Sector- -Based Workshop Based Workshop Sector Land Use and Local - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sector- -Based Workshop Based Workshop Sector Land Use and Local - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sector- -Based Workshop Based Workshop Sector Land Use and Local Initiatives Land Use and Local Initiatives Land Use and Local Initiatives Jeff Weir Jeff Weir Annmarie Mora Mora Annmarie California Air Resources Board California Air

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Land Use and Local Initiatives Land Use and Local Initiatives Land Use and Local Initiatives

Jeff Weir Jeff Weir Annmarie Annmarie Mora Mora California Air Resources Board California Air Resources Board

December 14, 2007 December 14, 2007

Sector Sector-

  • Based Workshop

Based Workshop

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Overview Overview

  • Transportation

– Characteristics – Reduction strategies – ‘Action’ & ‘Enabling’ Measures

  • Municipal Operations

– Characteristics – Reduction strategies – ‘Action’ & ‘Enabling’ Measures – Green buildings

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Transportation Emissions Transportation Emissions

Electric Power 25% Others 9%

Cars & Trucks 36%

Agriculture

6%

Industrial 20%

Passenger cars and heavy-duty trucks: 1990 Baseline Emissions: 138 MMTCO2E 2004 Baseline Emissions: 172 MMTCO2E 2020 Preliminary Forecasted Emissions: 216 MMTCO2E

Other Transportation 2% *ARB GHG Inventory, 2004 Baseline Data

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On-Road Transportation Sources On-Road Transportation Sources

Passenger Vehicles

136 MMTCO2E

Heavy Duty Vehicles

36 MMTCO2E

Heavy Duty Vehicles 21% Passenger Vehicles 79%

ARB GHG Inventory, 2004 Baseline Data ARB GHG Inventory, 2004 Baseline Data

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Transportation GHG Transportation GHG Transportation GHG

GHG Mile GHG Mile

, ,

GHG Gallon GHG Gallon VMT VMT Vehicle Technology Vehicle Technology Fuels Fuels Vehicle Use Vehicle Use

AB 1493 Regulation AB 1493 Regulation Low-Carbon Fuel Standard Low-Carbon Fuel Standard

  • Transp. &

Land Use Strategies

  • Transp. &

Land Use Strategies

Transp. GHG Transp. Transp. GHG GHG

= = F

F F

, ,

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT): Trends Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT): Trends

  • Billions in transportation investment
  • Existing land use patterns and driving behavior
  • Vehicle miles traveled per capita projected to continue growing

Statewide Vehicle Miles Traveled per Capita

20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00 25.00 26.00 27.00 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 VMT per Person

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VMT Reduction: VMT Reduction: It Matters for Climate Change It Matters for Climate Change

ROG + NOx CO2

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1990 2000 2010 2020 Relative change from 1990

Smog-forming ROG+NOx

CO2

Source: EMFAC

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Historical and Projected Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) GHG Emissions

80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150% 160% 170% 180% 190% 200% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

2020

2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044

Percent of 1990

VMT GHG Emissions GHG Emissions with AB 1493 GHG Emissions with AB 1493 and LCFS

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Drivers of VMT Reduction Drivers of VMT Reduction

Integrated Strategies

Alternate Mode Infrastructure

Transit Carpool/Vanpool Bike Walk

Pricing Signals

Cost per mile Cost per gallon Parking costs

Transportation Conservation

Education Incentives to drive less TDM Programs

Land Use

Density Diversity Design Destinations

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Potential VMT Impacts

  • f Land Use Strategies

Potential VMT Impacts Potential VMT Impacts

  • f Land Use Strategies
  • f Land Use Strategies

Community type Household VMT/year Auto-oriented Suburban 28,000 + Smarter Growth Surburban 17,000 – 23,000 Urban 10,000 – 16,000

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Land Use: An Important Long-Term Strategy Land Use: An Important Long-Term Strategy

Population: By 2020 (+13%). By 2040 (+39%). Land use strategies mostly impact new growth. Population: By 2020 (+13%). By 2040 (+39%). Land use strategies mostly impact new growth.

