Review/Update Public Consultation Overview & Proposed Updates - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

CKL-H 10 Year HHP – 5 Year Review/Update

Public Consultation Overview & Proposed Updates

February & March, 2019

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Topic Areas

• Current Plan: Background & Progress to Date
• Plan Review: Approach, Focus & Policy

Areas

• Updating the Plan: Assessment of Current &

Future Needs

• 2019-2029 Proposed Plan:

– Draft Housing Targets – Draft Objectives – Next Steps

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Background & Progress to Date

Current Plan

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Service Manager Role

As Service Manager under the Housing Services Act (HSA), the City’s role is to administer and fund housing and homelessness programs in both the City of Kawartha Lakes & the County of Haliburton including:

• 10 year Housing & Homelessness Plans
• Regulate and fund transferred housing providers in our service area
• Maintain Service Level Standards
• Administer the centralized housing waiting list
• Set policies where local rules can be established
• Deliver and ensure ongoing compliance for new housing programs
• Deliver and ensure ongoing compliance for homelessness programs

and services

Under Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing (MMAH)

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Background

• Provincial Long Term Housing Strategy in 2010
• New legislation in 2012 with a requirement for Service

Managers to adopt 10 year plans

• Plans consistent with the Ontario Housing Policy

Statement

• City adopted its plan in February 2014
• Poverty Reduction Strategy – Housing Action Plan

endorsed at same time

• Coordinated actions allows implementation of plan

goals with a poverty lens

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Steering committee

• New in 2017
• Assists the City to move forward goals and

actions of both plans

• Meet quarterly to advance work plans
• Variety of committee representation
• Sub committee structure assists with certain

topic specific actions

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CKL-H Approach, Focus & Provincial Policy Areas

Plan Review

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Timeline of HHP Process

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CKL-H Approach for a renewed plan

• Opportunity to address current plan

limitations

• Facilitate long term planning tool
• New 10 year plan 2019-2029
• Refresh in 2024, creating a further 10 year

plan

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Project Committee

• Established in fall 2018
• Work spans from fall 2018 to summer

2019

• City & County staff
• Reviewed progress on current plan
• Reviewed current and future local needs
• Developed local objectives, outcomes,

measures and targets

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Consultations with the public

• Public survey Dec 2018 – Feb 2019
• Lived experience interviews Feb 2019
• Small group consultations Feb & March

2019

• Public consultations March 2019

– March 13th – 9am to 2pm, OPS Community Centre, 2569 Highway 7, Lindsay – March 14th – 9am to 2pm, Haliburton Legion, 719 Mountain Street, Haliburton

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Focus of the Plan: Housing System

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Focus of the Plan: Affordable Definition

• Housing, both ownership and rental, are

said to be affordable if the accommodation costs or rent does not exceed 30% of gross annual household income for low or moderate income households

• Low or moderate income households have

incomes falling at or below the 60th income percentile

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Who They Are

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Provincial Policy Areas

• 1. Accountability & Outcomes
• 2. Goal of Ending Homelessness
• 3. Coordination with Other Community Services
• 4. Indigenous Peoples
• 5. A Broad Range of Community Needs
• 6. KLH Housing Corp & Non Profit Housing
• 7. The Private Market
• 8. Climate Change & Environmental Sustainability

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Assessment of Current & Future Needs

Updating the Plan

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Population

In both the City and County the population continues to age

• City

– 65 and over grew from 21.9% in 2011 to 25.3% in 2016 – Increase from 16,010 residents who are 65 and over to 19,060

• County

– 65 and over grew from 27.9% in 2011 to 32.9% in 2016 – Increase from 4,755 residents who are 65 and over to 5,940

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Population Changes

City

2011 2016 10,180 47,015 16,010 9,900 46,460 19,060 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 0 to 14 15 to 64 65 and over

County

2011 2016 1,790 10,490 4,755 1,720 10,405 5,940 5,000 10,000 15,000 0 to 14 15 to 64 65 and over

Sources - 2016 Census

http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E

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Household Sizes

A full two-thirds of all housing across the service area are occupied by only one or two people

• City

– Household sizes made of one or two people only increased from 65.7% to 67.6% (2011-2016)

• County

– Household sizes made of one or two people only, increased from 73.4% to 77.2% (2011-2016)

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Household Sizes - City

1 Person 4 Person 2 Person 5 or + Person 3 Person 23.8 42.0 14.3 13.1 6.9 2011 (%) 24.7 42.9 14.2 11.7 6.6 2016 (%)

Sources - 2016 Census

http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E

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Household Sizes - County

1 Person 4 Person 2 Person 5 or + Person 3 Person 26.6 46.9 12.0 9.9 4.6 2011 (%) 28.7 48.5 11.1 8.3 3.4 2016 (%)

Sources - 2016 Census

http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E

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Dwelling Characteristics

• Detached homes continue to make up majority of

living spaces

– 83% in the City – 90% in the County

• Mismatch to aging population and number of one
• r two person households
• Continued approach to develop single detached

homes

– Between 2011-2016 in City, 73% of all additional housing units were single detached – Between 2011-2016 in the County, 88% of all additional housing units were single detached

