Residential Market Review New Construction and Resale History J. - - PDF document

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Residential Market Review New Construction and Resale History J. - - PDF document

15 Year Residential Market Review New Construction and Resale History J. Van Rose, Jr. MIRM President Rose & Womble Enterprises 2 50 0 0 Principal Owner of Rose & Womble Realty 2 0 0 0 0 150 0 0 Lifetime Teacher & Motivator 10


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Residential Market Review

  • J. Van Rose, Jr. MIRM

President Rose & Womble Enterprises Principal Owner of Rose & Womble Realty Lifetime Teacher & Motivator Travels the country sharing his knowledge and unique perspective.

15 Year New Construction and Resale History

50 0 0 10 0 0 0 150 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 50 0 0 19 9 2 19 9 3 19 9 4 19 9 5 19 9 6 19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6

Resale NC

January New Home Sales 1994 - 2007

50 1 00 1 50 200 250 300 350 400 450

N u m b e r o f S a le s

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Hampton Roads Housing Stats

  • Average Price of SF New Home

$445,316

  • An Increase of $38,048 or 9.3% in
  • ne year
  • Average Price of SF Existing Home

$270,511

  • An Increase of $45,317 or 7.8% in
  • ne year

$346,963 $557,004 $210,041 $301,537 $470,764 $169,227 $281,289 $448,731 $167,442

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000

VB Ches Suff Resale NC Diff

2006 Southside Average Closing Prices Resale and New Construction Single Family Detached Homes

$184,406 $270,955 $89,549 $221,057 $399,538 $178,481 $305,931 $430,514 $124,583 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 Ports Norf I/W Resale NC Diff

2006 Southside Average Closing Prices Resale and New Construction Single Family Detached Homes

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2006 Peninsula Average Closing Prices Resale and New Construction Single Family Detached Homes

$193,421 $334,388 $140,967 $212,773 $337,119 $191,102 $357,686 $465,010 $107,324 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 $500,000 Hamp NN YC Resale NC Diff $390,943 $444,199 $53,256 $404,194 $363,733 ($40,461) ($50,000) $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000

JCC WMSB Resale NC Diff

2006 Peninsula Average Closing Prices Resale and New Construction Single Family Detached Homes

A Market In Transition

Sales By Month Jan 2005 through Nov 2006

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Units per Month

Jan 05 Feb 05 Mar 05 Apr 05 May 05 Jun 05 Jul 05 Aug 05 Sep 05 Oct 05 Nov 05 Dec 05 Jan 06 Feb 06 Mar 06 Apr 06 May 06 Jun 06 Jul 06 Aug 06 Sep 06 Oct 06 Nov 06

Date

New Construction Resale

Growth of Home Sizes & Price Per S. F.

2 0 0 3 $ 2 6 0 K $ 1 0 4 SF 2 ,5 7 0 SF 2 0 0 4 $ 3 2 7 K $ 1 2 3 SF 2 ,6 7 3 SF 2 0 0 5 $ 4 1 6 K $ 1 4 9 SF 2 ,7 8 1 SF 2 0 0 6 $ 4 4 5 $ 1 6 1 SF 2 ,6 7 2 SF 2 0 0 7 $ 3 9 4 $ 1 5 2 SF 2 ,5 8 9 SF

0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% >$1000K $901K-$1000K $801K-$900K $701K-800K $601K-$700K $501K-$600K $401K-$500K

<$401K

New Construction Price Points

6 1 %

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New Construction Product Mix

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

1

Mixed Use High Rise Tow nhome Att Condo SFD Condo SFD Custom SFD Production 46% 7% 4% 31% 8% 3% 1%

Current Active Listings by Month

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Units January February March April May June July August September October November December Month 2004 2005 2006

Average Market Time By Month

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

A verag e M arket T im e

Jan Feb M ar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

Month 2004 2005 2006

Existing Homes – Sales and Listings by Month December 2005 – November 2006

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Dec 05 Jan 06 Feb 06 Mar 06 Apr 06 May 06 Jun 06 Jul 06 Aug 06 Sep 06 Oct 06 Nov 06