Statewide Projected Population and VMT Growth 2010-2040

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2010 2020 2030 2040 Population

  • Avg. Daily VMT
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Regional Impacts Modeled Regional Impacts Modeled Regional Impacts Modeled

15% less than the Base Case per capita 85% of Base Case Set at 100% Per Capita CO2 and PM Emissions from vehicles 14 fewer minutes per day 67 minutes 81 minutes Daily Vehicle Minutes of Travel (per household/day) 362 fewer square miles urbanized 304 square miles 666 square miles Additional Urbanized Land 36% more new jobs and homes near transit 41% New Jobs 38% New Housing 5% New Jobs 2% New Housing Growth Near Transit 27% increase 53% 26% People Living in Areas with Good Mix of Jobs and Housing 12.3 fewer miles per household per day, a 25% reduction 34.9 47.2 VMT per household per day (excludes commercial vehicles)

Difference Adopted Plan 2050 Base Case 2050 Parameter

Sacramento Region -- 2050 Sacramento Region -- 2050

Source: SACOG, Regional Blueprint Program, 2005 Source: SACOG, Regional Blueprint Program, 2005

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VMT Reduction and Efficient VMT VMT Reduction and Efficient VMT

  • Per capita VMT Reduction

– A good surrogate for reducing GHGs – Effective performance measure for planning

  • Efficient VMT

– Speed affects GHG emissions – Reduce extreme congestion through intelligent transportation systems, other approaches – Research emphasizes need to limit adding lane miles

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Existing Approaches Existing Approaches

  • Consensus: Fundamental Change

Needed

  • Current actions:

– Blueprint Planning Process – Integrated Land Use and Transportation Planning – Attorney General’s CEQA Actions – OPR and CEQA Guidelines (SB 97) – Proposed Legislation (SB 375) – General Plans Incorporating Climate Change

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What We’ve Heard What We’ve Heard

  • California Transportation Commission

(CTC) Regional Transportation Planning (RTP) Guidelines Work Group

  • Metropolitan Planning Organizations

(MPOs) / Regional Transportation Planning Agencies (RTPAs)

  • Energy Commission Integrated Energy

Policy Report (IEPR)

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CTC RTP Guidelines Work Group CTC RTP Guidelines CTC RTP Guidelines Work Group Work Group

  • Regional GHG reduction strategy
  • VMT per capita and measurable

performance measures – Transportation investment

– Land use strategies – Pricing signals

  • Move toward better modeling
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MPOs / RTPAs MPOs MPOs / / RTPAs RTPAs

  • Ready to help
  • Good planning vital

– Bay Area Smart Growth – Sacramento Region Blueprint – San Diego Regional Planning – Southern California Compass (2% Strategy) – SJV Valley Blueprint Planning Process

  • Land use (locals), Pricing (legislature)
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Energy Commission’s IEPR Report Energy Commission Energy Commission’ ’s s IEPR Report IEPR Report

  • Mitigating Energy Needs with Smarter

Growth -- Recommendations

– Statewide growth plan – GHG levels to guide local planning – Local plans to reduce GHGs – State technical and financial assistance – Legislation recommendations

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Land Use Subgroup of CAT (LUSCAT) Land Use Subgroup of CAT (LUSCAT)

  • State interagency team:

CEC HCD ARB Cal/EPA IWMB PUC Caltrans OPR Water Board

  • Coordinate the State’s Climate Change land use strategies
  • 2008 CAT Report
  • Stakeholder Input
  • Advisory Group
  • Tool and Resources
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LUSCAT Stakeholders’ Initial Input LUSCAT Stakeholders’ Initial Input

  • Housing Element and Housing Finance
  • CEQA and General Plan Guideline

Update

  • State Agency Climate Change

Guidelines

  • Energy Aware Planning Guide Update
  • Regional Transportation Plan Guideline

Update

  • Regional Blueprint Planning
  • GHG criteria for Grant Programs
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Potential Emission Reduction Measures Potential Emission Reduction Measures

Action Measures Action Action Measures Measures Enabling Policies Enabling Policies

Enhance and expand transit Infill development; TOD; Smart growth Enhance and expand transit Infill development; TOD; Smart growth Align federal/state/local funding mechanisms CEQA relief; incentives for Blueprint and Blueprint implementation Align federal/state/local funding mechanisms CEQA relief; incentives for Blueprint and Blueprint implementation

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Perspective on Approaches Perspective on Approaches

