SHAKEYS PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC. (PSE: PIZZA) COMPANY PRESENTATION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAKEYS PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC. (PSE: PIZZA) COMPANY PRESENTATION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAKEYS PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC. (PSE: PIZZA) COMPANY PRESENTATION AUGUST 2018 Company Overview FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS SNAPSHOT Shakeys Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. is the Philippines #1 full-service pizza chain with over Revenues (In USD
Company Overview
2 SNAPSHOT
- Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. is the Philippines’ #1 full-service pizza chain with over
60% market share in that category. It is also the single-largest brand of full-service casual dining chain restaurants in the Philippines.*
- A strong and well-established brand thanks to a differentiated menu, iconic and well-loved
products, a distinct store environment, and highly guest-centric service
- Apart from the Philippines, also owns the Shakey’s trademark in perpetuity for the Middle
East, Asia (excluding Japan and Malaysia), China, Australia, and New Zealand. It does not pay any royalties and is instead able to collect from local and international franchisees.
- The Company listed on the Philippine Stock Exchange in 2016 under the trading symbol
- PIZZA. It currently has a market capitalization of c.USD0.4 billion.
- Store Network: 200+ stores across the Philippines – a mix of company-owned and
- franchised. Different store formats including those located in malls and those that are free
standing.
- Key Management: Vicente Gregorio - President & CEO, Manuel del Barrio – VP & CFO,
Jorge Concepcion, Shakey’s Philippines GM, Alois Brielbeck, In-House Commissary GM
*Source: Euromonitor, 2017
Revenues (In USD Mill) 93 98 113 131
148
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 8 9 13 14
16
2014 2015 2016** 2017 2018*
**Based on recurring net income *Consensus of active brokers
Net Income (In USD Mill)
Century Pacific Group 53% GIC Private Equity 18% Public 29% Dine-In 61% Delivery & Others 39% Company- Owned 59% Franchised 41% Metro Manila 46% Luzon (ex-MM) 41% Visayas 9% Mindanao 4%
FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS 2017 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES & STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
The Overall Scenario
Well-positioned to take advantage of the growing foodservice industry
3 9.03 9.52 10.05 10.77 11.52 12.1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
4 F’s in the consumer economy to benefit from strong economic growth
20%
- f a typical middle-income household
budget goes to food consumed
- utside home. This totals more than PHP500 billion
annually, showing a strong propensity to spend.
Source: NSO, Nielsen, Euromonitor, BSP
Furnishings Fashion Food Fun
Restaurants and hotels are growing household consumption sectors The consumer foodservice industry has been growing in recent years
In USD Billions
Full-service pizza chain restaurants show faster growth than the whole full-service restaurant sector
16% vs 5%
CAGR from 2012-2017
Shakey’s has 42 years of strong brand legacy and counting
4
First store in the Philippines
1987
The Prieto family became the master franchisor in the Philippines Acquired Shakey’s trademark for the Philippines in perpetuity Acquired Shakey’s trademark for Middle East, Asia (ex Japan, Malaysia) including China, Australia, and New Zealand in perpetuity First Shakey’s Pizza Parlor opened in Sacramento, California
1999 1999
208
stores by end 2017
2003 2003
Positioned as an American fast casual dining restaurant for families Century Pacific Group (CPGI) and Arran (GIC) acquired control
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
*Source: Euromonitor, 2017
Summary of Investment Highlights
- Multiple sales channels and store formats; simple operations
- Low upfront cost and strong cash generation lead to shorter store-level
payback periods compared to the industry
- Extensive track records in food and restaurant operations
- Entry of Century Pacific Group as strong and committed shareholders
provides synergies with other food businesses
- Well-loved brand with more than 40 years of history in the Philippines
- Iconic products served in a distinct store environment
- No royalty payments, plus additional revenues from franchisings
- Superior profitability and margins versus peers
- Gearing levels improved post-prepayment of debt care of IPO proceeds
- Cash generative with a negative cash conversion cycle
Market Leadership
1 2
Brand Strength & Ownership
3
Scalable Business Model
4
Experienced Management
5
Industry-Leading Financials
- Dominates the full-service pizza chain market with 65%* market share
- 26%* market share in the full-service (pizza and non-pizza) category - #1 in
that space as well
6
7
#1 Full-Service Restaurant in the Philippines
The full-service pizza chain market is dominated by Shakey’s.