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Income spent on shelter costs

• City – spending 30% or more

– Decrease in owners from 21.1% in 2011 to 17.7% in 2016 – Increase in renters from 46% in 2011 to 51.7% in 2016

• County – spending 30% or more

– Slight increase in owners from 18.9% in 2011 to 20.8% in 2016 – Increase in renters from 38.7% in 2011 to 49.5% in 2016

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Shelter Costs – Renters - City

2011 (%) 2016 (%)

Less than 30% of income 30% or more of income 54.0 46.0 2011 (%) 48.3 51.7 2016 (%)

http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E

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Shelter Costs – Renters - County

Less than 30% of income 30% or more of income 61.3 38.7 2011 (%) 50.5 49.5 2016 (%)

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Market Rents & Vacancy Rates

• Limited supply of purpose built rental

– Low vacancy rate (supply not keeping up with demand) – CMHC publishes annual average markets rents for area based on a survey of occupied units – Average market rents for the area have increased approximately 20% since 2010 – City collects average market rents for vacant units – Local survey sees impact of vacancy rate (little available, ability to charge above the CMHC average)

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Vacancy Rates – Service Area

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2010 October 2011 October 2012 October 2013 October 2014 October 2015 October 2016 October 2017 October 2018 October 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom

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Market Rent Increase – Service Area

1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom

https://w w w 03.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/hmiportal/en/#TableMapChart/423001/5/Kaw artha%20Lakes https://w w w .bankofcanada.ca/rates/related/inflation-calculator/

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CMHC Average Market Rent – Occupied

$865.00 $1,054.00 $1,177.00 One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom+

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Local Average Market Rent - Vacant

$535 $955 $1,267 $1,452 $1,795 $573 $855 $1,060 $1,459 $0 Room One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Four Bedroom 2018 Local Survey Haliburton County 2018 Local Survey Kawartha Lakes

• On a weekly basis, Human Services staff have been updating
• ur own average rent database on vacant units since April

2018

• The above averages have been calculated on a total of 1,024

rental advertisements

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Average Rents – Occupied versus Vacant

$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000

One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Four Bedroom

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Financially Assisted Waiting List

• Households identified within three categories

– Seniors (defined as 60+) – Households who are not seniors and are without dependents – Households who are not seniors and have dependents

• Can choose the property where they want to live

– As many selections as they wish as long as they meet

• ccupancy and type criteria (for example a non senior

couldn’t apply for a senior property, one person household

• nly qualifies for one bedroom, etc.)
• Victims of domestic violence or human trafficking have

priority over all others

• Balance of the list is in chronological date order

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Waiting List by Demographics

• Almost 1,700 unique households
• 375% increase since 2013

468 491 601 472 573 698 261 311 373 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Q4 2018

Breakdown By Household Type

Families Single/Couples Seniors

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Waiting List by Bedroom Size

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Who is Applying

Total Waitlist Senior No Dependents With Dependents Total Percentage of Total Kawartha Lakes 305 480 235 1020 60% Haliburton County 166 120 51 337 20% Other 128 116 96 340 20% Total 599 716 382 1697 Percentage of Total 35% 42% 23%

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Reasons for Applying

*Other reasons:

• Unable to maintain own home
• Fleeing an abusive relationship
• Family breakdown
• Requires accessible housing
• Safety concerns

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Waiting List versus Turnover

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Move-ins Total applications Linear (Move-ins)

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Wait Times

Trend over the past four years: time established by looking at the actual wait time of those housed

Unit nit Siz ize All All - Wait ait time time for mos

• r most

t applicants pplicants (year ears) Halibur aliburton ton - Wait ait time time for

• r

mos most t applicants pplicants (year ears) Linds Lindsay ay - Wait ait time time for

• r

mos most t applicants pplicants (year ears) Kaw awar artha Lak tha Lakes es (not Linds not Lindsay ay) - Wait ait time time for

• r mos

most t applicants pplicants (year ears) 1 bedroom 4.64 3.61 5.23 3.40 2 bedroom 4.01 2.78 4.11 1.58 3 bedroom 3.60 1.29 3.61 N/A 4 bedroom 1.13 1.13 N/A N/A Bachelor 4.56 N/A 4.56 N/A Total 4.30 3.58 4.83 3.39

