PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION
NOVEMBER 2019
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2019 Company Overview - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAKEYS PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC. PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2019 Company Overview SNAPSHOT FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS Shakeys Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. is one of the leading operators of fast casual restaurants in the
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
2 SNAPSHOT
the Philippines, focused on family casual dining.
that category. It is also the single-largest brand of full-service casual dining chain restaurants in the Philippines.* It is a strong and well-established brand thanks to a differentiated menu, iconic and well-loved products, a distinct store environment, and highly guest-centric service.
mainstay is charcoal-grilled chicken, marinated for 24 hours, served with an assortment of unique sauces to choose from.
and successful in our chosen overseas markets, serving pizza as our core product.
are free-standing.
President & CFO, Jorge Q. Concepcion - Shakey’s Philippines General Manager, Marielle C. Santos – Peri General Manager, Alois Brielbeck - In-House Commissary General Manager
*Source: Euromonitor, 2018
Revenues (In USD Mill) 94 105 120 140 152
166
2014 2015 2016* 2017 2018 2019F**
9 10 13 15 17
18
2014 2015 2016* 2017 2018 2019F**
*Based on recurring figures **Consensus of active brokers
Net Income (In USD Mill)
Century Pacific Group 53% GIC Private Equity 18% Public 29% Dine-In 58% Delivery & Others 42% Company- Owned 56% Franchised 44% Metro Manila 43% Luzon (ex-MM) 43% Visayas 10% Mindanao 4%
FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS 2018 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES & STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
3 9.0 9.5 10.1 10.8 11.5 12.1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
budget goes to food consumed
annually, showing a strong propensity to spend.
Source: NSO, Nielsen, Euromonitor, BSP
Furnishings Fashion Food Fun
Restaurants and hotels are growing household consumption sectors The consumer foodservice industry has been growing in recent years
In USD Billions
Full-service pizza chain restaurants show faster growth than the whole full-service restaurant sector
CAGR from 2013-2018
Well-positioned to take advantage of the growing foodservice industry 4 F’s in the consumer economy to benefit from strong economic growth
4
1954
First Shakey’s Pizza Parlor opened in Sacramento, California
1975
First store in the Philippines
1987
The Prieto family became the master franchisor in the Philippines
1999
Acquired Shakey’s trademark for the Philippines in perpetuity
2003
Positioned as an American fast casual dining restaurant for families
2014
Acquired Shakey’s trademark for Middle East, Asia (ex Japan, Malaysia) including China, Australia, and New Zealand in perpetuity
2016
Century Pacific Group (CPGI) and Arran (GIC) acquired control and took the Company public
2018
228 stores by end 2018
2019
Acquired Peri-Peri Charcoal Chicken and Sauce Bar
Industry-Leading Financials Experienced Management
periods compared to the industry
synergies with other food businesses
Market Leadership Brand Strength & Ownership Scalable Business Model
space as well
*Source: Euromonitor, 2018
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7
The full-service pizza chain market is dominated by Shakey’s. Max's 13.5% Pizza Hut 10.4% Kenny Rogers 5.7% Pancake House 4.1% TGI Fridays 2.4% Others 41.6%
22.3% Latest Euromonitor report states that Shakey’s leads the Philippine chained full- service restaurant industry with 22.3% market share as of 2018.
Pizza Hut 29.9% Papa John's 1.7% Others 4.2%
64.2% 2018 data shows that Shakey’s dominates the full-service pizza chain market by sales since 2011 until present.
FULL-SERVICE CHAIN FULL-SERVICE PIZZA CHAIN
Source: Euromonitor
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DIFFERENTIATED MENU WITH ICONIC PRODUCTS AND OFFERINGS FOR ALL
Pizza World-famous thin crust and hand-tossed pizzas with many different choices Chicken and Mojos Signature dish - fried chicken paired with Shakey’s famous mojos*
*Thinly-sliced potatoes coated with Shakey’s breading
and fried to a golden brown perfection
Pasta Hearty pasta with a wide range of sauces and toppings paired with garlic bread Starters Ranging from fries, mojos, squid rings, chips, and chicken Soup Home-style soups loaded with flavor and goodness Salad Extensive choice of salad for health-conscious customers Desserts Wide range of after-meal desserts
BUNDLED OFFERINGS CATERING TO FAMILIES AND GROUPS BRING UP AVERAGE CHECKS
Shakey’s offers a differentiated menu with iconic and well-loved products.