Max's 16.4% Pizza Hut 11.8% Kenny Rogers 6.9% Pancake House 5.1% TGI Friday's 2.8% Others 30.7%
26.3%
Full-Service Chain
Latest Euromonitor report states that Shakey’s leads the Philippine chained full-service restaurant industry with 26.3% market share as of 2017.
Pizza Hut 29.0% Papa John's 2.0% Others 4.4%
64.6%
Full-Service Pizza Chain
2017 data shows that Shakey’s dominates the full-service pizza chain market by sales since 2011 until present.
Source: Euromonitor
8
Strong and Well-Established Brand
Shakey’s offers a differentiated menu with iconic and well-loved products. Differentiated menu with iconic products and offerings for all
Pizza World-famous thin crust and hand-tossed pizzas with many different choices Chicken and Mojos Signature dish - fried chicken paired with Shakey’s famous mojos*
*Thinly-sliced potatoes coated with Shakey’s breading and fried to a golden brown perfection
Pasta Hearty pasta with a wide range of sauces and toppings paired with garlic bread Starters Ranging from fries, mojos, squid rings, chips, and chicken Soup Home-style soups loaded with flavor and goodness Salad Extensive choice of salad for health-conscious customers Desserts Wide range of after-meal desserts
Bundled offerings catering to families and groups bring up average checks
9
Strong and Well-Established Brand
Shakey’s offers a beautiful and distinct store environment to every customer and has full control and ownership of its brand. Though originally from the U.S., PIZZA has
- wned the Shakey’s brand for the Philippines
since 1999. With its over 40 year history in the Philippines, Shakey’s is one of the most recognizable brands in the local food service industry.
Source: Asia’s Top 1000 Brands Survey by Campaign Asia, in partnership with Nielsen
Brand ownership means:
- No royalty payments, leading to shorter payback period
and sustainably higher margins versus peers
- Revenue from licensing fees and royalties from
franchisees
- Freedom to execute and react faster to market changes
- Opportunity for expansion into international markets
2018 Philippine Top 100 Restaurant Brands: 1 2 3
10 10
Proven and Scalable Business Model
Multiple sales channels and store formats provide convenience and accessibility to Shakey’s customers and allow for market and expansion flexibility.
Dine-In
- Most popular sales channel due to
unique family and friends experience
- Aim to “WOW” the guest
Delivery
- Delivery available nationwide
- Single delivery hotline number
(#77-777) can be used Carryout
- Convenient and fast method of sales
Functions
- Free standing stores have function
rooms for events such as parties and company gatherings Online Sales
- Active online and mobile presence
with own website and mobile app
- http://www.shakeyspizza.ph
SuperCard
- A very popular paid loyalty card
- PHP499 annual fee
Mall Stores 120 – 250 sqm
52%
Free Standing Stores 300 – 400 sqm
43%
Others 120 – 180 sqm
5%
11 11
Proven and Scalable Business Model
Shakey’s is a well-established brand, while operating on an asset-light model.
Brand Positioning Short Payback Period Asset-Light Approach Vertical Integration
- Benefitting from key consumer trends – eating out more and
upgrading from fast food to casual dining
- Firmly positioned in the fast casual segment (A, B, and upper C
market) that delivers high margins, good volumes, and scale
- Own commissary for proprietary raw materials
protects key supply chain and maintains consistency and control over quality
- Economies of scale and purchasing synergy
- Long-term leases for store locations at attractive
rentals
- Presence of standalone stores (i.e. those
- utside malls) lead to low rent-to-sales ratio
- Business model and strong discipline leads to typical payback
period of 3-4 years
- Low upfront cost and strong cash generation per store
12 12
Experienced Management Team
VISION: to be the PREFERRED and DOMINANT full-service pizza chain restaurant
Vicente Gregorio
President & Chief Executive Officer
- Over 30 years of successful experience in the food business
- Started career in the first ever Shakey’s branch in the Philippines
- Key driver of Shakey’s brand strategy, organization culture, core values, and mission since 2003
- Proven management and leadership track record in foodservice retail set-up, expansion, and turnaround management
Manuel Del Barrio
Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
- Previously Assistant Vice President for
Finance of Century Pacific Food, Inc. (CNPF) and The Pacific Meat Company, Inc.
