SARDI NE S I N CAL I F ORNI A NOT SOUT HE RN ST OCK ! - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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SARDI NE S I N CAL I F ORNI A NOT SOUT HE RN ST OCK ! - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Age nda Ite m E .3.b Supple me ntal Public Pr e se ntation 2 (Ple sc hne r - Ste e le ) Apr il 2019 SARDI NE S I N CAL I F ORNI A NOT SOUT HE RN ST OCK ! 6,000 to ns pure sa rdine ~ 4/ 1/ 19 Ob se rve d in 60 ft. wa


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SLIDE 1

SARDI NE S I N CAL I F ORNI A

NOT ‘ SOUT HE RN’ ST OCK !

Age nda Ite m E .3.b Supple me ntal Public Pr e se ntation 2 (Ple sc hne r

  • Ste e le )

Apr il 2019

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SLIDE 2

6,000 to ns pure sa rdine ~ 4/ 1/ 19

Ob se rve d in 60 ft. wa te r ne a r Se a l Be a c h – 61 de g re e wa te r

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SLIDE 3

64 to n Po int Se t ~ 4/ 1/ 19

“T re me ndo us a mo unt o f fish – to o ma ny sc ho o ls to c o unt” ~ Co rb in Ha nso n

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SLIDE 4

30-60 g ra m Sa rdine s

° Ca pture d 3/ 26/ 19 a s

pa rt o f 30-to n po int se t ne a r Ga vio ta , a b o ve Sa nta Ba rb a ra ~ Ma ny la rg e sa rdine sc ho o ls ° E vide nc e o f re c ruitme nt

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SLIDE 5

L ive Ba it Ha ul 3/ 17/ 19

Outside Ma rina De l Re y Ha rb o r ~ ple ntiful 5-inc h sa rdine s in 40 ft. wa te r

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SLIDE 6

4,000 to ns o f e stima te d 13,000+ to ns

  • b se rve d ne a r

Big Sur ~ Oc t. 2018

 47% o f e stima te d

c o a st-wide b io ma ss

  • f 27,547 mt
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SLIDE 7

Ma ny Ma ny Mo re Ob se rva tio ns

 T

ho usa nds o f to ns o b se rve d o n b a c kside o f Ca ta lina

 Co untle ss sc ho o ls o f sa rdine o b se rve d ne a r Pt.

F e rmin, o utside Sa n Pe dro Ha rb o r ~ F e b . 13 2019

 F

ishe rme n ha ve re po rte d re c ruitme nt a nd ple ntiful sa rdine s in CA sinc e 2015 (e vide nc e in live b a it ta nks)

 Ob se rva tio ns o f YOY sa rdine a nd a dults we re a lso

do c ume nte d in 20218 Juve nile Ro c kfish Surve y

 RE

CRUIT ME NT HAS HAPPE NE D, SARDINE S ARE HE RE !

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SLIDE 8

So c io -E c o no mic I mpa c ts

Ag e nda I te m G.1.c , Supple me nta l CDF G Re po rt, No ve mb e r 2007 ~ Sa rdine la nding s in o the r CPS fishe rie s (2001-2006)

I f sa rdine s a re de c la re d o ve rfishe d (misna me d!), CPS F MP re q uire s re duc tio n o f inc ide nta l c a tc h ra te to 20% a s pa rt o f re b uilding pla n

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SLIDE 9

So c io -E c o no mic I mpa c ts

Ag e nda I te m G.1.b Supp. CPSMT Re po rt ~ April 2015

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SLIDE 10

T a ke Ho me Me ssa g e

 2006 ~ I

nc ide nta l sa rdine mo st pre va le nt in a nc ho vy (49%),Pa c ific ma c ke re l (32%) a nd sq uid (13%) fishe rie s

 2015 ~ 20% sa rdine inc ide nta l c a tc h limit impa c ts:

 48% Pa c ific ma c ke re l la nding s  40-45% Anc ho vy la nding s, a c c o rding to fishe rme n  >20% o f Sq uid la nding s

 At 20% r

ate , F ISHE RME N WIL L BE F ORCE D T O F ORE GO F ISHING ON MIXE D F ISH SCHOOL S T O AVOID SARDINE

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SLIDE 11

T a ke Ho me Me ssa g e ~ 2

Pro c e sso rs (a s we ll a s fishe rme n) a re a lre a dy hurting :

