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SC IENC E AND PO L IC Y Re gional T r aining on Climate F inanc - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MODUL E 1 C L IMAT E C HANG E SC IENC E AND PO L IC Y Re gional T r aining on Climate F inanc e in Southe ast Asian c ountr ie s 2 OUT L I NE 1) Clima te Cha ng e sc ie nc e a nd the 2C T a rg e t 2) I nte rna tio na l


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SLIDE 1

C L IMAT E C HANG E

SC IENC E AND PO L IC Y

Re gional T r aining on Climate F inanc e in Southe ast Asian c ountr ie s

MODUL E 1

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SLIDE 2

OUT L I NE

1) Clima te Cha ng e sc ie nc e a nd the 2°C T a rg e t 2) I nte rna tio na l Clima te Ne g o tia tio ns 3) Clima te F ina nc e ne g o tia tio ns unde r the UNF CCC pro c e ss

2

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SLIDE 3

C LIMAT E C HANG E SC IENC E AND T HE 2°C T ARG ET

Se c tio n 1

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SLIDE 4

A SI MPL E CL I MAT E SCI E NCE PRI ME R

I t a ll sta rts with

1) Sola r Ra dia tion & 2) T he Gre e nhouse E ffe c t

  • T

he E a rth’ s a tmo sphe re is c o mprise d o f se ve ra l g a se s, e spe c ia lly nitro g e n (N2),

  • xyg e n (O2), a nd a rg o n (Ar) *ac c o unting fo r

99.8% o f the atmo sphe ric g ase s.

  • T

he a tmo sphe re a lso inc lude s sma ll a mo unts

  • f Gre e nho use Ga se s (Wate r vapo ur (H

2O),

Carb o n dio xide (CO 2), Me thane (CH

4), Nitro us

  • xide (N2O), Ozo ne (O 3), and

Chlo ro fluo ro c arb o ns (CF Cs)) tha t a b so rb a nd e mit

ra dia tio n within the the rma l infra re d ra ng e

US EPA - "The Greenhouse Effect" in: "Introduction," in: US EPA (December 2012), Climate Change Indicators in the United States, 2nd edition, Washington, DC, USA: US EPA, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/download.html, p.3. EPA 430-R-12-004.

4

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SLIDE 5

T HE E ART H’S CARBON CYCL E

http:/ / www.c lima te -c ha ng e -kno wle dg e .o rg / uplo a ds/ c _c yc le _3_293.png http:/ / www.e srl.no a a .g o v/ g md/ o utre a c h/ iso to pe s/

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SLIDE 6

HUMAN DI SRUPT I ON OF T HE CARBON CYCL E

  • T

he na tura l c a rb o n c yc le a c hie ve s a sta te o f dyna mic b a la nc e , i.e . ab so rb ing and e mitting an e q ual amo unt o ve r time .

  • Huma n g re e nho use g a s (GHG) e missio ns

a re disrupting this b a la nc e , a nd a tmo sphe ric c a rb o n c o nc e ntra tio ns a re ste a dily inc re a sing .

  • Huma n a c tivitie s a re re spo nsib le fo r the

re le a se o f o ve r 30 Gig a T

  • ns (Gt) o f CO 2

(o r ~9 Gt o f Ca rb o n) e ve ry ye a r.

  • F

ro m: I PCC WGI F

  • urth Asse ssme nt Re po rt

http:/ / www.e srl.no a a .g o v/ g md/ o utre a c h/ iso to pe s/

6

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SLIDE 7

AT MOSPHE RIC CO 2 CONCE NT RAT IONS

"Ma una L

  • a CO2 mo nthly me a n c o nc e ntra tio n" b y De lo rme -

Own wo rk. Da ta fro m Dr. Pie te r T a ns, NOAA/ E SRL a nd Dr. Ra lph K e e ling , Sc ripps Institutio n o f Oc e a no g ra phy. L ic e nse d unde r CC BY-SA 4.0 via Wikime dia Co mmo ns - https:/ / c o mmo ns.wikime dia .o rg / wiki/ F ile :Ma una _L

  • a _CO2_m
  • nthly_me a n_c o nc e ntra tio n.svg # / me dia / F

ile :Ma una _L

  • a _C

O2_mo nthly_me a n_c o nc e ntra tio n.svg

F ro m the sta rt o f the I ndustria l Re vo lutio n (1760) to no w, a tmo sphe ric CO 2 c o nc e ntra tio ns inc re a se d fro m 280 ppm to 400 ppm.