- Worked in accounting positions at several
leading companies
Jorge Concepcion
Shakey’s Philippines General Manager
- Over 30 years of experience in consumer-
related business
- Significant experience in the U.S.
foodservice industry for about 10 years in numerous managerial positions
Alois Brielbeck
In-House Commissary General Manager
- Over 30 years of experience in the foodservice
business
- Moved to Asia in 1986, taking up positions in
pastry kitchens in Hong Kong and Tokyo
- Moved to the Philippines in 2000 as Chief
Operating Officer for Culinary Systems Specialists Incorporated
- Appointed as Commissary General Manager in
2005
Joseph Remsa
International Development Consultant
- Previously President and CEO of Shakey’s U.S.A.
- Leads the development and operations of the
Shakey’s brands in Asia, Middle East, Australia, and New Zealand
- Over 25 years of experience in leading
- perations and franchising in top-chained
restaurants
1H 2018 FINANCIAL HIGLIGHTS
Financial Results Highlights
2Q 1H
+16% +13% +7% +7% +9% +5%
- 50bps
- 30bps
14 14
1H 2018 Summarized P&L
- System-wide sales growth
improves to 16% as SSSG RECOVERS TO +9% in 2Q18
- New store opening targets
WELL ON TRACK with 9 new stores in 1H18
- EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
and PRUDENT TAX MANAGEMENT cushion drop in net margins
In PHP Mill 1H 2017 1H 2018 Change YoY System-wide Sales 4,062 4,597 13% Total Revenue 3,377 3,690 9% Cost of Sales (2,362) (2,631) 11% Gross Profit 1,016 1,059 4% Operating Expenses (421) (470) 12% EBITDA 676 725 7% EBIT 587 602 3% Income before Tax 502 511 2% Net Income 371 396 7% Earnings per Share 0.24 0.26 7% Margins Gross Profit 30.1% 28.7%
- 1.4 pps
EBITDA 20.0% 19.6%
- 0.4 pps
EBIT 17.4% 16.3%
- 1.1 pps
Net Income 11.0% 10.7%
- 0.3 pps
- PERSISTENT COST PRESSURE
in 2Q18, but margins still above industry average
- Inflationary pressures and peso
depreciation PARTIALLY OFFSET BY PRICE ADJUSTMENTS
15 15
4% 5% 2%
9%
FY16 FY17 1Q18 2Q18
Same-Store Sales Recovers in 2Q18
SSSG
- RECOVERY driven by brand
initiatives to increase traffic:
- 1. Product innovations
- 2. Marketing and promotions
(in-store and delivery)
- 3. Balanced and reasonable
price adjustments
- PRICE INCREASE in latter part
- f 1Q18
8%
5% 3 - 5%
1H17 1H18 FY18 Target
16 16
+4 +5 +11
Target for Balance of Year
Store Network Expansion Remains On Track
4,062
4,597
2,054
2,388
1H17 1H18 2Q17 2Q18 In PHP Mill Historical Store Network Count in the Philippines System-wide Sales
- Store network expansion aligned with strategy to BRING THE SHAKEY'S
EXPERIENCE BEYOND TYPICAL LOCATIONS
- Successful store opening and accelerated SSSG brings 1H18 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES
GROWTH TO +13% +9 +20 +13% +16%
184 208 212 217 228 As of Dec 2016 As of Dec 2017 As of Mar 2018 As of Jun 2018 As of Dec 2018F
17 17
BY GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION
46%
NCR
41%
Luzon ex-NCR
9%
Visayas
4%
Mindanao
*Map colors show % population of the country by region. The darker the color, the higher the % population. Source: Philippine Statistics Authority 2015
BY OWNERSHIP
42%
Franchised
58%
Company-Owned
- Strong brand equity and scalability provide
HIGH GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES outside NCR where there is underpenetration and environment is less competitive
- PARTNERING WITH STRONG LOCALS to
run far-flung provincial operations – a proven effective strategy based on historical experience
217
Stores as of End June 2018 Breakdown of Total Store Network as of End 1H18
18 18
Expanding Nationwide Store Network
18 18
- International franchisee Aljeel Capital
committed to open NINE MORE STORES IN THE UAE in the next five years
- Leveraging on the SIZABLE POPULATION of
Filipinos in the Middle East and their familiarity with the Shakey's brand
19 19
Second International Store Located in the Middle East
Shakey’s Opens First Store in Dubai, UAE
19 19
30.3%
28.6%
2Q17 2Q18 30.1%
28.7%
1H17 1H18
- 160
160 bps
- 140
140 bps
Margin Softening Due to Continued Cost Pressures
- SLIGHT DECLINE IN GROSS
MARGIN due to:
- 1. Continued rise in input costs –
particularly CHEESE - since 2H last year
- 2. Peso depreciation
- 3. Inflationary headwinds on