Sales Listings

Future of Hampton Roads

SOUTHSIDE MLS ACTIVE DETACHED LISTINGS BY PRICE RANGE - FEBRUARY 2007

6 6 4 4 3 5 8 5 12 4 29 18 36 50 65 44 70 44 112 76 113 60 61 65 20 43 199 52 30 7 9 15 16 39 29 5 28 14 43 33 59 100 97 120 137 219 264 699 608 463 447 545

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 < $100K $100K - $150K $150K - $200K $200K - $250K $250K - $300K $300K - $350K $350K - $400K $400K - $450K $450K - $500K $500K - $550K $550K - $600K $600K - $650K $650K - $700K $700K - $750K $750K - $800K $800K - $850K $850K - $900K $900K - $950K $950K - $1MIL $1MIL - $1.1MIL $1.1MIL - $1.2MIL $1.2MIL - $1.3MIL $1.3MIL - $1.4MIL $1.4MIL - $1.5MIL $1.5MIL - $1.750MIL $1.750MIL - $2MIL > $2MIL Price Range Number of Active Listings

New Construction Resale

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PENINSULA MLS

ACTIVE DETACHED LISTINGS BY PRICE RANGE - FEBRUARY 2007

2 1 1 3 2 2 3 6 2 13 25 36 31 49 61 44 44 21 19 18 1 39 138 14 10 5 8 4 6 10 4 11 2 15 13 19 28 25 36 34 64 73 217 258 229 126 165

  • 20

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 < $100K $100K - $150K $150K - $200K $200K - $250K $250K - $300K $300K - $350K $350K - $400K $400K - $450K $450K - $500K $500K - $550K $550K - $600K $600K - $650K $650K - $700K $700K - $750K $750K - $800K $800K - $850K $850K - $900K $900K - $950K $950K - $1MIL $1MIL - $1.1MIL $1.1MIL - $1.2MIL $1.2MIL - $1.3MIL $1.3MIL - $1.4MIL $1.4MIL - $1.5MIL $1.5MIL - $1.750MIL $1.750MIL - $2MIL > $2MIL Price Range Number of Active Listings

New Construction Resale

380 400 420 440 460 480 500 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year

Defense Budget in Billions 2005-2008

Hampton Roads Share

Proposed 2008 Government Spending –

$5.5 Billion to Northrop Grumman

Newport News Shipyard

$288 Million for Construction Projects at

Hampton Roads Military Facilities

Hampton Roads Share

Homeland Security - Includes Hampton Roads

in Share of $1.143 Billion Dollars in Grants

APM Terminals $450 Million Dollar Portsmouth

Facility to Open in 2007

$2.2 Billion Dollar Expansion

Craney Island Marine Cargo Terminal

Mixed Use In Hampton Roads Mixed Use In Hampton Roads

Bellharbour Station at SoNo Chesapeake 580 Units Bryans Cove Chesapeake 596Units Culpepper Landing Chesapeake 983 Units Gateway at SoNo Chesapeake 108 Units H20 Hampton 500 Units Benns Grant Isle of Wight Co. 1098 Units

  • St. Lukes Village

Isle of Wight Co. 430 Units Governors Grove at Five Forks James City Co. 132 Units New Town James City Co. 1000+ Units Asheton Newport News 1578 Units City Center Newport News 420 Units Patrick Henry Place Newport News 700 Units

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Mixed Use In Hampton Roads

Spectrum at Willoughby Norfolk

327 Units Hampton Roads Crossing Suffolk 600 Units Harbour View Station Suffolk 1000 Units Obici Place Suffolk 225 Units Blenheim Park Virginia Beach 1000 Units City View Virginia Beach 600+ Units City Walk Virginia Beach 450 Units Cascades at Woods Corner Virginia Beach 192 Units High Street Williamsburg 482 Units Yorktown Green York County 74 Units

TOTALS 13,075