 @ 50% re duc tio n in pro c e ssing c re ws sinc e sa rdine fishe ry

c lo sure in 2015

Be fo re 2015, CA’ s sa rdine fishe ry pro duc e d ave r

age a nnua l

sa le s impa c t > $16 million

 T

ha t va lue plumme te d to $61,453 (1% ) in 2017

S.CA. CPS pro c e sso rs re ly o n ma c ke re l a nd sq uid to ke e p the fle e t fishing a nd do o rs o pe n

Mo nte re y pro c e sso rs re ly o n a nc ho vy @ 6 mo nths a ye a r to fill in a fte r sq uid se a so n

E NSO outlook r e mains at AL E RT – 70% c hanc e of de ve loping

CA’S WE T F ISH INDUST R Y CANNOT AF F ORD MORE CUT S

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SLIDE 12

I mpo rta nc e o f CA We tfish I ndustry to CA

 Until re c e nt ye a rs, CA’ s c o mple x o f o f CPS fishe rie s

pro duc e d 80+% of volume , 37% doc kside value o f to ta l sta te wide c o mme rc ia l fishe ry ha rve st

 I

mpo rta nt to ma ny ha rb o r c o mmunitie s

 Vo lume is e sse ntia l to ma inta in infra struc ture , jo b s

Port We tfish % of T

  • ta l

Port L a nding s We tfish % of T

  • ta l

Port XV Va lue Monte re y Ha rbor

97.5% 76.3%

Moss L a nding

96.2% 66.3%

Ve ntura

98.7% 82% (sq uid)

Port Hue ne me

99.9% 99.9%

Sa n Pe dro

99.6% 93.4%

T e rmina l Isla nd

97.7% 81.4%

Contribution to Sta te wide L a nding s

82% 37%

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SLIDE 13

De mo g ra phic s o f the I ndustry

 F

e de ra l CPS L imite d E ntry F le e t = 55 ve sse ls

 Appro x. 300 fishe rme n (5-6 c re w pe r ve sse l)

 Ca te g o ry 4 pro c e sso rs in S.CA. = 7 to 9 ma jo r (in 2004)

In 2004 : 1,400 - 1,500 wo rke rs, inc lud ing se a so na l e mplo ye e s, a nd the ma ximum pa c king c a pa c ity wa s e stima te d b e twe e n 1,900 a nd 2,000 to ns pe r 24 ho ur d a y. 

2017-18 CPS Ha rve st, a ll spe c ie s = 61,086 mt *

 Ca te g o ry 4 pro c e sso rs in Mo nte re y = 3 ma jo r

In 2011: 764 wo rke rs, ma x. pa c king c a pa c ity in 24 hr d a y e st. 1,400 to ns 

2017-18 CPS Ha rve st – a ll spe c ie s = 31,617 mt *

 No w : e mplo yme nt re duc e d up to 50% due to lo ss o f

fishing o ppo rtunity * So urc e : 2018 CAL

I F ORNI A COAST AL PE L AGI C SPE CI E S F I SHE RY, CDF W

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SLIDE 14

Pro b le m: No fle xib ility in po lic y in upda te a sse ssme nts

 Ma jo r issue s ide ntifie d in 2017 sa rdine ST

AR pa ne l re vie w a nd 2018 AT M me tho ds re vie w ~ no t c o nside re d he re

 SSC CPS Sub c o mmitte e did a c kno wle dg e

 Ve ry hig h CV (73%) ~ fa r hig he r tha n de fa ult le ve l  Mo de l AL

T ~ Q is inc re a sing e ve ry ye a r ~ 1.1, 1.15, 1.17

(b ut CI E sc ie ntists c a lle d Q=1 “unre a listic ”)

 Upda te c o ntinue d a ssumptio n tha t se le c tivity is unifo rm, b ut

assuming logistic se le c tion r aise d biomass signific antly!

 L

  • g istic se le c tio n a lso implie s tha t so me a g e 1+ a nima ls

a re n’ t a va ila b le to AT surve y

 But all sardine s are NOT

surve ye d, inc luding uppe r wa te r

c o lumn a nd ne a rsho re

Q is not 1!