- ther costs including
packaging, transportation, and store overhead
- Gross margin TRENDING FLAT
SEQUENTIALLY, supported by price increase
- Profitability level still within
comfort range and ABOVE PEER AVERAGE
29.5% 28.8%
28.6%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18 Gross Profit Margin
- 70
70 bps
- 20
20 bps 20 20
Maintained Net Margins Despite Inflationary Headwinds
EBITDA Net Income 20 .1% 19 .5%
19.8%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18
- 60
60 bps +3 +30 bps
- 40
40 bps
10.9% 10.4%
11.1%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18
- 50
50 bps +7 +70 bps
- 30
30 bps
- Total OpEx growth
driven by CRITICAL CAPABILITY- BUILDING INITIATIVES:
- 1. Depreciation
from stores
- 2. New HQ and
commissary expenses
- 3. IT systems and
infrastructure
- Nonetheless,
RECENT COST SAVINGS in A&P and overhead
20.0%
19.6%
1H17 1H18 20.4%
19.8%
2Q17 2Q18
- 60
60 bps
11.0%
10.7%
1H17 1H18 11.6%
11.1%
2Q17 2Q18
- 50
50 bps bps 21 21
Balance Sheet
In PHP Mill 2017 1H 2018 Cash 245 239 Receivables 586 565 Other Current Assets 424 594 Total Current Assets 1,255 1,398 Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,538 1,631 Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,066 Other Non-Current Assets 250 248 Total Non-Current Assets 7,854 7,945 TOTAL ASSETS 9,109 9,343 In PHP Mill 2017 1H 2018 Trade Payable and Others 1,065 925 Short-Term Debt 48 48 Total Current Liabilities 1,113 973 Long-Term Debt 3,885 3,860 Other Non-Current Liabilities 137 138 Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,022 3,999 TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,135 4,972 TOTAL EQUITY 3,974 4,370 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,109 9,343
- Increase in working capital mainly due to
HIGHER INVENTORY to lock in cheese requirements at favorable prices
- Elevated PPE to support
ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH and OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES
- Decline in trade payables versus end
2017 due to SEASONALITY and PROCESS STREAMLINING
- Long-term loan of PHP3.9 billion all
PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
22 22
Ratios
Net Debt-to-Equity (x) Net Gearing (x) Net Debt-to-EBITDA (x) Return on Equity 1.23
1.08
2017 1H 2018 0.93
0.84
2017 1H 2018 3.48
3.25
2017 1H 2018 21%
20%
2017 1H 2018
23 23
Uses trailing 12-month EBITDA (Interest-Bearing Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity Uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity (Total Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
- COMFORTABLE
GEARING RATIOS despite elevated debt
- Company’s only
interest-bearing debt is the PESO- DENOMINATED ACQUISITION LOAN USED IN THE CHANGE OF MAJORITY SHAREHOLDERS in 2016
- MAINTAINED
ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 20%
Cash Flow
In PHP Mill 1H 2017 1H 2018 Income before Income Tax 502 511 Depreciation and Amortization 89 123 Interest Expense 85 91 Changes in Working Capital (111) (272) Others (147) (109) Net Operating Cash Flow 419 344 Capital Expenditures (413) (216) Redemption of AFS Investments and Others 1,084 (16) Net Investing Cash Flow 671 (232) Proceeds from (Payment of) Loan (1,025) (25) Others (247) (95) Net Financing Cash Flow (1,272) (120) Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 2 Beginning Cash 329 245 Change in Cash (182) (6) Ending Cash 146 239 Free Cash Flow 5 128 24 24
- Higher depreciation due
to STORE NETWORK and HEAD OFFICE AND COMMISSARY EXPANSION
- Increase in working capital
driven by HIGHER RAW MATERIAL INVENTORY and STREAMLINING OF TRADE PAYABLES
- CapEx primarily for NEW
STORE OPENINGS and IT INVESTMENTS
- MAINTAINED POSITIVE
FREE CASH FLOW supports payment of interest and dividends
Cash Conversion Cycle
362
501
27
35
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY17 1H18 days
₱ Mns
1,005
867
74
61
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY17 1Q18 days
₱ Mns
586
565
31
28
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY17 1H18 days
₱ Mns
(57)
199
(16)
2
(60) (40) (20)
- 20
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 (60) (40) (20)
- 20
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
FY17 1H18
days ₱ Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