7

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SLIDE 8

HUMAN CAUSE S OF

GRE E NHOUSE GAS E MI SSI ONS

By Ma k T ho rpe @ https:/ / c o mmo ns.wikime dia .o rg / wiki/ F ile :Glo b a l_Ca rb o n_E missio ns.svg Herzog, Timothy (July 2009), World Greenhouse Gas Emissions in 2005. WRI Working Paper, Washington, DC, USA: World Resources Institute (WRI), http://www.wri.org/publication/navigating-the-numbers, p.2.

8

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SLIDE 9

MORE GRE E NHOUSEGAS ME ANS MORE GRE E NHOUSE E F F E CT

AND GL OBAL WARMING

 Ba se d o n the Ha dle y Ce ntre

Ha dCM3 c lima te mo de l a nd the I S92a ("busine ss as usual")

pr

  • je c tions, an ave r

age c hange of 3.0°C is pre dic te d

fo r g lo b a l surfa c e te mpe ra ture s.

 T

his mo de l is to wa rds the lo w e nd o f the I nte rg o ve rnme nta l Pa ne l o n Clima te Cha ng e 's 1.4-5.8°C pre dic te d c lima te c ha ng e fro m 1990 to 2100

By Ro b e rt A. Ro hde @ https:/ / c o mmo ns.wikime dia .o rg / wiki/ F ile :Glo b a l_Wa rming _Pre dic tio ns_Ma p.jpg

9

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SLIDE 10

"Glo b a l T e mpe ra ture Ano ma ly" b y NASA Go dda rd Institute fo r Spa c e Studie s - http:/ / da ta .g iss.na sa .g o v/ g iste mp/ g ra phs/ . L ic e nse d unde r Pub lic Do ma in via Wikime dia Co mmo ns - https:/ / c o mmo ns.wikime dia .o rg / wiki/ F ile :Glo b a l_T e mpe ra ture _Ano ma ly.svg # / me dia / F ile :Glo b a l_T e mpe ra ture _Ano ma ly.svg

Global T e mpe r atur e Change

NOAA (July 2010), State of the Climate in 2009, as appearing in the July 2010 issue (Vol. 91) of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS). Supplemental and Summary Materials: Report at a Glance: Highlights, US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA): National Climatic Data Center, http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-the-climate/2009.php, p.5.

10

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SLIDE 11

State of the Climate in 2009: Supplemental and Summary Materials: Report at a Glance: Highlights, US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: National Climatic Data Center, http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-the-climate/2009.php, page 2.

11

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SLIDE 12

State of the Climate in 2009: Supplemental and Summary Materials: Report at a Glance: Highlights, US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: National Climatic Data Center, http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-the-climate/2009.php, page 2.

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SLIDE 13

T HE 2°C MAXI MUM WARMI NG T ARGE T

 Go ve rnme nts ha ve a g re e d to limit CO 2 e missio ns to ha lt

c lima tic wa rming to a ma ximum o f 2°C.

 But will this b e a c hie ve d, a nd will this b e e no ug h?  T

he a nswe rs a re no t c e rta in, b ut the sc ie ntific sig na ls a re tha t we a re still mo ving e ve r c lo se r to a c ritic a l tipping po int.

 Ma jo r Co nc e rns inc lude :

 T

he 2°C ma ximum is a lre a dy to o muc h.

 Curre nt tre nds, unle ss imme dia te ly c ha ng e d, will ta ke us we ll pa st the

2°C ma ximum .

 T

he re q uire d a c tio ns to me e t this ta rg e t ha ve ye t to b e e na c te d.

