SALT Company Presentation
April 29, 2019
SALT Company Presentation April 29, 2019 Company Highlights Owns - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SALT Company Presentation April 29, 2019 Company Highlights Owns 54 mid-size dry bulk fuel-efficient 1 Eco vessels with an average age of 3.2 years Marshall Islands incorporated and HQ in 2 Monaco, and NYSE-listed under the ticker
April 29, 2019
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Owns 54 mid-size dry bulk fuel-efficient ‘Eco’ vessels with an average age of 3.2 years Marshall Islands incorporated and HQ in Monaco, and NYSE-listed under the ticker “SALT” Trades vessel on the spot market through the Scorpio Ultramax and Scorpio Kamsarmax pools Meeting IMO 2020 regulations by installing scrubbers throughout its fleet (80% expected to be installed by June 2020) Invested $100 million in 2018 on purchase
(NYSE: STNG)
1 2 3 4 5
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Youngest Eco fleet Investment in STNG Scrubber- fitted for IMO 2020 Insider
and liquidity A leading position in mid-size segment Significant
leverage
8.9 7.1 9.5 8.5 8.9 10.2 7.4 3.2 28 29 30 39 46 47 71 54 20 40 60 80
Genco Golden Ocean Diana Safe Bulkers Eagle Bulk Navios MH Star Bulk Scorpio Bulkers
# of Owned Handymax/Panamax Vessels Average Age
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Q1-2019 Financial Results
sale of $7.5 million or $0.11 per share
TCE
Liquidity
Fleet Development
Financing
scrubber financing
Dividend & Stock Buyback Program
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$0.9 $7.3 $10.8 $12.4 $22.9 $20.4 $28.1 $28.8 $23.3 $32.8
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $10.2 $17.4 $23.9 $26.8 $34.7 $37.7 $38.6 $51.1 $54.3 $60.6 $62.5 $65.2 $50.4 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19
Adjusted EBITDA Blended TCE ($/day) Revenue
Figures in $USD millions except Blended TCE and Balance Sheet.
$3,404 $5,303 $6,791 $7,303 $8,608 $8,733 $9,053 $11,527 $10,764 $11,973 $12,087 $12,523 $9,844 $- $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19
Balance Sheet
($ in 000's) 31-Mar-19 Cash and equivalents 50,821 Vessels, net 1,443,674 Investment in STNG 107,243 Other assets/assets held for sale 87,185 Total assets 1,688,923 Total debt 813,639 Other Liabilities 17,198 Total Liabilities 830,837 Shareholders Equity 858,086 Total Liabilities & Shareholders Equity 1,688,923
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February 10, 2016 BDI hits 40 year low * Projections based on 48% and 42% of the days for the Ultramax fleet and Kamsarmax fleet, respectively as of April 24, 2019.
$9,488 $10,487 $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 $16,000 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19* Ultramax Kamsarmax
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, April 2019 Baltic Supramax Avg of 10 T/C Routes; Baltic Panamax Avg of 4 T/C Routes FFA market based on assessment on April 24, 2019
FFA Market Baltic Indices
$/day
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Baltic Panamax Earnings Baltic Supramax Earnings FFA - Panamax FFA - Supramax
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$35 $75 $114 $173 $272 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $15,000 $20,000
Millions ($ USD) TC Rate ($/day)
EBITDA EBITDA/Share
An increase in rates from $8,000 to $12,000 (50%) translates to a 220% increase in EBITDA
Historical One Year Time Charter Rates: 2009-2019 Mar-19 Min Avg Max Ultramax $10,750 $4,875 $11,849 $24,375 Kamsarmax $12,135 $5,363 $13,009 $29,625
1) Based on 54 owned vessels; OPEX and Cash G&A based on 2019 Q1 press release Source: Clarksons Research Services
EBITDA Generation in Different Operating Environments (1)
EBITDA/Share
EBITDA/Share
EBITDA/Share
EBITDA/Share
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Organization (IMO) will require shipowners to reduce sulfur emissions in 2020
decide between:
the vessel to burn HSFO;
consume compliant fuels with a sulfur content <0.5% (MGO and LSFO)
scrubbers on all of its owned and finance leased Kamsarmax and Ultramax vessels between Q2-2019 and Q4-2020
be coordinated with scheduled dry docks, reducing the amount of off hire
cost around $2.5 million per vessel, and the Company anticipates that all of these costs will be financed
What is IMO 2020? How Scorpio will Comply
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1) Based on average Scorpio ECO vessel consumption in 2018
Consumption figures below assume that:
Scrubber Fuel Savings Annual ECO Vessel Fuel Consumption (MT/year) (1)
$847,200 $1,002,000 $1,059,000 $1,252,500 $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 $1,400,000 Ultramax Kamsarmax MGO-HSFO Spread $200 MGO-HSFO Spread $250
Sailing (Ballast & Laden) Ultramax Kamsarmax Non ECA 4,032 4,830 Waiting/Idle Non ECA 462 450 Less Additional Consumption for Scrubber
Total Non ECA Consumption (MT) 4236 5010 MGO-HSFO Spread ($/MT) $200 $200 Annual Scrubber Savings $847,200 $1,002,000 Scrubber TCE Savings ($/day) $2,321 $2,745 Every $100 change in fuel spread equates to TCE savings of ($/day) $1,161 $1,373
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$1,017 $287 $642 $144 $375 $143 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400