Incentives Incentives Incentives Requirements Requirements Requirements

Voluntary Actions Voluntary Actions Mandatory regional and local targets Mandatory regional and local targets CEQA thresholds CEQA thresholds CEQA relief CEQA relief Tax breaks Tax breaks Transit, bike, walk infrastructure Transit, bike, walk infrastructure Urban limit lines Urban limit lines

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Municipal Operations Municipal Operations

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Municipal Operations GHG Sources Municipal Operations GHG Sources

  • Government Building and Facility

Energy Use

  • Government Fleet Vehicles
  • Water Treatment and Landfill

Operations

  • Urban Forestry
  • Port/Airport Operations
  • Other Operations
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GHG Emission Reduction Opportunities GHG Emission Reduction Opportunities

  • Energy Conservation and Efficiency
  • Waste Reduction
  • Clean Energy Use
  • Storing and Offsetting Carbon

Emissions

  • Promoting Community and Individual

Action

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Current Activities Current Activities

  • ICLEI – Local Governments for

Sustainability

  • US Conference of Mayors – Climate

Protection Agreement

  • Institute for Local Government -

California Climate Action Network

  • LUSCAT
  • CCAR Local Government Protocol
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Current Emission Reduction Measures for Municipal Operations Current Emission Reduction Measures for Municipal Operations

Action Measures Increase agency and commercial buildings built to LEED Silver Certified standards Decrease waste from agency

  • perations

Community education Enabling Policies & Tools

  • Green Building ordinance
  • Funding incentives
  • Permitting relief
  • Design assistance
  • Incentivizing recycling facilities
  • Waste audit and reduction plans
  • Climate-friendly purchasing
  • School curriculum
  • Energy efficiency consultations
  • Local Green Award program
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Potential Scoping Plan Measures Potential Scoping Plan Measures

Early Action Measure: Toolkit for Local Government and Businesses (measurement tools, best practices, verification) Scoping Plan:

  • Comprehensive Climate Action Plans
  • Green Building Standards
  • Cool Communities
  • Climate Neutral Policies
  • Climate-friendly operations
  • Climate-friendly transportation
  • Community education and outreach
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Climate Action Plans Climate Action Plans

  • Components of a climate action plan

– Conduct a baseline emissions inventory and forecast – Adopt an emissions reduction target for the forecast year – Develop a local action plan – Implement policies and measures – Monitor and verify emission reductions

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Green Buildings Green Buildings

  • Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)

Green Building Rating System provides standards for environmentally sustainable construction

  • Cost-effective

– No significant difference in average construction cost – Reduces operating costs (30-40% in energy savings)

Cal/EPA Headquarters Sacramento, CA Energy savings add up to ~ $1.5 million a year (LEED EB platinum certified) West Valley Branch Library, San Jose

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Potential Emissions Reduction Measures for Municipal Operations Potential Emissions Reduction Measures for Municipal Operations

Action Measures Increase Climate Action Plans (CAPs) developed by local agencies statewide Increase implementation of CAP projects, programs, and policies statewide Enabling Policies and Tools

  • Target Development
  • Funding Mechanism
  • CCAR Protocol
  • Community Footprint Calculator
  • Funding Mechanism
  • CCAR Protocol
  • CEQA Relief
  • Community Education Initiative
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Perspective on Approaches Perspective on Approaches

Incentives Incentives Incentives Requirements Requirements Requirements

Voluntary Actions Voluntary Actions Mandatory regional and local targets Mandatory regional and local targets CEQA thresholds CEQA thresholds CEQA relief CEQA relief Tax breaks Tax breaks Transit, bike, walk infrastructure Transit, bike, walk infrastructure Urban limit lines Urban limit lines Funds for CAPs Funds for CAPs CAPs for Funds CAPs for Funds

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Next Steps Next Steps

  • Workshops in February 2008
  • Join local action listserve:

lclaction@listserv.arb.ca.gov

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Contact Information Contact Information

Anthony Eggert Annmarie Mora, Manager Senior Policy Advisor Research Planning and Officer of the Chairman Climate Change Outreach Section (916) 445-5154 (916) 323-1517 aeggert@arb.ca.gov amora@arb.ca.gov Jeff Weir Planning & Technical Support Division (916) 445-0098 jweir@arb.ca.gov