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Though originally from the U.S., PIZZA has owned the Shakey’s brand for the Philippines since 1999.
Source: Asia’s Top 1000 Brands Survey by Campaign Asia, in partnership with Nielsen
BRAND OWNERSHIP
shorter payback period and sustainably higher margins versus peers
royalties from franchisees
market changes
international markets
2018 PHILIPPINE TOP 100 RESTAURANT BRANDS
Shakey’s offers a beautiful and distinct store environment to every customer and has full control and ownership of its brand.
With its over 40 year history in the Philippines, Shakey’s is one of the most recognizable brands in the local food service industry. 3 2 1
10 Dine-In
unique family and friends experience
Delivery
(#77-777) can be used Carryout
Functions
rooms for events such as parties and company gatherings Online Sales
with own website and mobile app
SuperCard
Mall Stores 120 – 250 sqm
Free-Standing Stores 300 – 400 sqm
Others 120 – 180 sqm
Multiple sales channels and store formats provide convenience and accessibility to Shakey’s customers and allow for market and expansion flexibility.
Asset-Light Approach
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Firmly positioned in the fast casual segment (A, B, and upper C market) that delivers high margins, good volumes, and scale Benefitting from key consumer trends – eating
upgrading from fast food to casual dining Own commissary for proprietary raw materials protects key supply chain and maintains consistency and control over quality Economies of scale and purchasing synergy Long-term leases for store locations at attractive rentals Presence of standalone stores (i.e. those outside malls) lead to low rent-to-sales ratio Business model and strong discipline leads to typical payback period of 3-4 years Low upfront cost and strong cash generation per store
Shakey’s is a well-established brand, while operating on an asset-light model.
Brand Positioning
Vertical Integration
Short Payback Period
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VISION: to be the PREFERRED and DOMINANT family casual dining restaurant
Highly experienced professionals in their respective areas of expertise; governance mantra of recruiting the best home-grown or external talent
Members Committees*
DIRECTORS INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS
*All chaired by an Independent Director
BOARD COMPOSITION
business; proven management and leadership track record in foodservice retail set-up, expansion, and turnaround management
Philippines; key driver of Shakey’s brand strategy,
VICENTE GREGORIO
President & CEO
MANUEL DEL BARRIO
VP & CFO
Pacific Food, Inc. (CNPF) and The Pacific Meat Company, Inc.
companies
JORGE CONCEPCION
GM - Shakey’s Philippines
business
about 10 years in numerous managerial positions
ALOIS BRIELBECK
GM – In-House Commissary
kitchens in Hong Kong and Tokyo
Officer for Culinary Systems Specialists Incorporated
MARIELLE SANTOS
GM - Peri
proven track record, handling human resources, guest engagement, and the delivery business
15.5% 13.9% 12.2% 11.8% 9.8% 9.8%
2016* 2017 2018 PIZZA Industry Average**
8.6% 2.9% 6.4% 5.2% 1.7% 4.2%
2016* 2017 2018 PIZZA Industry Average**
20.0% 20.8% 19.7% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0%
2016* 2017 2018 PIZZA Industry Average**
11.1% 10.9% 11.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8%
2016* 2017 2018
Net Margin
PIZZA Industry Average**
13
Shakey’s generates superior margins versus peers.
