esident Killer Whale Wor kgr oup Co -Cha ir, PF - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Agenda Item E.4.a Supplemental SRKW WG Presentation 1 November 2019 Pho to : Ho lly F e a rnb a c h, NOAA Souther n R esident Killer Whale Wor kgr oup Co -Cha ir, PF MC Ad Ho c SRKW Wo rkg ro up Je ro my Jo rding , NOAA s NMF S
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Upda te o n Dra ft Sa lmo n F ishe ry Risk Asse ssme nt
Agenda Item E.4.a Supplemental SRKW WG Presentation 1 November 2019
Co -Cha ir, PF MC Ad Ho c SRKW Wo rkg ro up Je ro my Jo rding , NOAA’ s NMF S WCR SF D
Pho to : Ho lly F e a rnb a c h, NOAA
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n April 2019 the Co unc il ta ske d a n Ad -Ho c Wo rkg ro up with re a sse ssing the e ffe c ts o f Co unc il-a re a o c e a n sa lmo n fishe rie s o n So uthe rn Re sid e nt K ille r Wha le s a nd po te ntia lly re c o mme nd c o nse rva tio n me a sure (s) o r ma na g e me nt to o l(s), tha t limit Co unc il fishe ry impa c ts
W.
T he Wo rkg ro up inc lude s re pre se nta tive s fro m We st Co a st trib e s; the sta te s o f Ca lifo rnia , Ore g o n, Wa shing to n, a nd I da ho ; the PF MC; a nd NMF S’ We st Co a st Re g io n, No rthwe st F ishe rie s Sc ie nc e Ce nte r, a nd So uthwe st F ishe rie s Sc ie nc e Ce nte r.
T he Wo rkg ro up g a ve its la st upda te a t the Co unc il’ s Se pte mb e r 2019 me e ting
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Pro g re ss to da te
Sinc e the Se pte mb e r Co unc il me e ting the Wo rkg ro up ha s he ld a n a dditio na l two -da y me e ting a nd two we b ina rs to a ddre ss the Co unc il's q ue stio ns fro m the Se pte mb e r me e ting , furthe r its a na lysis, a nd pro g re ss to wa rds fina lizing its risk a sse ssme nt a nd re c o mme nda tio ns. Suppo rting ma te ria ls ha ve b e e n po ste d o nline fo r pub lic disse mina tio n.
https:/ / www.fishe rie s.no a a .g o v/ we st-c o a st/ so uthe rn-re side nt-kille r-wha le s- a nd -fishe rie s-inte ra c tio n-wo rkg ro up
E a c h wo rkg ro up me e ting thus fa r, inc luding we b ina rs, ha s a llo we d fo r multiple pub lic input
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L ink to Se pte mb e r Co unc il me e ting pre se nta tio n:
https:/ / www.pc o unc il.o rg / wp-c o nte nt/ uplo a ds/ 2019/ 09/ F 3a _Sup_NMF S_SRK W_PPT 1_SE PT 2019BB.pd f
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Chapte r 3: SRKW AND CHINOOK SAL MON F ISHE RIE S
Re o rde re d Cha pte r 3 to no w inc lude the summa ry de sc riptio n o f NMF S’ 2009 b io lo g ic a l o pinio n a nd 2019 a sse ssme nt o f fishe rie s impa c ts o n SRKW.
Chapte r 4: PF MC Salmon F ishe r ie s De sc r iption
Cha pte r 4 no w ha s e le me nts c a pturing pa st pe rfo rma nc e
MP fro m 1992 thro ug h 2016, inc luding g ra phs o f Chino o k sa lmo n a b unda nc e a nd ha rve st.