$/MT
MGO Rotterdam (S/MT) HSFO Rotterdam (S/MT) RotterdamMGO-HSFO Spread ($/MT)
Source: Clarksons Research Services April 2019
Feb 2016 Brent Crude Price: $32/bbl Apr 2011 Brent Crude Price: $123/bbl
Rotterdam Historical Bunker Prices MGO Rotterdam HSFO Rotterdam Rotterdam MGO-HSFO Spread Brent Crude Oil Price (bbl) Apr-2011 $1,017 $642 $375 $123 Feb-2016 $287 $144 $143 $32
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Source: Bloomberg, April 15, 2019
Pre-2020 Average of $247/mt 2020-2022 Average of $274/mt
Spread Between Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO vs 0.1% Low Sulfur Gasoil
150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Oct-22
($/mt)
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9 1 11 9 4 3 3 1 4 1 4 4 3 10 5 12 13 8 3 $- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 2019 2020 2021 Accumulated Scrubber CAPEX ( in Millions USD)
Count of Vessels
Ultramax Kamsarmax Accumulated CAPEX (in millions USD)
Estimated Payments by Year 2018 $1.2 million 2019 $54.0 million 2020 $70.4 million 2021 $1.4 million Total $127.0 million
Source: Company Scrubber Program April, 2019
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Number Owned Vessel Type DWT
Handysize/Handymax
< 50,000
37 Supramax/Ultramax
50,000-64,000
17 Panamax/Kamsarmax
65,000-100,000
Capesize/VLOC
>100,000
Major Bulks: Iron ore, coal, grain Minor Bulks: Bauxite, steel, scrap, cement, salt, forest products, potash/fertilizer, coke, nickel ore, sugar. Coal, 58% Grain, 16% Minerals, 6% Ore, 13% Steel, 1% Other, 6% Coal, 34% Grain, 15% Minerals, 16% Ore, 6% Steel, 10% Fertiliser, 6% Salt, 4% Logs, 1% Cement, 5% Other, 3%
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Figures in US$ millions, Source: Clarksons Research Services, April 2019 Resale defined as to be delivered before year end and less than one year old.
$15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 Apr-11 Oct-11 Apr-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Ultramax NB Kamsarmax NB Ultramax Resale Kamsarmax Resale
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, April 2019 (e) = estimate; (f) = forecast
Million Tonnes
2009-2018 Iron Ore Coal Grains Minor Bulks Total Dry Bulk CAGR 5.7% 5.1% 5.4% 4.1% 4.9%
3,402 3,825 4,076 4,317 4,581 4,830 4,828 4,900 5,098 5,213 5,347
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (e) 2019 (f) Iron Ore Coal Grain Minor Bulk
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Source: Bloomberg, April 2019
India Electricity Production China Electricity Production China Thermal Coal Total Inventory at Ports India Coal Stocks
10 15 20 25 30 35 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19
(Million Tons)
200 300 400 500 600 700
(TWh)
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
(TWh)
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19
(Million Tons)
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Global crude steel production excluding China was ~861.5 million tons in 2018, a 2.5% increase from 2017 Global Crude Steel Production Outside of China China Crude Steel Production Chinese crude steel production was ~ 927.5 million tons in 2018, a 7.3% increase from 2017
60 65 70 75 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18 Feb-19
(Million Tons)
55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18 Feb-19
(Million Tons)
Source: Bloomberg, April 2019
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Wheat, 181.2 Wheat, 178.7 Coarse Grain, 183.0 Coarse Grain, 201.0 Soybean, 153.0 Soybean, 154.4 Soymeal, 64.5 Soymeal, 66.8
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2017/18 (est) 2018/19 (proj)
(Million Tonnes)
Global Agricultural Product Trade Forecast (1) China Soybean Imports by Country
(1) USDA Outlook, February 2019
the positive development in the US-China trade negotiation
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18 Feb-19 Millions Tonnes From the US From Brazil From other countries
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, April 2019
46 101 155 112 120 280 567 361 136 455 213 111 505 278 145
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101 109
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91 148 99 101 170 358 238 81 473 152 81 204 152 90 7 144 127 23 74 192 303 211 221 450 925 599 217 928 365 192 709 430 235 31 245 236 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
# of Vessels
Newbuilding Orders Per Year: 2001-2019
Handymax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax
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Bulker Fleet Age Profile
23% 22% 26% 19% 53% 43% 43% 43% 14% 17% 14% 15% 6% 11% 9% 8% 4% 8% 9% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Cape Panamax Handymax Handysize 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20+
Source: Clarksons Research Services, April 2019
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, April, 2019 & Company Estimates Ultramax scrapping assumption in 2019-2021: 10-year average of 2.7m dwt; Kamsarmax scrapping assumption in 2019-2021: 10-year average of 4.6m dwt Assuming slippage rate of 20% in 2019-2021
2.3% 2.3% 0.2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 (million tonnes) Demolition Delivery Net Fleet Growth
Forecast Actual