13

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SLIDE 14

SAF E AT MOSPHE RI C CO 2 CONCE NT RAT I ON?

 Curre ntly a tmo sphe ric CO 2

c o nc e ntra tio ns a re a t 400 ppm a nd

inc r e asing at ~3 ppm/ ye ar.

 T

he wa rming e ffe c ts o f c a rb o n dio xide e missio ns pe rsist in the a tmo sphe re fo r ~1,000 ye a rs.

 2°C = 450 ppm  we a re no t so sure , a

50/ 50 c ha nc e & a t c urre nt ra te s we wo uld re a c h this b y ~2030

 T

he mo st string e nt c a lls sug g e st tha t we ha ve a lre a dy pa sse d a sa fe o pe ra ting limit, a nd sho uld a im to de c re a se to 350 ppm a nd a 1.5°C wa rming

NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) https:/ / e n.wikipe dia .o rg / wiki/ E ffe c ts_o f_g lo b a l_wa rming # / me dia / F ile :Pro je c te d_c ha ng e _in_a nnu a l_a ve ra g e _pre c ipita tio n_fo r_the _21st_c e ntury,_b a se d_o n_the _SRE S_A1B_e missio ns_sc e na rio ,_a n d_simula te d_b y_the _GF DL _CM2.1_mo de l.png

14

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SLIDE 15

CL IMAT E CHANGE IMPACT S & RISKS

 T

he impa c ts o f c lima te c ha ng e inc lude inc re a se d te mpe ra ture s, inc re a se s a nd de c re a se s in pre c ipita tio n, se a le ve l rise , inte nsific a tio n o f e xtre me we a the r e ve nts, e tc .

 T

he se impa c ts re sult in nume ro us g e o g ra phic a lly spe c ific risks, suc h a s flo o ding , re duc tio ns in c ro p pro duc tivity, sho rta g e s in fre sh wa te r supply, se a inunda tio n, e tc .

 T

he mo re vulne ra b le c o mmunitie s a re , the mo re like ly it is tha t the se risks will re sult in e xtre me disa ste rs.

15

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SLIDE 16

K E Y F I NDI NGS F ROM I PCC AR5 WGI I I

MI T I GAT I ON OF CL I MAT E CHANGE

 T

  • re ma in b e lo w the 2ºC ma ximum wa rming ta rg e t, to ta l

a nthro po g e nic Ca rb o n e missio ns must b e limite d to 790 GtC

 F

ro m 1870 to 2011, huma n a c tivitie s ha ve le d to the re le a se

  • f 515 GtC, i.e . c o nsuming 65% o f this to ta l Ca rb o n Budg e t.

 T

he re is o nly a 275 GtC Budg e t re ma ining if we a re to limit wa rming to b e lo w 2ºC

 At the c urre nt ra te , we will ha ve spe nt the re ma ining

Ca rb o n Budg e t b y 2050

16

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SLIDE 17

AMBI T I OUS MI T I GAT I ON I S AF F ORDABL E

 While AR5 WGI

I stre sse s the impo rta nc e o f ta king stra te g ic a da pta tio n me a sure s to re duc e the risks pe o ple will fa c e fro m c lima te c ha ng e , WGI I I stre sse s the impo rta nc e a nd va lue o f c o nc e rte d mitig a tio n e ffo rts.

 Amb itio us Mitig a tio n e ffo rts wo uld le a d to E

c o no mic g ro wth re duc e d b y ~ 0.06%

 T

he e stima te d c o sts do no t a c c o unt fo r the b e ne fits o f re duc e d c lima te c ha ng e

 While , unmitig a te d c lima te c ha ng e wo uld c re a te inc re a sing

risks to e c o no mic g ro wth a nd po te ntia lly c re a te fa r mo re ne g a tive impa c ts o n g ro wth a nd de ve lo pme nt.