MARGINS
*Based on recurring figures **Composed of publicly listed Philippine foodservice restaurant companies
19.7% 20.1% 19.8% 14.3% 13.3% 13.9%
2016* 2017 2018
EBITDA Margin
PIZZA Industry Average**
RETURN ON EQUITY FREE CASH FLOW TO SALES OPERATING CASH FLOW TO SALES
Establish market leadership and strong brand positioning in the full-service, fast casual, family dining space Grow our store base in both existing and new markets, locally and internationally, through an increasing company-
franchising model Increase same-store sales growth by developing multiple sales channels and continuously providing innovative products to enhance our iconic base offering
14
Support operational improvements across both store network and corporate support in order to create efficiencies and enhance profitability Continue to develop best-in-class
capabilities
EBITDA GROWTH
16
NET INCOME GROWTH
SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH
3Q 9M
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES GROWTH
3Q 9M
17 In PHP Mill 9M 2018 9M 2019 Change YoY System-wide Sales 6,824 7,427 9% Total Revenue 5,490 5,897 7% Cost of Sales (3,966) (4,246) 7% Gross Profit 1,524 1,651 8% Operating Expenses (725) (746) 3% EBITDA 1,004 1,136 13% EBIT 799 905 13% Income before Tax 683 767 12% Net Income 535 594 11% Earnings per Share 0.35 0.39 11% Margins Gross Profit 27.8% 28.0% +0.2 pps EBITDA 18.3% 19.3% +1.0 pps EBIT 14.6% 15.3% +0.7 pps Net Income 9.7% 10.1% +0.4 pps
CONTINUED STORE NETWORK EXPANSION AND PERI ACQUISITION amidst flattish SSSG
DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH
to lower raw material costs, inventory hedges, and favorable FX
PROGRAMS drive operating margins higher
5% 4%
0%
SSSG
222 228 238 2 2 3 25 224 230 266
9M18 FY18 9M19
Peri Stores Shakey's Int'l Stores Shakey's PH Stores
18
In PHP Bill
5.5
5.9
9M18 9M19
In PHP Bill
YoY Growth in 9M19
SSSG & Total Store Count Revenues System-wide Sales 6.8
7.4
9M18 9M19
YoY Growth in 9M19
PRESSURES particularly for delivery
19
Total PH Store Network
As of 3Q19
Domestic Store Network Breakdown by Region
Metro Manila (MM)
Luzon Ex-MM
Visayas
Mindanao
*Map colors show % population of the country by region. The darker the color, the higher the % population. Source: Philippine Statistics Authority 2015
Net MM
Peri
Peri
Shakey’s
Net Ex-MM
Net New Stores
Year-to-Date
SECOND-TIER CITIES via Shakey’s franchisee-led expansion
beginning with UNSERVED METRO MANILA DEMAND
20
Peri
VIBRANCE,” complementing Shakey’s “Fun, Family, Pizza” positioning
stores, upgrading store look, and enhancing quality of service and food
230 259 282
As of Dec 2018 As of June 2019 As of Dec 2019F
21
Store Network Count 228 233 248 2 3 3 230 236 251
As of Dec 2018 As of Jun 2019 As of Dec 2019F PH Stores Int'l Stores
+21 20
23 31
As of Jun 2019 As of Dec 2019F
+8
TOTAL +52
22
9M19 Net Income Margin Bridge
9M 2018 Net Margin Gross Margin Growth Opex Growth Tax Growth 9M 2018 Revenues
9M 2018 Net Income Margin Gross Margin OpEx 9M 2019 Net Income Margin 9.7% 10.1% Interest, Taxes & Others
0.2pps 0.5pps 0.3pps
3Q19 Net Income Margin Bridge
Q3 2018 Net Margin Gross Margin Growth Opex Growth Tax Growth Q3 2019 Revenues
Q3 2018 Net Income Margin Gross Margin OpEx Q3 2019 Net Income Margin 7.7% 8.6% Interest, Taxes & Others
0.7pps 1.3pps 1.1pps
efficiencies lead to higher margins across the board
acquisition
13.2%
12.7%
OpEx as % of Sales
2.5%
2.5%
Interest Expense as % of Sales
136
149
9M18 9M19
725
746
9M18 9M19
Operating Expense Interest Expense PH Farmgate Chicken Price Trend
Jan-18 Jun Jan-19 Current 23
In PHP Mill
+3%
In PHP Mill
+10%
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority
support margins; slight increase in INTEREST EXPENSE due to Peri acquisition
impact to profitability
15.5%
17.7%
3Q18 3Q19 24
27.8%
28.0%
9M18 9M19