Households who apply today may wait as long as 7 years

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• Over 1,000

accessing services annually

• Approximately

$800,000 in financial benefits annually

Homelessness Prevention

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Homelessness

• 2016 & 2018 Registry weeks to identify

those experiencing homelessness in the service area

• 75 individuals assessed in 2018, 111 in

2016

• 23% increase in individuals with a higher

level of need from 2016-2018 (44% to 67%)

2016 & 2018 Registry Weeks

Demographics 2016 Registry Week 2018 Registry Week Chronic 44% 55% Episodic 23% 36% Average Length

• f Time

Homeless 19 months 18 months # without housing for more than 2 years 46% 17% Tri-morbid 7% 16%

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2018 Registry Week – Higher Level of Need

0-3(Mainstream Housing) 4-7 (Rapid Re-Housing) 8+ (Permanent Supportive Housing)

6% 35% 59%

Level of Need: CKL

7% 14% 79%

Level of Need: COH

6% 27% 67%

Level of Need: Total

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By-Name List

64 59 96

Household Types

Actively Homeless Inactive Housed

• List of all the individuals by name

and level of need in the community who are experiencing homelessness

• 220 individuals have been added

to the BNL since August 2016

• 96 have been housed
• 59 made inactive
• 64 active individuals in the

community on the BNL

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By-Name List – Current Context

10 6 34 7 7

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Household Types

Family Youth Adult Senior Couple

Key Demographics

• 64 unique households on the

BNL actively homeless

• 73% in CKL & 27% in COH
• 52% Female & 48% Male
• 56% Chronically Homeless

(homeless for 6+ months in year)

• 3% Indigenous Ancestry/Identity

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Draft Housing Targets

2019-2029 Proposed Plan

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Ownership Targets

The plan does not establish specific ownership targets however both the City and County must ensure that within new developments official plan targets of 25% affordable is encouraged. The 25% should be apportioned so that the low and middle income needs and types are met:

• 1. Low Income

a. average annual gross household income at or below $50,900 b. accommodation costs do not exceed 30% of income

• 2. Middle Income

a. average annual gross household income between $50,900 and $87,500 b. accommodation costs do not exceed 30% of income

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• OrgCode Consulting Inc. affordable housing

forecasting model

• Sensitive to two dozen current and historical

variables

– Population changes, vacancy rates, average rents, at or below the low income cut off, unemployment, household income, homelessness, evictions, minimum wage, rate of labour force participation, clients on social assistance, households on the waiting list, etc.

• Modelling results can be used faithfully and

effectively when the bigger picture is seen

Method to Establish Rental Targets

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Rental Targets - Models

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Additional Units on Average Annually by Bedroom Size

96 54 22 20 128 79 26 23 200 129 38 33 50 100 150 200 250

City

27 17 6 4 41 25 9 7 75 48 15 12 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

County Catching Up Moving Forward Ideal

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Rental Targets - Categories

• 1. Low Income
• a. Average annual gross household income at or below:
• City - $22,800
• County - $21,000
• b. Affordable Rent (30% gross income) at or below:
• City: $570
• County: $520
• 2. Middle Income
• a. Average annual gross household income between:
• City - $22,800 and $42,100
• County - $21,000 and $36,600
• b. Affordable Rent (30% gross income) between:
• City - $570 and $1,050
• County - $520 and $920
• 3. Supportive
• a. Average income and affordable rent generally within the low income category
• b. Additional support services provided (history of homelessness, barriers to housing,

mental illness, substance use, frail elderly, physical disabilities, etc.)

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Additional Units on Average Annually by Household Category

96 44 30 22 128 62 42 24 200 94 66 40 50 100 150 200 250

City

27 10 9 8 41 15 13 13 75 27 20 28 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

County Catching Up Moving Forward Ideal

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Rental Targets – Ways to Achieve

• The targets are only achievable with funding and policy

support from all levels of government as well as participation from private developers, the local housing corporation, non- profit housing providers, community agencies and residents.

• It is important to realize that each affordable unit does not

necessarily occur from purpose built rental developments. These units can be created in a variety of ways that include providing subsidies to tenants to afford existing market rental units, the creation of a second unit within an existing single home, rehabilitation of an existing space not currently used for rental housing, etc.

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Additional Units on Average Annually by Program Type

96 37 12 12 34 128 49 16 16 46 200 71 24 24 81 50 100 150 200 250

City

27 15 5 5 2 41 15 5 5 16 75 15 5 5 50 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

County Catching Up Moving Forward Ideal

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Draft Objectives

2019-2029 Proposed Plan

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Draft Objectives Review

• 1. Review different policy area posters –

they start with the provincial requirement and follow with the committee’s proposed

• bjectives
• 2. Use post its to identify any comments,

anything you feel the committee missed, etc

• 3. Review post its as a group

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Next Steps

2019-2029 Proposed Plan

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Questions?