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SLIDE 15

Mo re pro b le ms (tip o f the ic e b e rg)

 Curre nt a ssumptio n ~ no CPS b e lo w 70 me te rs de pth

 Bo th sa rdine a nd a nc ho vy g o de e p!  BUT

2018 re do sc rub b e d de e p b a c ksc a tte r a nd re duc e d 2017 b io ma ss b e lo w MSST

 Upda te a lso misse d @13,000 mt NORT

HE RN stoc k in Ce n. CA

 As we ll a s tho usa nds o f to ns o f sa rdine in ne a rsho re S.CA

do c ume nte d in a e ria l surve ys a nd po int se ts this spring

 Upda te a ssume d 35,000 mt sa rdine o b se rve d o ffsho re in

S.CA. b y AT surve y wa s ‘ so uthe rn’ sto c k a nd o mitte d it fro m a sse ssme nt

 Upda te a lso inc lude d a b no rma lly hig h c a tc h fro m

E nse na da ~ b ut sig nific a nt c a tc h c a ug ht so uth o f E nse na da

Se nsitivity r un to se t E nse nada c atc h to nor mal e xploitation RAISE D the asse ssme nt ABOVE 50,000 mt

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SLIDE 16

I f b o a ts a re tie d to the do c k, pro c e sso rs’ do o rs c lo se d

 I

f CA’ s we tfish industry is de c ima te d b e c a use o f furthe r se ve re (a nd unwa rra nte d) c uts in a n a lre a dy pre c a utio na ry ha rve st po lic y …

 T

he n the Counc il has not take n into ac c ount the soc io- e c onomic ne e ds of fishing c ommunitie s…

 Ba la nc e is a ke y te ne t o f the Ma g nuso n Ac t

 Ple a se c o nside r the se issue s a nd unc e rta intie s

ra ise d a nd “c ombine sc ie ntific unde r

pinning with pr ac tic ality and c ommon se nse .”

(Chris Olive r, Assista nt Ad ministra to r fo r F ishe rie s)

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SLIDE 17

So wha t no w?

 In re a lity, sa rdine s a re NOT

OVE RF ISHE D a nd ove rfishing is NOT

  • c c urring !

 Ple a se c onduc t a ne w ST

AR pa ne l re vie w ASAP

 Use a ll a va ila b le a g e -le ng th c o mp. da ta inc luding live

b a it fishe ry a nd inc ide nta l ta ke fro m CPS fishe rie s

 Re vie w b a sis fo r ha b ita t mo de l a nd “so uthe rn” sto c k

a ssumptio ns

Ac c ount for ne ar shor e biomass

 Inc lude CDF

W ae rial surve y data

 I

nc lude Juve nile Ro c kfish Surve y a nd e vide nc e o f sa rdine inc ide nta l to o the r no n CPS fishe rie s (i.e . whiting )

 Co rre c t pro b le ms ide ntifie d with AT

surve ys

 Assumptio ns a b o ut Q a nd 70-me te r de pth limit  T

a rg e t stre ng th

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SLIDE 18

I n the me a ntime …

Co mmo n se nse wo uld sug g e st suspe nding this fla we d a sse ssme nt until ST AR pa ne l re vie w

Ple ase allow fishe r ie s to c ontinue with c ur r e nt har ve st spe c ific ations in the inte r im

”Ove rfishe d” re q uire me nt dro pping inc ide nta l ra te to 20% wo uld se rio usly limit fishing fo r o the r CPS

Also wo uld punish live b a it sa rdine fishe ry (if it wa s c urta ile d)

Diffe r e nc e be twe e n status quo 7,000 mt all use s and P* 0.4 T ie r 2 ABC of 4,514 mt = only 2,486 mt

T he diffe re nc e is no t g o ing to ha rm e c o syste m func tio n

Re building plan pr

  • visions ar

e not r e quir e d in 2019- 20 ~

Ple ase c orre c t asse ssme nt flaws in ST AR pane l be fore de c laring stoc k ‘ove rfishe d’.

Ple ase do no fur the r har m to all our CPS fishe r ie s.

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SLIDE 19

Que stio ns?