17

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SLIDE 18

MI T I GAT I ON ME ASURE S

 Mo re e ffic ie nt use o f e ne rg y  Gre a te r use o f lo w-c a rb o n a nd no -c a rb o n e ne rg y  Ma ny o f the se te c hno lo g ie s e xist to da y  I

mpro ve d c a rb o n sinks

 Re duc e d de fo re sta tio n a nd impro ve d fo re st

ma na g e me nt a nd pla nting o f ne w fo re sts

 Bio -e ne rg y with c a rb o n c a pture a nd sto ra g e  L

ife style a nd b e ha vio ura l c ha ng e s

18

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SLIDE 19

INT ERNAT IO NAL C LIMAT E NEG O T IAT IO NS

Se c tio n 2

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SLIDE 20

CL I MAT E NE GOT I AT I ONS T I ME L I NE

 1988 – T

he I nte rg o ve rnme nta l Pa ne l o n Clima te Cha ng e (I PCC) is e sta b lishe d

 1990 – T

he 1st I PCC Asse ssme nt Re po rt is la unc he d

 1992 – T

he Unite d Na tio ns F ra me wo rk Co nve ntio n

  • n Clima te Cha ng e (UNF

CCC) is ra tifie d b y 154 na tio ns

 With the o b je c tive is to "sta b ilize g re e nho use g a s

c o nc e ntra tio ns in the a tmo sphe re a t a le ve l tha t wo uld pre ve nt d a ng e ro us a nthro po g e nic inte rfe re nc e with the c lima te syste m“.UNF

CCC Artic le 2

 1994 – UNF

CCC e nte rs into fo rc e

 1995 – T

he 2nd I PCC Asse ssme nt Re po rt is la unc he d

 1997 – K

yo to Pro to c o l is a do pte d a t the 3rd Co nfe re nc e o f Pa rtie s (COP)

 T

his inc lud e s le g a lly b ind ing e missio ns re d uc tio n ta rg e ts fo r d e ve lo pe d c o untrie s.

 F

irst Co mmitme nt Pe rio d – 2008-2012

 Se c o nd Co mmitme nt Pe rio d – 2012-2020  K

yo to Pro to c o l a lso e sta b lishe s fle xib ility me c ha nisms inc lud ing : Inte rna tio na l E missio ns T ra d ing (IE

T

), the Cle a n De ve lo pme nt Me c ha nism (CDM), a nd Jo int Imple me nta tio n (JI)

 2001 – T

he 3rd I PCC Asse ssme nt Re po rt is la unc he d

 2005 – At COP 11, the K

yo to Pro to c o l e nte rs into fo rc e & the Re duc ing e missio ns fro m de fo re statio n and fo re st de g radatio n (RE

DD) me c ha nism is

intro duc e d

 2007 – T

he 4th I PCC Asse ssme nt Re po rt is la unc he d

 2007 – COP 13 a do pts the Ba li Ro a d Ma p to wa rds

fina lizing a b inding a g re e me nt a t COP 15

 T

he Ba li Ac tio n Pla n stre ng the ns e ffo rts fo r b o th Mitig a tio n a nd Ad a pta tio n a mo ng b o th d e ve lo pe d a nd d e ve lo ping c o untrie s with the la unc h o f: the Ada pta tion F

und, the

Na tio na lly Appro pria te Mitig a tio n Ac tio n (NAMA) pro c e ss, a nd the Na tio na l Ad a pta tio n Pro g ra mme o f Ac tio ns (NAPA) pro c e ss

 2009 – COP 15 is no t a b le to a c hie ve a ne w b inding

a g re e me nt, a nd inste a d pro duc e s the no n-b inding Co pe nha g e n Ac c o rd

 2010 – COP 16 pro duc e s the Ca nc un Ag re e me nts in

whic h pa rtie s a g re e limit future g lo b a l wa rming b e lo w the 2°C tar

ge t & to e sta b lish the Gr e e n Climate F und

 2014 – T

he 5th I PCC Asse ssme nt Re po rt is la unc he d

 2015 – COP 21 a do pts the Pa ris Ag re e me nt (b y 195

me mb e r sta te s) with c o untrie s ma king Na tio na lly De te rmine d Co ntrib utio ns (NDCs) to GHG re duc tio ns

20

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SLIDE 21

21

http:/ / the c le a nre vo lutio n.o rg / ne ws-a nd-e ve nts/ ne ws/ info g ra phic -unde rsta nding -the -unfc c c -e g o tia tio ns

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SLIDE 22

T OP DOWN PE RIOD: 1992- 2006

(COPs 1-12)

 One o f the first e ffo rts unde r the UNF

CCC wa s to e sta b lish Na tio na l Gre e nho use Ga s I nve nto rie s to tra c k e missio ns a nd re mo va ls.