25 25
- Increase in cash
conversion cycle relative to end 2017 to +2 DAYS
- Elevated inventory level following the ADVANCED PURCHASE
OF CHEESE
- Shortened payable days versus year end due to SEASONALITY
IN PAYMENTS, year-on-year payable days were FLAT
26 26
Challenging Yet Achievable Targets for FY 2018
- Low double-digit growth
- Positive sales momentum
coming from 2Q18
- Boost expected from holidays
- Cautious about seasonal
slowdown and bad weather in 3Q18
- Low double-digit growth
- Margin enhancement
initiatives
- Persistent cost and
inflationary pressures remain
STOCK & INVESTOR RELATIONS HIGHLIGHTS
Stock Highlights
28 28
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
$0.3B
December 2016
$0.4Bn
August 10, 2018
PERFORMANCE SINCE IPO
₱11.26
IPO Price
+17%
Return since IPO as of August 10, 2018
PIZZA
Philippine Consumer Average PER (x)
24.0
25.0 EV / EBITDA (x)
11.4
11.9 ROE (%)
19.6
15.5 Operating Margin (%)*
16.5
9.5 Net Income Margin (%)*
10.8
7.2
Source: BPI Securities 2018 Estimates as of 8/10/2018; *Bloomberg, trailing 12 months
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE
(BLOOMBERG TICKER: PIZZA PM) 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 PHP/SHARE
PHP13.20
as of August 10, 2018
Investor Relations Highlights
29 29
DIVIDEND HISTORY
*Listing Date: December 15, 2016 **As of 8/10/2018
Current Price PHP13.20 Initial Listing Price PHP11.26 Range since Listing Date* PHP10.90 - 17.48
- No. of Outstanding Shares
1,531,321,053 Shareholding Structure CPGI: 52.9% Arran (GIC): 18.5% Free Float 28.6% (includes Prieto family’s 5.9%) 3-Month Average Turnover PHP6.1 Million USD0.1 Million Market Capitalization PHP20.2 Billion USD0.4 Billion Performance since Listing Date* +17% YTD Relative to Index +7%
*Of previous year’s recurring net income
0.10
0.10
23%
20%
0% 15% 30% 0.00 0.15 0.30 2017 2018 Regular Cash Payout Ratio* Declaration Date Record Date Payment Date 2017 May 8 June 6 June 30 2018 August 16 September 14 October 10
Philippines’ Best Small Cap Company Finance Asia 2018
SHAREHOLDERS
Source: Bloomberg August 2018
Foreign Ownership Limit: 100% Free Float Level: 29%
GIC Private Equity GIC Private Equity 18% 18% Prieto Family Prieto Family 6% 6% Norges Bank Norges Bank 2% 2% Matthews International Matthews International Capital Capital 1% 1% Others Others 20% 20% Ce Century Pacific Group In Inc (C (CPGI) ) 53%
- wh
wholly own wned by th the Philippines’ Po fa family
- ma
majority sh shareholder of CN CNPF PM and ALC LCO PM
Investor Relations Highlights
30 30
SELL-SIDE COVERAGE
Institution Analyst Latest Call BDO Nomura Angelo Torres NEUTRAL BPI Jefferies Javier Consunji BUY CLSA Joyce Ramos BUY COL Financial Andy Dela Cruz HOLD Deutsche Bank Carissa Mangubat BUY Macquarie Karisa Magpayo OUTPERFORM AB Capital Sec Edgar Lay HOLD Regina Capital Patricia Pascual BUY Unicapital Sec Jonathan Latuja BUY
2017 Glossy Annual Report
PIZZA’s 2017 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’s corporate website (www.shakeyspizza.ph):
31 31
Investors > Investor Presentations
2018 Calendar of Activities
Investor Conferences Earnings Release AUG
Nomura Philippine Corporate Day (Hong Kong)
24
dbAccess Philippines Corporate Day (London)
3 SEP
Macquarie ASEAN Conference (Singapore)
29 OCT
*Schedule updated as
- f 10 August 2018
dbAccess Philippines Conference (Manila)
3
3Q18 Earnings Release
12 NOV
Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
16 AUG
32 32
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or any portion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statements contained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. By preparing this presentation, none of the Company, its management, and their respective advisers undertakes any
- bligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correct
any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent. This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking
- statements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to place
undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Paranaque City, Philippines +632 839 0156 investorrelations@shakeys.biz www.shakeyspizza.ph http://edge.pse.com.ph/companyInformation/form.do?cmpy_id=664