EBITDA Margin Net Margin 25.8%
26.5%
3Q18 3Q19
Gross Margin
+20 bps +70 bps
18.3%
19.3%
9M18 9M19
+100 bps +220 bps
7.7%
8.6%
3Q18 3Q19
9.7%
10.1%
9M18 9M19
+40 bps +90 bps
Operating Margin 14.6%
15.3%
9M18 9M19
+70 bps
11.7%
13.6%
3Q18 3Q19
+190 bps
environment
growth
25
In PHP Mill 9M 2018 Pre-PFRS 16 9M 2019 Pre-PFRS 16 Total Revenue 5,490 5,897 Cost of Sales (3,966) (4,246) Gross Profit 1,524 1,651 Operating Expenses (725) (746) EBITDA 1,004 1,136 EBIT 799 905 Finance Cost (136) (149) Income before Tax 683 767 Net Income 535 594 Margins EBITDA 18.3% 19.3% Net Income 9.7% 10.1% 9M 2019 Post-PFRS 16 Variance vs. 9M 2019 Pre-PFRS 16 Growth vs. 9M 2018 Pre-PFRS 16 5,897 0% 7% (4,220)
6% 1,677 2% 10% (747) 0% 3% 1,378 21% 37% 930 3% 16% (201) 35% 48% 740
8% 575
8% 23.4% +4.1 pps +5.1 pps 9.8%
+0.1 pps
FOR LEASES; negative PHP19 million estimated impact for 9M19
26
PERI BRIDGE LOAN
PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
ACQUISITION
AND CAPEX FOR ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH
In PHP Mill 2018 9M 2019 Cash 434 303 Receivables 508 581 Other Current Assets 668 770 Total Current Assets 1,610 1,654 Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,712 2,081 Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,628 Other Non-Current Assets 245 254 Total Non-Current Assets 8,023 8,963 TOTAL ASSETS 9,633 10,617 In PHP Mill 2018 9M 2019 Trade Payable and Others 920 817 Short-Term Debt 48 698 Total Current Liabilities 968 1,515 Long-Term Debt 3,837 3,812 Other Non-Current Liabilities 259 279 Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,096 4,091 TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,063 5,606 TOTAL EQUITY 4,570 5,011 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,633 10,617
GEARING RATIOS despite the rise in interest-bearing debt due to the bridge loan for the Peri acquisition
ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 19%
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Net Debt-to-Equity (x) Net Gearing (x) Interest-Bearing Debt-to-EBITDA (x) Return on Equity 1.01
1.06
2018 9M 2019
0.76
0.84
2018 9M 2019
2.59
2.77
2018 9M 2019
20%
19%
2018 9M 2019
Notes: Net Debt-to-Equity = (Total Liabilities – Cash) / Total Equity Net Gearing = (Interest-Bearing Liabilities – Cash) / Total Equity Interest-Bearing Debt-to-EBITDA uses trailing 12-month EBITDA Return on Equity uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity
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SUFFICIENT for regular CapEx
ACQUISITION OF PERI STORES, IT INVESTMENTS, AND NEW SHAKEY’S OUTLETS
finance PERI ACQUISITION
reflects PERI ACQUISITION
In PHP Mill 9M 2018 9M 2019 Income before Income Tax 683 767 Depreciation and Amortization 186 220 Interest Expense 136 149 Changes in Working Capital (351) (295) Others (160) (178) Net Operating Cash Flow 494 663 Capital Expenditures (341) (593) Acquisition of Trademark (562) Others (14) (2) Net Investing Cash Flow (355) (1,157) Proceeds from (Payment of) Loan (25) 626 Payment of Interest (101) (109) Net Financing Cash Flow (126) 364 Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 1 Beginning Cash 245 434 Change in Cash 14 (131) Ending Cash 259 303 Free Cash Flow 153 70
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NETWORK EXPANSION
PURCHASE OF CHEESE from end-2018
conversion cycle relative to end 2018 to +14 DAYS
597
600
40
39
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 9M19 Days ₱ Mns
920
817
62
52
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 9M19 Days ₱ Mns
508
581
24
27
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 9M19 Days ₱ Mns
185
364
2
14
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 9M19 Days ₱ Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
30
to drive traffic growth
expansion on track
for Peri
rising chicken prices and higher cheese costs