 Disc ussio ns a t COP 1 a nd 2 le d c o untrie s to a g re e tha t sta b ilizing a t 1990 le ve ls wa s no t

e no ug h, a nd furthe r re duc tio ns b e lo w 1990 le ve ls we re re q uire d.

 COP 3 a nd the K

yo to Pro to c o l (1997) pro vide s the first le g a lly b inding e missio n re duc tio n ta rg e ts fo r de ve lo pe d c o untrie s (i.e . Anne x 1 c o untrie s)

 COP 7 a nd the Ma rra ke c h Ac c o rds (2001) la ys o ut the rule s fo r me e ting the ta rg e ts se t o ut

in the K yo to Pro to c o l, suc h a s o pe ra tio na l rule s o n Ca rb o n T ra ding a nd CDM a s we ll a s the c o mplia nc e re g ime

 COP 15 (2005), K

yo to Pro to c o l e nte rs into fo rc e a nd the pa rtie s a g re e to e xte nd the pro to c o l b e yo nd 2012 with the a im fo r de e pe r e missio n c uts  COP me e ting s a lso no w inc lude the Me e ting o f Pa rtie s to the K

yo to Pro to c o l, a nd the K yo to

 COP 16 (2006) re c e ive s c ritic ism fo r the disc o nne c t b e twe e n the po litic a l pro c e ss a nd the

sc ie ntific impe ra tive , b ut it a lso a c hie ve s stro ng impro ve me nts fo r suppo rting de ve lo ping c o untrie s, CDM a nd a five -ye a r pla n o f wo rk o n a da pta tio n

22

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SLIDE 23

AF T E R BAL I (COP 13 – 2007): A MORE BOT T OM UP APPROACH

 COP 13 b e g a n ne g o tia tio ns o n the suc c e sso r to the K

yo to Pro to c o l, a nd se t o ut to a g re e o n a ro a d-ma p, time ta b le a nd c o nc re te ste ps fo r future ne g o tia tio ns to wa rds re a c hing a n a g re e me nt in 2009

 T

he Ba li Ro a d Ma p se t o ut a two ye a r ne g o tia ting pro c e ss a ime d to wa rds fina lizing a n a g re e me nt in Co pe nha g e n a t COP 15 – tha t wo uld stre ng the n a n a ppro a c h fo r c o o pe ra tive a c tio ns a nd inc lude a mple o ppo rtunitie s fo r fe e db a c k/ inputs fro m pa rtie s.

 T

he Ba li Ro a d Ma p a lso de fine d a se t o f b uilding b lo c ks fo r the ne w a g re e me nt: c utting e missio ns, mitig a tio n, fo re sts, a da pta tio n, te c hno lo g y de ve lo pme nt a nd tra nsfe r, a nd fina nc e .

 Ne ithe r COP 15 (in Co pe nha g e n) o r COP 16 (in Ca nc un) we re a b le to re a lize this ne w

a g re e me nt fo r a suc c e sso r to the K yo to Pro to c o l, a nd fro m COP 17 “T he Durb a n Pla tfo rm” b e g a n a ne w ro und o f ne g o tia tio ns to wa rds a ne w a g re e me nt fina lly re a lise d a t COP 21 (in Pa ris, 2015)

 Ho we ve r, the Ba li Ro a d Ma p did le a d to the de ve lo pme nt/ a dva nc e me nt o f a ra ng e o f

suppo rt me c ha nisms fo r de ve lo ping c o untrie s o n b o th mitig a tio n a nd a da pta tio n