Chapte r 5: Risk Asse ssme nt
Cha pte r 5 ha s a full de sc riptio n o f me tho do lo g y, a lo ng with a ppe ndic e s whic h:
stima te re duc tio ns in Chino o k sa lmo n a b unda nc e b y time a nd a re a tha t a re a ttrib uta b le to Co unc il-a re a
stima te the c ha ng e s in pre dic te d vita l SRKW ra te s using the fitte d sta tistic a l re la tio nships pre dic t fo r Chino o k sa lmo n a b unda nc e s with a nd witho ut the re duc tio ns in a b unda nc e e stima te d fro m Co unc il- a re a o c e a n sa lmo n fishe rie s
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Chapte r 5: Risk Asse ssme nt
a s ha d pre vio usly b e e n do ne o nly fo r fe c undity. T he de c isio n to c o nside r this te mpo ra l la g wa s b a se d o n linking fo o d supply to future pe rfo rma nc e , a nd wa s a lso a dde d to a c c o unt fo r so me unc e rta inty in the timing o f SRKW mo rta lity e ve nts. T his a ppro a c h is c o nsiste nt with the me tho ds use d a nd re vie we d during b ila te ra l NMF S – DF O wo rksho ps in 2011-2012.
W de mo g ra phic pe rfo rma nc e wa s a lso pe rfo rme d. T his c luste ring wa s do ne inde pe nde nt o f Chino o k sa lmo n a b unda nc e , a nd ma y b e use ful in ide ntifying pa st pe rio ds o f g re a te r o r le sse r risk fo r the SRKW po pula tio n.
fishe ry e ffe c ts b y the sa me stra tific a tio ns de ve lo pe d a nd de sc rib e d a b o ve .
he Wo rkg ro up sub mitte d o ur me tho do lo g y a nd ma te ria ls use d to da te fo r re vie w b y the Sc ie ntific a nd Sta tistic a l Co mmitte e (SSC). T his will a llo w the SSC time to c o nside r o ur a ppro a c h a nd pro vide c o mme nts to the Co unc il he re a t the No ve mb e r me e ting .
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: ne w
ishe ry Re duc tio n de ta ils
Pho to b y J. Ko e ppe n F / V L ulu
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Dur ing the last 6 months
Wo rkg ro up ha s:
DPS
SRKW a nd Chino o k sa lmo n fishe ry inte ra c tio ns
F MP o pe ra te s
a b unda nc e a g g re g a te s o f Chino o k sa lmo n in spe c ific a re a s o f the o c e a n b a se d o n distrib utio ns infe rre d fro m the mo st re c e nt mo de ling e ffo rts (She lto n e t a l. 2019), a c ro ss thre e time ste ps to e xa mine po te ntia l re la tio nships to SRK W de mo g ra phic c rite ria
xa mine SRK W de mo g ra phic pe rfo rma nc e to ide ntify pa st pe rio ds o f g re a te r o r le sse r risk fo r the SRKW po pula tio n
L e ft to do
a g e ne ra l de sc riptio n o f Co unc il o c e a n sa lmo n fishe rie s.
nte g ra te a nd synthe size the info rma tio n into like ly po ssib le e ffe c ts fro m Co unc il sa lmo n fishe rie s o n SRKW a nd ho w tha t mig ht a ffe c t c urre nt sta tus (a lo ng with inc o rpo ra ting po ssib le re c o mme nda tio ns fro m the SSC).
MP ma na g e me nt me a sure s b a se d o n the I nte g ra tio n a nd Synthe sis o utc o me a s ne e de d. [T he se se c tio ns a re de sc rib e d a s ‘ Pe nding ’ in c urre nt risk a sse ssme nt dra ft]
Pho to b y R. L e ub e rt
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Continue our wor k
T he Wo rkg ro up re c o mme nds c o ntinuing its wo rk po st the 2019 No ve mb e r me e ting , to c o mple te its ta sk to info rm NMF S o n the e ffe c ts o f Co unc il-a re a o c e a n sa lmo n fishe rie s o n the Chino o k sa lmo n pre y b a se o f SRKW in b o th q ua ntita tive a nd q ua lita tive ma nne rs, a nd to po te ntia lly re c o mme nd c o nse rva tio n me a sure (s) o r ma na g e me nt to o l(s), tha t limit the fishe ry’ s impa c ts o n pre y a va ila b ility fo r SRK W. T
No ve mb e r Co unc il me e ting , with the inte nt to c o mple te the a ssig ne d ta sk a nd a llo w time fo r sub mitting its fina l re po rt fo r c o nside ra tio n a t the Ma rc h 2020 Co unc il me e ting . T he da te s a re :
e b rua ry 4, 2020
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Pho to b y Jill / Blue Mo o nb e am Studio
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