S mart energy flow diagram of one country AARHUS A U UNIVERSITY - - PDF document

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

“S mart energy” flow diagram of one country

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

“S mart energy” flow diagram of one country

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

“S mart energy” flow diagram of one country

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

J

• int capacity + dispatch optimization

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

J

• int capacity + dispatch optimization

E conomic optimization: S ubject to constraints :

generation costs transmission costs storage costs variable costs (including C O2 tax)

S upply hourly inelastic demand Maximum power flowing through the links R enewable generation proportional to demand in every country Wind solar mix optimized for every country demand

α 1-α

γ

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

J

• int capacity + dispatch optimization

We fix the renewable penetration and the level of C O

2 tax …

… and let the math decide the cost-optimal composition of energy generation, conversion, transmission and storage technologies. Then, we calculate C O

2 emissions.

E conomic optimization:

generation costs transmission costs storage costs variable costs (including C O2 tax)

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

R esults

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

R esults

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

R esults

500 €/ tC O

2

0 €/ tC O

2

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

More results: electricity + heating + transportation

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

More results: electricity + heating + transportation

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

More results: electricity + heating + transportation

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

S ummary

Is Installing Large R enewable C apacities E nough to Decarbonize the C

• upled E

lectricity-and-Heating S ystem in E urope? No! ... C O

2 tax is required to

• incentivize an efficient + highly decarbonized

electricity-heating system

• avoid renewable curtailment, combustion of fossil fuel,

and inefficient technologies

• incentivize efficient technologies such as heat pumps

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

„E nergiewende“: kickoff to the second half

DanmarksInnovationsfond Grand S

• lutions

(04.2017-03.2022, 2.3 M€)

R E

• Invest

R enewable E nergy Investment S trategies – a 2dim interconnectivity approach

Aalborg U + Aarhus U

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

Next steps

• include: biomass, heat savings, industry sector, …
• transition pathways 2020 à 2050
• impact of climate change
• large à small scale modelling
• quantitative tech+econ+soc+pol consulting

iC limate (AU E

NV + E NG)

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

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E E riksen et.al.: Optimal heterogeneity of a simplified highly renewable pan-E uropean electricity system, E nergy 133 (2017) 913-28. D S chlachtberger et.al.: The benefits of cooperation in a highy renewable E uropean electricity network, E nergy 134 (2017) 469-81. M S chäfer et.al.: Decompositions of injection patterns for nodal flow allocation in renewable electricity networks, E

• ur. Phys. J

. B 90 (2017) 144. M S chäfer et.al.: S caling of transmission capacities in coarse-grained renewable electricity networks, E urophysicsLetters 119 (2017) 38004. M R aunbak et.al.: P rincipal mismatch patterns across a simplified highly renewable E uropean electricity network, E nergies 10 (2017)1934. J Hörsch et.al.: F low tracing as a tool set for the analysis of networked large-scale renewable electricity systems,

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• st optimal scenarios of a future highly renewable E

uropean electricity system – exploring the influence of weather data, cost parameters and policy constraints, E nergy 163 (2018) 100-14. F Hofmann et.al.: Principal flow patterns across renewable electricity networks, E urophysicsLetters 124 (2018) 18005. M S chlott et.al.: The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable E uropean electricity network, Applied E nergy 230 (2018) 1645-59. K Zhu et.al.: Impact of C O

2 prices on the design of a highly decarbonized coupled electricity and heating system in E

urope, Applied E nergy 236 (2019) 622-34. T Brown et.al.: S ectoral interactions as carbon dioxide emissions approach zero in a highly-renewable E uropean energy system, E nergies 12 (2019) 1032. H Liu et.al.: The role of hydro power, storage and transmission in the decarbonization of the C hinese power system, Applied E nergy 239 (2019) 1308-21.

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

R esults

DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

A U

R esults