23

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SLIDE 24

T HE BAL I ACT ION PL AN

1(b )(ii):

 Na tio na lly Appro pria te Mitig a tio n Ac tio ns (NAMAs) b y de ve lo ping Pa rtie s  I

n the c o nte xt o f susta ina b le de ve lo pme nt,

 Suppo rte d a nd e na b le d b y:  I

n a Me a sura b le , Re po rta b le a nd Ve rifia b le ma nne r (MRV)

24

F inanc e T e c hnology Capac ity building

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SLIDE 25

T HE PARI S AGRE E ME NT

Artic le 2:

a ) Ho lding the inc re a se in the g lo b a l a ve ra g e te mpe ra ture to we ll b e lo w 2 °C a b o ve pre -industria l le ve ls a nd to pursue e ffo rts to limit the te mpe ra ture inc re a se to 1.5 °C a b o ve pre -industria l le ve ls, re c o g nizing tha t this wo uld sig nific a ntly re duc e the risks a nd impa c ts o f c lima te c ha ng e ; b ) I nc re a sing the a b ility to a da pt to the a dve rse impa c ts o f c lima te c ha ng e a nd fo ste r c lima te re silie nc e a nd lo w g re e nho use g a s e missio ns de ve lo pme nt, in a ma nne r tha t do e s no t thre a te n fo o d pro duc tio n; c ) Ma king fina nc e flo ws c o nsiste nt with a pa thwa y to wa rds lo w g re e nho use g a s e missio ns a nd c lima te -re silie nt de ve lo pme nt.

25

L ONG T E RM GOAL

b e lo w 2ºC, to wa rds 1.5ºC

Unive rsa l T RANSPARE NCY fra me wo rk Co ntinue d CL I MAT E F I NANCE b y & b e yo nd 2025 F I VE YE AR re vie w & stre ng the ning

  • f c lima te a c tio n

MI T I GAT I ON b y e ve ryo ne (NDCs) ADAPT AT I ON o n pa r with mitig a tio n Re c o g nise d L OSS & DAMAGE

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SLIDE 26

T RACK I NG T HE NAT I ONAL L Y DE T E RMI NE D CONT RI BUT I ONS

26

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SLIDE 27

C LIMAT E FINANC E NEG O T IAT IO NS UNDER T HE UNFC C C PRO C ESS

Se c tio n 3

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SLIDE 28

HI ST ORY OF CL I MAT E F I NANCE NE GOT I AT I ONS (PART

1)

 COP 3 (K

yo to , 1997): E sta b lishe s the first fle xib ility me c ha nisms inc luding the Cle a n De ve lo pme nt Me c ha nism (CDM)

 COP 7 (Ma rra ke c h, 2001): Ag re e d to e sta b lish thre e funds: 1) c lima te c ha ng e fund to suppo rt c lima te

me a sure s, 2) fund to suppo rt Na tio na l Ada pta tio n Pro g ra ms o f Ac tio n fo r le a st-de ve lo pe d c o untrie s, a nd 3) a K yo to Pro to c o l a da pta tio n fund suppo rte d b y a CDM le vy – (the se po ints ag re e d at the re sume d COP 6 ne g o tiatio ns in Bo nn, b ut finalise d at COP 7)

 COP 9 (Mila n, 2003): Pa rtie s fina lise a g re e me nt o n the use o f the Adaptation F

und fo r suppo rting

a da pta tio n e ffo rts in de ve lo ping c o untrie s, b ut a lso fo r c a pa c ity b uilding thro ug h te c hno lo g y tra nsfe r.

