Shahab Sokhansanj UBC US DOE Released its Billion Ton Bioeconmy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Shahab Sokhansanj UBC

US DOE Released its Billion Ton Bioeconmy Report (BT-16) on July 12, 2016

Volume 1 Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 1: Economic Availability of Feedstocks. M.

• H. Langholtz, B. J. Stokes, and L. M.

Eaton (Leads), ORNL/TM-2016/160. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge,

• TN. 448p.

Volume 2 on sustainability of billion ton wil be published later in the year http://energy.gov/eere/bioenergy/201 6-billion-ton-report

2005 BTS 2011 BT2 2011 BT2

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Currently used

Current and Potential, Base Case

Currently used Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Wastes Currently used

Currently used Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.103 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.097 0.101 0.097

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Forestland Resources Wastes Currently used

Currently used Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.103 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.097 0.101 0.097 0.104 0.116 0.123 0.135 0.149 0.163 0.176

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Agricultural residues Forestland Resources Wastes Currently used

Currently used Near-term potential Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt

Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$) Currently used Near-term potential

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.103 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.097 0.101 0.097 0.104 0.116 0.123 0.135 0.149 0.163 0.176 0.000 0.026 0.078 0.130 0.239 0.324 0.411

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Energy crops Agricultural residues Forestland Resources Wastes Currently used

Long-term potential

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt

Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$) Currently used Near-term potential Long-term potential

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.103 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.097 0.101 0.097 0.105 0.123 0.135 0.152 0.174 0.189 0.200 0.000 0.035 0.110 0.192 0.380 0.559 0.736

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Energy crops Agricultural residues Forestland Resources Wastes Currently used

Scenario to Volume 2

Current and Potential, High Yield Ag. at $60/dt

Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$) Currently used Near-term potential Long-term potential

0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.103 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.097 0.101 0.097 0.105 0.123 0.135 0.152 0.174 0.189 0.200 0.000 0.035 0.110 0.192 0.380 0.559 0.736

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040

Billion Dry Tons per Year

Energy crops Agricultural residues Forestland Resources Wastes Currently used

Current and Potential, High Yield Ag. at $60/dt

Biomass is largest source of domestic renewable energy

Contributors

Interactive Resources

http://bioenergykdf.net/billionton

Required Logistical Resources to Support the Development of a Sustainable Corn Stover Bioeconomy in the US

Mahmood Ebadiana, Erin Webbb , Shahab Sokhansanja,b

a Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group, UBC b Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Type of workforce Number of workforce Equipment operator 42,993 Storage operator 1,124 Total 44,117

Bioenergy Technologies Office

MISSION: Transform America’s abundant biomass resources into commercially viable, high- performance biofuels and bio-based products, through targeted research, development, and demonstration supported by public and private partnerships. Cross Cutting

• Job Creation
• Life Cycle analyses of

water consumption and GHG emissions

• Land-use change
• Definition and

assessment of water quality baseline metrics

Impacts: More than 1 billion tons of biomass could be sustainably

produced in the U.S. without impacting markets for food and feed. By 2030, 1 billion tons of biomass could:

• Produce up to 60 billion gallons of biofuels, displacing 30% of U.S. petroleum

consumption

• Produce 50 billion pounds of biobased chemicals and bioproducts, replacing a

significant portion of the chemical market

• Generate 92 billion kWh of electricity to power 8 million households
• Provide reductions of CO2 emissions by 500 million tons a year

White House Climate Action Plan

• Reduce Oil

Imports 50% by 2020

• Reduce GHG

emissions at least 26% by 2025

Cross Cutting

• Job Creation
• Life Cycle analyses of

water consumption and GHG emissions

• Land-use change
• Definition and

assessment of water quality baseline metrics

Terrestrial Feedstocks

• Resource assessment;

supply analysis

• R&D on Feedstock

characterization, handling, and logistics

Conversion

• Thermochemical
• Biochemical
• Deconstruction
• Upgrading

Demonstration and Market Transformation

• IBR partnerships
• Infrastructure

Advanced Algal Systems

• Competitive projects to

increase yields/ productivity/reduce costs

• Targeted R&D along the

algal supply chain.

• Develop and improve critical models and tools : (GREET, BSM, WATER)

Analysis and Sustainability

15

Developing Canadian version of Billion Ton

• A Network of Centres of Excellence focused on

developing advanced biofuels within Canada’s broader bioeconomy

• First launched in 2012 with a five-year funding commitment

from Ottawa, 85 researchers from across Canada, and a long list

• f partners and contributors
• Canada’s first network focused on research to advance biofuels,

critical for meeting specific policy goals of economic development, greenhouse gas mitigation, and energy security

BioFuelNet.ca

BioFuelNet.ca goals

16 of 23

• BFN’s ultimate goal, based on the International

Energy Agency (IEA) Biofuel Technology Roadmap is for bio- based fuels to capture 25% of Canada’s transportation fuel market by 2050.

• This would reduce Canada’s GHG emissions by 62 Mt CO2-

eq./year while contributing $24 B annually to Canada’s economy and creating 100,000 cleantech jobs

Acknowledgement

• Shahab Sokhansanj prepared this brief

by assembling visuals previously prepared and presented by his colleagues at the USDOE Bioenergy Technology Office, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, BiofuelNet Canada and the Biomass & Bioenergy Research Group University of British Columbia.

• Many significant contributions of the

British Columbia’s Bioenergy Network (BCBN) in support of our research at UBC is highly acknowledged.

• The author thanks the leadership of

Bioenergy 2.0 for providing a forum to share this presentation. July 22, 2016, Vancouver Canada

Shahab Sokhansanj, Ph.D., P.Eng., FEC, FCSABE, FASBE Recipient of the 2016 International Bioenergy Conference Founders Award in Bioenergy Excellence

For further information please visit: www.bioenergy2-0.org