cost control measures
but double-digit (recurring) growth still achievable
32
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
December 2016
November 2019
PERFORMANCE SINCE IPO
IPO Price
27 November 2019
PIZZA
Philippine Consumer Average PER
18.3x
26.1x EV / EBITDA
8.7x
11.2x ROE
18.7%
13.9% Operating Margin*
15.9%
10.0% Net Income Margin*
11.1%
6.7%
Source: BPI Securities 2019 Estimates as of 27 November 2019 *Bloomberg, trailing 12 months
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE
(BLOOMBERG TICKER: PIZZA PM)
6.00 10.00 14.00 18.00 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 PHP/SHARE
as of 27 November 2019
SHAREHOLDERS
Source: Bloomberg, November 2019
Foreign Ownership Limit: 100% Free Float Level: 29%
GIC Private Equity 18% Prieto Family 4% Norges Bank 2% Matthews International Capital Management 1% Others 22% Century Pacific Group,
the Philippines’ Po family
shareholder of CNPF PM and ALCO PM
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*Of previous year’s recurring net income
0.10 0.10
0.10
23% 20%
18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 2017 2018 2019 Regular Cash Payout Ratio*
Declaration Date Record Date Payment Date
2017 May 8 June 6 June 30 2018 August 16 September 14 October 10 2019 June 20 July 19 August 14
Philippines’ Best Small Cap Company Finance Asia 2018
DIVIDEND HISTORY
34
*Listing Date: 15 December 2016 **As of 27 November 2019
Current Price PHP11.00 Range since Listing Date* PHP9.80 - 17.48
1,531,321,053 Shareholding Structure CPGI: 53.0% Arran (GIC): 18.5% Free Float 28.5% (includes Prieto family’s 3.8%) 3-Month Average Turnover PHP4.0 million USD0.08 million Market Capitalization PHP16.8 billion USD0.3 billion YTD Absolute Performance
YTD Relative to Index
YTD Relative to Sector
3-Month Absolute Performance
3-Month Relative to Index
3-Month Relative to Sector
SELL-SIDE ACTIVE COVERAGE***
Institution Analyst Latest Call BDO Nomura Diane Go BUY BPI Jefferies Javier Consunji BUY CLSA Joyce Ramos BUY COL Financial John Luciano BUY Credit Suisse Hazel Tanedo OUTPERFORM Daiwa Renzo Candano BUY Macquarie Karisa Magpayo OUTPERFORM Regis Carissa Mangubat BUY Unicapital Sec Wendy Estacio HOLD
***At least one research report published in the past 12 months as of 17 December 2019
35
J.P. Morgan Philippine Conference 4 February 2020, Manila
*Schedule updated as of 27 November 2019
Credit Suisse ASEAN Conference 10 January 2020, Singapore Citi Pan Asia Regional Conference 20 May 2020, Singapore
PIZZA’s 2018 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’s corporate website.
Investors > Investor Presentations https://tinyurl.com/PIZZA-Annual-Report-2018
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& management
& environment
engagement
communities
efficiency
quality
sourcing
ENTERPRISE-WIDE INITIATIVE TO MONITOR AND MEASURE ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE METRICS Available for download here:
https://tinyurl.com/PIZZA-Annual-Report-2018
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jobs supported
average training hours per employee
ratio between male and female employees
satisfaction
employees
reduction in electricity intensity
reduction in water intensity
RSPO-certified palm oil Supplier accreditation process in place
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or any portion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statements contained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances
management, and their respective advisers undertakes any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent. This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking
document are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Paranaque City, Philippines investorrelations@shakeys.biz +632 8742 5397 www.shakeyspizza.ph http://edge.pse.com.ph