 Ho we ve r the fund was no t o ffic ially launc he d until 2007, and funding allo c atio n b e g an in 2010.  Be twe e n 2010-2015, the fund has c o mmitte d US$331 millio n in 54 c o untrie s

 COP 11 (Mo ntre a l, 2005): I

ntro duc e s the Re duc ing e missio ns fro m de fo re statio n and fo re st de g radatio n (RE

DD) me c ha nism a s a ne w fle xib ility me c ha nism

 COP 12 (Na iro b i, 2006): T

he pro c e dure s a nd mo da litie s fo r the Ada pta tio n F und a re a g re e d

28

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SLIDE 29

HI ST ORY OF CL I MAT E F I NANCE NE GOT I AT I ONS (PART

2)

 COP 13 (Ba li, 2007): T

he Ba li Ro a d Ma p ide ntifie s fina nc e a s a ke y pilla r o f the future c lima te a g re e me nt, a nd e sta b lishe s a se t o f g uiding princ iple s fo r c lima te fina nc e :

 1) T

  • impro ve a c c e ss to pre dic ta b le a nd susta ina b le fina nc ia l re so urc e s; 2) T
  • pro vide po sitive inc e ntive s; 3) T
  • e sta b lish inno va tive

me a ns o f funding fo r a da pta tio n; 4) T

  • I

nc e ntivise a da pta tio n a c tio ns o n the b a sis o f susta ina b le de ve lo pme nt po lic ie s; 5) T

  • mo b ilize c lima te -frie ndly funding a nd inve stme nt c ho se s; a nd 6) T
  • pro vide fina nc ia l a nd te c hnic a l suppo rt fo rc a pa c ity-b uilding in

the a sse ssme nt o f c o sts o f a da pta tio n in de ve lo ping c o untrie s, to a id in de te rmining the ir fina nc ia l ne e ds.

 COP 16 a nd the Ca nc un Ag re e me nts (2010): De ve lo pe d c o untrie s c o mmit to mo b ilizing USD 100 Billio n

pe r ye a r b y 2020 to a ddre ss the ne e ds o f de ve lo ping c o untrie s fo r me a ning ful mitig a tio n a c tio ns a nd to e sta b lish the Gr

e e n Climate F und

 T

he Sta nding Co mmitte e o n Clima te F ina nc e wa s e sta b lishe d a s pa rt o f the UNF CCC

 COP 17 (Durb a n, 2011): Ado pts a Ma na g e me nt F

ra me wo rk fo r the Gre e n Clima te F und

 At pre se nt, aro und USD 10.2 Billio n has b e e n c o mmitte d to the Gre e n Climate F

und b y 42 natio nal g o ve rnme nts, and an additio nal USD 18.4 Millio n fro m re g io nal and munic ipal g o ve rnme nts

 COP 21 (Pa ris, 2015): Aims to a lig n the e xisting fina nc ia l flo ws with the o ve r

29

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SLIDE 30

30

ME ANS OF IMPL E ME NT AT ION:

AN I NT E RDE PE NDE NT MI X OF F I NANCE , T E CHNOL OGY, CAPACI T Y BUI L DI NG AND MARK E T ME CHANI SMS

 Curre nt disc ussio n ta ke s pla c e se pa ra te ly unde r e a c h me c ha nism.  No e ntity is o ffic ia lly ta ske d to c re a te syne rg ie s a mo ng va rio us me c ha nisms.

NAMAs NAMA Re g istry F ina nc e me c ha nism GE F GCF Ma rke t me c ha nism CDM NMM F VA T e c hno lo g y me c ha nism T E C CT CN

slide-31
SLIDE 31

CL IMAT E F INANCE F L OWS

(USD BI L L I ON AND ANNUAL I Z E D)

 F

ro m 2010-2012, Glo b a l c lima te fina nc e in a ll c o untrie s ra ng e d fro m USD 340 to USD 650 b illio n pe r ye a r

 Be twe e n 38-53% o f this funding wa s

dire c te d to the Asia -Pa c ific re g io n

 I

n 2014, pub lic funding fo r c lima te fina nc e a c c o unte d fo r 38% o f the to ta l (i.e . USD 148 b illio n), while priva te funding a c c o unte d fo r 62% (i.e . USD 243 b illio n)

 Priva te funding wa s prima rily inve ste d

into re ne wa b le e ne rg ie s

31

UNF CCC Sta nding Co mmitte e o n F ina nc e (2014) 2014 Bie nnial Asse ssme nt and Ove rvie w o f Climate F inanc e F lo ws Re po rt. Bo nn: UNF CCC.

http :/ / unfc c c .int/ file s/ c o o p e ra tio n_a nd _sup p o rt/ fina nc ia l_me c ha nism/ sta nd ing _c o mmitte e / a p p lic a tio n/ p d f/ 2014_b ie nnia l _a sse ssme nt_a nd _o ve rvie w_o f_c lima te _fina nc e _flo ws_re p o rt_we b .p d f

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Clima te Po lic y Initia tive (2015) Glo b al L andsc ape o f Climate F inanc e 2015. www.c limate po lic yinitiative .o rg

slide-33
SLIDE 33

33

USD 400 BI L L I ON PE R YE AR ADDI T I ONAL I NVE ST ME NT WI L L BE RE QUI RE D BY 2030 T O ST AY BE L OW 2°C

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

  • 100

Cha ng e s in a nnua l inve stme nt (USD2010 b illio n/ yr)

F

  • ssil po we r

pla nts (witho ut CCS) L

  • w-e missio ns

g e ne ra tio n te c hno lo g ie s (re ne wa b le , nuc le a r, fo ssil fue ls with CCS)

  • 30

+147 +336

E ne rg y e ffic ie nc y in the b uilding , tra nspo rt a nd industry se c to r

  • 56

F ue l e xtra c tio n, tra nsfo rma tio n a nd tra nspo rta tio n* (*I PCC re po rte d inc o nsiste nt numb e rs) So urc e : I GE S synthe size d fro m I PCC AR5 (2014) R&D

+5

No te : Additio na l inve stme nt is de fine d a s the diffe re nc e b e twe e n po lic y sc e na rio s a nd BAU.

+78

Ke y Me ssage : Changing inve stme nt patte r n is e qually impor tant as sc aling up c limate financ e .

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Thank You for your kind attention!

Mo dule pre pa re d b y:

  • Dr. Ro b e rt J. Didha m

Se nio r Co o rdina to r – Ca pa c ity De ve lo pme nt, E duc a tio n & K no wle dg e Ma na g e me nt E ma il: didha m@ ig e s.o r.jp

&

  • Dr. E

ric Zusma n

Princ ipa l Po lic y Re se a rc he r & Are a L e a de r – I nte g ra te d Po lic ie s fo r Susta ina b le So c ie tie s E ma il: zusma n@ ig e s.o r.jp

I nstitute fo r Glo b a l E nviro nme nta l Stra te g ie s

www.ig e s.o r.jp

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SLIDE 35

T HE I MPE RAT I VE F OR ACT I ON

"We a re a llo wing o urse lve s to tra ve l a uniq ue ly da ng e ro us pa th, a nd we a re d o ing so witho ut a n a ppre c ia tio n fo r the c o nse q ue nc e s tha t lie a he a d.“

  • Je a n-Pie rre Ga ttuso

“T his is a mo ra l mo me nt. T his is no t ultima te ly a b o ut a ny sc ie ntific de b a te o r po litic a l dia lo g ue . Ultima te ly it is a b o ut who we a re a s huma n b e ing s. I t is a b o ut o ur c a pa c ity to tra nsc e nd

  • ur o wn

limita tio ns. T

  • rise to this ne w o c c a sio n. T
  • se e with o ur he a rts, a s we ll

a s o ur he a ds, the unpre c e de nte d re spo nse tha t is no w c a lle d fo r. T

  • dise nthra ll o urse lve s,

to she d the illusio ns tha t ha ve b e e n

  • ur

a c c o mplic e s in ig no ring the wa rning s tha t we re c le a rly g ive n, a nd he a ring the o ne s tha t a re c le a rly g ive n no w.”

  • Al Go re

35

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SLIDE 36

T HE URGE NCY OF NOW

F ro m the I nte rim 2014 Re po rt o f the De e p De c a rb o niza tio n Pa thwa ys Pro je c t

Re q uire d re duc tio ns to limit g lo b a l wa rming to 2°C ta rg e t ma ximum

36